Davis Mills Fantasy outlook, stats and Week 4 start/sit for 2026
- Age
- 27
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 225 lb
- Experience
- 6th season
- Drafted
- 2021 R3, #67
2025 Season
- PPR PPG
- 11.6
- Pos rank
- QB38
- Rostered
- —
Week 4 vs. Cowboys, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 3rd vs. QBs, favorable
Davis Mills Fantasy Football Stats & Analysis
Producing as
QB38 · Poor
Scoring rate
11.6 PPG
Played
6 games
Role
Flex
Trend
Heating Up
Role Direction
| Usage | Season | Last 4 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Att/G | 26.5 | 31.3 | +18% |
| Rush Att/G | 2.2 | 2.0 | -8% |
Davis Mills's 2026 Season, Week by Week
The next four matchups include one of the league's softest pass defenses.
- Week 1, Loss,vs BUF,—,Did not play
- Week 2, Loss,vs CIN,—,Did not play
- Week 3, Loss,at IND,—,Did not play
- Up next. Week 4, Oct 4,vs DAL,FavorableCowboys vs. QBs
- Week 5, Oct 11,at TEN,ToughTitans vs. QBs
- Week 6, Oct 18,at JAX,ToughJaguars vs. QBs
- Week 7, Oct 25,vs NYG,NeutralGiants vs. QBs
Matchup rank is PPR points allowed to QBs through Week 4. 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Should You Start or Roster Davis Mills?
Mills profiles as exactly what his profession demands of a backup: steady in a pinch, replaceable when the franchise quarterback returns. His 2025 spot duty produced a 39.4% success rate and minus-0.093 EPA per play across six games, with a 6.6-point negative CPOE that underlines how far below average his accuracy graded. He threw five touchdowns to one pick on 159 attempts, but at 5.75 yards per completion and only 10.2% deep attempts, the upside ceiling stays low. The lone redeeming arrow is improvement over a brutal 2024 line (minus-0.281 EPA, minus-11.7 CPOE).
For 2026, the math is simple. With C.J. Stroud healthy, Mills returns to the bench and carries no standalone value, sitting around QB60 in consensus rankings and rostered in roughly half a percent of leagues. He merits a streaming look only if Stroud misses time, where a projection near 153 passing yards and under one touchdown per game caps him as a desperation bye-week play.
Career Fantasy Stats by Season
| Season | Team | GP | Pass yds | TD | INT | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | HOU | 6 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 69.6 | 11.6 | QB41 |
| 2024 | HOU | 5 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9.6 | 1.9 | QB53 |
| 2023 | HOU | 6 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17.8 | 3.0 | QB55 |
| 2022 | HOU | 15 | 3,118 | 17 | 15 | 108 | 193.5 | 12.9 | QB21 |
| 2021 | HOU | 13 | 2,664 | 16 | 10 | 44 | 162.0 | 12.5 | QB28 |
| Career | 45 | 7,082 | 40 | 26 | 232 | 452.5 | 10.1 |
Rest-of-Season Outlook and Availability
Outlook
For 2026, the math is simple. With C.J. Full outlook
Injury status
Active, no designation
He has missed 11 games this season. Career games missed to injury: 0. Injury history
- 2025elbowPlayed through
QBs like Davis Mills
Davis Mills Fantasy Football FAQ
Should I start Davis Mills in Week 4?
Davis Mills plays Week 4 against the Cowboys. The Cowboys rank 3rd in PPR points allowed to QBs, a favorable matchup. Get the start/sit call for Mills.
Is Davis Mills worth rostering in fantasy football?
Yes, in the right league: Davis Mills is a bench stash in superflex and 2QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 1QB leagues.
What are Davis Mills's upcoming fantasy football matchups?
Davis Mills's next three games are Week 4 vs. the Cowboys (3rd in PPR points allowed to QBs, favorable), Week 5 at the Titans (31st in PPR points allowed to QBs, tough) and Week 6 at the Jaguars (30th in PPR points allowed to QBs, tough). One of them is favorable by points allowed to the position.
Davis Mills 2025 Stats
2025 final · Houston TexansTouchdowns accounted for 37% of his fantasy production, so his weekly output leaned on volume more than scoring.
Passing
- Yards
- 915
- Comp %
- 57.2%
- TD
- 5
- INT
- 1
91/159 Comp/Att5.8 Y/A81.6 Rating
Rushing
- Yards
- 60
- TD
- 1
13 Att4.6 Y/C
Fantasy (PPR)
- Points
- 69.6
- Pos rank
- QB41
28.7 Best Week 10 JAX1.2 Worst Week 5 BAL
Advanced Passing Stats
| Stat | 2025 5 games | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||
| EPA per play | −0.07 | — |
| Success rate | 40.0% | — |
| Completion rate | 58.6% | — |
| Yards per attempt | 5.9 | — |
| TD rate | 3.3% | — |
| Usage | ||
| Pass attempts per game | 30.0 | — |
| Style | ||
| Time to throw | 2.56s | — |
| Air yards per attempt | 8.7 | — |
| Deep-attempt rate | 10.8% | — |
| Context | ||
| Completion % over expected | −5.2 | — |
| Pressure rate | 17.0% | — |
Percentiles: 2025 (5 games, weeks 1–17): below the qualifying line, so no percentiles.
For fantasy: his floor is his volume, 26.5 pass attempts and 2.2 carries a game in 2025; efficiency decides how much of it becomes points.
Fantasy Points per Game, Every Season
11.6
Fantasy PPG
QB38
Fantasy finish
153
Pass yds/g
0.8
Pass TD/g
Davis Mills career stats by season
| Season | GP | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | INT | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | 91 | 159 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 69.6 | 11.6 | QB41 |
| 2024 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9.6 | 1.9 | QB53 |
| 2023 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17.8 | 3.0 | QB55 |
| 2022 | 15 | 292 | 479 | 3,118 | 17 | 15 | 108 | 193.5 | 12.9 | QB21 |
| 2021 | 13 | 263 | 394 | 2,664 | 16 | 10 | 44 | 162.0 | 12.5 | QB28 |
| Career | 45 | 684 | 1,107 | 7,082 | 40 | 26 | 232 | 452.5 | 10.1 | — |
What His Career Numbers Say
10.3
Career PPG
44 games over 5 seasons
50%
Availability
Share of team games he played
23%
Top-12 weeks
Share of his games as a QB1
8.1
Weekly swing
Standard deviation, moderate
Mills has averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game over 44 games and 5 seasons, without a top-12 finish. The average hides two careers: 12.5 a game in his three seasons with a starter's volume, 2.7 in the two without it.
In 2025 he averaged 11.6 per game, up 9.2 from 2024. Volume is the driver: 26.5 pass attempts a game against 9.0. His most-targeted receivers in 2025 were Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz.
Career numbers describe the past; for what he is worth from here, see Mills's rest-of-season rank and trade value in Redraft Command.
Career highs
- 3,118Pass yards2022
- 17Pass TD2022
- 193.5Fantasy pts2022 · QB21
- 7,082Career pass yds2021–2025
QBs like Davis Mills
Davis Mills Stats FAQ
What were Davis Mills's stats last season?
In 2025, Davis Mills completed 91 of 159 passes for 915 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, adding 60 rushing yards in 6 games. That was 69.6 PPR points (11.6 per game), a QB41 finish.
What are Davis Mills's career NFL stats?
Across 5 seasons and 45 games, Davis Mills has 7,082 passing yards, 40 touchdown passes and 26 interceptions, plus 232 rushing yards, for 452.5 PPR fantasy points (10.1 per game).
How many touchdowns does Davis Mills have in his career?
Davis Mills has thrown 40 touchdown passes and run for 3 touchdowns in his NFL career, 43 in all, over 45 games.
How many career passing yards does Davis Mills have?
Davis Mills has 7,082 career passing yards over 5 seasons, on 684 completions in 1,107 attempts.
Davis Mills Game Log 2025
Games played
6
FPTS/G (PPR)
11.6
Pass yds/g
153
Pass TD/g
0.8
Cmp %
57.2%
Rush yds/g
10
Across 6 games in 2025, Davis Mills has averaged 153 passing yards, 0.8 passing touchdowns and 11.6 PPR fantasy points per game. Davis Mills has finished as a top-12 QB in 2 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 3. The best week was Week 10 against JAX (28.7 points); the lowest was Week 5 against BAL (1.2).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | CMP/ATT | PASS YDS | PASS TD | INT | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 2 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 3 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 4 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 5 | BAL15th | W 44-10 | 1.2 | 2/4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | QB31 |
Week 5 · BAL · W 44-10 · 1.2 pts
How the 1.2 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||||
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||||
| 7 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 8 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 9 | DEN27th | L 15-18 | 6.2 | 17/30 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | QB27 |
Week 9 · DEN · L 15-18 · 6.2 pts
How the 6.2 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||||
| 10 | JAX26th | W 36-29 | 28.7 | 27/45 | 292 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 1 | QB1 |
Week 10 · JAX · W 36-29 · 28.7 pts
How the 28.7 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||||
| 11 | TEN18th | W 16-13 | 16.4 | 26/41 | 274 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | QB10 |
Week 11 · TEN · W 16-13 · 16.4 pts
How the 16.4 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||||
| 12 | BUF28th | W 23-19 | 14.5 | 16/30 | 153 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | QB15 |
Week 12 · BUF · W 23-19 · 14.5 pts
How the 14.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||||
| 13 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 14 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 15 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 16 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 17 | Did not play | ||||||||||
| 18 | IND14th | W 38-30 | 2.6 | 3/9 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | QB33 |
Week 18 · IND · W 38-30 · 2.6 pts
How the 2.6 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to QBs across 2025: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
Two QB1 weeks, one QB2 week and three busts. For a quarterback ranked QB38 overall, the spread matters more than the average: you get a top-5 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Held in check by Indianapolis
3/9, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 1 carry, 12 yds.
14 of his 9 throws went to Xavier Hutchinson (9 targets) and Jayden Higgins (5). Just 4.0 yards per attempt. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Steady in a win vs. Buffalo
16/30, 153 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 4 yds.
15 of his 30 throws went to Jayden Higgins (9 targets) and Christian Kirk (6), and his TD passes went to Kirk and Higgins. At 5.1 yards per attempt, most of it came underneath. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well above his season average.
QB1 week at Tennessee
26/41, 274 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 14 yds.
A 41-attempt game produced one total touchdown. 19 of those throws went to Nico Collins (10 targets) and Dalton Schultz (9), and his TD pass went to Collins. His most efficient game of the season at 6.7 yards per attempt.
Season high in a shootout
27/45, 292 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT. 3 carries, 20 yds, 1 TD.
A 45-attempt game while chasing points produced three total touchdowns. 26 of those throws went to Nico Collins (15 targets) and Dalton Schultz (11), and his TD passes went to Jayden Higgins and Schultz. One interception in a game that landed well above his season average.
Shut down by Denver
17/30, 137 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 7 yds.
19 of his 30 throws went to Nico Collins (11 targets) and Dalton Schultz (8). At 4.6 yards per attempt, most of it came underneath. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Baltimore
2/4, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 3 carries, 3 yds.
11 of his 4 throws went to Dalton Schultz (6 targets) and Nico Collins (5). A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Fantasy Points By Week
- Weekly points
- Season average (11.6)
Last Five Games
FPTS/G (PPR)
13.7
Weeks 9–18
High
28.7
Low
2.6
Pass yds/g
178
Pass TD/g
1.0
Upcoming Matchups
View matchup — Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys
View matchup — Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans
View matchup — Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
View matchup — Houston Texans vs New York Giants
Davis Mills career stats by season
| Season | GP | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | INT | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | 91 | 159 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 69.6 | 11.6 | QB41 |
| 2024 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9.6 | 1.9 | QB53 |
| 2023 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17.8 | 3.0 | QB55 |
| 2022 | 15 | 292 | 479 | 3,118 | 17 | 15 | 108 | 193.5 | 12.9 | QB21 |
| 2021 | 13 | 263 | 394 | 2,664 | 16 | 10 | 44 | 162.0 | 12.5 | QB28 |
| Career | 45 | 684 | 1,107 | 7,082 | 40 | 26 | 232 | 452.5 | 10.1 | — |
Davis Mills Rest-of-Season Outlook
QB4 for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB41 last season at 11.6 points per game.
Our 2026 Preseason Outlook
Mills profiles as exactly what his profession demands of a backup: steady in a pinch, replaceable when the franchise quarterback returns. His 2025 spot duty produced a 39.4% success rate and minus-0.093 EPA per play across six games, with a 6.6-point negative CPOE that underlines how far below average his accuracy graded. He threw five touchdowns to one pick on 159 attempts, but at 5.75 yards per completion and only 10.2% deep attempts, the upside ceiling stays low. The lone redeeming arrow is improvement over a brutal 2024 line (minus-0.281 EPA, minus-11.7 CPOE).
For 2026, the math is simple. With C.J. Stroud healthy, Mills returns to the bench and carries no standalone value, sitting around QB60 in consensus rankings and rostered in roughly half a percent of leagues. He merits a streaming look only if Stroud misses time, where a projection near 153 passing yards and under one touchdown per game caps him as a desperation bye-week play.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 39.4%
- CPOE
- −6.6
- Sacks taken
- 8
- Pressure rate
- 16.0%
- Bad-throw rate
- 19.0%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 10.2%
What Could Change His Value
The specific things that would move him up or down from here.
Upside
- A soft spotThe Cowboys in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 DAL, 3rdWk 5 TEN, 31stWk 6 JAX, 30thWk 7 NYG, 12th
Risk
- RoleHe's QB2 on the depth chart.
- Light passing volume26.5 attempts per game, 32nd of 41 QBs in 2025.
- Tough matchupsThe Titans in Week 5 (31st) and the Jaguars in Week 6 (30th) are among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
QBs like Davis Mills
Davis Mills Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Davis Mills's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Davis Mills projects as a qB4 for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in superflex and 2QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 1QB leagues. His efficiency (-0.093 EPA per play, 34th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Davis Mills's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Davis Mills is the QB41 in PPR points per game. That puts him in QB4 territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Davis Mills's projected role going forward?
Davis Mills is QB2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
What is Davis Mills's fantasy football upside?
Davis Mills's upside: the Cowboys in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.
What could hurt Davis Mills's fantasy value?
Davis Mills's risks: his efficiency (-0.093 EPA per play, 34th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Titans in Week 5 and the Jaguars in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Davis Mills's remaining fantasy schedule?
About average: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.
Davis Mills Injury Update & History
Practice participation
Week 4 reports: Wed, Thu, FriMills hasn't appeared on an injury report this season.
Injury History at a Glance
One logged injury in five seasons. None of them has cost him a regular-season game.
Durability
100/100
Games missed
Injury
Longest absence
No games missed to injury
Where He's Been Hurt
Marker size shows games missed. A dashed ring means he played through it.
| Body part | Injuries | Games missed |
|---|---|---|
| Elbow / arm | 1 | 0 |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Injury risk profile: Moderate
- No body part injured twice
- Elbow in 2025, played through
- 0 games in 5 seasons
- 1 injury spread across 1 body part
Davis Mills Injury History
Every logged injury, most recent first. Games missed are regular-season games.
- 2025
Elbow Played through
Appeared on the injury report in Week 11 with an elbow issue but was a full participant in practice and was not on the final injury report.
QBs like Davis Mills
Davis Mills Injury FAQ
Is Davis Mills injured?
No. As of October 2, 2026, Davis Mills is active with no injury designation. He has missed 11 games this season.
Is Davis Mills playing this week?
Davis Mills has no injury designation for Week 4 against the Cowboys on Sunday, October 4, so he is on track to play. Should you start him?
Has Davis Mills missed any games this season?
Yes. Davis Mills has missed 11 games in 2026 and played in 0.
What is Davis Mills's injury history?
Davis Mills has 1 logged NFL injury, which did not cost him a regular-season game.
What was Davis Mills's most recent injury?
Davis Mills's most recent logged injury was an elbow injury in Week 11 of 2025. He played through it and missed no regular-season games.
Does Davis Mills have any recurring injuries?
No. Davis Mills's one logged injury was, so the record shows no recurring pattern.
Latest Davis Mills News & Updates
Season Timeline
Every update this season, grouped by week, newest first.
Week 3Sep 27L 17–19 @ IND
Game recap coming soon
Week 2Sep 20L 6–20 vs CIN
Game recap coming soon
Week 1Sep 13L 31–36 vs BUF
Game recap coming soon
No updates of this type yet this season.
Around the Texans
Team reporting from Dynasty Command, houstontexans.com.
Davis Mills Bio
Davis Mills is a quarterback for the Houston Texans, where he wears No. 10. Born October 21, 1998, in Atlanta, GA, he attended Greater Atlanta Christian School and played college football at Stanford.
The Houston Texans selected Mills in round 3, pick 67, of the 2021 NFL Draft.
In 44 regular-season games since 2021, he has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns.
Career Timeline
1 stop with 1 team in 6 seasons. Each block's width is the time he spent there.
What happened at each stop
Houston Texans Current team2021–present
Selected in round 3, pick 67, of the 2021 NFL Draft. He was a part-time starter, with 30 starts in 44 games.
College: Stanford
Transactions
- ContractAgreed to a one-year contract extension with the Houston Texans.
- ContractAgreed to a one-year, $5 million contract extension with the Houston Texans.
- SignedSigned his four-year rookie contract with the Houston Texans.
- DraftedSelected by the Houston Texans in round 3, pick 67.
About Davis Mills: Bio FAQ
How old is Davis Mills?
Davis Mills is 27 years old. He was born on October 21, 1998. 2026 is his 6th NFL season.
How tall is Davis Mills?
Davis Mills is 6 feet 4 inches tall (6'4"), listed at 225 pounds, and plays quarterback for the Houston Texans.
How much does Davis Mills weigh?
Davis Mills weighs 225 pounds, his listed weight on the Houston Texans roster. He is listed at 6'4".
What number does Davis Mills wear?
Davis Mills wears number 10 for the Houston Texans. He plays quarterback.
What position does Davis Mills play?
Davis Mills plays quarterback for the Houston Texans, wearing number 10. 2026 is his 6th season in the NFL.
What team does Davis Mills play for?
Davis Mills plays for the Houston Texans as a quarterback. He has been with the Texans since 2021.
Where did Davis Mills go to college?
Davis Mills played college football at Stanford, after attending Greater Atlanta Christian School (GA). The Houston Texans drafted him out of Stanford in 2021.
When was Davis Mills drafted?
The Houston Texans selected Davis Mills in the third round of the 2021 NFL Draft with the 67th overall pick, out of Stanford.
What round was Davis Mills drafted in?
Davis Mills was a third-round pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, taken 67th overall by the Houston Texans.
What pick was Davis Mills in the NFL Draft?
Davis Mills was the 67th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft, selected by the Houston Texans in the third round.
Where is Davis Mills from?
Davis Mills went to high school in Georgia, at Greater Atlanta Christian School, before playing college football at Stanford.
When is Davis Mills's birthday?
Davis Mills's birthday is October 21. He was born on October 21, 1998 and is 27 years old.
How long has Davis Mills been in the NFL?
2026 is Davis Mills's 6th NFL season; he entered the league in 2021 as a third-round pick of the Houston Texans. View his career statistics.
What teams has Davis Mills played for?
Davis Mills has played for the Houston Texans. View his career statistics.
What year did Davis Mills enter the NFL?
Davis Mills entered the NFL in 2021, when the Houston Texans drafted him in the third round. 2026 is his 6th season.