Davis Mills headshot

Davis Mills Fantasy outlook, stats and Week 4 start/sit for 2026

Age
27
Height / weight
6'4", 225 lb
Experience
6th season
Drafted
2021 R3, #67

2025 Season

PPR PPG
11.6
Pos rank
QB38
Rostered
—

Week 4 vs. Cowboys, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 3rd vs. QBs, favorable

Davis Mills Fantasy Football Stats & Analysis

Producing as

QB38 · Poor

Scoring rate

11.6 PPG

Played

6 games

Role

Flex

Trend

Heating Up

Role Direction

Season average against the last four games played.
UsageSeasonLast 4Change
Pass Att/G26.531.3+18%
Rush Att/G2.22.0-8%

Davis Mills's 2026 Season, Week by Week

The next four matchups include one of the league's softest pass defenses.

  1. Week 1, Loss
    ,
    vs BUF
    ,
    —
    ,
    Did not play
  2. Week 2, Loss
    ,
    vs CIN
    ,
    —
    ,
    Did not play
  3. Week 3, Loss
    ,
    at IND
    ,
    —
    ,
    Did not play
  4. Up next.
    Week 4, Oct 4
    ,
    vs DAL
    ,
    3rd pts allowed to QBs
    ,
    Favorable
    Cowboys vs. QBs
  5. Week 5, Oct 11
    ,
    at TEN
    ,
    31st pts allowed to QBs
    ,
    Tough
    Titans vs. QBs
  6. Week 6, Oct 18
    ,
    at JAX
    ,
    30th pts allowed to QBs
    ,
    Tough
    Jaguars vs. QBs
  7. Week 7, Oct 25
    ,
    vs NYG
    ,
    12th pts allowed to QBs
    ,
    Neutral
    Giants vs. QBs

Matchup rank is PPR points allowed to QBs through Week 4. 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.

Should You Start or Roster Davis Mills?

Mills profiles as exactly what his profession demands of a backup: steady in a pinch, replaceable when the franchise quarterback returns. His 2025 spot duty produced a 39.4% success rate and minus-0.093 EPA per play across six games, with a 6.6-point negative CPOE that underlines how far below average his accuracy graded. He threw five touchdowns to one pick on 159 attempts, but at 5.75 yards per completion and only 10.2% deep attempts, the upside ceiling stays low. The lone redeeming arrow is improvement over a brutal 2024 line (minus-0.281 EPA, minus-11.7 CPOE).

For 2026, the math is simple. With C.J. Stroud healthy, Mills returns to the bench and carries no standalone value, sitting around QB60 in consensus rankings and rostered in roughly half a percent of leagues. He merits a streaming look only if Stroud misses time, where a projection near 153 passing yards and under one touchdown per game caps him as a desperation bye-week play.

Career Fantasy Stats by Season

SeasonTeamGPPass ydsTDINTRush ydsFPTSPPGFinish
2025HOU6915516069.611.6QB41
2024HOU521200119.61.9QB53
2023HOU617320917.83.0QB55
2022HOU153,1181715108193.512.9QB21
2021HOU132,664161044162.012.5QB28
Career457,0824026232452.510.1
All 5 seasons and advanced stats

Rest-of-Season Outlook and Availability

Outlook

For 2026, the math is simple. With C.J. Full outlook

Injury status

Active, no designation

He has missed 11 games this season. Career games missed to injury: 0. Injury history

  • 2025elbowPlayed through

QBs like Davis Mills

Davis Mills Fantasy Football FAQ

Should I start Davis Mills in Week 4?

Davis Mills plays Week 4 against the Cowboys. The Cowboys rank 3rd in PPR points allowed to QBs, a favorable matchup. Get the start/sit call for Mills.

Is Davis Mills worth rostering in fantasy football?

Yes, in the right league: Davis Mills is a bench stash in superflex and 2QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 1QB leagues.

What are Davis Mills's upcoming fantasy football matchups?

Davis Mills's next three games are Week 4 vs. the Cowboys (3rd in PPR points allowed to QBs, favorable), Week 5 at the Titans (31st in PPR points allowed to QBs, tough) and Week 6 at the Jaguars (30th in PPR points allowed to QBs, tough). One of them is favorable by points allowed to the position.

Davis Mills 2025 Stats

2025 final · Houston TexansTouchdowns accounted for 37% of his fantasy production, so his weekly output leaned on volume more than scoring.

Passing

Yards
915
Comp %
57.2%
TD
5
INT
1

91/159 Comp/Att5.8 Y/A81.6 Rating

Rushing

Yards
60
TD
1

13 Att4.6 Y/C

Fantasy (PPR)

Points
69.6
Pos rank
QB41

28.7 Best Week 10 JAX1.2 Worst Week 5 BAL

See these stats game by game

Advanced Passing Stats

Stat2025 5 games
Efficiency
EPA per play−0.07—
Success rate40.0%—
Completion rate58.6%—
Yards per attempt5.9—
TD rate3.3%—
Usage
Pass attempts per game30.0—
Style
Time to throw2.56s—
Air yards per attempt8.7—
Deep-attempt rate10.8%—
Context
Completion % over expected−5.2—
Pressure rate17.0%—

Percentiles: 2025 (5 games, weeks 1–17): below the qualifying line, so no percentiles.

For fantasy: his floor is his volume, 26.5 pass attempts and 2.2 carries a game in 2025; efficiency decides how much of it becomes points.

Fantasy Points per Game, Every Season

2025Dashed line: career average

11.6

Fantasy PPG

QB38

Fantasy finish

153

Pass yds/g

0.8

Pass TD/g

Davis Mills career stats by season

SeasonGPCmpAttPass ydsTDINTRush ydsFPTSPPGFinish
2025691159915516069.611.6QB41
20245203621200119.61.9QB53
20236183917320917.83.0QB55
2022152924793,1181715108193.512.9QB21
2021132633942,664161044162.012.5QB28
Career456841,1077,0824026232452.510.1—

What His Career Numbers Say

10.3

Career PPG

44 games over 5 seasons

50%

Availability

Share of team games he played

23%

Top-12 weeks

Share of his games as a QB1

8.1

Weekly swing

Standard deviation, moderate

Mills has averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game over 44 games and 5 seasons, without a top-12 finish. The average hides two careers: 12.5 a game in his three seasons with a starter's volume, 2.7 in the two without it.

In 2025 he averaged 11.6 per game, up 9.2 from 2024. Volume is the driver: 26.5 pass attempts a game against 9.0. His most-targeted receivers in 2025 were Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz.

Career numbers describe the past; for what he is worth from here, see Mills's rest-of-season rank and trade value in Redraft Command.

Career highs

  • 3,118Pass yards2022
  • 17Pass TD2022
  • 193.5Fantasy pts2022 · QB21
  • 7,082Career pass yds2021–2025

QBs like Davis Mills

Davis Mills Stats FAQ

What were Davis Mills's stats last season?

In 2025, Davis Mills completed 91 of 159 passes for 915 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, adding 60 rushing yards in 6 games. That was 69.6 PPR points (11.6 per game), a QB41 finish.

What are Davis Mills's career NFL stats?

Across 5 seasons and 45 games, Davis Mills has 7,082 passing yards, 40 touchdown passes and 26 interceptions, plus 232 rushing yards, for 452.5 PPR fantasy points (10.1 per game).

How many touchdowns does Davis Mills have in his career?

Davis Mills has thrown 40 touchdown passes and run for 3 touchdowns in his NFL career, 43 in all, over 45 games.

How many career passing yards does Davis Mills have?

Davis Mills has 7,082 career passing yards over 5 seasons, on 684 completions in 1,107 attempts.

Stats are official NFL regular-season data processed by StatChasers. Fantasy points use full PPR scoring: 1 point per reception, 1 per 25 passing yards, 4 per passing TD, −1 per interception, 1 per 10 rushing or receiving yards and 6 per rushing or receiving TD. Two-point conversions and lost fumbles count as Sleeper scores them.

Davis Mills Game Log 2025

Games played

6

FPTS/G (PPR)

11.6

Pass yds/g

153

Pass TD/g

0.8

Cmp %

57.2%

Rush yds/g

10

Across 6 games in 2025, Davis Mills has averaged 153 passing yards, 0.8 passing touchdowns and 11.6 PPR fantasy points per game. Davis Mills has finished as a top-12 QB in 2 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 3. The best week was Week 10 against JAX (28.7 points); the lowest was Week 5 against BAL (1.2).

WkOppResultFPTSCMP/ATTPASS YDSPASS TDINTCARRUSH YDSRUSH TDFinish
1Did not play
2Did not play
3Did not play
4Did not play
5BAL15thW 44-101.22/42300330QB31

Week 5 · BAL · W 44-10 · 1.2 pts

Weekly finish
QB31 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-10.4 pts
Matchup
BAL ranked 15th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
14

How the 1.2 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards23 yds+0.9
  • Rushing yards3 yds+0.3
6Bye week
7Did not play
8Did not play
9DEN27thL 15-186.217/3013700270QB27

Week 9 · DEN · L 15-18 · 6.2 pts

Weekly finish
QB27 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-5.4 pts
Matchup
DEN ranked 27th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
50

How the 6.2 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards137 yds+5.5
  • Rushing yards7 yds+0.7
10JAX26thW 36-2928.727/45292213201QB1

Week 10 · JAX · W 36-29 · 28.7 pts

Weekly finish
QB1 · QB1 week
Vs. season average
+17.1 pts
Matchup
JAX ranked 26th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
75

How the 28.7 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards292 yds+11.7
  • Passing TD2 TD+8.0
  • Interceptions1 INT-1.0
  • Rushing yards20 yds+2.0
  • Rushing TD1 TD+6.0
  • Otherreturn yards, 2-pt, fumbles+2.0
11TEN18thW 16-1316.426/41274102140QB10

Week 11 · TEN · W 16-13 · 16.4 pts

Weekly finish
QB10 · QB1 week
Vs. season average
+4.8 pts
Matchup
TEN ranked 18th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
70

How the 16.4 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards274 yds+11.0
  • Passing TD1 TD+4.0
  • Rushing yards14 yds+1.4
12BUF28thW 23-1914.516/3015320240QB15

Week 12 · BUF · W 23-19 · 14.5 pts

Weekly finish
QB15 · QB2 week
Vs. season average
+2.9 pts
Matchup
BUF ranked 28th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
59

How the 14.5 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards153 yds+6.1
  • Passing TD2 TD+8.0
  • Rushing yards4 yds+0.4
13Did not play
14Did not play
15Did not play
16Did not play
17Did not play
18IND14thW 38-302.63/936001120QB33

Week 18 · IND · W 38-30 · 2.6 pts

Weekly finish
QB33 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-9.0 pts
Matchup
IND ranked 14th in points allowed to QB that season

How the 2.6 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards36 yds+1.4
  • Rushing yards12 yds+1.2

Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to QBs across 2025: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.

Where His Weeks Finished

Two QB1 weeks, one QB2 week and three busts. For a quarterback ranked QB38 overall, the spread matters more than the average: you get a top-5 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.

QB1 range (top 12)QB2 range (13–24)Bench range (25+)

Game-by-Game Breakdown

Week 18, Jan 4
vs Colts
W 38–30

Held in check by Indianapolis

3/9, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 1 carry, 12 yds.

14 of his 9 throws went to Xavier Hutchinson (9 targets) and Jayden Higgins (5). Just 4.0 yards per attempt. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.

2.6QB33
Week 12, Nov 20
vs Bills
W 23–19

Steady in a win vs. Buffalo

16/30, 153 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 4 yds.

15 of his 30 throws went to Jayden Higgins (9 targets) and Christian Kirk (6), and his TD passes went to Kirk and Higgins. At 5.1 yards per attempt, most of it came underneath. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well above his season average.

14.5QB15
Week 11, Nov 16
@ Titans
W 16–13

QB1 week at Tennessee

26/41, 274 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 14 yds.

A 41-attempt game produced one total touchdown. 19 of those throws went to Nico Collins (10 targets) and Dalton Schultz (9), and his TD pass went to Collins. His most efficient game of the season at 6.7 yards per attempt.

16.4QB10
Week 10, Nov 9
vs Jaguars
W 36–29

Season high in a shootout

27/45, 292 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT. 3 carries, 20 yds, 1 TD.

A 45-attempt game while chasing points produced three total touchdowns. 26 of those throws went to Nico Collins (15 targets) and Dalton Schultz (11), and his TD passes went to Jayden Higgins and Schultz. One interception in a game that landed well above his season average.

28.7QB1
Week 9, Nov 2
vs Broncos
L 15–18

Shut down by Denver

17/30, 137 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 7 yds.

19 of his 30 throws went to Nico Collins (11 targets) and Dalton Schultz (8). At 4.6 yards per attempt, most of it came underneath. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well below his season average.

6.2QB27
Week 5, Oct 5
@ Ravens
W 44–10

Held in check by Baltimore

2/4, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 3 carries, 3 yds.

11 of his 4 throws went to Dalton Schultz (6 targets) and Nico Collins (5). A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.

1.2QB31

Fantasy Points By Week

290W5W10W18Week 5 vs BAL: 1.2 ptsWeek 9 vs DEN: 6.2 ptsWeek 10 vs JAX: 28.7 ptsWeek 11 vs TEN: 16.4 ptsWeek 12 vs BUF: 14.5 ptsWeek 18 vs IND: 2.6 pts
  • Weekly points
  • Season average (11.6)

Last Five Games

FPTS/G (PPR)

13.7

Weeks 9–18

High

28.7

Low

2.6

Pass yds/g

178

Pass TD/g

1.0

Upcoming Matchups

Matchup rank is fantasy points allowed to QBs, in PPR: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest. Measured through Week 4.

Davis Mills Game Log 2021

Games played

13

FPTS/G (PPR)

12.5

Pass yds/g

205

Pass TD/g

1.2

Cmp %

66.8%

Rush yds/g

3

Across 13 games in 2021, Davis Mills has averaged 205 passing yards, 1.2 passing touchdowns and 12.5 PPR fantasy points per game. Davis Mills has finished as a top-12 QB in 5 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 6. The best week was Week 18 against TEN (27.2 points); the lowest was Week 4 against BUF (-1.3).

WkOppFPTSCMP/ATTPASS YDSPASS TDINTCARRUSH YDSRUSH TDFinish
1Did not play
2CLE28th6.08/18102112-10QB33

Week 2 · CLE · 6.0 pts

Weekly finish
QB33 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-6.5 pts
Matchup
CLE ranked 28th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
35

How the 6.0 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards102 yds+4.1
  • Passing TD1 TD+4.0
  • Interceptions1 INT-1.0
  • Rushing yards-1 yds-0.1
  • Otherreturn yards, 2-pt, fumbles-1.0
3CAR26th10.719/2816810100QB27

Week 3 · CAR · 10.7 pts

Weekly finish
QB27 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-1.7 pts
Matchup
CAR ranked 26th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
55

How the 10.7 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards168 yds+6.7
  • Passing TD1 TD+4.0
4BUF32nd-1.311/218704120QB36

Week 4 · BUF · -1.3 pts

Weekly finish
QB36 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-13.8 pts
Matchup
BUF ranked 32nd in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
47

How the -1.3 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards87 yds+3.5
  • Interceptions4 INT-4.0
  • Rushing yards2 yds+0.2
  • Otherreturn yards, 2-pt, fumbles-1.0
5NE31st24.721/2931230120QB6

Week 5 · NE · 24.7 pts

Weekly finish
QB6 · QB1 week
Vs. season average
+12.2 pts
Matchup
NE ranked 31st in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
59

How the 24.7 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards312 yds+12.5
  • Passing TD3 TD+12.0
  • Rushing yards2 yds+0.2
6IND17th8.229/4324302250QB27

Week 6 · IND · 8.2 pts

Weekly finish
QB27 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-4.2 pts
Matchup
IND ranked 17th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
75

How the 8.2 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards243 yds+9.7
  • Interceptions2 INT-2.0
  • Rushing yards5 yds+0.5
7ARI19th2.423/3213500000QB28

Week 7 · ARI · 2.4 pts

Weekly finish
QB28 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-10.1 pts
Matchup
ARI ranked 19th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
56

How the 2.4 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards135 yds+5.4
  • Otherreturn yards, 2-pt, fumbles-3.0
8LAR29th20.429/3831021000QB9

Week 8 · LAR · 20.4 pts

Weekly finish
QB9 · QB1 week
Vs. season average
+7.9 pts
Matchup
LAR ranked 29th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
61

How the 20.4 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards310 yds+12.4
  • Passing TD2 TD+8.0
  • Interceptions1 INT-1.0
  • Otherreturn yards, 2-pt, fumbles+1.0
9Did not play
10Did not play
11Did not play
12Did not play
13IND17th3.16/1449002110QB26

Week 13 · IND · 3.1 pts

Weekly finish
QB26 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-9.4 pts
Matchup
IND ranked 17th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
23

How the 3.1 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards49 yds+2.0
  • Rushing yards11 yds+1.1
14SEA5th18.033/4933110280QB14

Week 14 · SEA · 18.0 pts

Weekly finish
QB14 · QB2 week
Vs. season average
+5.6 pts
Matchup
SEA ranked 5th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
81

How the 18.0 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards331 yds+13.2
  • Passing TD1 TD+4.0
  • Rushing yards8 yds+0.8
15JAX16th15.619/3020921120QB11

Week 15 · JAX · 15.6 pts

Weekly finish
QB11 · QB1 week
Vs. season average
+3.1 pts
Matchup
JAX ranked 16th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
59

How the 15.6 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards209 yds+8.4
  • Passing TD2 TD+8.0
  • Interceptions1 INT-1.0
  • Rushing yards2 yds+0.2
16LAC21st18.121/27254201-10QB10

Week 16 · LAC · 18.1 pts

Weekly finish
QB10 · QB1 week
Vs. season average
+5.6 pts
Matchup
LAC ranked 21st in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
68

How the 18.1 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards254 yds+10.2
  • Passing TD2 TD+8.0
  • Rushing yards-1 yds-0.1
17SF3rd8.921/3216311140QB26

Week 17 · SF · 8.9 pts

Weekly finish
QB26 · QB3 week
Vs. season average
-3.5 pts
Matchup
SF ranked 3rd in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
67

How the 8.9 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards163 yds+6.5
  • Passing TD1 TD+4.0
  • Interceptions1 INT-1.0
  • Rushing yards4 yds+0.4
  • Otherreturn yards, 2-pt, fumbles-1.0
18TEN9th27.223/33301304120QB4

Week 18 · TEN · 27.2 pts

Weekly finish
QB4 · QB1 week
Vs. season average
+14.8 pts
Matchup
TEN ranked 9th in points allowed to QB that season
Offensive snaps
57

How the 27.2 points scored (PPR)

  • Passing yards301 yds+12.0
  • Passing TD3 TD+12.0
  • Rushing yards12 yds+1.2
  • Otherreturn yards, 2-pt, fumbles+2.0

Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to QBs across 2021: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.

Where His Weeks Finished

Five QB1 weeks, one QB2 week and seven busts. For a quarterback who finished QB32 overall, the spread mattered more than the average: you got a top-5 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.

QB1 range (top 12)QB2 range (13–24)Bench range (25+)

Wk 2 QB33 · Wk 3 QB27 · Wk 4 QB36 · Wk 5 QB6 · Wk 6 QB27 · Wk 7 QB28 · Wk 8 QB9 · Wk 13 QB26 · Wk 14 QB14 · Wk 15 QB11 · Wk 16 QB10 · Wk 17 QB26 · Wk 18 QB4

Game-by-Game Breakdown

Week 18, Jan 9
vs Titans
L 25–28

Season high in a loss

23/33, 301 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT. 4 carries, 12 yds.

16 of his 33 throws went to Danny Amendola (9 targets) and Nico Collins (7), and his TD passes went to Chris Moore and Amendola. At 9.1 yards per attempt, he pushed the ball downfield. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well above his season average.

27.2QB4
Week 17, Jan 2
@ 49ers
L 7–23

Shut down by San Francisco

21/32, 163 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT. 1 carry, 4 yds.

17 of his 32 throws went to Brandin Cooks (11 targets) and Rex Burkhead (6), and his TD pass went to Cooks. Just 5.1 yards per attempt. The touchdown kept it from being a total loss, but this is his floor when the offense can't sustain drives.

8.9QB26
Week 16, Dec 26
vs Chargers
W 41–29

QB1 week vs. the Chargers

21/27, 254 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT. 1 carry, -1 yds.

10 of his 27 throws went to Phillip Dorsett II (6 targets) and Brevin Jordan (4), and his TD passes went to Chris Conley and Nico Collins. At 9.4 yards per attempt, he pushed the ball downfield. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well above his season average.

18.1QB10
Week 15, Dec 19
@ Jaguars
W 30–16

QB1 week at Jacksonville

19/30, 209 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT. 1 carry, 2 yds.

14 of his 30 throws went to Brandin Cooks (10 targets) and Nico Collins (4), and his TD pass went to Cooks. One interception in a game that landed well above his season average.

15.6QB11
Week 14, Dec 12
vs Seahawks
L 13–33

Steady in a loss vs. Seattle

33/49, 331 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 8 yds.

A 49-attempt game while chasing points produced one total touchdown. 21 of those throws went to Brandin Cooks (11 targets) and Nico Collins (10), and his TD pass went to Brevin Jordan. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well above his season average.

18.0QB14
Week 13, Dec 5
vs Colts
L 0–31

Shut down by Indianapolis

6/14, 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 2 carries, 11 yds.

11 of his 14 throws went to Brandin Cooks (6 targets) and Pharaoh Brown (5). Just 3.5 yards per attempt. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well below his season average.

3.1QB26
Week 8, Oct 31
vs Rams
L 22–38

QB1 week vs. the Rams

29/38, 310 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT.

A 38-attempt game while chasing points produced two total touchdowns. 11 of those throws went to Brandin Cooks (6 targets) and Jordan Akins (5), and his TD passes went to Cooks and Brevin Jordan. At 8.2 yards per attempt, he pushed the ball downfield.

20.4QB9
Week 7, Oct 24
@ Cardinals
L 5–31

Shut down by Arizona

23/32, 135 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 1 fumble lost.

13 of his 32 throws went to Brandin Cooks (7 targets) and David Johnson (6). Just 4.2 yards per attempt. One lost fumble in a game that landed well below his season average.

2.4QB28
Week 6, Oct 17
@ Colts
L 3–31

Shut down by Indianapolis

29/43, 243 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT. 2 carries, 5 yds.

A 43-attempt game while chasing points that never found the end zone. 19 of those throws went to Brandin Cooks (13 targets) and Nico Collins (6). At 5.7 yards per attempt, most of it came underneath.

8.2QB27
Week 5, Oct 10
vs Patriots
L 22–25

QB1 week vs. New England

21/29, 312 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT. 1 carry, 2 yds.

11 of his 29 throws went to David Johnson (6 targets) and Chris Moore (5), and his TD passes went to Antony Auclair, Moore and Chris Conley. His most efficient game of the season at 10.8 yards per attempt. A clean, mistake-free start that landed well above his season average.

24.7QB6
Week 4, Oct 3
@ Bills
L 0–40

Shut down by Buffalo

11/21, 87 yds, 0 TD, 4 INT. 1 carry, 2 yds.

12 of his 21 throws went to Brandin Cooks (7 targets) and Anthony Miller (5). Just 4.1 yards per attempt. Four interceptions in a game that landed well below his season average.

-1.3QB36
Week 3, Sep 23
vs Panthers
L 9–24

Shut down by Carolina

19/28, 168 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT. 1 carry, 0 yds.

17 of his 28 throws went to Brandin Cooks (11 targets) and Anthony Miller (6), and his TD pass went to Miller. At 6.0 yards per attempt, most of it came underneath. The touchdown kept it from being a total loss, but this is his floor when the offense can't sustain drives.

10.7QB27
Week 2, Sep 19
@ Browns
L 21–31

Shut down by Cleveland

8/18, 102 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT. 2 carries, -1 yds.

16 of his 18 throws went to Brandin Cooks (14 targets) and Mark Ingram II (2), and his TD pass went to Cooks. At 5.7 yards per attempt, most of it came underneath. The touchdown kept it from being a total loss, but this is his floor when the offense can't sustain drives.

6.0QB33

QBs like Davis Mills

Davis Mills Rest-of-Season Outlook

QB4 for deep leagues only

QB41 last season · 11.6 PPG

Superflex / 2QBBench stash
1QB, 12+ teamsWaiver wire
1QB, 10 teamsWaiver wire

Preseason Projection vs. Reality

He finished QB41 last season at 11.6 points per game.

2025 final
QB41
11.6 PPG over 6 games
2026
Season starts Week 4
vs. Cowboys
Rest of season
Live rank
Updated after every game

Our 2026 Preseason Outlook

Mills profiles as exactly what his profession demands of a backup: steady in a pinch, replaceable when the franchise quarterback returns. His 2025 spot duty produced a 39.4% success rate and minus-0.093 EPA per play across six games, with a 6.6-point negative CPOE that underlines how far below average his accuracy graded. He threw five touchdowns to one pick on 159 attempts, but at 5.75 yards per completion and only 10.2% deep attempts, the upside ceiling stays low. The lone redeeming arrow is improvement over a brutal 2024 line (minus-0.281 EPA, minus-11.7 CPOE).

For 2026, the math is simple. With C.J. Stroud healthy, Mills returns to the bench and carries no standalone value, sitting around QB60 in consensus rankings and rostered in roughly half a percent of leagues. He merits a streaming look only if Stroud misses time, where a projection near 153 passing yards and under one touchdown per game caps him as a desperation bye-week play.

What Drives His Outlook

His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.

Passing volume

Light
26.5attempts per game
1st32nd of 4141st

Efficiency

Weak
-0.093EPA per play
1st34th of 4141st

Rushing

Moderate
10.0rush yards per game
1st28th of 4141st
Success rate
39.4%
CPOE
−6.6
Sacks taken
8
Pressure rate
16.0%
Bad-throw rate
19.0%
Deep-attempt rate
10.2%

What Could Change His Value

Upside

  • A soft spotThe Cowboys in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 DAL, 3rdWk 5 TEN, 31stWk 6 JAX, 30thWk 7 NYG, 12th

Risk

  • RoleHe's QB2 on the depth chart.
  • Light passing volume26.5 attempts per game, 32nd of 41 QBs in 2025.
  • Tough matchupsThe Titans in Week 5 (31st) and the Jaguars in Week 6 (30th) are among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
Weighing Mills against another quarterback on your roster?Compare them in Redraft Command

QBs like Davis Mills

Davis Mills Fantasy Outlook FAQ

What is Davis Mills's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?

Davis Mills projects as a qB4 for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in superflex and 2QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 1QB leagues. His efficiency (-0.093 EPA per play, 34th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.

What is Davis Mills's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?

Davis Mills is the QB41 in PPR points per game. That puts him in QB4 territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team 1QB leagues.

What is Davis Mills's projected role going forward?

Davis Mills is QB2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.

What is Davis Mills's fantasy football upside?

Davis Mills's upside: the Cowboys in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.

What could hurt Davis Mills's fantasy value?

Davis Mills's risks: his efficiency (-0.093 EPA per play, 34th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Titans in Week 5 and the Jaguars in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.

How difficult is Davis Mills's remaining fantasy schedule?

About average: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.

Davis Mills Injury Update & History

Active
Checked

No injury designation for Week 4 against the Cowboys. Mills has missed 11 games this season.

2026 games missed
11
Last played Week 18, Jan 10
Latest injury
Elbow
Week 11, 2025, played through
Next game
Week 4 vs DAL
Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET

Practice participation

Week 4 reports: Wed, Thu, Fri

Mills hasn't appeared on an injury report this season.

Injury History at a Glance

One logged injury in five seasons. None of them has cost him a regular-season game.

A+

Durability

100/100

0

Games missed

1

Injury

—

Longest absence

No games missed to injury

Where He's Been Hurt

Marker size shows games missed. A dashed ring means he played through it.

Elbow2025, played thru
Front view: the player's right side is on your left. Side not recorded for the elbow.
Injuries by body part, regular-season games missed
Body partInjuriesGames missed
Elbow / arm10
Total10

Injury risk profile: Moderate

  • No body part injured twice
  • Elbow in 2025, played through
  • 0 games in 5 seasons
  • 1 injury spread across 1 body part

Davis Mills Injury History

Every logged injury, most recent first. Games missed are regular-season games.

  1. 2025

    Elbow Played through

    Week 11 · with the Texans

    Appeared on the injury report in Week 11 with an elbow issue but was a full participant in practice and was not on the final injury report.

Injury status is the designation each club has filed, as our last check found it. History covers regular-season games missed. The durability score measures time lost to injury only; games not played as a backup don't count against it. Status last checked . Practice participation is from the league's official injury report on NFL.com, last read .

Fantasy points use PPR scoring.

QBs like Davis Mills

Davis Mills Injury FAQ

Is Davis Mills injured?

No. As of October 2, 2026, Davis Mills is active with no injury designation. He has missed 11 games this season.

Is Davis Mills playing this week?

Davis Mills has no injury designation for Week 4 against the Cowboys on Sunday, October 4, so he is on track to play. Should you start him?

Has Davis Mills missed any games this season?

Yes. Davis Mills has missed 11 games in 2026 and played in 0.

What is Davis Mills's injury history?

Davis Mills has 1 logged NFL injury, which did not cost him a regular-season game.

What was Davis Mills's most recent injury?

Davis Mills's most recent logged injury was an elbow injury in Week 11 of 2025. He played through it and missed no regular-season games.

Does Davis Mills have any recurring injuries?

No. Davis Mills's one logged injury was, so the record shows no recurring pattern.

Latest Davis Mills News & Updates

QBs like Davis Mills

Davis Mills Bio

Davis Mills is a quarterback for the Houston Texans, where he wears No. 10. Born October 21, 1998, in Atlanta, GA, he attended Greater Atlanta Christian School and played college football at Stanford.

The Houston Texans selected Mills in round 3, pick 67, of the 2021 NFL Draft.

In 44 regular-season games since 2021, he has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns.

Career Timeline

1 stop with 1 team in 6 seasons. Each block's width is the time he spent there.

Texans2021–now Houston Texans
7,082yds, 40 TD, 26 INT · 44 games
Best: 193.5 pts (2022)
Regular-season passing stats with each team.

What happened at each stop

  1. Houston Texans Current team2021–present

    Selected in round 3, pick 67, of the 2021 NFL Draft. He was a part-time starter, with 30 starts in 44 games.

  2. College: Stanford

5 seasons of history, one question: is he worth a roster spot now?Check his rest-of-season value in Redraft Command

Transactions

  1. ContractAgreed to a one-year contract extension with the Houston Texans.
  2. ContractAgreed to a one-year, $5 million contract extension with the Houston Texans.
  3. SignedSigned his four-year rookie contract with the Houston Texans.
  4. DraftedSelected by the Houston Texans in round 3, pick 67.

QBs like Davis Mills

About Davis Mills: Bio FAQ

How old is Davis Mills?

Davis Mills is 27 years old. He was born on October 21, 1998. 2026 is his 6th NFL season.

How tall is Davis Mills?

Davis Mills is 6 feet 4 inches tall (6'4"), listed at 225 pounds, and plays quarterback for the Houston Texans.

How much does Davis Mills weigh?

Davis Mills weighs 225 pounds, his listed weight on the Houston Texans roster. He is listed at 6'4".

What number does Davis Mills wear?

Davis Mills wears number 10 for the Houston Texans. He plays quarterback.

What position does Davis Mills play?

Davis Mills plays quarterback for the Houston Texans, wearing number 10. 2026 is his 6th season in the NFL.

What team does Davis Mills play for?

Davis Mills plays for the Houston Texans as a quarterback. He has been with the Texans since 2021.

Where did Davis Mills go to college?

Davis Mills played college football at Stanford, after attending Greater Atlanta Christian School (GA). The Houston Texans drafted him out of Stanford in 2021.

When was Davis Mills drafted?

The Houston Texans selected Davis Mills in the third round of the 2021 NFL Draft with the 67th overall pick, out of Stanford.

What round was Davis Mills drafted in?

Davis Mills was a third-round pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, taken 67th overall by the Houston Texans.

What pick was Davis Mills in the NFL Draft?

Davis Mills was the 67th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft, selected by the Houston Texans in the third round.

Where is Davis Mills from?

Davis Mills went to high school in Georgia, at Greater Atlanta Christian School, before playing college football at Stanford.

When is Davis Mills's birthday?

Davis Mills's birthday is October 21. He was born on October 21, 1998 and is 27 years old.

How long has Davis Mills been in the NFL?

2026 is Davis Mills's 6th NFL season; he entered the league in 2021 as a third-round pick of the Houston Texans. View his career statistics.

What teams has Davis Mills played for?

Davis Mills has played for the Houston Texans. View his career statistics.

What year did Davis Mills enter the NFL?

Davis Mills entered the NFL in 2021, when the Houston Texans drafted him in the third round. 2026 is his 6th season.