Tua Tagovailoa Dynasty Value 2026
Tua Tagovailoa dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Tua Tagovailoa dynasty outlook
Tua Tagovailoa is ranked #188 overall and QB32 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a deep-roster or taxi-squad option at a market value of 534.
He is 28.0 years old — in the long quarterback prime. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Format matters here: Tua is worth 534 in superflex against 47 in 1QB, a +1036.2% difference — the usual superflex quarterback premium. Check which format a comparable trade came from before using it as a price.
The model values Tua +413.1% above the dynasty market, a buy-low signal: his production and age say the price is too low.
In dynasty startup drafts Tua goes at pick 149.7 on average (round 13.06 in a 12-team startup, QB29 by ADP), with a typical range of 114 to 184 across 816 drafts; his startup cost is falling over the last 30 days (-27.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has fallen: from an average pick of 32.3 in 2024-01 to 190.6 in 2026-09, across 28 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 12.5 PPR points per game in 2025 over 14 games, down from 17.1 in 2024, finishing QB25.
Drafted round 1, pick 5 by Miami Dolphins in 2020. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Atlanta Falcons |
| Position | QB |
| Age | 28.0 |
| Experience | 6 yrs |
| Number | #1 |
| Bye week | Week 11 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 534 |
| Superflex rank | #188 · QB32 |
| 1QB value | 47 |
| 1QB rank | #305 · QB34 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | — |
| Timeline | — |
| Model value | 2,740 |
| Model vs market | +413.1% |
| Signal | Strong Buy |
Run a trade with Tua in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Tua Tagovailoa startup draft cost
Drafted in 816 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #148 · QB29 · earliest pick 43, latest 295 · 7-day -32.0, 14-day -31.0. Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Tua Tagovailoa dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 32.3 to 190.6.
Tua Tagovailoa production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MIA | 14 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | QB25 | QB25 |
| 2024 | MIA | 11 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 17.1 | QB22 | QB22 |
| 2023 | MIA | 17 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | QB9 | QB9 |
| 2022 | MIA | 13 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 18.3 | QB15 | QB15 |
| 2021 | MIA | 13 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | QB26 | QB26 |
| 2020 | MIA | 10 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 | QB31 | QB31 |
Tua Tagovailoa draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other QBs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2020 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #5 |
| Drafted by | Miami Dolphins |
| Height | 6'0" |
| Weight | 217 lb |
Tua Tagovailoa injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | Hip/Thumb | minor | 0 | Appeared on the initial Week 6 injury report with hip and thumb issues but was fully expected to play. |
| 2024 | 17 | Hip Injury | moderate | 2 | He missed the final two games of the 2024 regular season due to a hip injury. |
| 2024 | 2 | Concussion | major | 4 | During a Week 2 game against the Bills, he suffered his third documented NFL concussion and was subsequently placed on injured reserve. |
| 2022 | 16 | Concussion | 3 | Tagovailoa suffered his second diagnosed concussion of the season against the Green Bay Packers and missed the remainder of the regular season and the Dolphins' playoff game. | |
| 2022 | 4 | Concussion | moderate | 2 | Just four days after the controversial Week 3 incident, he was stretchered off the field with a concussion against the Cincinnati Bengals. |
| 2022 | 3 | Back Injury | minor | 0 | After a hit against the Buffalo Bills, Tagovailoa appeared to suffer a head injury but was cleared to return, with the injury being officially listed as a back and ankle issue. |
| 2021 | 9 | Finger Fracture | minor | 1 | A small fracture in the middle finger of his throwing hand kept him out of the Week 9 game against the Houston Texans. |
| 2021 | 2 | Rib Fracture | moderate | 3 | He sustained fractured ribs after a hard hit in the Week 2 game against the Buffalo Bills and was placed on Injured Reserve. |
| 2020 | 12 | Thumb Sprain | minor | 1 | Tagovailoa suffered a thumb sprain on his throwing hand during practice, causing him to miss the Week 12 game against the New York Jets. |
Dynasty assets valued near Tua Tagovailoa
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.