Michael Penix Dynasty Value 2026
Michael Penix dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Michael Penix dynasty outlook
Michael Penix is ranked #147 overall and QB29 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a depth or upside hold at a market value of 786.
He is 26.0 years old — in the long quarterback prime. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Michael's dynasty value (786) runs well ahead of his win-now value (260) — the market is paying for what he becomes, not what he does this season. That is a rebuilder's asset, and a contender's trade chip.
Format matters here: Michael is worth 786 in superflex against 115 in 1QB, a +583.5% difference — the usual superflex quarterback premium. Check which format a comparable trade came from before using it as a price.
The model values Michael +272.6% above the dynasty market, a buy-low signal: his production and age say the price is too low.
In dynasty startup drafts Michael goes at pick 152.8 on average (round 13.09 in a 12-team startup, QB31 by ADP), with a typical range of 111 to 188 across 827 drafts; his startup cost is falling over the last 30 days (-14.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has risen: from an average pick of 171.2 in 2024-02 to 160.8 in 2026-09, across 27 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 13.7 PPR points per game in 2025 over 9 games, up from 9.4 in 2024, finishing QB33.
Drafted round 1, pick 8 by Atlanta Falcons in 2024. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Atlanta Falcons |
| Position | QB |
| Age | 26.0 |
| Experience | 2 yrs |
| Number | #9 |
| Bye week | Week 11 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 786 |
| Superflex rank | #147 · QB29 |
| 1QB value | 115 |
| 1QB rank | #273 · QB29 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 260 |
| Timeline | Rebuild asset |
| Model value | 2,929 |
| Model vs market | +272.6% |
| Signal | Strong Buy |
Run a trade with Michael in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Michael Penix startup draft cost
Drafted in 827 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #154 · QB31 · earliest pick 23, latest 262 · 7-day +21.0, 14-day +13.0. Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Michael Penix dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 51.7 to 181.1.
Michael Penix production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ATL | 9 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 13.7 | QB33 | QB33 |
| 2024 | ATL | 5 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 9.4 | QB45 | QB45 |
Michael Penix draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other QBs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2024 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #8 |
| Drafted by | Atlanta Falcons |
| Height | 6'2" |
| Weight | 216 lb |
Michael Penix injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | Partial ACL Tear | 7 | Suffered a partially torn ACL in his left knee against the Carolina Panthers, which required season-ending surgery. | |
| 2025 | 8 | Bone Bruise | minor | 1 | Missed the Week 8 game against the Miami Dolphins due to a bone bruise in his left knee. |
Dynasty assets valued near Michael Penix
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.