Final2023 Week 4

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills, Week 4 2023

Miami Dolphins

Away

20

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

48

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dolphins776020
Bills141710748

MIA 20BUF 48 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    36.5PPR pts

    21/25, 320 YDS, 4 TD, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Stefon Diggs

    BUF · WR

    36.0PPR pts

    6 REC, 120 YDS, 3 TD

  • Dolphins leader

    De'Von Achane

    MIA · RB

    27.0PPR pts

    8 ATT, 101 YDS, 2 TD, 3 REC, 19 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Micah Hyde

    BUF

    1 INT, 5 TKL

Bills 48, Dolphins 20: Buffalo leads from start to finish

Buffalo led 31–14 at halftime after a 17-point second quarter and outscored Miami 17–6 after the break to win 48–20. The Bills finished with a narrow 414–393 edge in total offense and averaged 7.4 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Dolphins went 3-for-10 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Bills finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 11 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +0.6 yards/play BUF 7.4 · MIA 6.8
  • +2 turnover margin BUF 0 turnovers
  • +21 total yards BUF 414 · MIA 393

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Dolphins vs Bills
DolphinsStatBills
6.8Yards per play7.4
2Turnovers0
393Total yards414
Other team stats
58Plays56
30%Third-down conversion50%
29:38Time of possession30:22

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored six touchdowns and two field goals; the Dolphins scored three touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Dolphins vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayMIABUF
1st quarter
10:41BUFJosh Allen → Gabe Davis, 18-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP07
6:30MIADe'Von Achane 3-yard TD run Ties gameJason Sanders XP77
1:10BUFJames Cook 1-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP714
2nd quarter
12:47MIADe'Von Achane 10-yard TD run Ties gameJason Sanders XP1414
10:02BUFJosh Allen → Stefon Diggs, 11-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP1421
2:58BUFJosh Allen → Stefon Diggs, 55-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP1428
1:39BUFTyler Bass 53-yard FG Extends lead1431
3rd quarter
9:30MIATua Tagovailoa → Braxton Berrios, 11-yard TD2-pt try failed2031
5:21BUFTyler Bass 33-yard FG Extends lead2034
3:00BUFJosh Allen → Stefon Diggs, 13-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP2041
4th quarter
14:55BUFJosh Allen 11-yard TD run Extends leadTyler Bass XP2048

Fantasy Points: Dolphins vs Bills, Week 4 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB36.5 PTSQB1
  2. Stefon DiggsBUFWR36.0 PTSWR2
  3. De'Von AchaneMIARB27.0 PTSRB5
  4. Braxton BerriosMIAWR17.4 PTSWR13

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB36.5QB121/25320404171158.3Start/Sit →
Tua TagovailoaMIAQB15.0QB1825/352821127092.8Start/Sit →
Kyle AllenBUFQB-0.3—————3-30—Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Stefon DiggsBUFWR36.0WR2WR———761203Start/Sit →
De'Von AchaneMIARB27.0RB5RB8101253190
Braxton BerriosMIAWR17.4WR13WR111066431Start/Sit →
Gabe DavisBUFWR15.1WR22WR———33611
James CookBUFRB14.7RB13RB1229111480
Tyreek HillMIAWR10.2WR39WR114053580
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR8.6WR47WR———54460Start/Sit →
Durham SmytheMIATE8.1TE20TE———44410Start/Sit →
Latavius MurrayBUFRB7.6RB32RB432022240
Dalton KincaidBUFTE6.7TE24TE———54270Start/Sit →
Raheem MostertMIARB5.5RB41RB79053360
Trent SherfieldBUFWR3.8WR85WR———32180
Deonte HartyBUFWR3.0WR90WR———22100
Damien HarrisBUFRB2.9RB55RB6290————
Cedrick WilsonMIAWR2.6WR99WR———21160
Dawson KnoxBUFTE2.2TE41TE———11120Start/Sit →
Robbie ChosenMIAWR0.0—WR———1000
Khalil ShakirBUFWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Miami Dolphins

Snap Share

  1. Durham SmytheTE55 snaps85%
  2. Jaylen WaddleWR49 snaps75%
  3. Tyreek HillWR47 snaps72%
  4. De'Von AchaneRB39 snaps60%
  5. Braxton BerriosWR32 snaps49%

Target Share33 targets

  1. Braxton Berrios18%, 6 targets
  2. Raheem Mostert15%, 5 targets
  3. Tyreek Hill15%, 5 targets
  4. Jaylen Waddle15%, 5 targets
  5. De'Von Achane15%, 5 targets
  6. Other21%, 7 targets

Carry Share19 carries

  1. De'Von Achane42%, 8 carries
  2. Raheem Mostert37%, 7 carries
  3. Tua Tagovailoa11%, 2 carries
  4. Tyreek Hill5%, 1 carries
  5. Braxton Berrios5%, 1 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Stefon DiggsWR44 snaps76%
  2. Gabe DavisWR42 snaps72%
  3. Dalton KincaidTE30 snaps52%
  4. Dawson KnoxTE29 snaps50%
  5. Trent SherfieldWR27 snaps47%

Target Share25 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs28%, 7 targets
  2. Dalton Kincaid20%, 5 targets
  3. Trent Sherfield12%, 3 targets
  4. Gabe Davis12%, 3 targets
  5. Latavius Murray8%, 2 targets
  6. Other20%, 5 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. James Cook41%, 12 carries
  2. Damien Harris21%, 6 carries
  3. Latavius Murray14%, 4 carries
  4. Josh Allen14%, 4 carries
  5. Kyle Allen10%, 3 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Durham SmytheMIATE5585%412%0
Stefon DiggsBUFWR4476%728%0
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR4975%515%0
Gabe DavisBUFWR4272%312%0
Tyreek HillMIAWR4772%515%1
De'Von AchaneMIARB3960%515%8
Dalton KincaidBUFTE3052%520%0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE2950%14%0
Braxton BerriosMIAWR3249%618%1
Trent SherfieldBUFWR2747%312%0
Raheem MostertMIARB2843%515%7
James CookBUFRB2340%14%12
Cedrick WilsonMIAWR2335%26%0
Latavius MurrayBUFRB1933%28%4
Robbie ChosenMIAWR1828%13%0
Damien HarrisBUFRB1628%00%6
Khalil ShakirBUFWR1628%14%0
Deonte HartyBUFWR1526%28%0
Quintin MorrisBUFTE1526%00%0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB1017%00%0
Julian HillMIATE1015%00%0
Salvon AhmedMIARB46%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+24.3Stefon Diggs36.0 PTS vs 11.7 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.1Raheem Mostert5.5 PTS vs 12.6 xFP
  • Highest expected volume16.0 xFPTua Tagovailoa15.0 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB15.016.0−1.0100%35 att—35211%00%
De'Von AchaneMIA · RB27.013.3+13.760%42% car—0842%515%
Josh AllenBUF · QB36.513.0+23.586%25 att—25414%00%
Raheem MostertMIA · RB5.512.6−7.143%37% car—0737%515%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR36.011.7+24.376%28% tgt—000%728%
Braxton BerriosMIA · WR17.410.6+6.849%18% tgt—015%618%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB14.79.0+5.740%41% car—01241%14%
Tyreek HillMIA · WR10.29.0+1.272%15% tgt—015%515%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE6.78.3−1.652%20% tgt—000%520%
Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR8.68.3+0.375%15% tgt—000%515%
Durham SmytheMIA · TE8.16.7+1.485%12% tgt—000%412%
Latavius MurrayBUF · RB7.65.8+1.833%14% car—0414%28%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR15.15.0+10.172%12% tgt—000%312%
Trent SherfieldBUF · WR3.85.0−1.247%12% tgt—000%312%
Damien HarrisBUF · RB2.93.7−0.828%21% car—0621%00%
Cedrick Wilson Jr.MIA · WR2.63.3−0.735%6% tgt—000%26%
Deonte HartyBUF · WR3.03.3−0.326%8% tgt—000%28%
Kyle AllenBUF · QB-0.31.8−2.114%0 att—0310%00%
Alec IngoldMIA · RB3.31.7+1.6—3% tgt—000%13%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE2.21.7+0.550%4% tgt—000%14%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR0.01.7−1.728%4% tgt—000%14%
Robbie ChosenMIA · WR0.01.7−1.728%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Dolphins 34 targets and 19 carries; Bills 25 targets and 29 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tua Tagovailoa

MIA · QB · 15.0 pts on 16.0 expected

25 of 35 passing for 282 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 2 carries for 7 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Tua Tagovailoa →

Josh Allen Ran hot

BUF · QB · 36.5 pts on 13.0 expected

21 of 25 passing for 320 yards, 4 touchdowns; 4 carries for 17 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

De'Von Achane Ran hot

MIA · RB · 27.0 pts on 13.3 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 3 catches for 19 yards; 8 carries (42% of the team's) for 101 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Raheem Mostert Unlucky

MIA · RB · 5.5 pts on 12.6 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 3 catches for 36 yards; 7 carries (37% of the team's) for 9 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 12.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stefon Diggs Ran hot

BUF · WR · 36.0 pts on 11.7 expected

7 targets (28% of the team's), 6 catches for 120 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

James Cook III Ran hot

BUF · RB · 14.7 pts on 9.0 expected

1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 48 yards; 12 carries (41% of the team's) for 29 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 9.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Braxton Berrios Ran hot

MIA · WR · 17.4 pts on 10.6 expected

6 targets (18% of the team's), 6 catches for 43 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (5% of the team's) for 11 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Braxton Berrios →

Gabe Davis Ran hot

BUF · WR · 15.1 pts on 5.0 expected

3 targets (12% of the team's), 3 catches for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 5.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Miami Dolphins

  • Stock up: De'Von Achane led the backfield with 60% of the snaps after trailing Raheem Mostert before this game.
  • Stock down: Raheem Mostert lost the backfield lead: 43% of the snaps to De'Von Achane's 60%.
  • Stock down: Robbie Chosen played 28% of the snaps, down from a 58% season average.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock down: James Cook III played 40% of the snaps, down from a 60% season average.
  • Stock down: Dawson Knox played 50% of the snaps, down from a 72% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Dolphins defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toDolphins DBills D
QBs17.914.8
RBs19.220.9
WRs34.129.5
TEs13.210.3

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the third quarter on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 50%, stood at 96% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 11 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +20Allen → Davis, 18-yd TD50% → 70%Q1 10:41
  2. −21Achane 3-yd TD run71% → 50%Q1 6:30
  3. +22Cook 1-yd TD run50% → 72%Q1 1:10
  4. −23Achane 10-yd TD run73% → 50%Q2 12:47
  5. +24Allen → Diggs, 11-yd TD50% → 74%Q2 10:02

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Dolphins vs Bills
Miami DolphinsMeasureBuffalo Bills
58Plays56
67%Pass rate48%
6.4Yds / dropback11.5
7.5Yds / carry3.6
3/10Third downs5/10

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 2 fewer plays but gained 5.1 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • MIA Berrios 18% · Achane 15% · Waddle 15%
  • BUF Diggs 28% · Kincaid 20% · Davis 12%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Dolphins vs Bills
ResultMIABUF
Touchdowns36
Field goals02
Punts32
Turnovers20
Turnovers on downs30

BUF turnover edge: +2

  • The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Bills scored touchdowns on three of their first three drives, then drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to six minutes.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BUFQ1 15:008754:19Touchdown
MIAQ1 10:417774:11Touchdown
BUFQ1 6:3010805:20Touchdown
MIAQ1 1:107703:23Touchdown
BUFQ2 12:475792:45Touchdown
MIAQ2 10:02342:20Punt
BUFQ2 7:424272:14Punt
MIAQ2 5:28381:37Punt
BUFQ2 3:512590:53Touchdown
MIAQ2 2:58370:44Fumble
BUFQ2 2:144-40:35Field goal
MIAQ2 1:39361:32Punt
BUFQ2 0:071-10:07End of half
MIAQ3 15:0011755:30Touchdown
BUFQ3 9:307604:09Field goal
MIAQ3 5:21200:18Interception
BUFQ3 5:034252:03Touchdown
MIAQ3 3:005202:21Downs
BUFQ3 0:392450:44Touchdown
MIAQ4 14:557583:03Downs
BUFQ4 11:52301:43Punt
MIAQ4 10:097594:39Downs
BUFQ4 5:308225:30End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Dolphins vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Dolphins and Bills first met in 1966 and have played 125 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
63–61–1Dolphins lead, 125 meetings since 1966
Postseason
4–1Split 4–1
Largest Dolphins win
45–71970
Largest Bills win
35–02021

Since 2021

9–2 Bills lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, D = Dolphins win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 11 Dolphins at Bills Upcoming
  • Week 17 Bills at Dolphins Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Dolphins vs Bills
DolphinsStatBills
11-6Record11-6
29.2Points per game26.5
401.3Yards per game374.5
6.5Yards per play5.7
23.0Points allowed per game18.3
318.3Yards allowed per game307.2

Dolphins vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 11 in Buffalo and Week 17 in Miami. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Dolphins vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Dolphins vs Bills Week 4 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Miami Dolphins 48–20 in Week 4 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on October 1, 2023. See the Bills' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Dolphins vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 48, Dolphins 20. The Bills led 31–14 at halftime, and the second half went Dolphins 6, Bills 17.

What happened in the Dolphins vs Bills game?

Buffalo led 31–14 at halftime after a 17-point second quarter and outscored Miami 17–6 after the break to win 48–20. The Bills finished with a narrow 414–393 edge in total offense and averaged 7.4 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 21 of 25 passing for 320 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 17 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Dolphins committed 2 turnovers, the Bills none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Dolphins vs Bills?

Josh Allen led the game with 36.5 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 4, on 21 of 25 passing for 320 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 17 rushing yards and a touchdown. Stefon Diggs was next with 36.0 (WR2). See Josh Allen's 2023 game log.

Who led Dolphins vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 21 of 25 for 320 yards and 4 touchdowns. De'Von Achane (MIA) led in rushing with 8 carries for 101 yards and 2 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs (BUF) led in receiving with 6 catches for 120 yards and 3 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Dolphins?

Josh Allen scored 36.5 fantasy points against the Dolphins in Week 4 of the 2023 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 21 of 25 passing for 320 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 17 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Bills?

Stefon Diggs outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 36.0 PPR points on 11.7 xFP (+24.3). Raheem Mostert fell furthest short, with 5.5 points on 12.6 xFP (−7.1). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Bills?

Tua Tagovailoa had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 16.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 15.0. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Dolphins?

The Bills beat the Dolphins 48–20 because they averaged 7.4 yards per play to 6.8, won the turnover battle 2–0, and outgained them 414–393.

Which team won the turnover battle in Dolphins vs Bills?

The Bills won the turnover battle 2–0: the Dolphins gave the ball away 2 times and the Bills not at all. The Bills won the game.

What is the all-time Dolphins vs Bills record?

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 63–61–1 across 125 meetings since 1966, including a 1–4 record in the postseason.

When did the Dolphins and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 4 of 2023, they last met in the 2022 playoffs on January 15, 2023, when the Bills beat the Dolphins 34–31.

Have the Dolphins and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 5 times, most recently in the 2022 playoffs. The Dolphins are 1–4 against the Bills in the postseason.

What is the Dolphins vs Bills record since 2021?

The Bills lead 9–2 across 11 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.