Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins, Week 18 2023
Buffalo Bills
AwayWon
21
Miami Dolphins
Home
14
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 21 |
| Dolphins | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
BUF 21MIA 14 Final
Passing leader
25.1PPR pts
30/38, 359 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
Top fantasy scorer
Tyreek Hill
21.2PPR pts
7 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
Dolphins leader
13.1PPR pts
10 ATT, 56 YDS, 1 TD, 1 REC, 5 REC YDS
Defensive playmaker
Deonte Harty
1 TD
Bills 21, Dolphins 14: Buffalo rallies from 7 down at halftime
Buffalo erased a 14–7 halftime deficit, outscoring Miami 14–0 after the break to win 21–14. The Bills finished with a 473–275 edge in total offense and averaged 6.1 yards per play.
The Dolphins went 4-for-10 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Bills kept the ball for 38:07.
The two teams meet again in Week 11 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +0.4 yards/play BUF 6.1 · MIA 5.7
- +198 total yards BUF 473 · MIA 275
- +20% third-down rate BUF 60% · MIA 40%
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Bills Won
Buffalo won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.
| Bills | Stat | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1 | Yards per play | 5.7 |
| 473 | Total yards | 275 |
| 60% | Third-down conversion | 40% |
| Other team stats | ||
| 77 | Plays | 48 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 38:07 | Time of possession | 21:53 |
Scoring Summary
The Bills scored three touchdowns; the Dolphins scored two touchdowns.
| Time | Team | Play | BUF | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| No scoring | ||||
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 8:51 | MIA | De'Von Achane 25-yard TD run Takes leadJason Sanders XP | 0 | 7 |
| 4:31 | BUF | Josh Allen → Trent Sherfield, 6-yard TD Ties gameTyler Bass XP | 7 | 7 |
| 1:43 | MIA | Tua Tagovailoa → Tyreek Hill, 3-yard TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP | 7 | 14 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| No scoring | ||||
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 13:42 | BUF | Deonte Harty 96-yard punt return TD Ties gameTyler Bass XP | 14 | 14 |
| 7:16 | BUF | Josh Allen → Dawson Knox, 5-yard TD Game winnerTyler Bass XP | 21 | 14 |
Fantasy Points: Bills vs Dolphins, Week 18 2023
Fantasy leaders
- Josh Allen25.1 PTSQB4
- Tyreek Hill21.2 PTSWR10
- Khalil Shakir16.5 PTSWR18
- Stefon Diggs15.7 PTSWR20
Player Stats
Quarterbacks
| Player | FPTS | FIN | CMP/ATT | Pass YDS | TD | INT | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | Rate | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 25.1 | QB4 | 30/38 | 359 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 67 | 0 | 101.6 | Start/Sit → |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 9.6 | QB24 | 17/27 | 173 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 62.7 | Start/Sit → |
WRs, RBs, & TEs
| Player | FPTS | FIN | POS | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | TGT | REC | Rec YDS | Rec TD | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 21.2 | WR10 | WR | — | — | — | 13 | 7 | 82 | 1 | |
| Khalil Shakir | 16.5 | WR18 | WR | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 105 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Stefon Diggs | 15.7 | WR20 | WR | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | 87 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Dalton Kincaid | 15.4 | TE2 | TE | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | 84 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| De'Von Achane | 13.1 | RB21 | RB | 10 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | |
| Trent Sherfield | 11.4 | WR35 | WR | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 24 | 1 | |
| Dawson Knox | 10.2 | TE12 | TE | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 22 | 1 | Start/Sit → |
| James Cook | 8.2 | RB32 | RB | 13 | 36 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 0 | |
| Deonte Harty | 8.2 | WR46 | WR | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | |
| Durham Smythe | 6.0 | TE21 | TE | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Jeff Wilson | 4.5 | RB46 | RB | 9 | 45 | 0 | — | — | — | — | |
| Cedrick Wilson | 3.4 | WR81 | WR | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 | |
| Braxton Berrios | 2.9 | WR88 | WR | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| River Cracraft | 2.8 | WR90 | WR | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | |
| Ty Johnson | 2.4 | RB54 | RB | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Leonard Fournette | 2.0 | RB57 | RB | 7 | 20 | 0 | — | — | — | — | |
| Chase Claypool | 1.3 | WR113 | WR | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Julian Hill | 1.2 | TE57 | TE | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gabe Davis | 0.0 | — | WR | — | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fantasy Usage
Buffalo Bills
Snap Share
Target Share37 targets
- Stefon Diggs22%, 8 targets
- Dalton Kincaid22%, 8 targets
- Khalil Shakir16%, 6 targets
- Trent Sherfield11%, 4 targets
- James Cook11%, 4 targets
- Other19%, 7 targets
Carry Share36 carries
- , 15 carries
- , 13 carries
- , 7 carries
- , 1 carries
Miami Dolphins
Snap Share
Target Share27 targets
- Tyreek Hill48%, 13 targets
- Durham Smythe11%, 3 targets
- Cedrick Wilson11%, 3 targets
- Braxton Berrios7%, 2 targets
- Chase Claypool7%, 2 targets
- Other15%, 4 targets
Carry Share20 carries
- , 10 carries
- , 9 carries
- , 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
| Player | SNAPS | SNAP % | TGT | TGT % | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedrick Wilson | 50 | 96% | 3 | 11% | 0 |
| Stefon Diggs | 69 | 88% | 8 | 22% | 0 |
| Khalil Shakir | 60 | 77% | 6 | 16% | 0 |
| Tyreek Hill | 40 | 77% | 13 | 48% | 0 |
| Durham Smythe | 39 | 75% | 3 | 11% | 0 |
| Trent Sherfield | 55 | 71% | 4 | 11% | 0 |
| De'Von Achane | 33 | 63% | 1 | 4% | 10 |
| James Cook | 48 | 62% | 4 | 11% | 13 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 43 | 55% | 8 | 22% | 0 |
| Jeff Wilson | 25 | 48% | 0 | 0% | 9 |
| Dawson Knox | 37 | 47% | 3 | 8% | 0 |
| Braxton Berrios | 24 | 46% | 2 | 7% | 0 |
| Julian Hill | 17 | 33% | 2 | 7% | 0 |
| Gabe Davis | 18 | 23% | 2 | 5% | 0 |
| Leonard Fournette | 16 | 21% | 0 | 0% | 7 |
| Deonte Harty | 14 | 18% | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| River Cracraft | 9 | 17% | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| Ty Johnson | 13 | 17% | 1 | 3% | 1 |
| Reggie Gilliam | 6 | 8% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Chase Claypool | 4 | 8% | 2 | 7% | 0 |
| Robbie Chosen | 2 | 4% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Quintin Morris | 2 | 3% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+6.5Khalil Shakir16.5 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−6.5James Cook III8.2 PTS vs 14.7 xFP
- Highest expected volume25.2 xFPJosh Allen25.1 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 25.1 | 25.2 | −0.1 | 100% | 38 att | — | 38 | 15 | 42% | 0 | 0% |
| Tyreek HillMIA · WR | 21.2 | 21.7 | −0.5 | 77% | 48% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 13 | 48% |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB | 8.2 | 14.7 | −6.5 | 62% | 36% car | — | 0 | 13 | 36% | 4 | 11% |
| Dalton KincaidBUF · TE | 15.4 | 13.4 | +2.0 | 55% | 22% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8 | 22% |
| Stefon DiggsBUF · WR | 15.7 | 13.4 | +2.3 | 88% | 22% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8 | 22% |
| Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB | 9.6 | 12.0 | −2.4 | 100% | 27 att | — | 27 | 1 | 5% | 0 | 0% |
| Khalil ShakirBUF · WR | 16.5 | 10.0 | +6.5 | 77% | 16% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 16% |
| De'Von AchaneMIA · RB | 13.1 | 7.8 | +5.3 | 63% | 50% car | — | 0 | 10 | 50% | 1 | 4% |
| Trent SherfieldBUF · WR | 11.4 | 6.7 | +4.7 | 71% | 11% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 11% |
| Jeff Wilson Jr.MIA · RB | 4.5 | 5.5 | −1.0 | 48% | 45% car | — | 0 | 9 | 45% | 0 | 0% |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr.MIA · WR | 3.4 | 5.0 | −1.6 | 96% | 11% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 11% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 10.2 | 5.0 | +5.2 | 47% | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 8% |
| Durham SmytheMIA · TE | 6.0 | 5.0 | +1.0 | 75% | 11% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 11% |
| Leonard FournetteBUF · RB | 2.0 | 4.3 | −2.3 | 21% | 19% car | — | 0 | 7 | 19% | 0 | 0% |
| Braxton BerriosMIA · WR | 2.9 | 3.3 | −0.4 | 46% | 7% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% |
| Chase ClaypoolMIA · WR | 1.3 | 3.3 | −2.0 | 8% | 7% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% |
| Gabe DavisBUF · WR | 0.0 | 3.3 | −3.3 | 23% | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 5% |
| Julian HillMIA · TE | 1.2 | 3.3 | −2.1 | 33% | 7% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% |
| Ty JohnsonBUF · RB | 2.4 | 2.3 | +0.1 | 17% | 3% car | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3% |
| Deonte HartyBUF · WR | 2.2 | 1.7 | +0.5 | 18% | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
| River CracraftMIA · WR | 2.8 | 1.7 | +1.1 | 17% | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
Team totals: Bills 37 targets and 36 carries; Dolphins 27 targets and 20 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Josh Allen
30 of 38 passing for 359 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 15 carries for 67 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 25.2 expected.
Tua Tagovailoa
17 of 27 passing for 173 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions; 1 carry for 7 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.0 expected.
Fewest points since Week 14.
James Cook III Unlucky
4 targets (11% of the team's), 3 catches for 16 yards; 13 carries (36% of the team's) for 36 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 14.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Dalton Kincaid
8 targets (22% of the team's), 7 catches for 84 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.4 expected.
Best score since Week 10.
Tyreek Hill Volume, no payoff
13 targets (48% of the team's), 7 catches for 82 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.7 expected.
Best score since Week 13.
De'Von Achane Ran hot
1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 5 yards; 10 carries (50% of the team's) for 56 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 7.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Khalil Shakir Ran hot
6 targets (16% of the team's), 6 catches for 105 yards.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; efficiency supplied the rest.
Best score since Week 11.
Dawson Knox Ran hot
3 targets (8% of the team's), 2 catches for 22 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 5.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best fantasy game of the season.
Stock Up, Stock Down
Buffalo Bills
- Stock up: Khalil Shakir played 77% of the snaps, up from a 50% season average.
- Stock up: Trent Sherfield played 71% of the snaps, up from a 32% season average.
- Stock down: Gabe Davis played 23% of the snaps, down from a 87% season average.
Miami Dolphins
- Stock up: De'Von Achane played 63% of the snaps, up from a 41% season average.
- Stock up: Jeff Wilson Jr. played 48% of the snaps, up from a 20% season average.
- Stock up: Cedrick Wilson Jr. played 96% of the snaps, up from a 55% season average.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Bills D | Dolphins D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 14.8 | 17.9 |
| RBs | 20.9 | 19.2 |
| WRs | 29.5 | 34.1 |
| TEs | 10.3 | 13.2 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Miami opened at 50% win probability, climbed as high as 86%, then lost.
Dolphins win probability
Key Swings
- +24Achane 25-yd TD run50% → 74%Q2 8:51
- −25Allen → Sherfield, 6-yd TD75% → 50%Q2 4:31
- +26Tagovailoa → Hill, 3-yd TD50% → 76%Q2 1:43
- −36Harty 96-yd TD86% → 50%Q4 13:42
- −43Allen → Knox, 5-yd TD50% → 7%Q4 7:16
Swing in Dolphins win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Buffalo Bills | Measure | Miami Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Plays | 48 |
| 53% | Pass rate | 58% |
| 8.4 | Yds / dropback | 6.0 |
| 3.6 | Yds / carry | 5.4 |
| 9/15 | Third downs | 4/10 |
Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 29 more plays and gained 2.4 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- BUF Kincaid 22% · Diggs 22% · Shakir 16%
- MIA Hill 48% · Wilson 11% · Smythe 11%
Possession Results
| Result | BUF | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 2 | 2 |
| Field goals | 0 | 0 |
| Punts | 1 | 5 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers on downs | 1 | 0 |
MIA turnover edge: +1
- The Dolphins opened the scoring on their third possession, a 11-play, 80-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Bills drained the clock with four second-half drives of four to eight minutes.
All 18 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | Q1 15:00 | 5 | 19 | 2:17 | Interception |
| BUF | Q1 12:43 | 12 | 79 | 6:45 | Interception |
| MIA | Q1 5:58 | 6 | 51 | 3:29 | Punt |
| BUF | Q1 2:29 | 6 | 54 | 2:19 | Interception |
| MIA | Q1 0:10 | 11 | 80 | 6:19 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q2 8:51 | 7 | 75 | 4:20 | Touchdown |
| MIA | Q2 4:31 | 9 | 75 | 2:48 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q2 1:43 | 10 | 73 | 1:43 | End of half |
| BUF | Q3 15:00 | 8 | 19 | 5:04 | Punt |
| MIA | Q3 9:56 | 3 | 9 | 2:14 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 7:42 | 13 | 49 | 7:30 | Fumble |
| MIA | Q3 0:12 | 4 | 11 | 1:30 | Punt |
| MIA | Q4 13:42 | 3 | 1 | 1:34 | Punt |
| BUF | Q4 12:08 | 8 | 74 | 4:52 | Touchdown |
| MIA | Q4 7:16 | 3 | 3 | 1:02 | Punt |
| BUF | Q4 6:14 | 11 | 37 | 4:21 | Downs |
| MIA | Q4 1:53 | 4 | 23 | 0:40 | Interception |
| BUF | Q4 1:13 | 2 | -2 | 1:13 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Bills vs Dolphins Head-to-Head
The Bills and Dolphins first met in 1966 and have played 125 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.
- All-time series
- 63–61–1Dolphins lead, 125 meetings since 1966
- Postseason
- 4–1Split 4–1
- Largest Bills win
- 35–02021
- Largest Dolphins win
- 45–71970
Since 2021
9–2 Bills lead
11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, D = Dolphins win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 11 Dolphins at Bills Upcoming
- Week 17 Bills at Dolphins Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 10 Bills at Dolphins, 2025 Wk 10 recap MIA 30 BUF 13 MIA W
- 2025 Wk 3 Dolphins at Bills, 2025 Wk 3 recap BUF 31 MIA 21 BUF W
- 2024 Wk 9 Dolphins at Bills, 2024 Wk 9 recap BUF 30 MIA 27 BUF W
- 2024 Wk 2 Bills at Dolphins, 2024 Wk 2 recap BUF 31 MIA 10 BUF W
- 2023 Wk 18 Bills at Dolphins BUF 21 MIA 14 BUF W
- 2023 Wk 4 Dolphins at Bills, 2023 Wk 4 recap BUF 48 MIA 20 BUF W
- 2022 Wild Card Dolphins at Bills, 2022 Wild Card recap BUF 34 MIA 31 BUF W
- 2022 Wk 15 Dolphins at Bills, 2022 Wk 15 recap BUF 32 MIA 29 BUF W
- 2022 Wk 3 Bills at Dolphins, 2022 Wk 3 recap MIA 21 BUF 19 MIA W
- 2021 Wk 8 Dolphins at Bills, 2021 Wk 8 recap BUF 26 MIA 11 BUF W
- 2021 Wk 2 Bills at Dolphins, 2021 Wk 2 recap BUF 35 MIA 0 BUF W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Bills | Stat | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 11-6 |
| 26.5 | Points per game | 29.2 |
| 374.5 | Yards per game | 401.3 |
| 5.7 | Yards per play | 6.5 |
| 18.3 | Points allowed per game | 23.0 |
| 307.2 | Yards allowed per game | 318.3 |
Bills vs Dolphins Fantasy Outlook for 2026
Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 11 in Buffalo and Week 17 in Miami. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Bills or Dolphins player start in Week 11? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Bills and Dolphins players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Bills and Dolphins defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere these two matchups fall in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Bills vs Dolphins Game FAQ
Who won the 2023 Bills vs Dolphins Week 18 game?
The Buffalo Bills beat the Miami Dolphins 21–14 in Week 18 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, on January 7, 2024. See the Bills' 2023 schedule.
What was the final score of Bills vs Dolphins?
The final score was Bills 21, Dolphins 14. The Dolphins led 14–7 at halftime, and the second half went Bills 14, Dolphins 0.
What happened in the Bills vs Dolphins game?
Buffalo erased a 14–7 halftime deficit, outscoring Miami 14–0 after the break to win 21–14. The Bills finished with a 473–275 edge in total offense and averaged 6.1 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 30 of 38 passing for 359 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 15 carries for 67 rushing yards. The Bills committed 3 turnovers, the Dolphins 2.
What was the game-winning score in Bills vs Dolphins?
Josh Allen's 5-yard touchdown pass to Dawson Knox with 7:16 left in the fourth quarter gave the Bills a 21–14 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.
Who scored the most fantasy points in Bills vs Dolphins?
Josh Allen led the game with 25.1 PPR fantasy points, the QB4 of Week 18, on 30 of 38 passing for 359 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 15 carries for 67 rushing yards. Tyreek Hill was next with 21.2 (WR10). See Josh Allen's 2023 game log.
Who led Bills vs Dolphins in passing, rushing and receiving?
Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 30 of 38 for 359 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Josh Allen (BUF) led in rushing with 15 carries for 67 yards. Khalil Shakir (BUF) led in receiving with 6 catches for 105 yards.
How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Dolphins?
Josh Allen scored 25.1 fantasy points against the Dolphins in Week 18 of the 2023 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 30 of 38 passing for 359 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 15 carries for 67 rushing yards. He handled 42% of his team's carries.
Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Bills vs Dolphins?
Khalil Shakir outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 16.5 PPR points on 10.0 xFP (+6.5). James Cook III fell furthest short, with 8.2 points on 14.7 xFP (−6.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.
Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Bills vs Dolphins?
Josh Allen had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 25.2 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 25.1. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.
How did the Bills come back to beat the Dolphins?
The Bills' chances of winning fell as low as 14% in the fourth quarter. Josh Allen's 5-yard touchdown pass to Dawson Knox in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Josh Allen's 5-yard touchdown pass to Dawson Knox then put them ahead for good.
Which team won the turnover battle in Bills vs Dolphins?
The Dolphins won the turnover battle 3–2: the Bills gave the ball away 3 times and the Dolphins 2 times. The Bills won the game anyway.
What was the turning point of Bills vs Dolphins?
Josh Allen's 5-yard touchdown pass to Dawson Knox with 7:16 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Dolphins' win probability from 50% to 7%.
What is the all-time Bills vs Dolphins record?
The Dolphins lead the all-time series 63–61–1 across 125 meetings since 1966, including a 1–4 record in the postseason.
When did the Bills and Dolphins last play before this game?
Before Week 18 of 2023, they last met in the 2023 season on October 1, 2023, when the Bills beat the Dolphins 48–20.
Have the Bills and Dolphins met in the playoffs?
Yes, 5 times, most recently in the 2022 playoffs. The Bills are 4–1 against the Dolphins in the postseason.