Final2022 Week 15

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills, Week 15 2022

Miami Dolphins

Away

29

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

32

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dolphins31013329
Bills71401132

MIA 29BUF 32 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    35.9PPR pts

    25/40, 304 YDS, 4 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Tyreek Hill

    MIA · WR

    21.9PPR pts

    9 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD

  • Dolphins leader

    Jaylen Waddle

    MIA · WR

    20.4PPR pts

    3 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Zach Sieler

    MIA

    1 SACK, 5 TKL

Bills 32, Dolphins 29: Buffalo rallies in the fourth quarter

Buffalo led 21–13 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 32–29, though Miami took the second half 16–11. The Bills finished with a 446–405 edge in total offense.

The Dolphins went 5-for-14 on third down.

The two teams meet again in Week 11 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +41 total yards BUF 446 · MIA 405
  • +21% third-down rate BUF 57% · MIA 36%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Dolphin or Bill on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the third-down battle.

Team stats comparison, Dolphins vs Bills
DolphinsStatBills
405Total yards446
36%Third-down conversion57%
Other team stats
7.1Yards per play6.3
57Plays71
0Turnovers1
30:07Time of possession29:53

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Dolphins scored three touchdowns and three field goals.

Scoring plays, Dolphins vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayMIABUF
1st quarter
2:59MIAJason Sanders 39-yard FG Takes lead30
1:05BUFJosh Allen → Quintin Morris, 14-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP37
2nd quarter
14:47MIAJason Sanders 21-yard FG67
8:18BUFJosh Allen → Nyheim Hines, 10-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP614
2:59MIASalvon Ahmed 11-yard TD runJason Sanders XP1314
0:00BUFJosh Allen → James Cook, 4-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP1321
3rd quarter
12:48MIATua Tagovailoa → Jaylen Waddle, 67-yard TD2-pt try failed1921
2:30MIATua Tagovailoa → Tyreek Hill, 20-yard TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP2621
4th quarter
11:56MIAJason Sanders 47-yard FG Extends lead2921
9:02BUFJosh Allen → Dawson Knox, 5-yard TD Ties gameJosh Allen 2-pt run2929
0:00BUFTyler Bass 25-yard FG Game winner2932

Fantasy Points: Dolphins vs Bills, Week 15 2022

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB35.9 PTSQB2
  2. Tyreek HillMIAWR21.9 PTSWR8
  3. Dawson KnoxBUFTE21.8 PTSTE3
  4. Jaylen WaddleMIAWR20.4 PTSWR10

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB35.9QB225/403044010770119.2Start/Sit →
Tua TagovailoaMIAQB18.1QB1317/3023420170104.0Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Tyreek HillMIAWR21.9WR8WR———139691
Dawson KnoxBUFTE21.8TE3TE———86981Start/Sit →
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR20.4WR10WR———731141Start/Sit →
Raheem MostertMIARB16.6RB13RB17136021200
James CookBUFRB11.9RB26RB53403251
Stefon DiggsBUFWR10.7WR40WR1-3095600Start/Sit →
Salvon AhmedMIARB10.3RB33RB6431————
Devin SingletaryBUFRB10.0RB35RB1342043280Start/Sit →
Gabe DavisBUFWR9.6WR46WR———64560
Quintin MorrisBUFTE8.4TE18TE———11141Start/Sit →
Nyheim Miller-HinesBUFRB8.0RB40RB———11101
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR4.4WR72WR———52240
Cedrick WilsonMIAWR3.1WR79WR———21210
Cole BeasleyBUFWR1.9WR90WR———1190
Mike GesickiMIATE1.5TE54TE———1150Start/Sit →
Durham SmytheMIATE0.8TE59TE———11-20Start/Sit →
Trent SherfieldMIAWR0.0—WR———1000
Braylon SandersMIAWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Miami Dolphins

Snap Share

  1. Tyreek HillWR49 snaps83%
  2. Raheem MostertRB45 snaps76%
  3. Jaylen WaddleWR41 snaps69%
  4. Durham SmytheTE38 snaps64%
  5. Trent SherfieldWR32 snaps54%

Target Share28 targets

  1. Tyreek Hill46%, 13 targets
  2. Jaylen Waddle25%, 7 targets
  3. Raheem Mostert7%, 2 targets
  4. Cedrick Wilson7%, 2 targets
  5. Mike Gesicki4%, 1 targets
  6. Other11%, 3 targets

Carry Share24 carries

  1. Raheem Mostert71%, 17 carries
  2. Salvon Ahmed25%, 6 carries
  3. Tua Tagovailoa4%, 1 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Gabe DavisWR76 snaps97%
  2. Stefon DiggsWR67 snaps86%
  3. Dawson KnoxTE64 snaps82%
  4. Devin SingletaryRB47 snaps60%
  5. Isaiah McKenzieWR44 snaps56%

Target Share38 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs24%, 9 targets
  2. Dawson Knox21%, 8 targets
  3. Gabe Davis16%, 6 targets
  4. Isaiah McKenzie13%, 5 targets
  5. Devin Singletary11%, 4 targets
  6. Other16%, 6 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. Devin Singletary45%, 13 carries
  2. Josh Allen34%, 10 carries
  3. James Cook17%, 5 carries
  4. Stefon Diggs3%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Gabe DavisBUFWR7697%616%0
Stefon DiggsBUFWR6786%924%1
Tyreek HillMIAWR4983%1346%0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE6482%821%0
Raheem MostertMIARB4576%27%17
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR4169%725%0
Durham SmytheMIATE3864%14%0
Devin SingletaryBUFRB4760%411%13
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR4456%513%0
Trent SherfieldMIAWR3254%14%0
James CookBUFRB2836%38%5
Khalil ShakirBUFWR2228%00%0
Salvon AhmedMIARB1424%00%6
Cedrick WilsonMIAWR1322%27%0
Braylon SandersMIAWR1322%14%0
Mike GesickiMIATE1220%14%0
Quintin MorrisBUFTE1317%13%0
Cole BeasleyBUFWR1114%13%0
Hunter LongMIATE610%00%0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB79%00%0
Nyheim Miller-HinesBUFRB34%13%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh AllenBUF · QB35.923.4+12.5100%40 att—401034%00%
Tyreek HillMIA · WR21.921.7+0.283%43% tgt—000%1343%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR10.715.6−4.986%24% tgt—013%924%
Devin SingletaryBUF · RB10.015.0−5.060%45% car—01345%411%
Raheem MostertMIA · RB16.614.3+2.376%68% car—01768%27%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE21.813.3+8.582%21% tgt—000%821%
Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB18.113.3+4.8100%30 att—3014%00%
Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR20.411.7+8.769%23% tgt—000%723%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR9.610.0−0.497%16% tgt—000%616%
Isaiah McKenzieBUF · WR4.48.3−3.956%13% tgt—000%513%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB11.98.2+3.736%17% car—0517%38%
Alec IngoldMIA · RB1.94.0−2.1—7% tgt—014%27%
Salvon AhmedMIA · RB10.33.9+6.424%24% car—0624%00%
Cedrick Wilson Jr.MIA · WR3.13.3−0.222%7% tgt—000%27%
Braylon SandersMIA · WR0.01.7−1.722%3% tgt—000%13%
Cole BeasleyBUF · WR1.91.7+0.214%3% tgt—000%13%
Durham SmytheMIA · TE0.81.7−0.964%3% tgt—000%13%
Mike GesickiMIA · TE1.51.7−0.220%3% tgt—000%13%
Nyheim HinesBUF · —8.01.7+6.3—3% tgt—000%13%
Quintin MorrisBUF · TE8.41.7+6.717%3% tgt—000%13%
Trent SherfieldMIA · WR0.01.7−1.754%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Dolphins 30 targets and 25 carries; Bills 38 targets and 29 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tua Tagovailoa

MIA · QB · 18.1 pts on 13.3 expected

17 of 30 passing for 234 yards, 2 touchdowns; 1 carry for 7 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Tua Tagovailoa →

Josh Allen Ran hot

BUF · QB · 35.9 pts on 23.4 expected

25 of 40 passing for 304 yards, 4 touchdowns; 10 carries for 77 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 23.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Tyreek Hill Strong role

MIA · WR · 21.9 pts on 21.7 expected

13 targets (43% of the team's), 9 catches for 69 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.7 expected.

Raheem Mostert Strong role

MIA · RB · 16.6 pts on 14.3 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 1 catch for 20 yards; 17 carries (68% of the team's) for 136 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.3 expected.

Stefon Diggs

BUF · WR · 10.7 pts on 15.6 expected

9 targets (24% of the team's), 5 catches for 60 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for -3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

Devin Singletary Unlucky

BUF · RB · 10.0 pts on 15.0 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 3 catches for 28 yards; 13 carries (45% of the team's) for 42 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Devin Singletary →

Dawson Knox Ran hot

BUF · TE · 21.8 pts on 13.3 expected

8 targets (21% of the team's), 6 catches for 98 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Dawson Knox →

Jaylen Waddle Ran hot

MIA · WR · 20.4 pts on 11.7 expected

7 targets (23% of the team's), 3 catches for 114 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jaylen Waddle →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Miami Dolphins

  • Stock up: Raheem Mostert played 76% of the snaps, up from a 58% season average.
  • Stock up: Salvon Ahmed played 24% of the snaps, up from a 8% season average.
  • Stock down: Mike Gesicki played 20% of the snaps, down from a 48% season average.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: James Cook III played 36% of the snaps, up from a 21% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Dolphins defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toDolphins DBills D
QBs19.814.4
RBs22.419.9
WRs30.935.5
TEs14.98.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 70% win probability, fell as low as 9%, then rallied to win.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 70%, stood at 89% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 11 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +21Allen → Morris, 14-yd TD58% → 79%Q1 1:05
  2. −20Ahmed 11-yd TD run88% → 69%Q2 2:59
  3. −37Tagovailoa → Hill, 20-yd TD71% → 34%Q3 2:30
  4. +49Allen → Knox, 5-yd TD9% → 58%Q4 9:02
  5. +50Bass 25-yd FG50% → >99%Q4 0:00

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Dolphins vs Bills
Miami DolphinsMeasureBuffalo Bills
57Plays71
56%Pass rate59%
6.8Yds / dropback7.0
7.5Yds / carry5.2
5/14Third downs8/14

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 14 more plays than Miami.

  • Top targets
  • MIA Hill 43% · Waddle 23% · Ingold 7%
  • BUF Diggs 24% · Knox 21% · Davis 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Dolphins vs Bills
ResultMIABUF
Touchdowns34
Field goals31
Punts45
Turnovers01

MIA turnover edge: +1

  • The Dolphins opened the scoring on their second possession, a 14-play, 52-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Bills scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MIAQ1 15:004121:54Punt
BUFQ1 13:065282:22Punt
MIAQ1 10:4414527:45Field goal
BUFQ1 2:594751:54Touchdown
MIAQ1 1:055721:18Field goal
BUFQ2 14:4712756:29Touchdown
MIAQ2 8:1810755:19Touchdown
BUFQ2 2:5912822:59Touchdown
BUFQ3 15:00361:21Punt
MIAQ3 13:393730:51Touchdown
BUFQ3 12:485272:43Punt
MIAQ3 10:055283:08Punt
BUFQ3 6:57321:28Punt
MIAQ3 5:296502:59Touchdown
BUFQ3 2:305101:39Punt
MIAQ3 0:51371:04Punt
BUFQ4 14:47100:08Fumble
MIAQ4 14:395182:43Field goal
BUFQ4 11:567752:54Touchdown
MIAQ4 9:025323:06Punt
BUFQ4 5:5615865:56Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Dolphins vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Dolphins and Bills first met in 1966 and have played 125 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
63–61–1Dolphins lead, 125 meetings since 1966
Postseason
4–1Split 4–1
Largest Dolphins win
45–71970
Largest Bills win
35–02021

Since 2021

9–2 Bills lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, D = Dolphins win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 11 Dolphins at Bills Upcoming
  • Week 17 Bills at Dolphins Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Dolphins vs Bills
DolphinsStatBills
9-8Record13-3
23.4Points per game28.4
364.5Yards per game397.6
6.1Yards per play6.1
23.5Points allowed per game17.9
337.8Yards allowed per game319.1

Dolphins vs Bills Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
BUF −7Bills failed to cover by 4
Total
44.5Over: 61 points scored (by 16.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Bills25.832+6.3
Dolphins18.829+10.3

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 4 meetings: Dolphins 2–1–1 ATS, unders 3–1.

Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Miami Dolphins

Against the spread
7–7
Over/under
7–7
ATS as favorite
4–4
ATS as underdog
3–3
ATS on the road
3–5

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread
6–8
Over/under
4–10
ATS as favorite
6–8
ATS at home
3–4

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Dolphins vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 11 in Buffalo and Week 17 in Miami. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Dolphins vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2022 Dolphins vs Bills Week 15 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Miami Dolphins 32–29 in Week 15 of the 2022 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on December 17, 2022. See the Bills' 2022 schedule.

What was the final score of Dolphins vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 32, Dolphins 29. The Bills led 21–13 at halftime, and the second half went Dolphins 16, Bills 11.

What happened in the Dolphins vs Bills game?

Buffalo led 21–13 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 32–29, though Miami took the second half 16–11. The Bills finished with a 446–405 edge in total offense. Josh Allen led all players with 25 of 40 passing for 304 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 10 carries for 77 rushing yards. The Bills committed 1 turnover, the Dolphins none.

What was the game-winning score in Dolphins vs Bills?

Tyler Bass' 25-yard field goal with 0:00 left in the fourth quarter gave the Bills a 32–29 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Dolphins vs Bills?

Josh Allen led the game with 35.9 PPR fantasy points, the QB2 of Week 15, on 25 of 40 passing for 304 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 10 carries for 77 rushing yards. Tyreek Hill was next with 21.9 (WR8). See Josh Allen's 2022 game log.

Who led Dolphins vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 25 of 40 for 304 yards and 4 touchdowns. Raheem Mostert (MIA) led in rushing with 17 carries for 136 yards. Jaylen Waddle (MIA) led in receiving with 3 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Dolphins?

Josh Allen scored 35.9 fantasy points against the Dolphins in Week 15 of the 2022 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 25 of 40 passing for 304 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 10 carries for 77 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Bills?

Josh Allen outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 35.9 PPR points on 23.4 xFP (+12.5). Devin Singletary fell furthest short, with 10.0 points on 15.0 xFP (−5.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Bills come back to beat the Dolphins?

The Bills' chances of winning fell as low as 9% in the fourth quarter. Tyler Bass' 25-yard field goal in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Tyler Bass' 25-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Dolphins vs Bills record?

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 63–61–1 across 125 meetings since 1966, including a 1–4 record in the postseason.

When did the Dolphins and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2022, they last met in the 2022 season on September 25, 2022, when the Dolphins beat the Bills 21–19.

Have the Dolphins and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 5 times, most recently in the 2022 playoffs. The Dolphins are 1–4 against the Bills in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Dolphins vs Bills?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −7, making the Buffalo Bills 7-point favorites, with a closing total of 44.5. That implied about 25.8 points for the Bills and 18.8 for the Dolphins.

Did Dolphins vs Bills go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 44.5, and the teams combined for 61 points, 16.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Dolphins vs Bills?

The Dolphins covered as 7-point underdogs against the closing line of Bills −7. The final margin was 3 points.