Final2025 Week 5

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills, Week 5 2025

New England Patriots

AwayWon

23

Buffalo Bills

Home

20

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Patriots3371023
Bills0371020

NE 23BUF 20 Final

  • Passing leader

    Drake Maye

    NE · QB

    12.1PPR pts

    22/30, 273 YDS

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Stefon Diggs

    NE · WR

    24.6PPR pts

    10 REC, 146 YDS

  • Bills leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    20.4PPR pts

    22/31, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Defensive playmaker

    Marcus Jones

    NE

    1 INT, 6 TKL

Patriots 23, Bills 20: New England holds off Buffalo

New England led 6–3 at halftime to win 23–20. Buffalo outgained the Patriots 363–338.

The Bills went 5-for-9 on third down and committed three turnovers.

The two teams meet again in Week 4 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +2 turnover margin NE 1 · BUF 3 turnovers

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Patriot or Bill on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

Connect your league

Works with Sleeper, ESPN and Fleaflicker. No password needed.

Why the Patriots Won

New England won the turnover battle.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Bills
PatriotsStatBills
1Turnovers3
Other team stats
338Total yards363
6.0Yards per play6.0
56Plays61
33%Third-down conversion56%
25:29Time of possession34:31

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored two touchdowns and three field goals; the Bills scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayNEBUF
1st quarter
0:56NEAndy Borregales 30-yard FG Takes lead30
2nd quarter
9:34BUFMatt Prater 31-yard FG Ties game33
0:00NEAndy Borregales 19-yard FG Takes lead63
3rd quarter
9:21BUFJosh Allen → Curtis Samuel, 6-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP610
6:34NERhamondre Stevenson 4-yard TD run Takes leadAndy Borregales XP1310
4th quarter
12:10NERhamondre Stevenson 7-yard TD run Extends leadAndy Borregales XP2010
7:37BUFJosh Allen → Keon Coleman, 2-yard TDMatt Prater XP2017
2:17BUFMatt Prater 45-yard FG Ties game2020
0:15NEAndy Borregales 52-yard FG Game winner2320

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Bills, Week 5 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Stefon DiggsNEWR24.6 PTSWR4
  2. Josh AllenBUFQB20.4 PTSQB12
  3. Dalton KincaidBUFTE16.8 PTSTE10
  4. Rhamondre StevensonNERB14.7 PTSRB18

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Drake MayeNEQB12.1QB2522/30273003120101.1Start/Sit →
Josh AllenBUFQB20.4QB1222/31253219530103.3Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Stefon DiggsNEWR24.6WR4WR———12101460Start/Sit →
Dalton KincaidBUFTE16.8TE10TE———661080Start/Sit →
Rhamondre StevensonNERB14.7RB18RB714222130Start/Sit →
Khalil ShakirBUFWR11.0WR39WR15096450Start/Sit →
Curtis SamuelBUFWR10.6WR41WR———22261
Keon ColemanBUFWR10.3WR43WR———74231Start/Sit →
Kayshon BoutteNEWR7.3WR56WR———33430Start/Sit →
Hunter HenryNETE6.6TE27TE———42460Start/Sit →
Joshua PalmerBUFWR5.6WR66WR———22360Start/Sit →
James CookBUFRB4.9RB42RB154901000
TreVeyon HendersonNERB4.7RB43RB62403230Start/Sit →
DeMario DouglasNEWR3.7WR76WR———32170Start/Sit →
Antonio GibsonNERB3.6RB45RB62101150
Dawson KnoxBUFTE3.5TE38TE———22150Start/Sit →
Ty JohnsonBUFRB1.0RB66RB2100————Start/Sit →
Ray DavisBUFRB0.1RB70RB210————Start/Sit →
Tyrell ShaversBUFWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. Hunter HenryTE52 snaps87%
  2. Kayshon BoutteWR37 snaps62%
  3. Mack HollinsWR35 snaps58%
  4. Austin HooperTE34 snaps57%
  5. Rhamondre StevensonRB31 snaps52%

Target Share28 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs43%, 12 targets
  2. Hunter Henry14%, 4 targets
  3. DeMario Douglas11%, 3 targets
  4. Kayshon Boutte11%, 3 targets
  5. TreVeyon Henderson11%, 3 targets
  6. Other11%, 3 targets

Carry Share22 carries

  1. Rhamondre Stevenson32%, 7 carries
  2. Antonio Gibson27%, 6 carries
  3. TreVeyon Henderson27%, 6 carries
  4. Drake Maye14%, 3 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. James CookRB49 snaps72%
  2. Khalil ShakirWR43 snaps63%
  3. Keon ColemanWR42 snaps62%
  4. Dawson KnoxTE38 snaps56%
  5. Dalton KincaidTE37 snaps54%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Khalil Shakir30%, 9 targets
  2. Keon Coleman23%, 7 targets
  3. Dalton Kincaid20%, 6 targets
  4. Curtis Samuel7%, 2 targets
  5. Dawson Knox7%, 2 targets
  6. Other13%, 4 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. James Cook52%, 15 carries
  2. Josh Allen31%, 9 carries
  3. Ty Johnson7%, 2 carries
  4. Ray Davis7%, 2 carries
  5. Khalil Shakir3%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Hunter HenryNETE5287%414%0
James CookBUFRB4972%13%15
Khalil ShakirBUFWR4363%930%1
Keon ColemanBUFWR4262%723%0
Kayshon BoutteNEWR3762%311%0
Mack HollinsNEWR3558%00%0
Austin HooperNETE3457%00%0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE3856%27%0
Dalton KincaidBUFTE3754%620%0
Rhamondre StevensonNERB3152%27%7
Joshua PalmerBUFWR3551%27%0
Stefon DiggsNEWR3050%1243%0
TreVeyon HendersonNERB3050%311%6
Curtis SamuelBUFWR3349%27%0
Jackson HawesBUFTE2029%00%0
DeMario DouglasNEWR1728%311%0
Tyrell ShaversBUFWR1725%13%0
Jack WestoverNETE1423%00%0
Ty JohnsonBUFRB1218%00%2
Kyle WilliamsNEWR1017%00%0
Antonio GibsonNERB915%14%6
Reggie GilliamBUFRB812%00%0
Ray DavisBUFRB69%00%2

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+7.2Curtis Samuel10.6 PTS vs 3.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−6.5James Cook III4.9 PTS vs 11.4 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.5 xFPStefon Diggs24.6 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Stefon DiggsNE · WR24.620.5+4.150%43% tgt—000%1243%
Josh AllenBUF · QB20.419.6+0.8100%31 att—31931%00%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR11.016.0−5.063%30% tgt—013%930%
Drake MayeNE · QB12.115.3−3.2100%30 att—30314%00%
Keon ColemanBUF · WR10.311.9−1.662%23% tgt—000%723%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB4.911.4−6.572%52% car—01552%13%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE16.810.2+6.654%20% tgt—000%620%
TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB4.79.0−4.350%27% car—0627%311%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB14.77.9+6.852%32% car—0732%27%
Hunter HenryNE · TE6.66.8−0.287%14% tgt—000%414%
Antonio GibsonNE · RB3.65.6−2.015%27% car—0627%14%
DeMario DouglasNE · WR3.75.1−1.428%11% tgt—000%311%
Kayshon BoutteNE · WR7.35.1+2.262%11% tgt—000%311%
Curtis SamuelBUF · WR10.63.4+7.249%7% tgt—000%27%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE3.53.4+0.156%7% tgt—000%27%
Joshua PalmerBUF · WR5.63.4+2.251%7% tgt—000%27%
Tyrell ShaversBUF · WR0.01.7−1.725%3% tgt—000%13%
Ray DavisBUF · RB0.11.3−1.29%7% car—027%00%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB1.01.3−0.318%7% car—027%00%

Team totals: Patriots 28 targets and 22 carries; Bills 30 targets and 29 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Drake Maye

NE · QB · 12.1 pts on 15.3 expected

22 of 30 passing for 273 yards; 3 carries for 12 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Drake Maye →

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · 20.4 pts on 19.6 expected

22 of 31 passing for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 9 carries for 53 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Stefon Diggs Strong role

NE · WR · 24.6 pts on 20.5 expected

12 targets (43% of the team's), 10 catches for 146 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

TreVeyon Henderson

NE · RB · 4.7 pts on 9.0 expected

3 targets (11% of the team's), 2 catches for 3 yards; 6 carries (27% of the team's) for 24 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 9.0 expected.

Start/Sit: TreVeyon Henderson →

Khalil Shakir Volume, no payoff

BUF · WR · 11.0 pts on 16.0 expected

9 targets (30% of the team's), 6 catches for 45 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 5 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Khalil Shakir →

Keon Coleman

BUF · WR · 10.3 pts on 11.9 expected

7 targets (23% of the team's), 4 catches for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Keon Coleman →

James Cook III Unlucky

BUF · RB · 4.9 pts on 11.4 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 15 carries (52% of the team's) for 49 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Dalton Kincaid Ran hot

BUF · TE · 16.8 pts on 10.2 expected

6 targets (20% of the team's), 6 catches for 108 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.2 points; efficiency supplied the rest.

Start/Sit: Dalton Kincaid →

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toPatriots DBills D
QBs15.213.6
RBs19.024.4
WRs28.625.9
TEs13.87.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 50%, stood at 38% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +32Allen → Samuel, 6-yd TD36% → 68%Q3 9:21
  2. −33Stevenson 4-yd TD run69% → 36%Q3 6:34
  3. −26Stevenson 7-yd TD run31% → 5%Q4 12:10
  4. +37Prater 45-yd FG13% → 50%Q4 2:17
  5. −50Borregales 52-yd FG50% → <1%Q4 0:15

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Bills
New England PatriotsMeasureBuffalo Bills
56Plays61
61%Pass rate52%
7.9Yds / dropback7.7
3.2Yds / carry4.1
3/9Third downs5/9

Efficiency edge New England ran 5 fewer plays than Buffalo.

  • Top targets
  • NE Diggs 43% · Henry 14% · Douglas 11%
  • BUF Shakir 30% · Coleman 23% · Kincaid 20%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Bills
ResultNEBUF
Touchdowns22
Field goals32
Punts42
Turnovers13

NE turnover edge: +2

  • The Patriots opened the scoring on their fourth possession, a 4-play, -1-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:004162:42Punt
BUFQ1 12:186333:57Fumble
NEQ1 8:21170:10Fumble
BUFQ1 8:114201:54Punt
NEQ1 6:178304:00Punt
BUFQ1 2:171-50:33Fumble
NEQ1 1:444-10:48Field goal
BUFQ1 0:5611546:22Field goal
NEQ2 9:345203:10Punt
BUFQ2 6:245174:02Punt
NEQ2 2:2211692:22Field goal
BUFQ3 15:0010715:39Touchdown
NEQ3 9:215742:47Touchdown
BUFQ3 6:347523:41Interception
NEQ3 2:5311905:43Touchdown
BUFQ4 12:108744:33Touchdown
NEQ4 7:37331:45Punt
BUFQ4 5:5210533:35Field goal
NEQ4 2:177372:02Field goal
BUFQ4 0:151130:15End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 133 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
80–52–1Patriots lead, 133 meetings since 1960
Postseason
1–1Patriots won in 1963; Bills won in 2021
Largest Patriots win
56–102007
Largest Bills win
45–101970

Since 2021

7–4 Bills lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 4 Patriots at Bills Upcoming
  • Week 13 Bills at Patriots Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Bills
PatriotsStatBills
14-3Record12-5
28.8Points per game28.3
379.4Yards per game376.3
6.2Yards per play5.9
18.8Points allowed per game21.5
295.2Yards allowed per game293.1

Patriots vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 4 in Buffalo and Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Patriots vs Bills Week 5 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 23–20 in Week 5 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on October 5, 2025. See the Patriots' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Bills?

The final score was Patriots 23, Bills 20. The Patriots led 6–3 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 17, Bills 17.

What happened in the Patriots vs Bills game?

New England led 6–3 at halftime to win 23–20. Buffalo outgained the Patriots 363–338. Stefon Diggs led all players with 10 catches for 146 yards. The Bills committed 3 turnovers, the Patriots 1.

What was the game-winning score in Patriots vs Bills?

Andy Borregales' 52-yard field goal with 0:15 left in the fourth quarter gave the Patriots a 23–20 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Stefon Diggs led the game with 24.6 PPR fantasy points, the WR4 of Week 5, on 10 catches for 146 yards. Josh Allen was next with 20.4 (QB12). See Stefon Diggs's 2025 game log.

Who led Patriots vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Drake Maye (NE) led all passers with 22 of 30 for 273 yards. Josh Allen (BUF) led in rushing with 9 carries for 53 yards. Stefon Diggs (NE) led in receiving with 10 catches for 146 yards.

How many fantasy points did Stefon Diggs score against the Bills?

Stefon Diggs scored 24.6 points in PPR leagues, 19.6 in half-PPR and 14.6 in standard scoring against the Bills in Week 5 of the 2025 season, on 10 catches for 146 yards. He drew 43% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Curtis Samuel outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 10.6 PPR points on 3.4 xFP (+7.2). James Cook III fell furthest short, with 4.9 points on 11.4 xFP (−6.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Stefon Diggs had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.5 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 24.6. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Patriots beat the Bills?

The Patriots beat the Bills 23–20 because they won the turnover battle 3–1. Andy Borregales' 52-yard field goal put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Patriots vs Bills?

The Patriots won the turnover battle 3–1: the Bills gave the ball away 3 times and the Patriots 1 time. The Patriots won the game.

What was the turning point of Patriots vs Bills?

Andy Borregales' 52-yard field goal with 0:15 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 50% to <1%.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Bills record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 80–52–1 across 133 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Patriots and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 5 of 2025, they last met in the 2024 season on January 5, 2025, when the Patriots beat the Bills 23–16.

Have the Patriots and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Patriots are 1–1 against the Bills in the postseason.