Final2025 NFC Wild Card

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams

AwayWon, advanced

34

Carolina Panthers

Home

31

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rams71031434
Panthers01431431

LAR 34CAR 31 Final

  • Passing leader

    Matthew Stafford

    LAR · QB

    23.2PPR pts

    24/42, 304 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Puka Nacua

    LAR · WR

    34.5PPR pts

    10 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD, 1 RUSH TD

  • Panthers leader

    Jalen Coker

    CAR · WR

    28.4PPR pts

    9 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Mike Jackson

    CAR

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Rams 34, Panthers 31: Los Angeles holds off Carolina in the 2025 Wild Card

Los Angeles led 17–14 at halftime to win 34–31. The Rams finished with a 411–333 edge in total offense and averaged 5.7 yards per play.

The Panthers went 5-for-12 on third down and committed two turnovers.

The Rams' run ended in the Conference Championship, a 31–27 loss to the Seahawks.

Key advantages

  • +0.5 yards/play LAR 5.7 · CAR 5.2
  • +1 turnover margin LAR 1 · CAR 2 turnovers
  • +78 total yards LAR 411 · CAR 333

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Rams Won

Los Angeles won the efficiency, turnover, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Rams vs Panthers
RamsStatPanthers
5.7Yards per play5.2
1Turnovers2
411Total yards333
Other team stats
72Plays64
23%Third-down conversion42%
31:46Time of possession28:14

Scoring Summary

The Rams scored four touchdowns and two field goals; the Panthers scored four touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Rams vs Panthers
TimeTeamPlayLARCAR
1st quarter
11:35LARMatthew Stafford → Puka Nacua, 14-yard TD Takes leadHarrison Mevis XP70
2nd quarter
12:16LARPuka Nacua 5-yard TD run Extends leadHarrison Mevis XP140
8:53CARChuba Hubbard 1-yard TD runRyan Fitzgerald XP147
5:24LARHarrison Mevis 46-yard FG Extends lead177
0:37CARBryce Young 16-yard TD runRyan Fitzgerald XP1714
3rd quarter
7:29CARRyan Fitzgerald 46-yard FG Ties game1717
4:17LARHarrison Mevis 42-yard FG Takes lead2017
4th quarter
14:34CARChuba Hubbard 3-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Fitzgerald XP2024
8:47LARMatthew Stafford → Kyren Williams, 13-yard TD Takes leadHarrison Mevis XP2724
2:39CARBryce Young → Jalen Coker, 7-yard TD Takes leadRyan Fitzgerald XP2731
0:38LARMatthew Stafford → Colby Parkinson, 19-yard TD Game winnerHarrison Mevis XP3431

Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+7.9Jalen Coker28.4 PTS vs 20.5 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−10.0Davante Adams12.2 PTS vs 22.2 xFP
  • Highest expected volume32.6 xFPPuka Nacua34.5 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Puka NacuaLAR · WR34.532.6+1.9—43% tgt—0310%1843%
Davante AdamsLAR · WR12.222.2−10.0—31% tgt—000%1331%
Jalen CokerCAR · WR28.420.5+7.9—32% tgt—000%1232%
Matthew StaffordLAR · QB23.219.9+3.3—42 att—4227%00%
Bryce YoungCAR · QB22.019.7+2.3—40 att—40314%00%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB19.915.2+4.7—59% car—01359%411%
Tetairoa McMillanCAR · WR13.111.9+1.2—19% tgt—000%719%
Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB15.511.8+3.7—45% car—01345%25%
Blake CorumLAR · RB7.810.5−2.7—38% car—01138%25%
Xavier LegetteCAR · WR1.86.8−5.0—11% tgt—000%411%
Rico DowdleCAR · RB2.56.6−4.1—23% car—0523%25%
Colby ParkinsonLAR · TE11.45.1+6.3—7% tgt—000%37%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE5.25.1+0.1—8% tgt—000%38%
Tyler HigbeeLAR · TE6.55.1+1.4—7% tgt—000%37%
Jimmy Horn Jr.CAR · WR0.03.4−3.4—5% tgt—000%25%
Brycen TremayneCAR · WR0.01.7−1.7—3% tgt—000%13%
James MitchellCAR · TE0.01.7−1.7—3% tgt—000%13%
Konata MumpfieldLAR · WR2.11.7+0.4—2% tgt—000%12%
Mitchell EvansCAR · TE0.01.7−1.7—3% tgt—000%13%
Trevor EtienneCAR · RB-1.60.6−2.2—5% car—015%00%

Team totals: Rams 42 targets and 29 carries; Panthers 37 targets and 22 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Matthew Stafford

LAR · QB · 23.2 pts on 19.9 expected

24 of 42 passing for 304 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception; 2 carries for 0 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Matthew Stafford →

Bryce Young

CAR · QB · 22.0 pts on 19.7 expected

21 of 40 passing for 264 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 3 carries for 24 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Bryce Young →

Puka Nacua Strong role

LAR · WR · 34.5 pts on 32.6 expected

18 targets (43% of the team's), 10 catches for 111 yards and 1 touchdown; 3 carries (10% of the team's) for 14 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 32.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Puka Nacua →

Davante Adams Volume, no payoff

LAR · WR · 12.2 pts on 22.2 expected

13 targets (31% of the team's), 5 catches for 72 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 22.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Davante Adams →

Jalen Coker Ran hot

CAR · WR · 28.4 pts on 20.5 expected

12 targets (32% of the team's), 9 catches for 134 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jalen Coker →

Chuba Hubbard

CAR · RB · 19.9 pts on 15.2 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 2 catches for 13 yards; 13 carries (59% of the team's) for 46 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Chuba Hubbard →

Xavier Legette Unlucky

CAR · WR · 1.8 pts on 6.8 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 1 catch for 8 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 6.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Xavier Legette →

Colby Parkinson Ran hot

LAR · TE · 11.4 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 34 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 5.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Colby Parkinson →

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Rams defense and Panthers defense
Points allowed toRams DPanthers D
QBs15.914.7
RBs17.423.5
WRs32.727.1
TEs13.013.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Carolina opened at 23% win probability, climbed as high as >99%, then lost.

Panthers win probability

Panthers win probability by game minutePanthers started at 23%, stood at 20% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 11 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +14Young 16-yd TD run6% → 20%Q2 0:37
  2. +39Hubbard 3-yd TD run21% → 59%Q4 14:34
  3. −49Stafford → Williams, 13-yd TD69% → 19%Q4 8:47
  4. +78Young → Coker, 7-yd TD11% → 90%Q4 2:39
  5. −98Stafford → Parkinson, 19-yd TD>99% → 1%Q4 0:38

Swing in Panthers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Rams vs Panthers
Los Angeles RamsMeasureCarolina Panthers
72Plays64
60%Pass rate66%
6.9Yds / dropback6.0
4.0Yds / carry3.8
3/13Third downs5/12

Efficiency edge Los Angeles ran 8 more plays and gained 0.9 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • LAR Nacua 43% · Adams 31% · Parkinson 7%
  • CAR Coker 32% · McMillan 19% · Hubbard 11%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Rams vs Panthers
ResultLARCAR
Touchdowns44
Field goals21
Punts53
Turnovers11
Turnovers on downs13
  • The Rams opened the scoring on their first possession, a 4-play, 45-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Rams scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.
All 27 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
CARQ1 15:00491:34Downs
LARQ1 13:264451:51Touchdown
CARQ1 11:355132:10Punt
LARQ1 9:255243:42Punt
CARQ1 5:438374:26Interception
LARQ1 1:177484:01Touchdown
CARQ2 12:167653:23Touchdown
LARQ2 8:536373:29Field goal
CARQ2 5:24381:43Punt
LARQ2 3:41340:57Punt
LARQ2 2:446221:13Downs
CARQ2 1:315810:54Touchdown
LARQ2 0:374140:29Punt
CARQ2 0:081-10:08End of half
LARQ3 15:00300:23Punt
CARQ3 14:3713597:08Field goal
LARQ3 7:299463:12Field goal
CARQ3 4:17461:31Downs
LARQ3 2:463-31:32Interception
CARQ3 1:144621:40Touchdown
LARQ4 14:3411675:47Touchdown
CARQ4 8:473-31:33Punt
LARQ4 7:145233:02Punt
CARQ4 4:124301:33Touchdown
LARQ4 2:397712:01Touchdown
CARQ4 0:38400:31Downs
LARQ4 0:071-20:07End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Rams vs Panthers Head-to-Head

The Rams and Panthers first met in 1995 and have played 25 times since.

All-time series
14–11Panthers lead, 25 meetings since 1995
Postseason
1–1Rams won in 2025; Panthers won in 2003
Largest Rams win
48–142001
Largest Panthers win
45–131996

Since 2021

2–1 Rams lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. R = Rams win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Rams vs Panthers
RamsStatPanthers
12-5Record8-9
30.5Points per game18.3
394.6Yards per game295.6
6.2Yards per play5.0
20.4Points allowed per game22.4
327.5Yards allowed per game327.2

Rams vs Panthers Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
LAR −10Rams failed to cover by 7
Total
44.5Over: 65 points scored (by 20.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Rams27.334+6.8
Panthers17.331+13.8

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 3 meetings: Panthers 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Los Angeles Rams

Against the spread
4–3
Over/under
7–0
ATS as favorite
3–3
ATS as underdog
1–0
ATS on the road
2–3

Carolina Panthers

Against the spread
4–3
Over/under
2–5
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS as underdog
4–2
ATS at home
3–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Rams and Panthers in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Ram or a Panther, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Rams vs Panthers Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Rams vs Panthers Wild Card game?

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Carolina Panthers 34–31 in the Wild Card round of the 2025 playoffs. The game was played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC, on January 10, 2026. See the Rams' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Rams vs Panthers?

The final score was Rams 34, Panthers 31. The Rams led 17–14 at halftime, and the second half went Rams 17, Panthers 17.

What happened in the Rams vs Panthers game?

Los Angeles led 17–14 at halftime to win 34–31. The Rams finished with a 411–333 edge in total offense and averaged 5.7 yards per play. The Panthers committed 2 turnovers, the Rams 1.

What was the game-winning score in Rams vs Panthers?

Matthew Stafford's 19-yard touchdown pass to Colby Parkinson with 0:38 left in the fourth quarter gave the Rams a 34–31 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

How did the Rams come back to beat the Panthers?

The Rams' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in the fourth quarter. Matthew Stafford's 19-yard touchdown pass to Colby Parkinson in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Matthew Stafford's 19-yard touchdown pass to Colby Parkinson then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Rams vs Panthers?

The Rams won the turnover battle 2–1: the Panthers gave the ball away 2 times and the Rams 1 time. The Rams won the game.

What was the turning point of Rams vs Panthers?

Matthew Stafford's 19-yard touchdown pass to Colby Parkinson with 0:38 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Panthers' win probability from >99% to 1%.

What is the all-time Rams vs Panthers record?

The Panthers lead the all-time series 14–11 across 25 meetings since 1995, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Rams and Panthers last play before this game?

Before the 2025 Wild Card round, they last met in the 2025 season on November 30, 2025, when the Panthers beat the Rams 31–28.

Have the Rams and Panthers met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2025 playoffs. The Rams are 1–1 against the Panthers in the postseason.

What is the Rams vs Panthers record since 2021?

The Rams lead 2–1 across 3 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.

What was the closing spread for Rams vs Panthers?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Rams −10, making the Los Angeles Rams 10-point favorites, with a closing total of 44.5. That implied about 27.3 points for the Rams and 17.3 for the Panthers.

Did Rams vs Panthers go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 44.5, and the teams combined for 65 points, 20.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Rams vs Panthers?

The Panthers covered as 10-point underdogs against the closing line of Rams −10. The final margin was 3 points.