Final2025 Week 18

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 18 2025

Carolina Panthers

Away

14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HomeWon

16

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panthers070714
Buccaneers1030316

CAR 14TB 16 Final

  • Passing leader

    Bryce Young

    CAR · QB

    17.5PPR pts

    24/35, 266 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Cade Otton

    TB · TE

    22.4PPR pts

    7 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD

  • Panthers leader

    Jalen Coker

    CAR · WR

    16.7PPR pts

    6 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Christian Rozeboom

    CAR

    1 INT, 8 TKL

Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14: Tampa Bay holds off Carolina

Tampa Bay led 13–7 at halftime and won 16–14, though Carolina took the second half 7–3. The Buccaneers finished with a 338–285 edge in total offense.

The Panthers went 1-for-8 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 37:25.

The two teams meet again in Week 7 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +2 turnover margin TB 1 · CAR 3 turnovers
  • +53 total yards TB 338 · CAR 285
  • +40% third-down rate TB 53% · CAR 13%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Panther or Buccaneer on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
3Turnovers1
285Total yards338
13%Third-down conversion53%
Other team stats
5.8Yards per play5.1
49Plays66
22:35Time of possession37:25

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored one touchdown and three field goals; the Panthers scored two touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayCARTB
1st quarter
9:31TBBaker Mayfield → Cade Otton, 18-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP07
1:57TBChase McLaughlin 29-yard FG Extends lead010
2nd quarter
10:50CARBryce Young → Tommy Tremble, 8-yard TDRyan Fitzgerald XP710
0:02TBChase McLaughlin 36-yard FG Extends lead713
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
14:12TBChase McLaughlin 48-yard FG Extends lead716
2:27CARBryce Young → Jalen Coker, 8-yard TDRyan Fitzgerald XP1416

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Buccaneers, Week 18 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Cade OttonTBTE22.4 PTSTE2
  2. Bryce YoungCARQB17.5 PTSQB11
  3. Jalen CokerCARWR16.7 PTSWR12
  4. Baker MayfieldTBQB14.2 PTSQB17

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Bryce YoungCARQB17.5QB1124/35266212-1098.0Start/Sit →
Baker MayfieldTBQB14.2QB1716/2220311431097.3Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Cade OttonTBTE22.4TE2TE———97941Start/Sit →
Jalen CokerCARWR16.7WR12WR———76471Start/Sit →
Tommy TrembleCARTE12.8TE7TE———43381Start/Sit →
Bucky IrvingTBRB10.8RB21RB2685021130Start/Sit →
Tetairoa McMillanCARWR10.5WR24WR———64850Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB6.1RB43RB723022180Start/Sit →
Mike EvansTBWR5.4WR51WR———22340Start/Sit →
Xavier LegetteCARWR5.2WR54WR———43220Start/Sit →
Brycen TremayneCARWR4.7WR60WR———22270Start/Sit →
Chuba HubbardCARRB3.7RB57RB51002270Start/Sit →
Tez JohnsonTBWR3.2WR72WR15011170Start/Sit →
Rico DowdleCARRB3.0RB61RB710022200Start/Sit →
Jimmy HornCARWR2.5WR80WR———11150
Jalen McMillanTBWR2.1WR86WR———11110Start/Sit →
Emeka EgbukaTBWR1.8WR93WR———3180Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR1.8WR89WR———1180
Mitchell EvansCARTE1.5TE57TE———2150Start/Sit →
Payne DurhamTBTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →
Sean TuckerTBRB-0.4—RB4-40————Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

  1. Jalen CokerWR47 snaps92%
  2. Tommy TrembleTE46 snaps90%
  3. Tetairoa McMillanWR45 snaps88%
  4. Rico DowdleRB27 snaps53%
  5. Chuba HubbardRB23 snaps45%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Jalen Coker23%, 7 targets
  2. Tetairoa McMillan20%, 6 targets
  3. Tommy Tremble13%, 4 targets
  4. Xavier Legette13%, 4 targets
  5. Rico Dowdle7%, 2 targets
  6. Other23%, 7 targets

Carry Share14 carries

  1. Rico Dowdle50%, 7 carries
  2. Chuba Hubbard36%, 5 carries
  3. Bryce Young14%, 2 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE64 snaps96%
  2. Mike EvansWR50 snaps75%
  3. Chris GodwinWR47 snaps70%
  4. Bucky IrvingRB42 snaps63%
  5. Emeka EgbukaWR39 snaps58%

Target Share22 targets

  1. Cade Otton41%, 9 targets
  2. Emeka Egbuka14%, 3 targets
  3. Mike Evans9%, 2 targets
  4. Rachaad White9%, 2 targets
  5. Bucky Irving9%, 2 targets
  6. Other18%, 4 targets

Carry Share42 carries

  1. Bucky Irving62%, 26 carries
  2. Rachaad White17%, 7 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield10%, 4 carries
  4. Sean Tucker10%, 4 carries
  5. Tez Johnson2%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE6496%941%0
Jalen CokerCARWR4792%723%0
Tommy TrembleCARTE4690%413%0
Tetairoa McMillanCARWR4588%620%0
Mike EvansTBWR5075%29%0
Chris GodwinTBWR4770%15%0
Bucky IrvingTBRB4263%29%26
Emeka EgbukaTBWR3958%314%0
Jalen McMillanTBWR3755%15%0
Rico DowdleCARRB2753%27%7
Chuba HubbardCARRB2345%27%5
Mitchell EvansCARTE2345%27%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB2233%29%7
Xavier LegetteCARWR1631%413%0
Jimmy HornCARWR1631%13%0
Payne DurhamTBTE1827%15%0
Brycen TremayneCARWR714%27%0
Tez JohnsonTBWR913%15%1
James MitchellCARTE48%00%0
Sean TuckerTBRB57%00%4
Trevor EtienneCARRB12%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+7.1Cade Otton22.4 PTS vs 15.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−9.4Bucky Irving10.8 PTS vs 20.2 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.2 xFPBucky Irving10.8 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Bucky IrvingTB · RB10.820.2−9.463%62% car—02662%29%
Bryce YoungCAR · QB17.516.8+0.7100%35 att—35214%00%
Cade OttonTB · TE22.415.3+7.196%41% tgt—000%941%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB14.212.4+1.8100%22 att—22410%00%
Jalen CokerCAR · WR16.711.9+4.892%23% tgt—000%723%
Tetairoa McMillanCAR · WR10.510.2+0.388%20% tgt—000%620%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB6.17.9−1.833%17% car—0717%29%
Rico DowdleCAR · RB3.07.9−4.953%50% car—0750%27%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE12.86.8+6.090%13% tgt—000%413%
Xavier LegetteCAR · WR5.26.8−1.631%13% tgt—000%413%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB3.76.6−2.945%36% car—0536%27%
Emeka EgbukaTB · WR1.85.1−3.358%14% tgt—000%314%
Brycen TremayneCAR · WR4.73.4+1.314%7% tgt—000%27%
Mike EvansTB · WR5.43.4+2.075%9% tgt—000%29%
Mitchell EvansCAR · TE1.53.4−1.945%7% tgt—000%27%
Sean TuckerTB · RB-0.42.6−3.07%10% car—0410%00%
Tez JohnsonTB · WR3.22.4+0.813%5% tgt—012%15%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR1.81.7+0.170%5% tgt—000%15%
Jalen McMillanTB · WR2.11.7+0.455%5% tgt—000%15%
Jimmy Horn Jr.CAR · WR2.51.7+0.831%3% tgt—000%13%
Payne DurhamTB · TE0.01.7−1.727%5% tgt—000%15%

Team totals: Panthers 30 targets and 14 carries; Buccaneers 22 targets and 42 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Bryce Young

CAR · QB · 17.5 pts on 16.8 expected

24 of 35 passing for 266 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 2 carries for -1 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Bryce Young →

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 14.2 pts on 12.4 expected

16 of 22 passing for 203 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 4 carries for 31 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Jalen Coker

CAR · WR · 16.7 pts on 11.9 expected

7 targets (23% of the team's), 6 catches for 47 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Jalen Coker →

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR · WR · 10.5 pts on 10.2 expected

6 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 85 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Tetairoa McMillan →

Bucky Irving Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 10.8 pts on 20.2 expected

2 targets (9% of the team's), 1 catch for 13 yards; 26 carries (62% of the team's) for 85 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Bucky Irving →

Cade Otton Ran hot

TB · TE · 22.4 pts on 15.3 expected

9 targets (41% of the team's), 7 catches for 94 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Cade Otton →

Tommy Tremble Ran hot

CAR · TE · 12.8 pts on 6.8 expected

4 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 38 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Tommy Tremble →

Xavier Legette

CAR · WR · 5.2 pts on 6.8 expected

4 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 22 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 6.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Xavier Legette →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Carolina Panthers

  • Stock up: Jalen Coker played 92% of the snaps, up from a 67% season average.
  • Stock up: Tommy Tremble played 90% of the snaps, up from a 58% season average.
  • Stock down: Xavier Legette played 31% of the snaps, down from a 70% season average.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock down: Rachaad White played 33% of the snaps, down from a 52% season average.
  • Stock down: Emeka Egbuka played 58% of the snaps, down from a 79% season average.
  • Stock down: Tez Johnson played 13% of the snaps, down from a 49% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toPanthers DBuccaneers D
QBs14.720.2
RBs23.520.6
WRs27.130.4
TEs13.715.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 59% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 59%, stood at 78% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 6 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +19Mayfield → Otton, 18-yd TD58% → 78%Q1 9:31
  2. −19Young → Tremble, 8-yd TD86% → 67%Q2 10:50
  3. +10McLaughlin 36-yd FG68% → 78%Q2 0:02
  4. +8McLaughlin 48-yd FG85% → 93%Q4 14:12
  5. −22Young → Coker, 8-yd TD>99% → 78%Q4 2:27

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Buccaneers
Carolina PanthersMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
49Plays66
71%Pass rate36%
7.6Yds / dropback8.3
1.4Yds / carry3.3
1/8Third downs8/15

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 17 more plays and gained 0.7 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • CAR Coker 23% · McMillan 20% · Tremble 13%
  • TB Otton 41% · Egbuka 14% · Irving 9%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Buccaneers
ResultCARTB
Touchdowns21
Field goals03
Punts33
Turnovers31
Missed field goals11

TB turnover edge: +2

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 9-play, 74-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Buccaneers drained the clock with two second-half drives of five to six minutes.
All 19 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:009745:29Touchdown
CARQ1 9:314152:07Punt
TBQ1 7:2411695:27Field goal
CARQ1 1:574172:09Punt
TBQ2 14:486172:30Interception
CARQ2 12:183191:28Touchdown
TBQ2 10:509296:29Punt
CARQ2 4:216352:30Interception
TBQ2 1:517401:49Field goal
CARQ2 0:021-10:02End of half
CARQ3 15:0010294:33Missed FG
TBQ3 10:27332:19Punt
CARQ3 8:085153:38Punt
TBQ3 4:309395:18Field goal
CARQ4 14:126363:05Fumble
TBQ4 11:0710515:55Missed FG
CARQ4 5:128722:45Touchdown
TBQ4 2:276272:09Punt
CARQ4 0:183320:18Fumble
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Buccaneers first met in 1995 and have played 51 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
26–25Panthers lead, 51 meetings since 1995
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Panthers win
48–162011
Largest Buccaneers win
48–142024

Since 2021

8–2 Buccaneers lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 7 Buccaneers at Panthers Upcoming
  • Week 12 Panthers at Buccaneers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
8-9Record8-9
18.3Points per game22.4
295.6Yards per game320.4
5.0Yards per play5.1
22.4Points allowed per game24.2
327.2Yards allowed per game337.2

Panthers vs Buccaneers Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −3Buccaneers failed to cover by 1
Total
42.5Under: 30 points scored (by 12.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers22.816−6.8
Panthers19.814−5.8

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Last 6 meetings: Panthers 3–3 ATS, unders 4–2.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Carolina Panthers

Against the spread
3–3
Over/under
1–5
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS as underdog
3–2
ATS on the road
1–2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
0–6
Over/under
2–4
ATS as favorite
0–6
ATS at home
0–4

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 7 in Carolina and Week 12 in Tampa Bay. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Panthers vs Buccaneers Week 18 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 16–14 in Week 18 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on January 3, 2026. See the Buccaneers' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14. The Buccaneers led 13–7 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 7, Buccaneers 3.

What happened in the Panthers vs Buccaneers game?

Tampa Bay led 13–7 at halftime and won 16–14, though Carolina took the second half 7–3. The Buccaneers finished with a 338–285 edge in total offense. Cade Otton led all players with 7 catches for 94 yards and a touchdown. The Panthers committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Cade Otton led the game with 22.4 PPR fantasy points, the TE2 of Week 18, on 7 catches for 94 yards and a touchdown. Bryce Young was next with 17.5 (QB11). See Cade Otton's 2025 game log.

Who led Panthers vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Bryce Young (CAR) led all passers with 24 of 35 for 266 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. Bucky Irving (TB) led in rushing with 26 carries for 85 yards. Cade Otton (TB) led in receiving with 7 catches for 94 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Cade Otton score against the Panthers?

Cade Otton scored 22.4 points in PPR leagues, 18.9 in half-PPR and 15.4 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 18 of the 2025 season, on 7 catches for 94 yards and a touchdown. He drew 41% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Cade Otton outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 22.4 PPR points on 15.3 xFP (+7.1). Bucky Irving fell furthest short, with 10.8 points on 20.2 xFP (−9.4). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Bucky Irving had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.2 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 10.8. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Panthers?

The Buccaneers beat the Panthers 16–14 because they won the turnover battle 3–1 and outgained them 338–285.

Which team won the turnover battle in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–1: the Panthers gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers 1 time. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Buccaneers record?

The Panthers lead the all-time series 26–25 across 51 meetings since 1995.

When did the Panthers and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 18 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on December 21, 2025, when the Panthers beat the Buccaneers 23–20.

What was the closing spread for Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −3, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-point favorites, with a closing total of 42.5. That implied about 22.8 points for the Buccaneers and 19.8 for the Panthers.

Did Panthers vs Buccaneers go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 42.5, and the teams combined for 30 points, 12.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The Panthers covered as 3-point underdogs against the closing line of Buccaneers −3. The final margin was 2 points.