Final2023 Week 13

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 13 2023

Carolina Panthers

Away

18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HomeWon

21

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panthers037818
Buccaneers707721

CAR 18TB 21 Final

  • Passing leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    10.9PPR pts

    14/29, 202 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Mike Evans

    TB · WR

    29.2PPR pts

    7 REC, 162 YDS, 1 TD

  • Panthers leader

    Chuba Hubbard

    CAR · RB

    22.4PPR pts

    25 ATT, 104 YDS, 2 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Antoine Winfield Jr.

    TB

    1 INT, 1 SACK, 8 TKL

Buccaneers 21, Panthers 18: Tampa Bay holds off Carolina

Tampa Bay led 7–3 at halftime and won 21–18, though Carolina took the second half 15–14. The Buccaneers finished with a 322–282 edge in total offense and averaged 5.6 yards per play.

The Panthers went 3-for-15 on third down and committed one turnover.

The two teams meet again in Week 7 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +1.5 yards/play TB 5.6 · CAR 4.1
  • +40 total yards TB 322 · CAR 282
  • +20% third-down rate TB 40% · CAR 20%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the efficiency and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
4.1Yards per play5.6
282Total yards322
20%Third-down conversion40%
Other team stats
69Plays58
1Turnovers1
33:42Time of possession26:18

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored three touchdowns; the Panthers scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayCARTB
1st quarter
6:08TBRachaad White 1-yard TD run Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP07
2nd quarter
13:30CAREddy Pineiro 23-yard FG37
3rd quarter
5:04CARChuba Hubbard 1-yard TD run Takes leadEddy Pineiro XP107
4:54TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 75-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP1014
4th quarter
11:36TBChris Godwin 19-yard TD run Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP1021
5:02CARChuba Hubbard 1-yard TD runBryce Young 2-pt run1821

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Buccaneers, Week 13 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mike EvansTBWR29.2 PTSWR7
  2. Chuba HubbardCARRB22.4 PTSRB6
  3. Rachaad WhiteTBRB19.6 PTSRB10
  4. Jonathan MingoCARWR12.9 PTSWR27

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Baker MayfieldTBQB10.9QB1914/29202112-2068.5Start/Sit →
Bryce YoungCARQB8.1QB2215/3117801———52.9Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Mike EvansTBWR29.2WR7WR———1271621Start/Sit →
Chuba HubbardCARRB22.4RB6RB251042————Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB19.6RB10RB2084153220Start/Sit →
Jonathan MingoCARWR12.9WR27WR———106690Start/Sit →
DJ CharkCARWR8.6WR40WR———43560
Chris GodwinTBWR7.9WR44WR11913000
Adam ThielenCARWR5.5WR51WR———63250
Trey PalmerTBWR4.5WR54WR113052120
Miles SandersCARRB3.9RB39RB82302160
Stephen SullivanCARTE2.6TE32TE———21160
Deven ThompkinsTBWR2.1WR77WR2701140
Chase EdmondsTBRB1.9RB54RB2701120
Ian ThomasCARTE1.6TE42TE———1160Start/Sit →
Raheem BlackshearCARRB0.6RB62RB160————
Michael StrachanCARWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

  1. Jonathan MingoWR69 snaps96%
  2. Adam ThielenWR64 snaps89%
  3. Ian ThomasTE48 snaps67%
  4. Chuba HubbardRB47 snaps65%
  5. Stephen SullivanTE33 snaps46%

Target Share26 targets

  1. Jonathan Mingo38%, 10 targets
  2. Adam Thielen23%, 6 targets
  3. DJ Chark15%, 4 targets
  4. Miles Sanders8%, 2 targets
  5. Stephen Sullivan8%, 2 targets
  6. Other8%, 2 targets

Carry Share34 carries

  1. Chuba Hubbard74%, 25 carries
  2. Miles Sanders24%, 8 carries
  3. Raheem Blackshear3%, 1 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE61 snaps98%
  2. Rachaad WhiteRB54 snaps87%
  3. Chris GodwinWR52 snaps84%
  4. Mike EvansWR51 snaps82%
  5. Trey PalmerWR38 snaps61%

Target Share27 targets

  1. Mike Evans44%, 12 targets
  2. Rachaad White19%, 5 targets
  3. Trey Palmer19%, 5 targets
  4. Chris Godwin11%, 3 targets
  5. Chase Edmonds4%, 1 targets
  6. Other4%, 1 targets

Carry Share28 carries

  1. Rachaad White71%, 20 carries
  2. Baker Mayfield7%, 2 carries
  3. Chase Edmonds7%, 2 carries
  4. Deven Thompkins7%, 2 carries
  5. Chris Godwin4%, 1 carries
  6. Other4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE6198%00%0
Jonathan MingoCARWR6996%1038%0
Adam ThielenCARWR6489%623%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5487%519%20
Chris GodwinTBWR5284%311%1
Mike EvansTBWR5182%1244%0
Ian ThomasCARTE4867%14%0
Chuba HubbardCARRB4765%00%25
Trey PalmerTBWR3861%519%1
Stephen SullivanCARTE3346%28%0
Michael StrachanCARWR3143%14%0
DJ CharkCARWR2940%415%0
Miles SandersCARRB2332%28%8
Deven ThompkinsTBWR1321%14%2
Payne DurhamTBTE1118%00%0
Ihmir Smith-MarsetteCARWR1217%00%0
Ko KieftTBTE1016%00%0
Chase EdmondsTBRB915%14%2
David MooreTBWR813%00%0
Ryan MillerTBWR35%00%0
Raheem BlackshearCARRB23%00%1

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+9.2Mike Evans29.2 PTS vs 20.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−4.9Bryce Young8.1 PTS vs 13.0 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.6 xFPRachaad White19.6 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB19.620.6−1.087%71% car—02071%519%
Mike EvansTB · WR29.220.0+9.282%44% tgt—000%1244%
Jonathan MingoCAR · WR12.916.7−3.896%38% tgt—000%1038%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB22.415.3+7.165%74% car—02574%00%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB10.913.4−2.5100%29 att—2927%00%
Bryce YoungCAR · QB8.113.0−4.9100%31 att—3100%00%
Adam ThielenCAR · WR5.510.0−4.589%23% tgt—000%623%
Trey PalmerTB · WR4.59.0−4.561%19% tgt—014%519%
Miles SandersCAR · RB3.98.2−4.332%24% car—0824%28%
DJ CharkCAR · WR8.66.7+1.940%15% tgt—000%415%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR7.95.6+2.384%11% tgt—014%311%
Stephen SullivanCAR · TE2.63.3−0.746%8% tgt—000%28%
Chase EdmondsTB · RB1.92.9−1.015%7% car—027%14%
Deven ThompkinsTB · WR2.12.9−0.821%7% car—027%14%
Ian ThomasCAR · TE1.61.7−0.167%4% tgt—000%14%
Michael StrachanCAR · WR0.01.7−1.743%4% tgt—000%14%
Raheem BlackshearCAR · RB0.60.60.03%3% car—013%00%

Team totals: Panthers 26 targets and 34 carries; Buccaneers 27 targets and 28 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Bryce Young

CAR · QB · 8.1 pts on 13.0 expected

15 of 31 passing for 178 yards, 1 interception.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Bryce Young →

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 10.9 pts on 13.4 expected

14 of 29 passing for 202 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 2 carries for -2 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Jonathan Mingo Volume, no payoff

CAR · WR · 12.9 pts on 16.7 expected

10 targets (38% of the team's), 6 catches for 69 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Jonathan Mingo →

Chuba Hubbard Ran hot

CAR · RB · 22.4 pts on 15.3 expected

25 carries (74% of the team's) for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Chuba Hubbard →

Rachaad White Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 19.6 pts on 20.6 expected

5 targets (19% of the team's), 3 catches for 22 yards; 20 carries (71% of the team's) for 84 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 29.2 pts on 20.0 expected

12 targets (44% of the team's), 7 catches for 162 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Stephen Sullivan

CAR · TE · 2.6 pts on 3.3 expected

2 targets (8% of the team's), 1 catch for 16 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 3.3 expected.

Ian Thomas

CAR · TE · 1.6 pts on 1.7 expected

1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 1.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Ian Thomas →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Carolina Panthers

  • Stock up: Stephen Sullivan played 46% of the snaps, up from a 19% season average.
  • Stock up: Ian Thomas played 67% of the snaps, up from a 26% season average.
  • Stock up: Michael Strachan played 43% of the snaps, up from a 18% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toPanthers DBuccaneers D
QBs12.717.7
RBs22.617.6
WRs27.135.9
TEs10.014.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 50%, stood at 66% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 6 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +21White 1-yd TD run50% → 71%Q1 6:08
  2. −35Hubbard 1-yd TD run70% → 35%Q3 5:04
  3. +35Mayfield → Evans, 75-yd TD35% → 70%Q3 4:54
  4. +22Godwin 19-yd TD run75% → 97%Q4 11:36
  5. −22Hubbard 1-yd TD run>99% → 78%Q4 5:02

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Buccaneers
Carolina PanthersMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
69Plays58
51%Pass rate52%
4.3Yds / dropback6.5
3.9Yds / carry4.6
3/15Third downs6/15

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 11 fewer plays but gained 2.2 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • CAR Mingo 38% · Thielen 23% · Chark 15%
  • TB Evans 44% · White 19% · Palmer 19%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Buccaneers
ResultCARTB
Touchdowns23
Field goals10
Punts88
Turnovers11
Turnovers on downs10
  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their second possession, a 8-play, 57-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 26 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:008244:29Punt
CARQ1 10:31300:57Punt
TBQ1 9:348573:26Touchdown
CARQ1 6:0814707:38Field goal
TBQ2 13:30361:21Punt
CARQ2 12:09372:00Punt
TBQ2 10:09321:02Punt
CARQ2 9:075113:17Punt
TBQ2 5:506223:28Interception
CARQ2 2:223-60:41Punt
TBQ2 1:41480:48Punt
CARQ2 0:536230:53Downs
CARQ3 15:003-11:33Punt
TBQ3 13:27310:57Punt
CARQ3 12:303-12:20Punt
TBQ3 10:103-41:30Punt
CARQ3 8:407653:36Touchdown
TBQ3 5:041750:10Touchdown
CARQ3 4:54300:18Punt
TBQ3 4:363-11:17Punt
CARQ3 3:19532:38Punt
TBQ3 0:417674:05Touchdown
CARQ4 11:3611756:34Touchdown
TBQ4 5:024101:31Punt
CARQ4 3:31491:17Interception
TBQ4 2:145372:14End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Buccaneers first met in 1995 and have played 51 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
26–25Panthers lead, 51 meetings since 1995
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Panthers win
48–162011
Largest Buccaneers win
48–142024

Since 2021

8–2 Buccaneers lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 7 Buccaneers at Panthers Upcoming
  • Week 12 Panthers at Buccaneers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
2-15Record9-8
13.9Points per game20.5
265.3Yards per game313.0
4.1Yards per play5.1
24.5Points allowed per game19.1
293.9Yards allowed per game344.2

Panthers vs Buccaneers Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 7 in Carolina and Week 12 in Tampa Bay. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Panthers vs Buccaneers Week 13 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 21–18 in Week 13 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on December 3, 2023. See the Buccaneers' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Buccaneers 21, Panthers 18. The Buccaneers led 7–3 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 15, Buccaneers 14.

What happened in the Panthers vs Buccaneers game?

Tampa Bay led 7–3 at halftime and won 21–18, though Carolina took the second half 15–14. The Buccaneers finished with a 322–282 edge in total offense and averaged 5.6 yards per play. Mike Evans led all players with 7 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans led the game with 29.2 PPR fantasy points, the WR7 of Week 13, on 7 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown. Chuba Hubbard was next with 22.4 (RB6). See Mike Evans's 2023 game log.

Who led Panthers vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Baker Mayfield (TB) led all passers with 14 of 29 for 202 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) led in rushing with 25 carries for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns. Mike Evans (TB) led in receiving with 7 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Mike Evans score against the Panthers?

Mike Evans scored 29.2 points in PPR leagues, 25.7 in half-PPR and 22.2 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 13 of the 2023 season, on 7 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown. He drew 44% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 29.2 PPR points on 20.0 xFP (+9.2). Bryce Young fell furthest short, with 8.1 points on 13.0 xFP (−4.9). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Rachaad White had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.6 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 19.6. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Panthers?

The Buccaneers beat the Panthers 21–18 because they averaged 5.6 yards per play to 4.1 and outgained them 322–282.

What was the turning point of Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Baker Mayfield's 75-yard touchdown pass to Mike Evans with 4:54 left in the third quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Buccaneers' win probability from 35% to 70%.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Buccaneers record?

The Panthers lead the all-time series 26–25 across 51 meetings since 1995.

When did the Panthers and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 13 of 2023, they last met in the 2022 season on January 1, 2023, when the Buccaneers beat the Panthers 30–24.

What is the Panthers vs Buccaneers record since 2021?

The Buccaneers lead 8–2 across 10 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.