Final2022 Week 16

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins, Week 16 2022

Green Bay Packers

AwayWon

26

Miami Dolphins

Home

20

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Packers1037626
Dolphins10100020

GB 26MIA 20 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tua Tagovailoa

    MIA · QB

    13.4PPR pts

    16/25, 310 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Jaylen Waddle

    MIA · WR

    25.3PPR pts

    5 REC, 143 YDS, 1 TD

  • Dolphins leader

    Tyreek Hill

    MIA · WR

    14.3PPR pts

    4 REC, 103 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Kader Kohou

    MIA

    1 INT, 5 TKL

Packers 26, Dolphins 20: Green Bay rallies from 7 down at halftime

Green Bay erased a 20–13 halftime deficit, outscoring Miami 13–0 after the break to win 26–20. Miami outgained the Packers 376–301.

The Dolphins went 2-for-7 on third down and committed four turnovers, while the Packers kept the ball for 32:00.

The two teams meet again in Week 15 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +3 turnover margin GB 1 · MIA 4 turnovers
  • +4:00 time of possession GB 32:00 · MIA 28:00

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Packers Won

Green Bay won the turnover and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Packers vs Dolphins
PackersStatDolphins
1Turnovers4
32:00Time of possession28:00
Other team stats
301Total yards376
4.6Yards per play8.4
65Plays45
14%Third-down conversion29%

Scoring Summary

The Packers scored two touchdowns and four field goals; the Dolphins scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Packers vs Dolphins
TimeTeamPlayGBMIA
1st quarter
11:10MIAJason Sanders 46-yard FG Takes lead03
9:26GBMason Crosby 36-yard FG Ties game33
9:08MIATua Tagovailoa → Jaylen Waddle, 84-yard TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP310
4:10GBAaron Rodgers → Marcedes Lewis, 1-yard TD Ties gameMason Crosby XP1010
2nd quarter
10:52MIAJeff Wilson Jr. 1-yard TD run Takes leadJason Sanders XP1017
4:18MIAJason Sanders 34-yard FG Extends lead1020
0:02GBMason Crosby 46-yard FG1320
3rd quarter
7:53GBAJ Dillon 1-yard TD run Ties gameMason Crosby XP2020
4th quarter
11:45GBMason Crosby 28-yard FG Game winner2320
2:02GBMason Crosby 26-yard FG Extends lead2620

Fantasy Points: Packers vs Dolphins, Week 16 2022

Fantasy leaders

  1. Jaylen WaddleMIAWR25.3 PTSWR5
  2. Aaron RodgersGBQB14.3 PTSQB14
  3. Tyreek HillMIAWR14.3 PTSWR24
  4. Tua TagovailoaMIAQB13.4 PTSQB16

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tua TagovailoaMIAQB13.4QB1616/253101310080.8Start/Sit →
Aaron RodgersGBQB14.3QB1424/3823811718078.6Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR25.3WR5WR———651431Start/Sit →
Tyreek HillMIAWR14.3WR24WR———641030
AJ DillonGBRB12.8RB20RB1136132120Start/Sit →
Marcedes LewisGBTE11.2TE11TE———22321
Allen LazardGBWR11.1WR39WR———115610
Jeff WilsonMIARB11.0RB24RB93712130
Christian WatsonGBWR10.9WR40WR———86490Start/Sit →
Romeo DoubsGBWR6.6WR53WR———63360Start/Sit →
Aaron JonesGBRB5.4RB42RB62502290
Raheem MostertMIARB4.9RB48RB84503240
Trent SherfieldMIAWR4.5WR72WR———22250
Mike GesickiMIATE3.4TE35TE———21240Start/Sit →
Patrick TaylorGBRB2.7RB65RB———11170
Robert TonyanGBTE2.3TE43TE———21130Start/Sit →
Durham SmytheMIATE1.8TE49TE———1180Start/Sit →
Randall CobbGBWR1.5WR97WR———2150
Josiah DeguaraGBTE1.4TE54TE———1140

Fantasy Usage

Green Bay Packers

Snap Share

  1. Allen LazardWR59 snaps89%
  2. Romeo DoubsWR40 snaps61%
  3. Robert TonyanTE38 snaps58%
  4. AJ DillonRB38 snaps58%
  5. Randall CobbWR32 snaps48%

Target Share38 targets

  1. Allen Lazard29%, 11 targets
  2. Christian Watson21%, 8 targets
  3. Romeo Doubs16%, 6 targets
  4. AJ Dillon8%, 3 targets
  5. Marcedes Lewis5%, 2 targets
  6. Other21%, 8 targets

Carry Share24 carries

  1. AJ Dillon46%, 11 carries
  2. Aaron Rodgers29%, 7 carries
  3. Aaron Jones25%, 6 carries

Miami Dolphins

Snap Share

  1. Tyreek HillWR40 snaps80%
  2. Jaylen WaddleWR37 snaps74%
  3. Durham SmytheTE32 snaps64%
  4. Jeff WilsonRB30 snaps60%
  5. Raheem MostertRB26 snaps52%

Target Share22 targets

  1. Tyreek Hill27%, 6 targets
  2. Jaylen Waddle27%, 6 targets
  3. Raheem Mostert14%, 3 targets
  4. Mike Gesicki9%, 2 targets
  5. Trent Sherfield9%, 2 targets
  6. Other14%, 3 targets

Carry Share18 carries

  1. Jeff Wilson50%, 9 carries
  2. Raheem Mostert44%, 8 carries
  3. Tua Tagovailoa6%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Allen LazardGBWR5989%1129%0
Tyreek HillMIAWR4080%627%0
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR3774%627%0
Durham SmytheMIATE3264%15%0
Romeo DoubsGBWR4061%616%0
Jeff WilsonMIARB3060%29%9
Robert TonyanGBTE3858%25%0
AJ DillonGBRB3858%38%11
Raheem MostertMIARB2652%314%8
Randall CobbGBWR3248%25%0
Trent SherfieldMIAWR2244%29%0
Marcedes LewisGBTE2944%25%0
Aaron JonesGBRB2538%25%6
Christian WatsonGBWR2538%821%0
Josiah DeguaraGBTE1929%13%0
Cedrick WilsonMIAWR1326%00%0
Mike GesickiMIATE1224%29%0
Tyler DavisGBTE1421%00%0
Braylon SandersMIAWR714%00%0
Samori ToureGBWR69%00%0
Hunter LongMIATE48%00%0
Patrick TaylorGBRB58%13%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+15.3Jaylen Waddle25.3 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.2Allen Lazard11.1 PTS vs 18.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.6 xFPAaron Rodgers14.3 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Aaron RodgersGB · QB14.320.6−6.3100%38 att—38728%00%
Allen LazardGB · WR11.118.3−7.289%29% tgt—000%1129%
Christian WatsonGB · WR10.913.3−2.438%21% tgt—000%821%
AJ DillonGB · RB12.812.1+0.758%44% car—01144%38%
Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB13.411.2+2.2100%25 att—2516%00%
Raheem MostertMIA · RB4.910.1−5.252%44% car—0844%313%
Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR25.310.0+15.374%25% tgt—000%625%
Romeo DoubsGB · WR6.610.0−3.461%16% tgt—000%616%
Tyreek HillMIA · WR14.310.0+4.380%25% tgt—000%625%
Jeff Wilson Jr.MIA · RB11.09.1+1.960%50% car—0950%28%
Aaron Jones Sr.GB · RB5.47.2−1.838%24% car—0624%25%
Alec IngoldMIA · RB0.03.3−3.3—8% tgt—000%28%
Marcedes LewisGB · TE11.23.3+7.944%5% tgt—000%25%
Mike GesickiMIA · TE3.43.3+0.124%8% tgt—000%28%
Randall CobbGB · WR1.53.3−1.848%5% tgt—000%25%
Robert TonyanGB · TE2.33.3−1.058%5% tgt—000%25%
Trent SherfieldMIA · WR4.53.3+1.244%8% tgt—000%28%
Durham SmytheMIA · TE1.81.7+0.164%4% tgt—000%14%
Josiah DeguaraGB · TE1.41.7−0.329%3% tgt—000%13%
Patrick Taylor Jr.GB · RB2.71.7+1.08%3% tgt—000%13%
Dallin LeavittGB · —0.00.6−0.6—4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Packers 38 targets and 25 carries; Dolphins 24 targets and 18 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Aaron Rodgers Unlucky

GB · QB · 14.3 pts on 20.6 expected

24 of 38 passing for 238 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 7 carries for 18 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Aaron Rodgers →

Tua Tagovailoa

MIA · QB · 13.4 pts on 11.2 expected

16 of 25 passing for 310 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions; 1 carry for 0 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Tua Tagovailoa →

Allen Lazard Unlucky

GB · WR · 11.1 pts on 18.3 expected

11 targets (29% of the team's), 5 catches for 61 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Christian Watson

GB · WR · 10.9 pts on 13.3 expected

8 targets (21% of the team's), 6 catches for 49 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Christian Watson →

Raheem Mostert Unlucky

MIA · RB · 4.9 pts on 10.1 expected

3 targets (13% of the team's), 2 catches for 4 yards; 8 carries (44% of the team's) for 45 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Jaylen Waddle Ran hot

MIA · WR · 25.3 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (25% of the team's), 5 catches for 143 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jaylen Waddle →

Marcedes Lewis Ran hot

GB · TE · 11.2 pts on 3.3 expected

2 targets (5% of the team's), 2 catches for 32 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

AJ Dillon

GB · RB · 12.8 pts on 12.1 expected

3 targets (8% of the team's), 2 catches for 12 yards; 11 carries (44% of the team's) for 36 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.1 expected.

Start/Sit: AJ Dillon →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Green Bay Packers

  • Stock up: AJ Dillon led the backfield with 58% of the snaps after trailing Aaron Jones Sr. before this game.
  • Stock down: Aaron Jones Sr. lost the backfield lead: 38% of the snaps to AJ Dillon's 58%.
  • Stock down: Christian Watson played 38% of the snaps, down from a 56% season average.

Miami Dolphins

  • Stock up: Jeff Wilson Jr. led the backfield with 60% of the snaps after trailing Raheem Mostert before this game.
  • Stock down: Raheem Mostert lost the backfield lead: 52% of the snaps to Jeff Wilson Jr.'s 60%.
  • Stock down: Mike Gesicki played 24% of the snaps, down from a 46% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Packers defense and Dolphins defense
Points allowed toPackers DDolphins D
QBs15.019.8
RBs23.722.4
WRs30.530.9
TEs9.814.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Miami opened at 60% win probability, climbed as high as 89%, then lost.

Dolphins win probability

Dolphins win probability by game minuteDolphins started at 60%, stood at 82% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +19Tagovailoa → Waddle, 84-yd TD60% → 79%Q1 9:08
  2. −20Rodgers → Lewis, 1-yd TD79% → 59%Q1 4:10
  3. +22Wilson 1-yd TD run58% → 80%Q2 10:52
  4. −28Dillon 1-yd TD run84% → 56%Q3 7:53
  5. −20Crosby 28-yd FG55% → 35%Q4 11:45

Swing in Dolphins win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Packers vs Dolphins
Green Bay PackersMeasureMiami Dolphins
65Plays45
62%Pass rate60%
5.5Yds / dropback10.9
3.2Yds / carry4.6
2/14Third downs2/7

Efficiency edge Green Bay ran 20 more plays than Miami.

  • Top targets
  • GB Lazard 29% · Watson 21% · Doubs 16%
  • MIA Waddle 25% · Hill 25% · Mostert 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Packers vs Dolphins
ResultGBMIA
Touchdowns22
Field goals42
Punts11
Turnovers14
Turnovers on downs20
Missed field goals01

GB turnover edge: +3

  • The Dolphins opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 52-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Packers drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to eight minutes.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MIAQ1 15:008523:50Field goal
GBQ1 11:104-91:44Field goal
MIAQ1 9:261840:18Touchdown
GBQ1 9:0810544:58Touchdown
MIAQ1 4:105193:40Punt
GBQ1 0:305512:05Downs
MIAQ2 13:253622:33Touchdown
GBQ2 10:52481:35Downs
MIAQ2 9:17744:59Field goal
GBQ2 4:18351:38Punt
MIAQ2 2:40280:45Fumble
GBQ2 1:558211:53Field goal
MIAQ2 0:02000:02End of half
GBQ3 15:0011787:07Touchdown
MIAQ3 7:5310455:28Missed FG
GBQ3 2:256233:17Interception
MIAQ4 14:08100:09Interception
GBQ4 13:59642:14Field goal
MIAQ4 11:459525:43Interception
GBQ4 6:029564:00Field goal
MIAQ4 2:02230:33Interception
GBQ4 1:293-31:29End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Packers vs Dolphins Head-to-Head

The Packers and Dolphins first met in 1971 and have played 17 times since.

All-time series
10–7Dolphins lead, 17 meetings since 1971
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Packers win
31–122018
Largest Dolphins win
31–71975

Since 2021

2–0 Packers lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. P = Packers win, D = Dolphins win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 15 Dolphins at Packers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Packers vs Dolphins
PackersStatDolphins
8-9Record9-8
21.8Points per game23.4
337.9Yards per game364.5
5.5Yards per play6.1
21.8Points allowed per game23.5
336.5Yards allowed per game337.8

Packers vs Dolphins Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
MIA −3.5Dolphins failed to cover by 9.5
Total
49.5Under: 46 points scored (by 3.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Dolphins26.520−6.5
Packers23.026+3.0

The Packers beat their implied total and the Dolphins fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Green Bay Packers

Against the spread
7–8
Over/under
7–8
ATS as favorite
3–6
ATS as underdog
4–2
ATS on the road
4–4

Miami Dolphins

Against the spread
7–8
Over/under
7–8
ATS as favorite
4–5
ATS as underdog
3–3
ATS at home
4–3

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Packers vs Dolphins Fantasy Outlook for 2026

One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 15 in Green Bay. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Packers vs Dolphins Game FAQ

Who won the 2022 Packers vs Dolphins Week 16 game?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Miami Dolphins 26–20 in Week 16 of the 2022 season. The game was played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, on December 25, 2022. See the Packers' 2022 schedule.

What was the final score of Packers vs Dolphins?

The final score was Packers 26, Dolphins 20. The Dolphins led 20–13 at halftime, and the second half went Packers 13, Dolphins 0.

What happened in the Packers vs Dolphins game?

Green Bay erased a 20–13 halftime deficit, outscoring Miami 13–0 after the break to win 26–20. Miami outgained the Packers 376–301. Jaylen Waddle led all players with 5 catches for 143 yards and a touchdown. The Dolphins committed 4 turnovers, the Packers 1.

What was the game-winning score in Packers vs Dolphins?

Mason Crosby's 28-yard field goal with 11:45 left in the fourth quarter gave the Packers a 23–20 lead they never gave up.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Packers vs Dolphins?

Jaylen Waddle led the game with 25.3 PPR fantasy points, the WR5 of Week 16, on 5 catches for 143 yards and a touchdown. Aaron Rodgers was next with 14.3 (QB14). See Jaylen Waddle's 2022 game log.

Who led Packers vs Dolphins in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) led all passers with 16 of 25 for 310 yards, a touchdown and 3 interceptions. Raheem Mostert (MIA) led in rushing with 8 carries for 45 yards. Jaylen Waddle (MIA) led in receiving with 5 catches for 143 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Jaylen Waddle score against the Packers?

Jaylen Waddle scored 25.3 points in PPR leagues, 22.8 in half-PPR and 20.3 in standard scoring against the Packers in Week 16 of the 2022 season, on 5 catches for 143 yards and a touchdown. He drew 25% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Packers vs Dolphins?

Jaylen Waddle outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 25.3 PPR points on 10.0 xFP (+15.3). Allen Lazard fell furthest short, with 11.1 points on 18.3 xFP (−7.2). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Packers come back to beat the Dolphins?

The Packers' chances of winning fell as low as 11% in the first half. AJ Dillon's 1-yard touchdown run in the third quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Mason Crosby's 28-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Packers vs Dolphins?

The Packers won the turnover battle 4–1: the Dolphins gave the ball away 4 times and the Packers 1 time. The Packers won the game.

What is the all-time Packers vs Dolphins record?

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 10–7 across 17 meetings since 1971.

When did the Packers and Dolphins last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2022, they last met in the 2018 season on November 11, 2018, when the Packers beat the Dolphins 31–12.

What was the closing spread for Packers vs Dolphins?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Dolphins −3.5, making the Miami Dolphins 3.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 49.5. That implied about 26.5 points for the Dolphins and 23.0 for the Packers.

Did Packers vs Dolphins go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 49.5, and the teams combined for 46 points, 3.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Packers vs Dolphins?

The Packers covered as 3.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Dolphins −3.5. The final margin was 6 points.