Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers, Divisional Round 2023
Green Bay Packers
Away
21
San Francisco 49ers
HomeWon, advanced
24
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 49ers | 0 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 24 |
GB 21SF 24 Final
Passing leader
15.5PPR pts
23/39, 252 YDS, 1 TD
Top fantasy scorer
31.8PPR pts
17 ATT, 98 YDS, 2 TD, 7 REC, 30 REC YDS
Packers leader
Aaron Jones Sr.
16.6PPR pts
18 ATT, 108 YDS, 3 REC, 8 REC YDS
Defensive playmaker
Dre Greenlaw
2 INT, 8 TKL
49ers 24, Packers 21: San Francisco rallies in the fourth quarter of the 2023 Divisional Round
San Francisco led 7–6 at halftime and outscored Green Bay 17–15 after the break to win 24–21. The 49ers finished with a 356–330 edge in total offense and averaged 5.6 yards per play.
The gap showed up everywhere. The Packers went 7-for-13 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the 49ers finished without a giveaway.
The 49ers' run ended in the Super Bowl, a 25–22 loss to the Chiefs.
Key advantages
- +0.3 yards/play SF 5.6 · GB 5.3
- +2 turnover margin SF 0 turnovers
- +26 total yards SF 356 · GB 330
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the 49ers Won
San Francisco won the efficiency, turnover, and third-down battles.
| Packers | Stat | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| 5.3 | Yards per play | 5.6 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 330 | Total yards | 356 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 62 | Plays | 64 |
| 54% | Third-down conversion | 63% |
| 30:19 | Time of possession | 29:41 |
Scoring Summary
The 49ers scored three touchdowns and one field goal; the Packers scored two touchdowns and two field goals.
| Time | Team | Play | GB | SF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 7:22 | GB | Anders Carlson 29-yard FG Takes lead | 3 | 0 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 8:42 | SF | Brock Purdy → George Kittle, 32-yard TD Takes leadJake Moody XP | 3 | 7 |
| 4:09 | GB | Anders Carlson 29-yard FG | 6 | 7 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 9:27 | GB | Jordan Love → Bo Melton, 19-yard TD Takes leadAnders Carlson XP | 13 | 7 |
| 7:39 | SF | Christian McCaffrey 39-yard TD run Takes leadJake Moody XP | 13 | 14 |
| 5:23 | GB | Jordan Love → Tucker Kraft, 2-yard TD Takes leadJordan Love → Aaron Jones, 2-pt conversion | 21 | 14 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 14:56 | SF | Jake Moody 52-yard FG | 21 | 17 |
| 1:07 | SF | Christian McCaffrey 6-yard TD run Game winnerJake Moody XP | 21 | 24 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+7.2Bo Melton8.9 PTS vs 1.7 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−4.6Brock Purdy15.5 PTS vs 20.1 xFP
- Highest expected volume30.5 xFPChristian McCaffrey31.8 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB | 31.8 | 30.5 | +1.3 | — | 71% car | — | 0 | 17 | 71% | 12 | 33% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.GB · RB | 16.6 | 21.1 | −4.5 | — | 64% car | — | 0 | 18 | 64% | 6 | 18% |
| Brock PurdySF · QB | 15.5 | 20.1 | −4.6 | — | 39 att | — | 39 | 6 | 25% | 0 | 0% |
| Jordan LoveGB · QB | 16.1 | 17.4 | −1.3 | — | 34 att | — | 34 | 5 | 18% | 0 | 0% |
| George KittleSF · TE | 18.1 | 11.7 | +6.4 | — | 19% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 19% |
| Jauan JenningsSF · WR | 11.0 | 10.6 | +0.4 | — | 17% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 4% | 6 | 17% |
| Brandon AiyukSF · WR | 6.2 | 10.0 | −3.8 | — | 17% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 17% |
| Romeo DoubsGB · WR | 12.3 | 10.0 | +2.3 | — | 18% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 18% |
| Tucker KraftGB · TE | 9.9 | 10.0 | −0.1 | — | 18% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 18% |
| Jayden ReedGB · WR | 8.4 | 7.3 | +1.1 | — | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 4% | 4 | 12% |
| Luke MusgraveGB · TE | 4.4 | 6.7 | −2.3 | — | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 12% |
| Emanuel WilsonGB · RB | 3.7 | 4.1 | −0.4 | — | 14% car | — | 0 | 4 | 14% | 1 | 3% |
| Christian WatsonGB · WR | 2.1 | 3.3 | −1.2 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · WR | 4.4 | 3.3 | +1.1 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Dontayvion WicksGB · WR | 0.0 | 3.3 | −3.3 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Ray-Ray McCloud IIISF · WR | 1.7 | 3.3 | −1.6 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Ben SimsGB · TE | 1.4 | 1.7 | −0.3 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
| Bo MeltonGB · WR | 8.9 | 1.7 | +7.2 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
| Chris ConleySF · WR | 2.7 | 1.7 | +1.0 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
Team totals: Packers 33 targets and 28 carries; 49ers 36 targets and 24 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Jordan Love
21 of 34 passing for 194 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 5 carries for 3 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.4 expected.
Fewest points since Week 14.
Brock Purdy
23 of 39 passing for 252 yards, 1 touchdown; 6 carries for 14 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.1 expected.
No interceptions after 5 in the previous four games.
Aaron Jones Sr. Volume, no payoff
6 targets (18% of the team's), 3 catches for 8 yards; 18 carries (64% of the team's) for 108 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.1 expected.
Romeo Doubs
6 targets (18% of the team's), 4 catches for 83 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.0 expected.
Christian McCaffrey Strong role
12 targets (33% of the team's), 7 catches for 30 yards; 17 carries (71% of the team's) for 98 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 30.5 expected.
Season high in targets (12). A touchdown in 6 of the last 8 games.
George Kittle Ran hot
7 targets (19% of the team's), 4 catches for 81 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Bo Melton Ran hot
1 target (3% of the team's), 1 catch for 19 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 1.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Fewest points since Week 15.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Packers D | 49ers D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 15.3 | 14.8 |
| RBs | 21.2 | 18.0 |
| WRs | 31.7 | 33.4 |
| TEs | 11.5 | 10.8 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
San Francisco opened at 50% win probability, fell as low as 1%, then rallied to win.
49ers win probability
Key Swings
- +25Purdy → Kittle, 32-yd TD39% → 64%Q2 8:42
- −30Love → Melton, 19-yd TD55% → 24%Q3 9:27
- +31McCaffrey 39-yd TD run23% → 55%Q3 7:39
- −36Love → Kraft, 2-yd TD55% → 19%Q3 5:23
- +93McCaffrey 6-yd TD run1% → 95%Q4 1:07
Swing in 49ers win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Green Bay Packers | Measure | San Francisco 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Plays | 64 |
| 55% | Pass rate | 63% |
| 5.7 | Yds / dropback | 6.1 |
| 4.9 | Yds / carry | 4.6 |
| 7/13 | Third downs | 10/16 |
Efficiency edge San Francisco ran 2 more plays than Green Bay.
- Top targets
- GB Jones 18% · Doubs 18% · Kraft 18%
- SF McCaffrey 33% · Kittle 19% · Aiyuk 17%
Possession Results
| Result | GB | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 2 | 3 |
| Field goals | 2 | 1 |
| Punts | 1 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Turnovers on downs | 1 | 0 |
| Missed field goals | 1 | 1 |
SF turnover edge: +2
- The Packers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 14-play, 58-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB | Q1 15:00 | 14 | 58 | 7:38 | Field goal |
| SF | Q1 7:22 | 5 | 17 | 3:13 | Punt |
| GB | Q1 4:09 | 10 | 68 | 4:39 | Downs |
| SF | Q2 14:30 | 12 | 86 | 5:48 | Touchdown |
| GB | Q2 8:42 | 10 | 64 | 4:33 | Field goal |
| SF | Q2 4:09 | 11 | 45 | 4:04 | Missed FG |
| GB | Q2 0:05 | 1 | -1 | 0:05 | End of half |
| SF | Q3 15:00 | 3 | 6 | 1:32 | Punt |
| GB | Q3 13:28 | 9 | 75 | 4:01 | Touchdown |
| SF | Q3 9:27 | 4 | 75 | 1:48 | Touchdown |
| GB | Q3 7:39 | 4 | 20 | 2:16 | Touchdown |
| SF | Q3 5:23 | 3 | 5 | 1:40 | Punt |
| GB | Q3 3:43 | 4 | 10 | 1:41 | Interception |
| SF | Q3 2:02 | 7 | 14 | 2:06 | Field goal |
| GB | Q4 14:56 | 3 | 8 | 1:34 | Punt |
| SF | Q4 13:22 | 8 | 35 | 3:45 | Punt |
| GB | Q4 9:37 | 6 | 67 | 3:19 | Missed FG |
| SF | Q4 6:18 | 12 | 69 | 5:11 | Touchdown |
| GB | Q4 1:07 | 4 | 11 | 0:33 | Interception |
| SF | Q4 0:34 | 1 | -1 | 0:34 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Packers vs 49ers Head-to-Head
The Packers and 49ers first met in 1950 and have played 74 times since.
- All-time series
- 39–34–1Packers lead, 74 meetings since 1950
- Postseason
- 6–4Split 6–4
- Largest Packers win
- 38–102024
- Largest 49ers win
- 35–01954
Since 2021
2–2 Series tied
4 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. P = Packers win, 4 = 49ers win, outlined = this game.
Recent Meetings
- 2024 Wk 12 49ers at Packers, 2024 Wk 12 recap GB 38 SF 10 GB W
- 2023 Divisional Round Packers at 49ers SF 24 GB 21 SF W
- 2021 Divisional Round 49ers at Packers, 2021 Divisional Round recap SF 13 GB 10 SF W
- 2021 Wk 3 Packers at 49ers, 2021 Wk 3 recap GB 30 SF 28 GB W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Packers | Stat | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 12-5 |
| 22.5 | Points per game | 28.9 |
| 345.5 | Yards per game | 398.4 |
| 5.6 | Yards per play | 6.6 |
| 20.6 | Points allowed per game | 17.5 |
| 335.1 | Yards allowed per game | 303.9 |
Packers and 49ers in Fantasy
The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Packer or a 49er, these answer the week-to-week question.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Packers or 49ers player start this week? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Packers and 49ers players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Packers and 49ers defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere each team's remaining games fall in your fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Packers vs 49ers Game FAQ
Who won the 2023 Packers vs 49ers Divisional Round game?
The San Francisco 49ers beat the Green Bay Packers 24–21 in the Divisional Round of the 2023 playoffs. The game was played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, on January 20, 2024. See the 49ers' 2023 schedule.
What was the final score of Packers vs 49ers?
The final score was 49ers 24, Packers 21. The 49ers led 7–6 at halftime, and the second half went Packers 15, 49ers 17.
What happened in the Packers vs 49ers game?
San Francisco led 7–6 at halftime and outscored Green Bay 17–15 after the break to win 24–21. The 49ers finished with a 356–330 edge in total offense and averaged 5.6 yards per play. The Packers committed 2 turnovers, the 49ers none.
What was the game-winning score in Packers vs 49ers?
Christian McCaffrey's 6-yard touchdown run with 1:07 left in the fourth quarter gave the 49ers a 24–21 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.
How did the 49ers come back to beat the Packers?
The 49ers' chances of winning fell as low as 1% in the fourth quarter. Christian McCaffrey's 6-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Christian McCaffrey's 6-yard touchdown run then put them ahead for good.
Which team won the turnover battle in Packers vs 49ers?
The 49ers won the turnover battle 2–0: the Packers gave the ball away 2 times and the 49ers not at all. The 49ers won the game.
What was the turning point of Packers vs 49ers?
Christian McCaffrey's 6-yard touchdown run with 1:07 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the 49ers' win probability from 1% to 95%.
What is the all-time Packers vs 49ers record?
The Packers lead the all-time series 39–34–1 across 74 meetings since 1950, including a 4–6 record in the postseason.
When did the Packers and 49ers last play before this game?
Before the 2023 Divisional Round, they last met in the 2021 playoffs on January 22, 2022, when the 49ers beat the Packers 13–10.
Have the Packers and 49ers met in the playoffs?
Yes, 10 times, most recently in the 2023 playoffs. The Packers are 4–6 against the 49ers in the postseason.
What is the Packers vs 49ers record since 2021?
The series is tied 2–2 across 4 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.