Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots, Wild Card 2025
Los Angeles Chargers
Away
3
New England Patriots
HomeWon, advanced
16
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Patriots | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 |
LAC 3NE 16 Final
Passing leader
18.3PPR pts
17/29, 268 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
Top fantasy scorer
15.8PPR pts
10 ATT, 53 YDS, 3 REC, 75 REC YDS
Chargers leader
10.1PPR pts
19/31, 159 YDS
Defensive playmaker
Daiyan Henley
1 INT, 13 TKL
Patriots 16, Chargers 3: New England wins the 2025 Wild Card
New England led 6–3 at halftime and outscored Los Angeles 10–0 after the break to win 16–3. The Patriots finished with a 381–207 edge in total offense and averaged 6.0 yards per play.
The Chargers went 1-for-10 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Patriots kept the ball for 32:15.
The Patriots' run ended in the Super Bowl, a 29–13 loss to the Seahawks.
The two teams meet again in Week 12 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +2.5 yards/play NE 6.0 · LAC 3.5
- +174 total yards NE 381 · LAC 207
- +26% third-down rate NE 36% · LAC 10%
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Patriots Won
New England won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.
| Chargers | Stat | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Yards per play | 6.0 |
| 207 | Total yards | 381 |
| 10% | Third-down conversion | 36% |
| Other team stats | ||
| 59 | Plays | 64 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 27:45 | Time of possession | 32:15 |
Scoring Summary
The Patriots scored one touchdown and three field goals; the Chargers scored one field goal.
| Time | Team | Play | LAC | NE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| No scoring | ||||
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 13:32 | NE | Andy Borregales 23-yard FG Takes lead | 0 | 3 |
| 6:52 | LAC | Cameron Dicker 21-yard FG Ties game | 3 | 3 |
| 0:02 | NE | Andy Borregales 35-yard FG Takes lead | 3 | 6 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 1:34 | NE | Andy Borregales 39-yard FG Extends lead | 3 | 9 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 9:45 | NE | Drake Maye → Hunter Henry, 28-yard TD Extends leadAndy Borregales XP | 3 | 16 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+6.9Hunter Henry15.4 PTS vs 8.5 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−10.1Justin Herbert10.1 PTS vs 20.2 xFP
- Highest expected volume21.0 xFPDrake Maye18.3 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeNE · QB | 18.3 | 21.0 | −2.7 | — | 29 att | — | 29 | 10 | 34% | 1 | 4% |
| Justin HerbertLAC · QB | 10.1 | 20.2 | −10.1 | — | 31 att | — | 31 | 10 | 45% | 0 | 0% |
| Keenan AllenLAC · WR | 5.5 | 13.6 | −8.1 | — | 27% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8 | 27% |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB | 15.8 | 13.3 | +2.5 | — | 34% car | — | 0 | 10 | 34% | 4 | 15% |
| Kimani VidalLAC · RB | 7.1 | 12.2 | −5.1 | — | 50% car | — | 0 | 11 | 50% | 3 | 10% |
| Quentin JohnstonLAC · WR | 5.0 | 10.2 | −5.2 | — | 20% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 20% |
| Hunter HenryNE · TE | 15.4 | 8.5 | +6.9 | — | 19% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 19% |
| Stefon DiggsNE · WR | 3.6 | 8.5 | −4.9 | — | 19% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 19% |
| TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB | 4.6 | 7.5 | −2.9 | — | 31% car | — | 0 | 9 | 31% | 1 | 4% |
| Kayshon BoutteNE · WR | 10.6 | 6.8 | +3.8 | — | 15% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 15% |
| Ladd McConkeyLAC · WR | 6.2 | 6.8 | −0.6 | — | 13% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Oronde GadsdenLAC · TE | 6.0 | 5.1 | +0.9 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 10% |
| Tre' HarrisLAC · WR | 4.0 | 5.1 | −1.1 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 10% |
| Tucker FiskLAC · TE | 4.2 | 5.1 | −0.9 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 10% |
| Austin HooperNE · TE | 0.0 | 3.4 | −3.4 | — | 7% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% |
| DeMario DouglasNE · WR | 1.3 | 3.4 | −2.1 | — | 7% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% |
| Efton Chism IIINE · WR | 3.0 | 2.1 | +0.9 | — | 4% tgt | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Jack WestoverNE · TE | 1.8 | 1.7 | +0.1 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Kyle WilliamsNE · — | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Omarion HamptonLAC · RB | -0.1 | 0.6 | −0.7 | — | 5% car | — | 0 | 1 | 5% | 0 | 0% |
Team totals: Chargers 30 targets and 22 carries; Patriots 27 targets and 29 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Justin Herbert Unlucky
19 of 31 passing for 159 yards; 10 carries for 57 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Fewest points since Week 11.
Drake Maye
17 of 29 passing for 268 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 1 target (4% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 10 carries for 66 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.0 expected.
Keenan Allen Unlucky
8 targets (27% of the team's), 3 catches for 25 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Kimani Vidal Unlucky
3 targets (10% of the team's), 2 catches for 20 yards; 11 carries (50% of the team's) for 31 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 12.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Best score since Week 14.
Rhamondre Stevenson
4 targets (15% of the team's), 3 catches for 75 yards; 10 carries (34% of the team's) for 53 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.3 expected.
Fewest points since Week 15.
Hunter Henry Ran hot
5 targets (19% of the team's), 3 catches for 64 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Quentin Johnston Unlucky
6 targets (20% of the team's), 3 catches for 20 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Chargers D | Patriots D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 13.5 | 15.2 |
| RBs | 18.6 | 19.0 |
| WRs | 25.7 | 28.6 |
| TEs | 10.5 | 13.8 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
New England opened at 60% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.
Patriots win probability
Key Swings
- +10Borregales 23-yd FG59% → 68%Q2 13:32
- −11Dicker 21-yd FG69% → 58%Q2 6:52
- +12Borregales 35-yd FG57% → 69%Q2 0:02
- +12Borregales 39-yd FG71% → 84%Q3 1:34
- +11Maye → Henry, 28-yd TD89% → 99%Q4 9:45
Swing in Patriots win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Los Angeles Chargers | Measure | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Plays | 64 |
| 63% | Pass rate | 55% |
| 3.2 | Yds / dropback | 6.7 |
| 4.0 | Yds / carry | 5.0 |
| 1/10 | Third downs | 4/11 |
Efficiency edge New England ran 5 more plays and gained 3.5 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- LAC Allen 27% · Johnston 20% · McConkey 13%
- NE Henry 19% · Diggs 19% · Boutte 15%
Possession Results
| Result | LAC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Field goals | 1 | 3 |
| Punts | 5 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnovers on downs | 2 | 0 |
LAC turnover edge: +1
- The Patriots opened the scoring on their third possession, a 14-play, 93-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
- The Patriots drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to seven minutes.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | Q1 15:00 | 5 | 14 | 2:37 | Punt |
| LAC | Q1 12:23 | 6 | 28 | 4:15 | Punt |
| NE | Q1 8:08 | 2 | -1 | 0:38 | Interception |
| LAC | Q1 7:30 | 4 | 8 | 2:18 | Downs |
| NE | Q1 5:12 | 14 | 93 | 6:40 | Field goal |
| LAC | Q2 13:32 | 11 | 69 | 6:40 | Field goal |
| NE | Q2 6:52 | 7 | 28 | 3:29 | Punt |
| LAC | Q2 3:23 | 8 | 15 | 2:52 | Punt |
| NE | Q2 0:31 | 5 | 37 | 0:29 | Field goal |
| LAC | Q2 0:02 | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | End of half |
| LAC | Q3 15:00 | 3 | 3 | 1:48 | Punt |
| NE | Q3 13:12 | 11 | 58 | 6:06 | Fumble |
| LAC | Q3 7:06 | 4 | 28 | 1:56 | Punt |
| NE | Q3 5:10 | 8 | 64 | 3:36 | Field goal |
| LAC | Q3 1:34 | 6 | 27 | 2:33 | Punt |
| NE | Q4 14:01 | 7 | 80 | 4:16 | Touchdown |
| LAC | Q4 9:45 | 4 | 12 | 1:37 | Fumble |
| NE | Q4 8:08 | 3 | -5 | 2:29 | Punt |
| LAC | Q4 5:39 | 14 | 45 | 3:44 | Downs |
| NE | Q4 1:55 | 5 | 13 | 1:55 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Chargers vs Patriots Head-to-Head
The Chargers and Patriots first met in 1960 and have played 47 times since.
- All-time series
- 28–17–2Patriots lead, 47 meetings since 1960
- Postseason
- 4–1Split 4–1
- Largest Chargers win
- 51–101963
- Largest Patriots win
- 45–02020
Since 2021
2–2 Series tied
4 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. C = Chargers win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 12 Patriots at Chargers Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wild Card Chargers at Patriots NE 16 LAC 3 NE W
- 2024 Wk 17 Chargers at Patriots, 2024 Wk 17 recap LAC 40 NE 7 LAC W
- 2023 Wk 13 Chargers at Patriots, 2023 Wk 13 recap LAC 6 NE 0 LAC W
- 2021 Wk 8 Patriots at Chargers, 2021 Wk 8 recap NE 27 LAC 24 NE W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Chargers | Stat | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 14-3 |
| 21.6 | Points per game | 28.8 |
| 333.8 | Yards per game | 379.4 |
| 5.2 | Yards per play | 6.2 |
| 20.0 | Points allowed per game | 18.8 |
| 285.2 | Yards allowed per game | 295.2 |
Chargers vs Patriots Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- NE −3.5Patriots covered by 9.5
- Total
- 45.5Under: 19 points scored (by 26.5)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 24.5 | 16 | −8.5 |
| Chargers | 21.0 | 3 | −18.0 |
Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.
Betting Trends
Last 2 meetings: Patriots 2–0 ATS, overs and unders 1–1.
Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
Los Angeles Chargers
- Against the spread
- 4–3
- Over/under
- 2–5
- ATS as favorite
- 1–1
- ATS as underdog
- 3–2
- ATS on the road
- 2–2
New England Patriots
- Against the spread
- 5–1
- Over/under
- 5–1
- ATS as favorite
- 4–0
- ATS as underdog
- 1–1
- ATS at home
- 3–1
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Chargers vs Patriots Fantasy Outlook for 2026
One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 12 in Los Angeles. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Chargers or Patriots player start in Week 12? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Chargers and Patriots players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Chargers and Patriots defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere this matchup falls in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Chargers vs Patriots Game FAQ
Who won the 2025 Chargers vs Patriots Wild Card game?
The New England Patriots beat the Los Angeles Chargers 16–3 in the Wild Card round of the 2025 playoffs. The game was played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, on January 11, 2026. See the Patriots' 2025 schedule.
What was the final score of Chargers vs Patriots?
The final score was Patriots 16, Chargers 3. The Patriots led 6–3 at halftime, and the second half went Chargers 0, Patriots 10.
What happened in the Chargers vs Patriots game?
New England led 6–3 at halftime and outscored Los Angeles 10–0 after the break to win 16–3. The Patriots finished with a 381–207 edge in total offense and averaged 6.0 yards per play. The Patriots committed 2 turnovers, the Chargers 1.
How did the Patriots beat the Chargers?
The Patriots beat the Chargers 16–3 because they averaged 6.0 yards per play to 3.5 and outgained them 381–207.
Which team won the turnover battle in Chargers vs Patriots?
The Chargers won the turnover battle 2–1: the Patriots gave the ball away 2 times and the Chargers 1 time. The Patriots won the game anyway.
What is the all-time Chargers vs Patriots record?
The Patriots lead the all-time series 28–17–2 across 47 meetings since 1960, including a 4–1 record in the postseason.
When did the Chargers and Patriots last play before this game?
Before the 2025 Wild Card round, they last met in the 2024 season on December 28, 2024, when the Chargers beat the Patriots 40–7.
Have the Chargers and Patriots met in the playoffs?
Yes, 5 times, most recently in the 2025 playoffs. The Chargers are 1–4 against the Patriots in the postseason.
What is the Chargers vs Patriots record since 2021?
The series is tied 2–2 across 4 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.
What was the closing spread for Chargers vs Patriots?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Patriots −3.5, making the New England Patriots 3.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 45.5. That implied about 24.5 points for the Patriots and 21.0 for the Chargers.
Did Chargers vs Patriots go over or under the total?
The game went under. The consensus closing total was 45.5, and the teams combined for 19 points, 26.5 under the number.
Who covered the spread in Chargers vs Patriots?
The Patriots covered by 9.5 against the closing line of Patriots −3.5. The final margin was 13 points.