Final2025 Week 18

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots, Week 18 2025

Miami Dolphins

Away

10

New England Patriots

HomeWon

38

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dolphins0100010
Patriots14314738

MIA 10NE 38 Final

  • Passing leader

    Drake Maye

    NE · QB

    15.7PPR pts

    14/18, 191 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Rhamondre Stevenson

    NE · RB

    35.3PPR pts

    7 ATT, 131 YDS, 2 TD, 2 REC, 22 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Dolphins leader

    Malik Washington

    MIA · WR

    11.8PPR pts

    3 REC, 6 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Jaylinn Hawkins

    NE

    1 INT, 2 TKL

Patriots 38, Dolphins 10: New England leads from start to finish

New England led 17–10 at halftime and outscored Miami 21–0 after the break to win 38–10. The Patriots finished with a 457–180 edge in total offense and averaged 8.2 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Dolphins went 5-for-13 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Patriots finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 8 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +4.9 yards/play NE 8.2 · MIA 3.3
  • +2 turnover margin NE 0 turnovers
  • +277 total yards NE 457 · MIA 180

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Patriots Won

New England won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Dolphins vs Patriots
DolphinsStatPatriots
3.3Yards per play8.2
2Turnovers0
180Total yards457
Other team stats
54Plays56
38%Third-down conversion50%
29:11Time of possession30:49

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored five touchdowns and one field goal; the Dolphins scored one touchdown and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Dolphins vs Patriots
TimeTeamPlayMIANE
1st quarter
13:14NETreVeyon Henderson 5-yard TD run Takes leadAndy Borregales XP07
0:55NERhamondre Stevenson 2-yard TD run Extends leadAndy Borregales XP014
2nd quarter
10:14MIAQuinn Ewers → Malik Washington, 2-yard TDRiley Patterson XP714
0:28MIARiley Patterson 52-yard FG1014
0:00NEAndy Borregales 59-yard FG Extends lead1017
3rd quarter
7:30NEDrake Maye → Rhamondre Stevenson, 15-yard TD Extends leadAndy Borregales XP1024
2:18NERhamondre Stevenson 35-yard TD run Extends leadAndy Borregales XP1031
4th quarter
12:39NETreVeyon Henderson 2-yard TD run Extends leadAndy Borregales XP1038

Fantasy Points: Dolphins vs Patriots, Week 18 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Rhamondre StevensonNERB35.3 PTSRB1
  2. TreVeyon HendersonNERB17.3 PTSRB11
  3. Drake MayeNEQB15.7 PTSQB16
  4. Malik WashingtonMIAWR11.8 PTSWR19

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Drake MayeNEQB15.7QB1614/18191105410129.4Start/Sit →
Quinn EwersMIAQB9.4QB2116/231371119081.3Start/Sit →
Joshua DobbsNEQB0.9QB353/4230030088.5Start/Sit →
Zach WilsonMIAQB0.0—0/2000———39.6

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Rhamondre StevensonNERB35.3RB1RB7131222221Start/Sit →
TreVeyon HendersonNERB17.3RB11RB13532————Start/Sit →
Malik WashingtonMIAWR11.8WR19WR22204361Start/Sit →
Hunter HenryNETE10.6TE11TE———55560Start/Sit →
Theo WeaseMIAWR7.4WR43WR———53440
Stefon DiggsNEWR7.3WR45WR———33430Start/Sit →
Greg DulcichMIATE6.1TE26TE———43310Start/Sit →
DeMario DouglasNEWR4.9WR58WR———32290Start/Sit →
Tahj WashingtonMIAWR4.6WR61WR———32260
Efton ChismNEWR4.5WR62WR———11350
Kayshon BoutteNEWR4.4WR63WR———42240Start/Sit →
Jaylen WrightMIARB4.0RB56RB1323022170Start/Sit →
Ollie GordonMIARB2.1RB67RB9901120
Julian HillMIATE1.8TE51TE———1180
Austin HooperNETE1.5TE55TE———1150Start/Sit →
D'Ernest JohnsonNERB1.3RB73RB5130————
Jack WestoverNETE1.0TE61TE———1100
Kyle WilliamsNEWR0.5WR107WR150————Start/Sit →
Cedrick WilsonMIAWR0.0—WR———2000

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Jaylen WrightMIA · RB4.011.8−7.8—52% car—01352%28%
Drake MayeNE · QB15.711.2+4.5—18 att—18515%00%
Quinn EwersMIA · QB9.410.9−1.5—23 att—2314%00%
Hunter HenryNE · TE10.68.5+2.1—25% tgt—000%525%
Theo Wease Jr.MIA · WR7.48.5−1.1—21% tgt—000%521%
TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB17.38.4+8.9—38% car—01338%00%
Malik WashingtonMIA · WR11.88.1+3.7—17% tgt—028%417%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB35.37.9+27.4—21% car—0721%210%
Ollie Gordon IIMIA · RB2.17.5−5.4—36% car—0936%14%
Greg DulcichMIA · TE6.16.8−0.7—17% tgt—000%417%
Kayshon BoutteNE · WR4.46.8−2.4—20% tgt—000%420%
DeMario DouglasNE · WR4.95.1−0.2—15% tgt—000%315%
Stefon DiggsNE · WR7.35.1+2.2—15% tgt—000%315%
Tahj WashingtonMIA · WR4.65.1−0.5—13% tgt—000%313%
Joshua DobbsNE · QB0.93.7−2.8—4 att—439%00%
Alec IngoldMIA · RB1.33.4−2.1—8% tgt—000%28%
Cedrick Wilson Jr.MIA · WR0.03.4−3.4—8% tgt—000%28%
D'Ernest JohnsonNE · RB1.33.2−1.9—15% car—0515%00%
Austin HooperNE · TE1.51.7−0.2—5% tgt—000%15%
Efton Chism IIINE · WR4.51.7+2.8—5% tgt—000%15%
Jack WestoverNE · TE1.01.7−0.7—5% tgt—000%15%
Julian HillMIA · TE1.81.7+0.1—4% tgt—000%14%
Zach WilsonMIA · QB0.00.9−0.9—2 att—200%00%
Kyle WilliamsNE · —0.50.6−0.1—3% car—013%00%

Team totals: Dolphins 24 targets and 25 carries; Patriots 20 targets and 34 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Quinn Ewers

MIA · QB · 9.4 pts on 10.9 expected

16 of 23 passing for 137 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 1 carry for 9 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Quinn Ewers →

Drake Maye

NE · QB · 15.7 pts on 11.2 expected

14 of 18 passing for 191 yards, 1 touchdown; 5 carries for 41 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Drake Maye →

Jaylen Wright Unlucky

MIA · RB · 4.0 pts on 11.8 expected

2 targets (8% of the team's), 2 catches for 17 yards; 13 carries (52% of the team's) for 23 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Jaylen Wright →

Theo Wease Jr.

MIA · WR · 7.4 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (21% of the team's), 3 catches for 44 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.5 expected.

Hunter Henry

NE · TE · 10.6 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (25% of the team's), 5 catches for 56 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Hunter Henry →

TreVeyon Henderson Ran hot

NE · RB · 17.3 pts on 8.4 expected

13 carries (38% of the team's) for 53 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: TreVeyon Henderson →

Rhamondre Stevenson Ran hot

NE · RB · 35.3 pts on 7.9 expected

2 targets (10% of the team's), 2 catches for 22 yards and 1 touchdown; 7 carries (21% of the team's) for 131 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 7.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Rhamondre Stevenson →

Ollie Gordon II Unlucky

MIA · RB · 2.1 pts on 7.5 expected

1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 2 yards; 9 carries (36% of the team's) for 9 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 7.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Dolphins defense and Patriots defense
Points allowed toDolphins DPatriots D
QBs18.415.2
RBs24.819.0
WRs29.228.6
TEs16.313.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New England opened at 86% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.

Patriots win probability

Patriots win probability by game minutePatriots started at 86%, stood at 93% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +9Henderson 5-yd TD run86% → 94%Q1 13:14
  2. +5Stevenson 2-yd TD run94% → 98%Q1 0:55
  3. −5Ewers → Washington, 2-yd TD98% → 93%Q2 10:14
  4. −5Patterson 52-yd FG93% → 88%Q2 0:28
  5. +6Maye → Stevenson, 15-yd TD93% → 99%Q3 7:30

Swing in Patriots win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Dolphins vs Patriots
Miami DolphinsMeasureNew England Patriots
54Plays56
54%Pass rate39%
4.0Yds / dropback9.7
2.5Yds / carry7.1
5/13Third downs5/10

Efficiency edge New England ran 2 more plays and gained 5.7 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • MIA Wease 21% · Dulcich 17% · Washington 17%
  • NE Henry 25% · Boutte 20% · Douglas 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Dolphins vs Patriots
ResultMIANE
Touchdowns15
Field goals11
Punts63
Turnovers20
Turnovers on downs11
Missed field goals01

NE turnover edge: +2

  • The Patriots opened the scoring on their first possession, a 3-play, 70-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Patriots scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to five minutes.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:003701:46Touchdown
MIAQ1 13:1412577:24Downs
NEQ1 5:509924:55Touchdown
MIAQ1 0:5510655:41Touchdown
NEQ2 10:14300:34Punt
MIAQ2 9:40382:07Punt
NEQ2 7:33492:31Downs
MIAQ2 5:021-80:35Fumble
NEQ2 4:276172:56Missed FG
MIAQ2 1:31461:03Field goal
NEQ2 0:284270:28Field goal
MIAQ3 15:006523:22Interception
NEQ3 11:387804:08Touchdown
MIAQ3 7:30663:06Punt
NEQ3 4:244632:06Touchdown
MIAQ3 2:183-11:39Punt
NEQ3 0:395513:00Touchdown
MIAQ4 12:393-91:38Punt
NEQ4 11:01331:35Punt
MIAQ4 9:264151:39Punt
NEQ4 7:47392:02Punt
MIAQ4 5:45310:57Punt
NEQ4 4:487394:48End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Dolphins vs Patriots Head-to-Head

The Dolphins and Patriots first met in 1966 and have played 121 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
64–57Dolphins lead, 121 meetings since 1966
Postseason
2–1Patriots won in 1985 and 1997; Dolphins won in 1982
Largest Dolphins win
52–01972
Largest Patriots win
43–02019

Since 2021

7–3 Dolphins lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. D = Dolphins win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 8 Patriots at Dolphins Upcoming
  • Week 18 Dolphins at Patriots Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Dolphins vs Patriots
DolphinsStatPatriots
7-10Record14-3
20.4Points per game28.8
300.7Yards per game379.4
5.4Yards per play6.2
24.9Points allowed per game18.8
348.8Yards allowed per game295.2

Dolphins vs Patriots Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
NE −14.5Patriots covered by 13.5
Total
43.5Over: 48 points scored (by 4.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Patriots29.038+9.0
Dolphins14.510−4.5

The Patriots beat their implied total and the Dolphins fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 5 meetings: Dolphins 4–1 ATS, overs 3–2.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Miami Dolphins

Against the spread
3–3
Over/under
3–3
ATS as favorite
1–0
ATS as underdog
1–3
ATS on the road
1–2

New England Patriots

Against the spread
4–1
Over/under
5–0
ATS as favorite
3–0
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS at home
2–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Dolphins vs Patriots Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 8 in Miami and Week 18 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Dolphins vs Patriots Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Dolphins vs Patriots Week 18 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Miami Dolphins 38–10 in Week 18 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, on January 4, 2026. See the Patriots' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Dolphins vs Patriots?

The final score was Patriots 38, Dolphins 10. The Patriots led 17–10 at halftime, and the second half went Dolphins 0, Patriots 21.

What happened in the Dolphins vs Patriots game?

New England led 17–10 at halftime and outscored Miami 21–0 after the break to win 38–10. The Patriots finished with a 457–180 edge in total offense and averaged 8.2 yards per play. Rhamondre Stevenson led all players with 2 catches for 22 yards and a touchdown, plus 7 carries for 131 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. The Dolphins committed 2 turnovers, the Patriots none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Dolphins vs Patriots?

Rhamondre Stevenson led the game with 35.3 PPR fantasy points, the RB1 of Week 18, on 2 catches for 22 yards and a touchdown, plus 7 carries for 131 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. TreVeyon Henderson was next with 17.3 (RB11). See Rhamondre Stevenson's 2025 game log.

Who led Dolphins vs Patriots in passing, rushing and receiving?

Drake Maye (NE) led all passers with 14 of 18 for 191 yards and a touchdown. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) led in rushing with 7 carries for 131 yards and 2 touchdowns. Hunter Henry (NE) led in receiving with 5 catches for 56 yards.

How many fantasy points did Rhamondre Stevenson score against the Dolphins?

Rhamondre Stevenson scored 35.3 points in PPR leagues, 34.3 in half-PPR and 33.3 in standard scoring against the Dolphins in Week 18 of the 2025 season, on 2 catches for 22 yards and a touchdown, plus 7 carries for 131 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Patriots?

Rhamondre Stevenson outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 35.3 PPR points on 7.9 xFP (+27.4). Jaylen Wright fell furthest short, with 4.0 points on 11.8 xFP (−7.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Patriots beat the Dolphins?

The Patriots beat the Dolphins 38–10 because they averaged 8.2 yards per play to 3.3, won the turnover battle 2–0, and outgained them 457–180.

Which team won the turnover battle in Dolphins vs Patriots?

The Patriots won the turnover battle 2–0: the Dolphins gave the ball away 2 times and the Patriots not at all. The Patriots won the game.

What is the all-time Dolphins vs Patriots record?

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 64–57 across 121 meetings since 1966, including a 1–2 record in the postseason.

When did the Dolphins and Patriots last play before this game?

Before Week 18 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on September 14, 2025, when the Patriots beat the Dolphins 33–27.

Have the Dolphins and Patriots met in the playoffs?

Yes, 3 times, most recently in the 1997 playoffs. The Dolphins are 1–2 against the Patriots in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Dolphins vs Patriots?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Patriots −14.5, making the New England Patriots 14.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 43.5. That implied about 29.0 points for the Patriots and 14.5 for the Dolphins.

Did Dolphins vs Patriots go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 43.5, and the teams combined for 48 points, 4.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Dolphins vs Patriots?

The Patriots covered by 13.5 against the closing line of Patriots −14.5. The final margin was 28 points.