Final2024 Week 16

Lumen Field, Seattle, WA

Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks, Week 16 2024

Minnesota Vikings

AwayWon

27

Seattle Seahawks

Home

24

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vikings7103727
Seahawks0143724

MIN 27SEA 24 Final

  • Passing leader

    Geno Smith

    SEA · QB

    23.4PPR pts

    31/43, 314 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Justin Jefferson

    MIN · WR

    36.4PPR pts

    10 REC, 144 YDS, 2 TD

  • Seahawks leader

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba

    SEA · WR

    24.0PPR pts

    8 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Theo Jackson

    MIN

    1 INT, 4 TKL

Vikings 27, Seahawks 24: Minnesota holds off Seattle

Minnesota led 17–14 at halftime to win 27–24. Seattle outgained the Vikings 361–298.

The Seahawks went 2-for-10 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Vikings finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +2 turnover margin MIN 0 turnovers
  • +5% third-down rate MIN 25% · SEA 20%
  • +1:22 time of possession MIN 30:41 · SEA 29:19

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Vikings Won

Minnesota won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Vikings vs Seahawks
VikingsStatSeahawks
0Turnovers2
25%Third-down conversion20%
30:41Time of possession29:19
Other team stats
298Total yards361
4.8Yards per play6.0
62Plays60

Scoring Summary

The Vikings scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Seahawks scored three touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Vikings vs Seahawks
TimeTeamPlayMINSEA
1st quarter
8:06MINSam Darnold → Jordan Addison, 5-yard TD Takes leadWill Reichard XP70
2nd quarter
13:35SEAGeno Smith → DK Metcalf, 25-yard TD Ties gameJason Myers XP77
5:50MINSam Darnold → Justin Jefferson, 14-yard TD Takes leadWill Reichard XP147
3:33MINWill Reichard 52-yard FG Extends lead177
0:20SEAGeno Smith → Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 18-yard TDJason Myers XP1714
3rd quarter
10:37SEAJason Myers 43-yard FG Ties game1717
6:25MINWill Reichard 48-yard FG Takes lead2017
4th quarter
4:21SEAGeno Smith → AJ Barner, 4-yard TD Takes leadJason Myers XP2024
3:51MINSam Darnold → Justin Jefferson, 39-yard TD Game winnerWill Reichard XP2724

Fantasy Points: Vikings vs Seahawks, Week 16 2024

Fantasy leaders

  1. Justin JeffersonMINWR36.4 PTSWR1
  2. Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWR24.0 PTSWR7
  3. Geno SmithSEAQB23.4 PTSQB5
  4. Sam DarnoldMINQB22.9 PTSQB8

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Geno SmithSEAQB23.4QB531/433143218096.5Start/Sit →
Sam DarnoldMINQB22.9QB822/35246305110112.3Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Justin JeffersonMINWR36.4WR1WR———13101442Start/Sit →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWR24.0WR7WR150128951Start/Sit →
DK MetcalfSEAWR14.7WR24WR———73571Start/Sit →
Jordan AddisonMINWR14.5WR26WR———85351Start/Sit →
Kenneth WalkerSEARB13.9RB22RB831088280
Aaron JonesMINRB12.3RB25RB1867053260
AJ BarnerSEATE9.3TE15TE———22131Start/Sit →
Noah FantSEATE8.0TE19TE———63500Start/Sit →
T.J. HockensonMINTE4.7TE29TE———52270Start/Sit →
Kenny McIntoshSEARB3.9RB51RB314011150
Tyler LockettSEAWR3.9WR86WR———22190
Zach CharbonnetSEARB3.3RB57RB1-1022140Start/Sit →
Pharaoh BrownSEATE2.7TE37TE———11170
Jake BoboSEAWR1.6WR107WR———1160
Jalen NailorMINWR1.5WR108WR———2150Start/Sit →
Cam AkersMINRB0.3RB79RB130————
Josh OliverMINTE0.0—TE———1000

Fantasy Usage

Minnesota Vikings

Snap Share

  1. Justin JeffersonWR64 snaps97%
  2. Jordan AddisonWR59 snaps89%
  3. Aaron JonesRB54 snaps82%
  4. T.J. HockensonTE46 snaps70%
  5. Jalen NailorWR35 snaps53%

Target Share34 targets

  1. Justin Jefferson38%, 13 targets
  2. Jordan Addison24%, 8 targets
  3. Aaron Jones15%, 5 targets
  4. T.J. Hockenson15%, 5 targets
  5. Jalen Nailor6%, 2 targets
  6. Other3%, 1 targets

Carry Share24 carries

  1. Aaron Jones75%, 18 carries
  2. Sam Darnold21%, 5 carries
  3. Cam Akers4%, 1 carries

Seattle Seahawks

Snap Share

  1. DK MetcalfWR57 snaps89%
  2. Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR56 snaps88%
  3. Noah FantTE46 snaps72%
  4. Tyler LockettWR44 snaps69%
  5. Kenneth WalkerRB38 snaps59%

Target Share42 targets

  1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba29%, 12 targets
  2. Kenneth Walker19%, 8 targets
  3. DK Metcalf17%, 7 targets
  4. Noah Fant14%, 6 targets
  5. Tyler Lockett5%, 2 targets
  6. Other17%, 7 targets

Carry Share14 carries

  1. Kenneth Walker57%, 8 carries
  2. Kenny McIntosh21%, 3 carries
  3. Geno Smith7%, 1 carries
  4. Jaxon Smith-Njigba7%, 1 carries
  5. Zach Charbonnet7%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Justin JeffersonMINWR6497%1338%0
Jordan AddisonMINWR5989%824%0
DK MetcalfSEAWR5789%717%0
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWR5688%1229%1
Aaron JonesMINRB5482%515%18
Noah FantSEATE4672%614%0
T.J. HockensonMINTE4670%515%0
Tyler LockettSEAWR4469%25%0
Kenneth WalkerSEARB3859%819%8
Jalen NailorMINWR3553%26%0
Josh OliverMINTE3147%13%0
Pharaoh BrownSEATE2133%12%0
AJ BarnerSEATE1930%25%0
Zach CharbonnetSEARB1422%25%1
Kenny McIntoshSEARB1219%12%3
Jake BoboSEAWR1219%12%0
Johnny MundtMINTE1015%00%0
Trent SherfieldMINWR711%00%0
Cam AkersMINRB711%00%1
Brandon PowellMINWR46%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+14.1Justin Jefferson36.4 PTS vs 22.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−8.0Aaron Jones Sr.12.3 PTS vs 20.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume22.3 xFPJustin Jefferson36.4 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Justin JeffersonMIN · WR36.422.3+14.197%37% tgt—000%1337%
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · WR24.021.2+2.888%29% tgt—017%1229%
Aaron Jones Sr.MIN · RB12.320.3−8.082%75% car—01875%514%
Geno SmithSEA · QB23.419.8+3.6100%43 att—4317%00%
Kenneth Walker IIISEA · —13.918.9−5.059%53% car—0853%819%
Sam DarnoldMIN · QB22.918.8+4.1100%35 att—35521%00%
Jordan AddisonMIN · WR14.513.7+0.889%23% tgt—000%823%
DK MetcalfSEA · WR14.712.0+2.789%17% tgt—000%717%
Noah FantSEA · TE8.010.3−2.372%14% tgt—000%614%
T.J. HockensonMIN · TE4.78.6−3.970%14% tgt—000%514%
Zach CharbonnetSEA · RB3.34.1−0.822%7% car—017%25%
Kenny McIntoshSEA · RB3.93.7+0.219%20% car—0320%12%
AJ BarnerSEA · TE9.33.4+5.930%5% tgt—000%25%
Jalen NailorMIN · WR1.53.4−1.953%6% tgt—000%26%
Tyler LockettSEA · WR3.93.4+0.569%5% tgt—000%25%
C.J. HamMIN · RB1.91.7+0.2—3% tgt—000%13%
Jake BoboSEA · WR1.61.7−0.119%2% tgt—000%12%
Josh OliverMIN · TE0.01.7−1.747%3% tgt—000%13%
Pharaoh BrownSEA · TE2.71.7+1.033%2% tgt—000%12%
Cam AkersMIN · RB0.30.7−0.411%4% car—014%00%
Julian LoveSEA · —0.20.7−0.5—7% car—017%00%

Team totals: Vikings 35 targets and 24 carries; Seahawks 42 targets and 15 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2024 season: 1.71 PPR points per target (68% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Sam Darnold

MIN · QB · 22.9 pts on 18.8 expected

22 of 35 passing for 246 yards, 3 touchdowns; 5 carries for 11 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Sam Darnold →

Geno Smith

SEA · QB · 23.4 pts on 19.8 expected

31 of 43 passing for 314 yards, 3 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 1 carry for 8 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Geno Smith →

Justin Jefferson Ran hot

MIN · WR · 36.4 pts on 22.3 expected

13 targets (37% of the team's), 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 22.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Justin Jefferson →

Aaron Jones Sr. Volume, no payoff

MIN · RB · 12.3 pts on 20.3 expected

5 targets (14% of the team's), 3 catches for 26 yards; 18 carries (75% of the team's) for 67 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

SEA · WR · 24.0 pts on 21.2 expected

12 targets (29% of the team's), 8 catches for 95 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (7% of the team's) for 5 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Jaxon Smith-Njigba →

Kenneth Walker III

SEA · — · 13.9 pts on 18.9 expected

8 targets (19% of the team's), 8 catches for 28 yards; 8 carries (53% of the team's) for 31 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.9 expected.

AJ Barner Ran hot

SEA · TE · 9.3 pts on 3.4 expected

2 targets (5% of the team's), 2 catches for 13 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: AJ Barner →

Cam Akers

MIN · RB · 0.3 pts on 0.7 expected

1 carry (4% of the team's) for 3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 0.7 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Minnesota Vikings

  • Stock up: Aaron Jones Sr. played 82% of the snaps, up from a 63% season average.
  • Stock down: Cam Akers played 11% of the snaps, down from a 28% season average.

Seattle Seahawks

  • Stock down: Zach Charbonnet played 22% of the snaps, down from a 52% season average.
  • Stock down: AJ Barner played 30% of the snaps, down from a 47% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2024 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Vikings defense and Seahawks defense
Points allowed toVikings DSeahawks D
QBs15.516.9
RBs18.821.8
WRs39.733.9
TEs11.311.6

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Seattle opened at 50% win probability, climbed as high as 88%, then lost.

Seahawks win probability

Seahawks win probability by game minuteSeahawks started at 50%, stood at 38% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +23Smith → Metcalf, 25-yd TD27% → 50%Q2 13:35
  2. −25Darnold → Jefferson, 14-yd TD50% → 25%Q2 5:50
  3. +23Smith → Smith-Njigba, 18-yd TD15% → 38%Q2 0:20
  4. +66Smith → Barner, 4-yd TD20% → 86%Q4 4:21
  5. −69Darnold → Jefferson, 39-yd TD88% → 19%Q4 3:51

Swing in Seahawks win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Vikings vs Seahawks
Minnesota VikingsMeasureSeattle Seahawks
62Plays60
61%Pass rate75%
5.7Yds / dropback6.7
3.4Yds / carry3.9
3/12Third downs2/10

Efficiency edge Minnesota ran 2 more plays than Seattle.

  • Top targets
  • MIN Jefferson 37% · Addison 23% · Jones 14%
  • SEA Smith-Njigba 29% · Walker 19% · Metcalf 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Vikings vs Seahawks
ResultMINSEA
Touchdowns33
Field goals21
Punts65
Turnovers02
Missed field goals01

MIN turnover edge: +2

  • The Vikings opened the scoring on their first possession, a 12-play, 70-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 25 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MINQ1 15:0012706:54Touchdown
SEAQ1 8:06331:57Punt
MINQ1 6:097313:31Punt
SEAQ1 2:387874:03Touchdown
MINQ2 13:353-61:34Punt
SEAQ2 12:01391:32Punt
MINQ2 10:298674:39Touchdown
SEAQ2 5:50100:08Interception
MINQ2 5:424-32:09Field goal
SEAQ2 3:33321:36Punt
MINQ2 1:57370:32Punt
SEAQ2 1:255881:05Touchdown
MINQ2 0:201-10:20End of half
SEAQ3 15:008404:23Field goal
MINQ3 10:378404:12Field goal
SEAQ3 6:25331:40Punt
MINQ3 4:456382:47Punt
SEAQ3 1:5811334:37Punt
MINQ4 12:21371:44Punt
SEAQ4 10:3711686:16Touchdown
MINQ4 4:214700:30Touchdown
SEAQ4 3:516281:56Missed FG
MINQ4 1:553-51:00Punt
SEAQ4 0:551-50:06Interception
MINQ4 0:492-20:49End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Vikings vs Seahawks Head-to-Head

The Vikings and Seahawks first met in 1976 and have played 21 times since.

All-time series
14–7Seahawks lead, 21 meetings since 1976
Postseason
1–0Seahawks won in 2015
Largest Vikings win
34–72003
Largest Seahawks win
38–72015

Since 2021

2–1 Vikings lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. V = Vikings win, S = Seahawks win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2024 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Vikings vs Seahawks
VikingsStatSeahawks
14-3Record10-7
25.4Points per game22.1
346.9Yards per game332.2
5.6Yards per play5.5
19.5Points allowed per game21.6
335.4Yards allowed per game332.7

Vikings and Seahawks in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Viking or a Seahawk, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2024 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Vikings vs Seahawks Game FAQ

Who won the 2024 Vikings vs Seahawks Week 16 game?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Seattle Seahawks 27–24 in Week 16 of the 2024 season. The game was played at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA, on December 22, 2024. See the Vikings' 2024 schedule.

What was the final score of Vikings vs Seahawks?

The final score was Vikings 27, Seahawks 24. The Vikings led 17–14 at halftime, and the second half went Vikings 10, Seahawks 10.

What happened in the Vikings vs Seahawks game?

Minnesota led 17–14 at halftime to win 27–24. Seattle outgained the Vikings 361–298. Justin Jefferson led all players with 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Seahawks committed 2 turnovers, the Vikings none.

What was the game-winning score in Vikings vs Seahawks?

Sam Darnold's 39-yard touchdown pass to Justin Jefferson with 3:51 left in the fourth quarter gave the Vikings a 27–24 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Vikings vs Seahawks?

Justin Jefferson led the game with 36.4 PPR fantasy points, the WR1 of Week 16, on 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was next with 24.0 (WR7). See Justin Jefferson's 2024 game log.

Who led Vikings vs Seahawks in passing, rushing and receiving?

Geno Smith (SEA) led all passers with 31 of 43 for 314 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Aaron Jones (MIN) led in rushing with 18 carries for 67 yards. Justin Jefferson (MIN) led in receiving with 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Justin Jefferson score against the Seahawks?

Justin Jefferson scored 36.4 points in PPR leagues, 31.4 in half-PPR and 26.4 in standard scoring against the Seahawks in Week 16 of the 2024 season, on 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns. He drew 37% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Vikings vs Seahawks?

Justin Jefferson outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 36.4 PPR points on 22.3 xFP (+14.1). Aaron Jones Sr. fell furthest short, with 12.3 points on 20.3 xFP (−8.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Vikings vs Seahawks?

Justin Jefferson had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 22.3 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 36.4. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Vikings come back to beat the Seahawks?

The Vikings' chances of winning fell as low as 12% in the fourth quarter. Sam Darnold's 39-yard touchdown pass to Justin Jefferson in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Sam Darnold's 39-yard touchdown pass to Justin Jefferson then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Vikings vs Seahawks?

The Vikings won the turnover battle 2–0: the Seahawks gave the ball away 2 times and the Vikings not at all. The Vikings won the game.

What was the turning point of Vikings vs Seahawks?

Sam Darnold's 39-yard touchdown pass to Justin Jefferson with 3:51 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Seahawks' win probability from 88% to 19%.

What is the all-time Vikings vs Seahawks record?

The Seahawks lead the all-time series 14–7 across 21 meetings since 1976, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

When did the Vikings and Seahawks last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2024, they last met in the 2021 season on September 26, 2021, when the Vikings beat the Seahawks 30–17.

Have the Vikings and Seahawks met in the playoffs?

Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 2015 playoffs. The Vikings are 0–1 against the Seahawks in the postseason.