Caleb Williams Dynasty Value 2026
Caleb Williams dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Caleb Williams dynasty outlook
Caleb Williams is ranked #17 overall and QB4 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a first-round startup piece at a market value of 6,077.
He is 24.0 years old — early in a quarterback's dynasty window, which is the longest of any position. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Caleb's dynasty value (6,077) runs well ahead of his win-now value (2,959) — the market is paying for what he becomes, not what he does this season. That is a rebuilder's asset, and a contender's trade chip.
Format matters here: Caleb is worth 6,077 in superflex against 3,579 in 1QB, a +69.8% difference — the usual superflex quarterback premium. Check which format a comparable trade came from before using it as a price.
The model values Caleb -16.3% below the dynasty market, a sell-high signal: the price has run ahead of the production and age behind it.
In dynasty startup drafts Caleb goes at pick 18.0 on average (round 2.06 in a 12-team startup, QB5 by ADP), with a typical range of 9 to 30 across 826 drafts; his startup cost is falling over the last 30 days (-1.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has risen: from an average pick of 70.3 in 2024-02 to 11.7 in 2026-09, across 28 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 19.1 PPR points per game in 2025 over 17 games, up from 15.3 in 2024, finishing QB5.
Drafted round 1, pick 1 by Chicago Bears in 2024. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Chicago Bears |
| Position | QB |
| Age | 24.0 |
| Experience | 2 yrs |
| Number | #18 |
| Bye week | Week 10 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 6,077 |
| Superflex rank | #17 · QB4 |
| 1QB value | 3,579 |
| 1QB rank | #31 · QB4 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 2,959 |
| Timeline | Rebuild asset |
| Model value | 5,084 |
| Model vs market | -16.3% |
| Signal | Sell |
Run a trade with Caleb in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Caleb Williams startup draft cost
Drafted in 826 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #18 · QB5 · earliest pick 2, latest 62 · 7-day +4.0, 14-day +2.0. Expected pick 21.8; availability falls off hardest between picks 12 and 13 (−10 points of availability). Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Caleb Williams dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 10.5 to 123.5.
Caleb Williams production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CHI | 17 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 19.0 | QB5 | QB5 |
| 2024 | CHI | 17 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.3 | QB16 | QB16 |
Caleb Williams draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other QBs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2024 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #1 |
| Drafted by | Chicago Bears |
| Height | 6'1" |
| Weight | 214 lb |
Caleb Williams injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | Hand | minor | 0 | Collided his throwing hand with a defender's helmet during the divisional round playoff game but did not miss any snaps. |
| 2025 | 19 | Ankle | minor | 0 | Briefly left the wild-card playoff game after rolling his right ankle but returned to finish the contest. |
| 2025 | — | Cyst Removal | minor | 0 | Had a minor procedure in the offseason to remove a cyst from his throwing hand, wearing a cast for a short period. |
| 2024 | 9 | Ankle | minor | 0 | Tweaked his ankle late in a Week 9 loss to the Cardinals but stated he was 'okay' after the game. |
Dynasty assets valued near Caleb Williams
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.