Joe Burrow Dynasty Value 2026
Joe Burrow dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Joe Burrow dynasty outlook
Joe Burrow is ranked #21 overall and QB6 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a first-round startup piece at a market value of 5,584.
He is 29.0 years old — in the long quarterback prime. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Joe's dynasty value (5,584) runs well ahead of his win-now value (3,621) — the market is paying for what he becomes, not what he does this season. That is a rebuilder's asset, and a contender's trade chip.
Format matters here: Joe is worth 5,584 in superflex against 3,411 in 1QB, a +63.7% difference — the usual superflex quarterback premium. Check which format a comparable trade came from before using it as a price.
In dynasty startup drafts Joe goes at pick 17.6 on average (round 2.06 in a 12-team startup, QB4 by ADP), with a typical range of 8 to 26 across 851 drafts; his startup cost is falling over the last 30 days (-3.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has fallen: from an average pick of 5.0 in 2024-01 to 20.4 in 2026-09, across 28 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 17.4 PPR points per game in 2025 over 8 games, down from 22.5 in 2024, finishing QB29.
Drafted round 1, pick 1 by Cincinnati Bengals in 2020. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Position | QB |
| Age | 29.0 |
| Experience | 6 yrs |
| Number | #9 |
| Bye week | Week 6 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 5,584 |
| Superflex rank | #21 · QB6 |
| 1QB value | 3,411 |
| 1QB rank | #34 · QB5 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 3,621 |
| Timeline | Rebuild asset |
| Model value | 5,369 |
| Model vs market | -3.9% |
| Signal | Fair Value |
Run a trade with Joe in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Joe Burrow startup draft cost
Drafted in 851 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #16 · QB4 · earliest pick 1, latest 68 · 7-day -2.0, 14-day -1.0. Expected pick 19.9; availability falls off hardest between picks 17 and 18 (−8 points of availability). Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Joe Burrow dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 5.0 to 89.0.
Joe Burrow production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CIN | 8 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 17.4 | QB29 | QB29 |
| 2024 | CIN | 17 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 | QB3 | QB3 |
| 2023 | CIN | 10 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.3 | QB25 | QB25 |
| 2022 | CIN | 17 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 21.5 | QB4 | QB4 |
| 2021 | CIN | 16 | 20.2 | 20.2 | 20.2 | QB7 | QB7 |
| 2020 | CIN | 10 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | QB25 | QB25 |
Joe Burrow draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other QBs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2020 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #1 |
| Drafted by | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Height | 6'3" |
| Weight | 221 lb |
Joe Burrow injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | Turf Toe | major | 11 | Suffered a Grade 3 turf toe injury in Week 2 that required surgery and was expected to cause him to miss at least three months. |
| 2023 | 11 | Torn Wrist Ligament | 7 | Sustained a torn wrist ligament in Week 11 which required season-ending surgery. | |
| 2023 | — | Calf Strain | moderate | 0 | Strained his calf during the first day of training camp, causing him to miss over a month of practice leading into the season. |
| 2022 | — | Ruptured Appendix | moderate | 0 | Missed a significant portion of training camp after undergoing an emergency appendectomy for a ruptured appendix. |
| 2021 | 21 | MCL Sprain | minor | 0 | Sustained an MCL sprain during the Super Bowl LVI loss to the Los Angeles Rams but did not miss any time. |
| 2021 | 13 | Dislocated Finger | minor | 0 | Suffered a dislocated pinky finger on his throwing hand but played through the injury without missing any games. |
| 2020 | 11 | Torn ACL, MCL, PCL, and Meniscus | 6 | Suffered a major knee injury in Week 11 of his rookie season that included tears to the ACL, PCL, MCL, and meniscus, ending his season. |
Dynasty assets valued near Joe Burrow
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.