Justin Herbert Dynasty Value 2026
Justin Herbert dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Justin Herbert dynasty outlook
Justin Herbert is ranked #24 overall and QB7 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a first-round startup piece at a market value of 5,007.
He is 28.0 years old — in the long quarterback prime. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Justin's dynasty value (5,007) runs well ahead of his win-now value (2,533) — the market is paying for what he becomes, not what he does this season. That is a rebuilder's asset, and a contender's trade chip.
Format matters here: Justin is worth 5,007 in superflex against 2,988 in 1QB, a +67.6% difference — the usual superflex quarterback premium. Check which format a comparable trade came from before using it as a price.
In dynasty startup drafts Justin goes at pick 31.9 on average (round 3.08 in a 12-team startup, QB7 by ADP), with a typical range of 19 to 49 across 866 drafts; his startup cost is falling over the last 30 days (-3.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has fallen: from an average pick of 10.7 in 2024-01 to 26.9 in 2026-09, across 29 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 18.7 PPR points per game in 2025 over 16 games, up from 17.0 in 2024, finishing QB10.
Drafted round 1, pick 6 by Los Angeles Chargers in 2020. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Los Angeles Chargers |
| Position | QB |
| Age | 28.0 |
| Experience | 6 yrs |
| Number | #10 |
| Bye week | Week 7 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 5,007 |
| Superflex rank | #24 · QB7 |
| 1QB value | 2,988 |
| 1QB rank | #51 · QB7 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 2,533 |
| Timeline | Rebuild asset |
| Model value | 4,579 |
| Model vs market | -8.5% |
| Signal | Fair Value |
Run a trade with Justin in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Justin Herbert startup draft cost
Drafted in 866 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #27 · QB7 · earliest pick 7, latest 108 · 7-day +1.0, 14-day +2.0. Expected pick 32.0; availability falls off hardest between picks 24 and 25 (−12 points of availability). Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Justin Herbert dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 10.7 to 108.4.
Justin Herbert production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LAC | 16 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 18.7 | QB10 | QB10 |
| 2024 | LAC | 17 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | QB12 | QB12 |
| 2023 | LAC | 13 | 18.6 | 18.5 | 18.5 | QB17 | QB17 |
| 2022 | LAC | 17 | 17.1 | 17.0 | 17.0 | QB11 | QB11 |
| 2021 | LAC | 17 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 23.2 | QB2 | QB2 |
| 2020 | LAC | 15 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 22.3 | QB9 | QB9 |
Justin Herbert draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other QBs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2020 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #6 |
| Drafted by | Los Angeles Chargers |
| Height | 6'6" |
| Weight | 236 lb |
Combine testing
Bar length is the percentile against the position cohort.
Justin Herbert injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | Fractured Hand | moderate | 0 | Suffered a fracture in his non-throwing left hand against the Raiders and underwent surgery, but did not miss any games. |
| 2024 | 14 | Thigh Contusion | minor | 0 | Dealt with a thigh contusion in addition to an ankle injury but was not expected to miss time. |
| 2024 | 14 | High Ankle Sprain | minor | 0 | Sustained a mild left high ankle eversion sprain but played through the injury. |
| 2024 | 9 | High Ankle Sprain | minor | 0 | Reaggravated a right high ankle sprain but remained in the game. |
| 2024 | — | Plantar Fascia | minor | 0 | Was in a walking boot for two weeks during the preseason due to a plantar fascia injury. |
| 2023 | 14 | Fractured Finger | 4 | Fractured the index finger on his throwing hand, requiring surgery and ending his season. | |
| 2023 | 4 | Fractured Finger | minor | 0 | Fractured the middle finger on his non-throwing hand against the Raiders but did not miss any games. |
| 2022 | 2 | Fractured Rib Cartilage | moderate | 0 | Suffered a fractured rib cartilage against the Chiefs but played through the injury for several weeks. |
| 2022 | — | Torn Labrum | moderate | 0 | Played through a torn labrum in his non-throwing shoulder and had offseason surgery to repair it. |
Dynasty assets valued near Justin Herbert
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.