Trevor Lawrence Dynasty Value 2026
Trevor Lawrence dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Trevor Lawrence dynasty outlook
Trevor Lawrence is ranked #31 overall and QB11 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a first-round startup piece at a market value of 4,454.
He is 26.0 years old — in the long quarterback prime. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
His win-now value (4,696) and dynasty value (4,454) are close, so he costs about the same to a contender as to a rebuilder.
Format matters here: Trevor is worth 4,454 in superflex against 2,690 in 1QB, a +65.6% difference — the usual superflex quarterback premium. Check which format a comparable trade came from before using it as a price.
The model values Trevor +38.1% above the dynasty market, a buy-low signal: his production and age say the price is too low.
In dynasty startup drafts Trevor goes at pick 40.7 on average (round 4.05 in a 12-team startup, QB10 by ADP), with a typical range of 24 to 64 across 896 drafts; his startup cost is falling over the last 30 days (-1.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has fallen: from an average pick of 16.3 in 2024-01 to 30.3 in 2026-09, across 29 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 20.6 PPR points per game in 2025 over 17 games, up from 15.2 in 2024, finishing QB4.
Drafted round 1, pick 1 by Jacksonville Jaguars in 2021. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Position | QB |
| Age | 26.0 |
| Experience | 5 yrs |
| Number | #16 |
| Bye week | Week 7 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 4,454 |
| Superflex rank | #31 · QB11 |
| 1QB value | 2,690 |
| 1QB rank | #62 · QB10 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 4,696 |
| Timeline | Balanced |
| Model value | 6,149 |
| Model vs market | +38.1% |
| Signal | Strong Buy |
Run a trade with Trevor in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Trevor Lawrence startup draft cost
Drafted in 896 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #38 · QB10 · earliest pick 9, latest 132 · 7-day +2.0, 14-day +3.0. Expected pick 37.8; availability falls off hardest between picks 29 and 30 (−10 points of availability). Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Trevor Lawrence dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 16.3 to 123.6.
Trevor Lawrence production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | JAX | 17 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | QB4 | QB4 |
| 2024 | JAX | 10 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 15.2 | QB27 | QB27 |
| 2023 | JAX | 16 | 17.3 | 17.3 | 17.3 | QB13 | QB13 |
| 2022 | JAX | 17 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 17.9 | QB8 | QB8 |
| 2021 | JAX | 17 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 12.2 | QB23 | QB23 |
Trevor Lawrence draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other QBs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2021 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #1 |
| Drafted by | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Height | 6'5" |
| Weight | 213 lb |
Trevor Lawrence injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | A/C Joint Sprain | moderate | 1 | Lawrence sprained his AC joint in his throwing shoulder while diving for a first down against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
| 2023 | 15 | Concussion | minor | 0 | Following the week 15 game against the Ravens, Lawrence was placed in the NFL's concussion protocol but was cleared to play the following week. |
| 2023 | 13 | High Ankle Sprain | moderate | 0 | Sustained a high ankle sprain against the Cincinnati Bengals but did not miss the following game. |
| 2023 | 6 | Knee Sprain | minor | 0 | Injured his left knee against the Indianapolis Colts but did not miss any games. |
| 2022 | 13 | Toe Sprain | minor | 0 | Suffered a toe sprain on December 4th, 2022, but played through the injury. |
| 2021 | 9 | Ankle Sprain | minor | 0 | Lawrence sustained a low ankle sprain during a victory over the Buffalo Bills. |
Dynasty assets valued near Trevor Lawrence
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.