Final2025 Week 1

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons, Week 1 2025

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

23

Atlanta Falcons

Home

20

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers0107623
Falcons733720

TB 23ATL 20 Final

  • Passing leader

    Michael Penix Jr.

    ATL · QB

    24.0PPR pts

    27/42, 298 YDS, 1 TD, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Bijan Robinson

    ATL · RB

    24.4PPR pts

    12 ATT, 24 YDS, 6 REC, 100 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Falcons leader

    Drake London

    ATL · WR

    13.5PPR pts

    8 REC, 55 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Haason Reddick

    TB

    1 SACK, 3 TKL

Buccaneers 23, Falcons 20: Tampa Bay holds off Atlanta

Tampa Bay broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Atlanta 13–10 after the break to win 23–20. Atlanta outgained the Buccaneers 358–260.

The Falcons went 6-for-15 on third down, while the Buccaneers finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 8 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +10% third-down rate TB 50% · ATL 40%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Buccaneer or Falcon on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

Connect your league

Works with Sleeper, ESPN and Fleaflicker. No password needed.

Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the third-down battle.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Falcons
BuccaneersStatFalcons
50%Third-down conversion40%
Other team stats
260Total yards358
4.6Yards per play5.0
56Plays71
0Turnovers0
24:48Time of possession35:12

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored three touchdowns and one field goal; the Falcons scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Falcons
TimeTeamPlayTBATL
1st quarter
13:14ATLMichael Penix Jr. → Bijan Robinson, 50-yard TD Takes leadYounghoe Koo XP07
2nd quarter
10:17TBChase McLaughlin 48-yard FG37
6:53TBBaker Mayfield → Emeka Egbuka, 30-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP107
0:53ATLYounghoe Koo 41-yard FG Ties game1010
3rd quarter
7:26TBBaker Mayfield → Bucky Irving, 9-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP1710
0:20ATLYounghoe Koo 36-yard FG1713
4th quarter
2:17ATLMichael Penix Jr. 4-yard TD run Takes leadYounghoe Koo XP1720
0:59TBBaker Mayfield → Emeka Egbuka, 25-yard TD Game winnerXP missed2320

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Falcons, Week 1 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Bijan RobinsonATLRB24.4 PTSRB2
  2. Michael PenixATLQB24.0 PTSQB10
  3. Emeka EgbukaTBWR23.6 PTSWR4
  4. Baker MayfieldTBQB22.6 PTSQB12

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Michael PenixATLQB24.0QB1027/4229810621193.2
Baker MayfieldTBQB22.6QB1217/3216730539099.3Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Bijan RobinsonATLRB24.4RB2RB12240761001Start/Sit →
Emeka EgbukaTBWR23.6WR4WR19064672Start/Sit →
Bucky IrvingTBRB14.5RB15RB143704481Start/Sit →
Drake LondonATLWR13.5WR22WR———158550Start/Sit →
Kyle PittsATLTE12.9TE7TE———87590
Mike EvansTBWR10.1WR38WR———85510Start/Sit →
Ray-Ray McCloudATLWR8.1WR52WR———53510
Sterling ShepardTBWR6.9WR55WR———63390
Casey WashingtonATLWR6.3WR60WR———63330Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB2.6RB52RB21401120Start/Sit →
Tyler AllgeierATLRB2.4RB57RB10240————Start/Sit →
Sean TuckerTBRB0.2RB80RB120————Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE0.0—TE———3000Start/Sit →
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR0.0—WR———1000
Ryan MillerTBWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →
Tez JohnsonTBWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Emeka EgbukaWR54 snaps93%
  2. Cade OttonTE50 snaps86%
  3. Mike EvansWR48 snaps83%
  4. Bucky IrvingRB44 snaps76%
  5. Sterling ShepardWR37 snaps64%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Mike Evans27%, 8 targets
  2. Sterling Shepard20%, 6 targets
  3. Emeka Egbuka20%, 6 targets
  4. Bucky Irving13%, 4 targets
  5. Cade Otton10%, 3 targets
  6. Other10%, 3 targets

Carry Share23 carries

  1. Bucky Irving61%, 14 carries
  2. Baker Mayfield22%, 5 carries
  3. Rachaad White9%, 2 carries
  4. Sean Tucker4%, 1 carries
  5. Emeka Egbuka4%, 1 carries

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Casey WashingtonWR72 snaps95%
  2. Drake LondonWR67 snaps88%
  3. Bijan RobinsonRB63 snaps83%
  4. Kyle PittsTE59 snaps78%
  5. Ray-Ray McCloudWR55 snaps72%

Target Share42 targets

  1. Drake London36%, 15 targets
  2. Kyle Pitts19%, 8 targets
  3. Bijan Robinson17%, 7 targets
  4. Casey Washington14%, 6 targets
  5. Ray-Ray McCloud12%, 5 targets
  6. Other2%, 1 targets

Carry Share28 carries

  1. Bijan Robinson43%, 12 carries
  2. Tyler Allgeier36%, 10 carries
  3. Michael Penix21%, 6 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Casey WashingtonATLWR7295%614%0
Emeka EgbukaTBWR5493%620%1
Drake LondonATLWR6788%1536%0
Cade OttonTBTE5086%310%0
Bijan RobinsonATLRB6383%717%12
Mike EvansTBWR4883%827%0
Kyle PittsATLTE5978%819%0
Bucky IrvingTBRB4476%413%14
Ray-Ray McCloudATLWR5572%512%0
Sterling ShepardTBWR3764%620%0
Charlie WoernerATLTE3242%00%0
Payne DurhamTBTE1526%00%0
Tyler AllgeierATLRB1925%00%10
Rachaad WhiteTBRB1424%13%2
Ryan MillerTBWR916%13%0
Ko KieftTBTE814%00%0
Tez JohnsonTBWR814%13%0
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR811%12%0
Sean TuckerTBRB23%00%1
David SillsATLWR23%00%0
Teagan QuitorianoATLTE23%00%0
Kameron JohnsonTBWR12%00%0
Feleipe FranksATLTE11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Drake LondonATL · WR13.525.6−12.188%36% tgt—000%1536%
Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QB24.022.5+1.5100%42 att—42621%00%
Bijan RobinsonATL · RB24.419.7+4.783%43% car—01243%717%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB22.617.4+5.2100%32 att—32522%00%
Bucky IrvingTB · RB14.515.9−1.476%61% car—01461%413%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE12.913.6−0.778%19% tgt—000%819%
Mike EvansTB · WR10.113.6−3.583%27% tgt—000%827%
Emeka EgbukaTB · WR23.610.9+12.793%20% tgt—014%620%
Casey WashingtonATL · WR6.310.2−3.995%14% tgt—000%614%
Sterling ShepardTB · WR6.910.2−3.364%20% tgt—000%620%
Ray-Ray McCloud IIIATL · WR8.18.5−0.472%12% tgt—000%512%
Tyler AllgeierATL · RB2.46.5−4.125%36% car—01036%00%
Cade OttonTB · TE0.05.1−5.186%10% tgt—000%310%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB2.63.0−0.424%9% car—029%13%
KhaDarel HodgeATL · WR0.01.7−1.711%2% tgt—000%12%
Ryan MillerTB · WR0.01.7−1.716%3% tgt—000%13%
Tez JohnsonTB · WR0.01.7−1.714%3% tgt—000%13%
Sean TuckerTB · RB0.20.6−0.43%4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 30 targets and 23 carries; Falcons 42 targets and 28 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Baker Mayfield Ran hot

TB · QB · 22.6 pts on 17.4 expected

17 of 32 passing for 167 yards, 3 touchdowns; 5 carries for 39 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 17.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Michael Penix Jr.

ATL · QB · 24.0 pts on 22.5 expected

27 of 42 passing for 298 yards, 1 touchdown; 6 carries for 21 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 22.5 expected.

Bucky Irving Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 14.5 pts on 15.9 expected

4 targets (13% of the team's), 4 catches for 8 yards and 1 touchdown; 14 carries (61% of the team's) for 37 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Bucky Irving →

Mike Evans

TB · WR · 10.1 pts on 13.6 expected

8 targets (27% of the team's), 5 catches for 51 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Drake London Volume, no payoff

ATL · WR · 13.5 pts on 25.6 expected

15 targets (36% of the team's), 8 catches for 55 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 25.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Drake London →

Bijan Robinson

ATL · RB · 24.4 pts on 19.7 expected

7 targets (17% of the team's), 6 catches for 100 yards and 1 touchdown; 12 carries (43% of the team's) for 24 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Bijan Robinson →

Emeka Egbuka Ran hot

TB · WR · 23.6 pts on 10.9 expected

6 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 67 yards and 2 touchdowns; 1 carry (4% of the team's) for 9 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Emeka Egbuka →

Cade Otton Unlucky

TB · TE · 0.0 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 5.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Cade Otton →

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Falcons defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DFalcons D
QBs20.216.9
RBs20.621.3
WRs30.432.9
TEs15.810.1

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Atlanta opened at 50% win probability, climbed as high as 96%, then lost.

Falcons win probability

Falcons win probability by game minuteFalcons started at 50%, stood at 50% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +20Penix → Robinson, 50-yd TD50% → 70%Q1 13:14
  2. −26Mayfield → Egbuka, 30-yd TD65% → 39%Q2 6:53
  3. −30Mayfield → Irving, 9-yd TD50% → 20%Q3 7:26
  4. +81Penix 4-yd TD run6% → 87%Q4 2:17
  5. −92Mayfield → Egbuka, 25-yd TD96% → 4%Q4 0:59

Swing in Falcons win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Falcons
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureAtlanta Falcons
56Plays71
59%Pass rate61%
4.8Yds / dropback6.7
4.4Yds / carry2.5
7/14Third downs6/15

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 15 fewer plays but gained 1.9 more yards per carry.

  • Top targets
  • TB Evans 27% · Egbuka 20% · Shepard 20%
  • ATL London 36% · Pitts 19% · Robinson 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Falcons
ResultTBATL
Touchdowns32
Field goals12
Punts43
Turnovers00
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals11
  • The Falcons opened the scoring on their first possession, a 3-play, 65-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
ATLQ1 15:003651:46Touchdown
TBQ1 13:14321:03Punt
ATLQ1 12:118415:43Punt
TBQ1 6:28351:42Punt
ATLQ1 4:46351:22Punt
TBQ1 3:2416618:07Field goal
ATLQ2 10:174241:20Downs
TBQ2 8:575522:04Touchdown
ATLQ2 6:5313486:00Field goal
TBQ2 0:533-50:44Punt
ATLQ2 0:092-10:09End of half
TBQ3 15:008393:18Missed FG
ATLQ3 11:424-72:03Punt
TBQ3 9:395322:13Touchdown
ATLQ3 7:2611537:06Field goal
TBQ3 0:209224:17Punt
ATLQ4 11:0318918:46Touchdown
TBQ4 2:175631:18Touchdown
ATLQ4 0:598600:57Missed FG
TBQ4 0:021-10:02End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Falcons first met in 1977 and have played 65 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
33–32Falcons lead, 65 meetings since 1977
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
48–101987
Largest Falcons win
56–142014

Since 2021

5–5 Series tied

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, F = Falcons win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 8 Falcons at Buccaneers Upcoming
  • Week 16 Buccaneers at Falcons Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Falcons
BuccaneersStatFalcons
8-9Record8-9
22.4Points per game20.8
320.4Yards per game333.0
5.1Yards per play5.4
24.2Points allowed per game23.6
337.2Yards allowed per game326.6

Buccaneers vs Falcons Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 8 in Tampa Bay and Week 16 in Atlanta. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Falcons Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Buccaneers vs Falcons Week 1 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons 23–20 in Week 1 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, on September 7, 2025. See the Buccaneers' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Falcons?

The final score was Buccaneers 23, Falcons 20. The teams were tied 10–10 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 13, Falcons 10.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Falcons game?

Tampa Bay broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Atlanta 13–10 after the break to win 23–20. Atlanta outgained the Buccaneers 358–260. Bijan Robinson led all players with 6 catches for 100 yards and a touchdown, plus 12 carries for 24 rushing yards.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Baker Mayfield's 25-yard touchdown pass to Emeka Egbuka with 0:59 left in the fourth quarter gave the Buccaneers a 23–20 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Bijan Robinson led the game with 24.4 PPR fantasy points, the RB2 of Week 1, on 6 catches for 100 yards and a touchdown, plus 12 carries for 24 rushing yards. Michael Penix was next with 24.0 (QB10). See Bijan Robinson's 2025 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Falcons in passing, rushing and receiving?

Michael Penix (ATL) led all passers with 27 of 42 for 298 yards and a touchdown. Baker Mayfield (TB) led in rushing with 5 carries for 39 yards. Bijan Robinson (ATL) led in receiving with 6 catches for 100 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Bijan Robinson score against the Buccaneers?

Bijan Robinson scored 24.4 points in PPR leagues, 21.4 in half-PPR and 18.4 in standard scoring against the Buccaneers in Week 1 of the 2025 season, on 6 catches for 100 yards and a touchdown, plus 12 carries for 24 rushing yards. He handled 43% of his team's carries.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Emeka Egbuka outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 23.6 PPR points on 10.9 xFP (+12.7). Drake London fell furthest short, with 13.5 points on 25.6 xFP (−12.1). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Drake London had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 25.6 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 13.5. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers come back to beat the Falcons?

The Buccaneers' chances of winning fell as low as 4% in the fourth quarter. Baker Mayfield's 25-yard touchdown pass to Emeka Egbuka in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Baker Mayfield's 25-yard touchdown pass to Emeka Egbuka then put them ahead for good.

What was the turning point of Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Baker Mayfield's 25-yard touchdown pass to Emeka Egbuka with 0:59 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Falcons' win probability from 96% to 4%.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Falcons record?

The Falcons lead the all-time series 33–32 across 65 meetings since 1977.

When did the Buccaneers and Falcons last play before this game?

Before Week 1 of 2025, they last met in the 2024 season on October 27, 2024, when the Falcons beat the Buccaneers 31–26.

What is the Buccaneers vs Falcons record since 2021?

The series is tied 5–5 across 10 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.