Final2023 Week 14

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons, Week 14 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

29

Atlanta Falcons

Home

25

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers3971029
Falcons3701525

TB 29ATL 25 Final

  • Passing leader

    Desmond Ridder

    ATL · QB

    26.4PPR pts

    26/40, 347 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Drake London

    ATL · WR

    29.2PPR pts

    10 REC, 172 YDS

  • Falcons leader

    Bijan Robinson

    ATL · RB

    19.8PPR pts

    10 ATT, 34 YDS, 1 TD, 5 REC, 54 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Carlton Davis III

    TB

    1 INT, 4 TKL

Buccaneers 29, Falcons 25: Tampa Bay beats Atlanta

Tampa Bay led 12–10 at halftime and outscored Atlanta 17–15 after the break to win 29–25. Atlanta outgained the Buccaneers 434–290.

The Falcons went 5-for-13 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Buccaneers finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 8 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +1 turnover margin TB 0 turnovers
  • +3:20 time of possession TB 31:40 · ATL 28:20

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the turnover and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Falcons
BuccaneersStatFalcons
0Turnovers1
31:40Time of possession28:20
Other team stats
290Total yards434
4.3Yards per play6.3
67Plays69
38%Third-down conversion38%

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored three touchdowns, two field goals, and one safety; the Falcons scored three touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Falcons
TimeTeamPlayTBATL
1st quarter
9:27TBChase McLaughlin 55-yard FG Takes lead30
1:23ATLYounghoe Koo 20-yard FG Ties game33
2nd quarter
14:57TBBaker Mayfield 1-yard TD run Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP103
12:09ATLDesmond Ridder → Kyle Pitts, 36-yard TD Ties gameYounghoe Koo XP1010
2:36TBSafety Takes leadKeith Smith tackled in the end zone1210
3rd quarter
4:06TBBaker Mayfield → Rachaad White, 31-yard TD Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP1910
4th quarter
11:10ATLBijan Robinson 3-yard TD runYounghoe Koo XP1917
6:10TBChase McLaughlin 38-yard FG Extends lead2217
3:23ATLDesmond Ridder 6-yard TD run Takes leadDesmond Ridder → Drake London, 2-pt conversion2225
0:31TBBaker Mayfield → Cade Otton, 11-yard TD Game winnerChase McLaughlin XP2925

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Falcons, Week 14 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Drake LondonATLWR29.2 PTSWR2
  2. Desmond RidderATLQB26.4 PTSQB2
  3. Rachaad WhiteTBRB21.5 PTSRB7
  4. Baker MayfieldTBQB20.1 PTSQB12

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Desmond RidderATLQB26.4QB226/4034711415190.3
Baker MayfieldTBQB20.1QB1214/291442033186.0Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Drake LondonATLWR29.2WR2WR———11101720Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB21.5RB7RB25102022331Start/Sit →
Bijan RobinsonATLRB19.8RB9RB1034175540Start/Sit →
Kyle PittsATLTE14.7TE7TE———63571
Chris GodwinTBWR10.3WR33WR———115530
Cade OttonTBTE9.6TE18TE———52161Start/Sit →
Chase EdmondsTBRB7.8RB36RB840022180
Jonnu SmithATLTE6.7TE26TE———74270Start/Sit →
Tyler AllgeierATLRB4.0RB50RB9400————Start/Sit →
MyCole PruittATLTE3.5TE35TE———22150
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR2.8WR89WR———21180
David MooreTBWR2.1WR95WR———11110Start/Sit →
Trey PalmerTBWR1.8WR102WR1301150
Mike EvansTBWR1.8WR100WR———6180Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsATLWR1.4WR105WR———1140Start/Sit →
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB0.7RB72RB370————
Scotty MillerATLWR0.0—WR———3000
Ko KieftTBTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE66 snaps97%
  2. Mike EvansWR63 snaps93%
  3. Trey PalmerWR58 snaps85%
  4. Chris GodwinWR57 snaps84%
  5. Rachaad WhiteRB57 snaps84%

Target Share29 targets

  1. Chris Godwin38%, 11 targets
  2. Mike Evans21%, 6 targets
  3. Cade Otton17%, 5 targets
  4. Chase Edmonds7%, 2 targets
  5. Rachaad White7%, 2 targets
  6. Other10%, 3 targets

Carry Share37 carries

  1. Rachaad White68%, 25 carries
  2. Chase Edmonds22%, 8 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield8%, 3 carries
  4. Trey Palmer3%, 1 carries

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Kyle PittsTE61 snaps85%
  2. Bijan RobinsonRB56 snaps78%
  3. Drake LondonWR55 snaps76%
  4. Jonnu SmithTE50 snaps69%
  5. Van JeffersonWR32 snaps44%

Target Share39 targets

  1. Drake London28%, 11 targets
  2. Jonnu Smith18%, 7 targets
  3. Bijan Robinson18%, 7 targets
  4. Kyle Pitts15%, 6 targets
  5. Scotty Miller8%, 3 targets
  6. Other13%, 5 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. Bijan Robinson38%, 10 carries
  2. Tyler Allgeier35%, 9 carries
  3. Desmond Ridder15%, 4 carries
  4. Cordarrelle Patterson12%, 3 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE6697%517%0
Mike EvansTBWR6393%621%0
Trey PalmerTBWR5885%13%1
Kyle PittsATLTE6185%615%0
Chris GodwinTBWR5784%1138%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5784%27%25
Bijan RobinsonATLRB5678%718%10
Drake LondonATLWR5576%1128%0
Jonnu SmithATLTE5069%718%0
Van JeffersonATLWR3244%00%0
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR2332%25%0
MyCole PruittATLTE2129%25%0
Scotty MillerATLWR1825%38%0
Tyler AllgeierATLRB1521%00%9
David MooreTBWR1421%13%0
Chase EdmondsTBRB1218%27%8
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB1217%00%3
Mack HollinsATLWR68%13%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR57%00%0
Payne DurhamTBTE46%00%0
Ko KieftTBTE34%13%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+10.8Drake London29.2 PTS vs 18.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−8.2Mike Evans1.8 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
  • Highest expected volume19.3 xFPDesmond Ridder26.4 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Desmond RidderATL · QB26.419.3+7.1100%40 att—40415%00%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB21.518.7+2.884%68% car—02568%27%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR10.318.4−8.184%38% tgt—000%1138%
Drake LondonATL · WR29.218.4+10.876%28% tgt—000%1128%
Bijan RobinsonATL · RB19.817.8+2.078%38% car—01038%718%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB20.114.0+6.1100%29 att—2938%00%
Jonnu SmithATL · TE6.711.7−5.069%18% tgt—000%718%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE14.710.0+4.785%15% tgt—000%615%
Mike EvansTB · WR1.810.0−8.293%21% tgt—000%621%
Cade OttonTB · TE9.68.3+1.397%17% tgt—000%517%
Chase EdmondsTB · RB7.88.2−0.418%22% car—0822%27%
Tyler AllgeierATL · RB4.05.5−1.521%35% car—0935%00%
Scotty MillerATL · WR0.05.0−5.025%8% tgt—000%38%
KhaDarel HodgeATL · WR2.83.3−0.532%5% tgt—000%25%
MyCole PruittATL · TE3.53.3+0.229%5% tgt—000%25%
Trey PalmerTB · WR1.82.3−0.585%3% tgt—013%13%
Cordarrelle PattersonATL · RB0.71.8−1.117%12% car—0312%00%
David MooreTB · WR2.11.7+0.421%3% tgt—000%13%
Ko KieftTB · TE0.01.7−1.74%3% tgt—000%13%
Mack HollinsATL · WR1.41.7−0.38%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Buccaneers 29 targets and 37 carries; Falcons 39 targets and 26 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Baker Mayfield Ran hot

TB · QB · 20.1 pts on 14.0 expected

14 of 29 passing for 144 yards, 2 touchdowns; 3 carries for 3 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 14.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Desmond Ridder Ran hot

ATL · QB · 26.4 pts on 19.3 expected

26 of 40 passing for 347 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 4 carries for 15 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 19.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Rachaad White Strong role

TB · RB · 21.5 pts on 18.7 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 33 yards and 1 touchdown; 25 carries (68% of the team's) for 102 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Chris Godwin Jr. Volume, no payoff

TB · WR · 10.3 pts on 18.4 expected

11 targets (38% of the team's), 5 catches for 53 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Drake London Ran hot

ATL · WR · 29.2 pts on 18.4 expected

11 targets (28% of the team's), 10 catches for 172 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 18.4 points; efficiency supplied the rest.

Start/Sit: Drake London →

Bijan Robinson

ATL · RB · 19.8 pts on 17.8 expected

7 targets (18% of the team's), 5 catches for 54 yards; 10 carries (38% of the team's) for 34 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Bijan Robinson →

Mike Evans Unlucky

TB · WR · 1.8 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (21% of the team's), 1 catch for 8 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Scotty Miller Unlucky

ATL · WR · 0.0 pts on 5.0 expected

3 targets (8% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 5.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Mike Evans played 93% of the snaps, up from a 76% season average.
  • Stock up: Trey Palmer played 85% of the snaps, up from a 67% season average.
  • Stock down: Ko Kieft played 4% of the snaps, down from a 19% season average.

Atlanta Falcons

  • Stock up: Kyle Pitts Sr. played 85% of the snaps, up from a 61% season average.
  • Stock down: Mack Hollins played 8% of the snaps, down from a 48% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Falcons defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DFalcons D
QBs17.717.7
RBs17.618.3
WRs35.928.8
TEs14.813.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Atlanta opened at 50% win probability, climbed as high as 99%, then lost.

Falcons win probability

Falcons win probability by game minuteFalcons started at 50%, stood at 42% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −23Mayfield 1-yd TD run50% → 27%Q2 14:57
  2. −28Mayfield → White, 31-yd TD40% → 12%Q3 4:06
  3. +30Robinson 3-yd TD run6% → 37%Q4 11:10
  4. +77Ridder 6-yd TD run6% → 83%Q4 3:23
  5. −99Mayfield → Otton, 11-yd TD99% → <1%Q4 0:31

Swing in Falcons win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Falcons
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureAtlanta Falcons
67Plays69
45%Pass rate62%
4.7Yds / dropback7.9
4.0Yds / carry3.7
6/16Third downs5/13

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 2 fewer plays than Atlanta.

  • Top targets
  • TB Godwin 38% · Evans 21% · Otton 17%
  • ATL London 28% · Robinson 18% · Smith 18%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Falcons
ResultTBATL
Touchdowns33
Field goals21
Punts64
Turnovers01
Turnovers on downs10
Missed field goals02
Safeties01

TB turnover edge: +1

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 9-play, 38-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Buccaneers drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to five minutes.
All 25 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:009385:33Field goal
ATLQ1 9:2716738:04Field goal
TBQ1 1:23320:58Punt
ATLQ1 0:25100:05Interception
TBQ1 0:20280:23Touchdown
ATLQ2 14:576752:48Touchdown
TBQ2 12:099285:25Downs
ATLQ2 6:445212:24Missed FG
TBQ2 4:20321:36Punt
ATLQ2 2:441-80:08Safety
TBQ2 2:36321:38Punt
ATLQ2 0:586190:58Missed FG
ATLQ3 15:005272:35Punt
TBQ3 12:25381:01Punt
ATLQ3 11:24300:25Punt
TBQ3 10:59341:14Punt
ATLQ3 9:453-10:59Punt
TBQ3 8:469664:40Touchdown
ATLQ3 4:068233:44Punt
TBQ3 0:22351:20Punt
ATLQ4 14:027672:52Touchdown
TBQ4 11:1010555:00Field goal
ATLQ4 6:105752:47Touchdown
TBQ4 3:2312752:52Touchdown
ATLQ4 0:316720:31End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Falcons first met in 1977 and have played 65 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
33–32Falcons lead, 65 meetings since 1977
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
48–101987
Largest Falcons win
56–142014

Since 2021

5–5 Series tied

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, F = Falcons win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 8 Falcons at Buccaneers Upcoming
  • Week 16 Buccaneers at Falcons Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Falcons
BuccaneersStatFalcons
9-8Record7-10
20.5Points per game18.9
313.0Yards per game334.3
5.1Yards per play5.2
19.1Points allowed per game21.9
344.2Yards allowed per game321.1

Buccaneers vs Falcons Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 8 in Tampa Bay and Week 16 in Atlanta. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Falcons Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Buccaneers vs Falcons Week 14 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons 29–25 in Week 14 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, on December 10, 2023. See the Buccaneers' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Falcons?

The final score was Buccaneers 29, Falcons 25. The Buccaneers led 12–10 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 17, Falcons 15.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Falcons game?

Tampa Bay led 12–10 at halftime and outscored Atlanta 17–15 after the break to win 29–25. Atlanta outgained the Buccaneers 434–290. Drake London led all players with 10 catches for 172 yards. The Falcons committed 1 turnover, the Buccaneers none.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Baker Mayfield's 11-yard touchdown pass to Cade Otton with 0:31 left in the fourth quarter gave the Buccaneers a 29–25 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Drake London led the game with 29.2 PPR fantasy points, the WR2 of Week 14, on 10 catches for 172 yards. Desmond Ridder was next with 26.4 (QB2). See Drake London's 2023 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Falcons in passing, rushing and receiving?

Desmond Ridder (ATL) led all passers with 26 of 40 for 347 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Rachaad White (TB) led in rushing with 25 carries for 102 yards. Drake London (ATL) led in receiving with 10 catches for 172 yards.

How many fantasy points did Drake London score against the Buccaneers?

Drake London scored 29.2 points in PPR leagues, 24.2 in half-PPR and 19.2 in standard scoring against the Buccaneers in Week 14 of the 2023 season, on 10 catches for 172 yards. He drew 28% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Drake London outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 29.2 PPR points on 18.4 xFP (+10.8). Mike Evans fell furthest short, with 1.8 points on 10.0 xFP (−8.2). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Desmond Ridder had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 19.3 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 26.4. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers come back to beat the Falcons?

The Buccaneers' chances of winning fell as low as 1% in the fourth quarter. Baker Mayfield's 11-yard touchdown pass to Cade Otton in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Baker Mayfield's 11-yard touchdown pass to Cade Otton then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Falcons?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 1–0: the Falcons gave the ball away 1 time and the Buccaneers not at all. The Buccaneers won the game.

What was the turning point of Buccaneers vs Falcons?

Baker Mayfield's 11-yard touchdown pass to Cade Otton with 0:31 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Falcons' win probability from 99% to <1%.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Falcons record?

The Falcons lead the all-time series 33–32 across 65 meetings since 1977.

When did the Buccaneers and Falcons last play before this game?

Before Week 14 of 2023, they last met in the 2023 season on October 22, 2023, when the Falcons beat the Buccaneers 16–13.

What is the Buccaneers vs Falcons record since 2021?

The series is tied 5–5 across 10 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.