Final2023 Week 7

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 7 2023

Atlanta Falcons

AwayWon

16

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Home

13

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcons733316
Buccaneers730313

ATL 16TB 13 Final

  • Passing leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    17.2PPR pts

    27/42, 275 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Mike Evans

    TB · WR

    20.2PPR pts

    6 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD

  • Buccaneers leader

    Rachaad White

    TB · RB

    15.9PPR pts

    13 ATT, 34 YDS, 6 REC, 65 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Richie Grant

    ATL

    1 INT, 8 TKL

Falcons 16, Buccaneers 13: Atlanta holds off Tampa Bay

Atlanta broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Tampa Bay 6–3 after the break to win 16–13. The Falcons finished with a 401–329 edge in total offense and averaged 6.3 yards per play.

The Buccaneers went 6-for-12 on third down and committed two turnovers.

The two teams meet again in Week 8 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +1.2 yards/play ATL 6.3 · TB 5.1
  • +72 total yards ATL 401 · TB 329
  • +4% third-down rate ATL 54% · TB 50%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Falcon or Buccaneer on your fantasy team?

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Why the Falcons Won

Atlanta won the efficiency and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Falcons vs Buccaneers
FalconsStatBuccaneers
6.3Yards per play5.1
401Total yards329
54%Third-down conversion50%
Other team stats
64Plays65
3Turnovers2
29:59Time of possession30:01

Scoring Summary

The Falcons scored one touchdown and three field goals; the Buccaneers scored one touchdown and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Falcons vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayATLTB
1st quarter
6:48ATLDesmond Ridder 2-yard TD run Takes leadYounghoe Koo XP70
3:24TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 40-yard TD Ties gameChase McLaughlin XP77
2nd quarter
11:51ATLYounghoe Koo 24-yard FG Takes lead107
5:14TBChase McLaughlin 24-yard FG Ties game1010
3rd quarter
2:04ATLYounghoe Koo 41-yard FG Takes lead1310
4th quarter
0:45TBChase McLaughlin 36-yard FG Ties game1313
0:00ATLYounghoe Koo 51-yard FG Game winner1613

Fantasy Points: Falcons vs Buccaneers, Week 7 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mike EvansTBWR20.2 PTSWR7
  2. Baker MayfieldTBQB17.2 PTSQB11
  3. Rachaad WhiteTBRB15.9 PTSRB12
  4. Tyler AllgeierATLRB14.2 PTSRB16

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Baker MayfieldTBQB17.2QB1127/4227511332081.0Start/Sit →
Desmond RidderATLQB13.8QB1919/25250006381107.1

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Mike EvansTBWR20.2WR7WR———86821Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB15.9RB12RB1334066650Start/Sit →
Tyler AllgeierATLRB14.2RB16RB2159033530Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR12.6WR26WR———126660
Drake LondonATLWR11.4WR30WR———76540Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE9.3TE13TE———65430Start/Sit →
Kyle PittsATLTE7.7TE16TE———53470
Jonnu SmithATLTE5.7TE21TE———33270Start/Sit →
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB5.6RB38RB10560————
Scotty MillerATLWR5.6WR58WR———11460
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR2.9WR78WR———11190
Deven ThompkinsTBWR2.4WR80WR———33140
Van JeffersonATLWR1.5WR92WR———2150
Trey PalmerTBWR1.5WR93WR———2150
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB0.7RB56RB4701000
Bijan RobinsonATLRB0.3RB58RB130————Start/Sit →
Rakim JarrettTBWR0.0—WR———2000
Payne DurhamTBTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Drake LondonWR55 snaps85%
  2. Jonnu SmithTE35 snaps54%
  3. Kyle PittsTE34 snaps52%
  4. Tyler AllgeierRB33 snaps51%
  5. Van JeffersonWR32 snaps49%

Target Share22 targets

  1. Drake London32%, 7 targets
  2. Kyle Pitts23%, 5 targets
  3. Jonnu Smith14%, 3 targets
  4. Tyler Allgeier14%, 3 targets
  5. Van Jefferson9%, 2 targets
  6. Other9%, 2 targets

Carry Share38 carries

  1. Tyler Allgeier55%, 21 carries
  2. Cordarrelle Patterson26%, 10 carries
  3. Desmond Ridder16%, 6 carries
  4. Bijan Robinson3%, 1 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE70 snaps96%
  2. Mike EvansWR57 snaps78%
  3. Rachaad WhiteRB55 snaps75%
  4. Chris GodwinWR51 snaps70%
  5. Trey PalmerWR47 snaps64%

Target Share41 targets

  1. Chris Godwin29%, 12 targets
  2. Mike Evans20%, 8 targets
  3. Cade Otton15%, 6 targets
  4. Rachaad White15%, 6 targets
  5. Deven Thompkins7%, 3 targets
  6. Other15%, 6 targets

Carry Share20 carries

  1. Rachaad White65%, 13 carries
  2. Ke'Shawn Vaughn20%, 4 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield15%, 3 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE7096%615%0
Drake LondonATLWR5585%732%0
Mike EvansTBWR5778%820%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5575%615%13
Chris GodwinTBWR5170%1229%0
Trey PalmerTBWR4764%25%0
Jonnu SmithATLTE3554%314%0
Kyle PittsATLTE3452%523%0
Tyler AllgeierATLRB3351%314%21
Van JeffersonATLWR3249%29%0
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB2640%00%10
MyCole PruittATLTE2640%00%0
Mack HollinsATLWR2335%00%0
Rakim JarrettTBWR2129%25%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR1926%37%0
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB1825%12%4
Scotty MillerATLWR1422%15%0
Payne DurhamTBTE1521%12%0
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR1218%15%0
Bijan RobinsonATLRB1117%00%1
Ko KieftTBTE1216%00%0
Tucker FiskATLTE23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+6.8Mike Evans20.2 PTS vs 13.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.4Chris Godwin Jr.12.6 PTS vs 20.0 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.0 xFPChris Godwin Jr.12.6 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR12.620.0−7.470%29% tgt—000%1229%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB17.219.5−2.3100%42 att—42315%00%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB15.918.0−2.175%65% car—01365%615%
Tyler AllgeierATL · RB14.217.9−3.751%55% car—02155%313%
Desmond RidderATL · QB13.814.2−0.4100%25 att—25616%00%
Mike EvansTB · WR20.213.4+6.878%20% tgt—000%820%
Drake LondonATL · WR11.411.7−0.385%30% tgt—000%730%
Cade OttonTB · TE9.310.0−0.796%15% tgt—000%615%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE7.78.3−0.652%22% tgt—000%522%
Cordarrelle PattersonATL · RB5.66.1−0.540%26% car—01026%00%
Deven ThompkinsTB · WR2.45.0−2.626%7% tgt—000%37%
Jonnu SmithATL · TE5.75.0+0.754%13% tgt—000%313%
Ke'Shawn VaughnTB · RB0.74.1−3.425%20% car—0420%12%
Rakim JarrettTB · WR0.03.3−3.329%5% tgt—000%25%
Trey PalmerTB · WR1.53.3−1.864%5% tgt—000%25%
Van JeffersonATL · WR1.53.3−1.849%9% tgt—000%29%
Keith SmithATL · RB0.91.7−0.8—4% tgt—000%14%
KhaDarel HodgeATL · WR2.91.7+1.218%4% tgt—000%14%
Payne DurhamTB · TE0.01.7−1.721%2% tgt—000%12%
Scotty MillerATL · WR5.61.7+3.922%4% tgt—000%14%
Bijan RobinsonATL · RB0.30.6−0.317%3% car—013%00%

Team totals: Falcons 23 targets and 38 carries; Buccaneers 41 targets and 20 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Desmond Ridder

ATL · QB · 13.8 pts on 14.2 expected

19 of 25 passing for 250 yards; 6 carries for 38 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.2 expected.

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 17.2 pts on 19.5 expected

27 of 42 passing for 275 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 3 carries for 32 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Tyler Allgeier

ATL · RB · 14.2 pts on 17.9 expected

3 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 53 yards; 21 carries (55% of the team's) for 59 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Tyler Allgeier →

Drake London Volume, no payoff

ATL · WR · 11.4 pts on 11.7 expected

7 targets (30% of the team's), 6 catches for 54 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Drake London →

Chris Godwin Jr. Unlucky

TB · WR · 12.6 pts on 20.0 expected

12 targets (29% of the team's), 6 catches for 66 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Rachaad White Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 15.9 pts on 18.0 expected

6 targets (15% of the team's), 6 catches for 65 yards; 13 carries (65% of the team's) for 34 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 20.2 pts on 13.4 expected

8 targets (20% of the team's), 6 catches for 82 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Cordarrelle Patterson

ATL · RB · 5.6 pts on 6.1 expected

10 carries (26% of the team's) for 56 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 6.1 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Atlanta Falcons

  • Stock up: Tyler Allgeier led the backfield with 51% of the snaps after trailing Bijan Robinson before this game.
  • Stock up: Cordarrelle Patterson played 40% of the snaps, up from a 7% season average.
  • Stock down: Bijan Robinson lost the backfield lead: 17% of the snaps to Tyler Allgeier's 51%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Falcons defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toFalcons DBuccaneers D
QBs17.717.7
RBs18.317.6
WRs28.835.9
TEs13.814.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in overtime.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 50%, stood at 50% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 7 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −21Ridder 2-yd TD run50% → 29%Q1 6:48
  2. +22Mayfield → Evans, 40-yd TD28% → 50%Q1 3:24
  3. −16Koo 41-yd FG50% → 34%Q3 2:04
  4. +48McLaughlin 36-yd FG2% → 50%Q4 0:45
  5. −50Koo 51-yd FG50% → <1%Q4 0:00

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Falcons vs Buccaneers
Atlanta FalconsMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
64Plays65
41%Pass rate69%
9.4Yds / dropback5.7
4.1Yds / carry3.6
7/13Third downs6/12

Efficiency edge Atlanta ran 1 fewer plays but gained 3.7 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • ATL London 30% · Pitts 22% · Smith 13%
  • TB Godwin 29% · Evans 20% · Otton 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Falcons vs Buccaneers
ResultATLTB
Touchdowns11
Field goals32
Punts33
Turnovers32
Turnovers on downs01

TB turnover edge: +1

  • The Falcons opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 58-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:0010344:21Downs
ATLQ1 10:398583:51Touchdown
TBQ1 6:487673:24Touchdown
ATLQ1 3:24311:19Punt
TBQ1 2:053-32:14Punt
ATLQ2 14:518623:00Field goal
TBQ2 11:5115766:37Field goal
ATLQ2 5:1412594:57Fumble
TBQ2 0:171-10:17End of half
ATLQ3 15:00321:22Punt
TBQ3 13:385182:00Fumble
ATLQ3 11:387243:38Fumble
TBQ3 8:00382:01Punt
ATLQ3 5:598403:55Field goal
TBQ3 2:046214:27Punt
ATLQ4 12:3710926:07Fumble
TBQ4 6:307542:49Interception
ATLQ4 3:41391:05Punt
TBQ4 2:3610491:51Field goal
ATLQ4 0:455420:45Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Falcons and Buccaneers first met in 1977 and have played 65 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
33–32Falcons lead, 65 meetings since 1977
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Falcons win
56–142014
Largest Buccaneers win
48–101987

Since 2021

5–5 Series tied

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. F = Falcons win, B = Buccaneers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 8 Falcons at Buccaneers Upcoming
  • Week 16 Buccaneers at Falcons Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Falcons vs Buccaneers
FalconsStatBuccaneers
7-10Record9-8
18.9Points per game20.5
334.3Yards per game313.0
5.2Yards per play5.1
21.9Points allowed per game19.1
321.1Yards allowed per game344.2

Falcons vs Buccaneers Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 8 in Tampa Bay and Week 16 in Atlanta. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Falcons vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Falcons vs Buccaneers Week 7 game?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16–13 in Week 7 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on October 22, 2023. See the Falcons' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Falcons vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Falcons 16, Buccaneers 13. The teams were tied 10–10 at halftime, and the second half went Falcons 6, Buccaneers 3.

What happened in the Falcons vs Buccaneers game?

Atlanta broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Tampa Bay 6–3 after the break to win 16–13. The Falcons finished with a 401–329 edge in total offense and averaged 6.3 yards per play. Mike Evans led all players with 6 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown. The Falcons committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers 2.

What was the game-winning score in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Younghoe Koo's 51-yard field goal with 0:00 left in the fourth quarter gave the Falcons a 16–13 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans led the game with 20.2 PPR fantasy points, the WR7 of Week 7, on 6 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown. Baker Mayfield was next with 17.2 (QB11). See Mike Evans's 2023 game log.

Who led Falcons vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Baker Mayfield (TB) led all passers with 27 of 42 for 275 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Tyler Allgeier (ATL) led in rushing with 21 carries for 59 yards. Mike Evans (TB) led in receiving with 6 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Mike Evans score against the Falcons?

Mike Evans scored 20.2 points in PPR leagues, 17.2 in half-PPR and 14.2 in standard scoring against the Falcons in Week 7 of the 2023 season, on 6 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 20.2 PPR points on 13.4 xFP (+6.8). Chris Godwin Jr. fell furthest short, with 12.6 points on 20.0 xFP (−7.4). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Chris Godwin Jr. had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 12.6. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Falcons beat the Buccaneers?

The Falcons beat the Buccaneers 16–13 because they averaged 6.3 yards per play to 5.1 and outgained them 401–329. Younghoe Koo's 51-yard field goal put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–2: the Falcons gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers 2 times. The Falcons won the game anyway.

What was the turning point of Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Younghoe Koo's 51-yard field goal with 0:00 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Buccaneers' win probability from 50% to <1%.

What is the all-time Falcons vs Buccaneers record?

The Falcons lead the all-time series 33–32 across 65 meetings since 1977.

When did the Falcons and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 7 of 2023, they last met in the 2022 season on January 8, 2023, when the Falcons beat the Buccaneers 30–17.

What is the Falcons vs Buccaneers record since 2021?

The series is tied 5–5 across 10 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.