Final2025 Week 15

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 15 2025

Atlanta Falcons

AwayWon

29

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Home

28

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcons01401529
Buccaneers767828

ATL 29TB 28 Final

  • Passing leader

    Kirk Cousins

    ATL · QB

    26.9PPR pts

    30/44, 373 YDS, 3 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Kyle Pitts Sr.

    ATL · TE

    45.6PPR pts

    11 REC, 166 YDS, 3 TD

  • Buccaneers leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    20.2PPR pts

    19/34, 277 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Defensive playmaker

    Dee Alford

    ATL

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Falcons 29, Buccaneers 28: Atlanta rallies in the fourth quarter

Atlanta led 14–13 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter to win 29–28. The Falcons finished with a 476–338 edge in total offense and averaged 7.2 yards per play.

The Buccaneers went 4-for-9 on third down and committed one turnover.

The two teams meet again in Week 8 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +1.7 yards/play ATL 7.2 · TB 5.5
  • +138 total yards ATL 476 · TB 338
  • +1% third-down rate ATL 45% · TB 44%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Falcon or Buccaneer on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Falcons Won

Atlanta won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Falcons vs Buccaneers
FalconsStatBuccaneers
7.2Yards per play5.5
476Total yards338
45%Third-down conversion44%
Other team stats
66Plays61
1Turnovers1
31:51Time of possession28:09

Scoring Summary

The Falcons scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Buccaneers scored three touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Falcons vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayATLTB
1st quarter
1:38TBSean Tucker 1-yard TD run Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP07
2nd quarter
12:11ATLKirk Cousins → Kyle Pitts Sr., 8-yard TD Ties gameZane Gonzalez XP77
2:04TBChase McLaughlin 49-yard FG Takes lead710
0:38ATLKirk Cousins → Kyle Pitts Sr., 17-yard TD Takes leadZane Gonzalez XP1410
0:00TBChase McLaughlin 52-yard FG1413
3rd quarter
6:22TBBaker Mayfield → Devin Culp, 6-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP1420
4th quarter
13:34TBBaker Mayfield → Chris Godwin Jr., 3-yard TD Extends leadBaker Mayfield → Chris Godwin Jr., 2-pt conversion1428
9:37ATLBijan Robinson 6-yard TD run2-pt try failed2028
3:34ATLKirk Cousins → Kyle Pitts Sr., 7-yard TD2-pt try failed2628
0:00ATLZane Gonzalez 43-yard FG Game winner2928

Fantasy Points: Falcons vs Buccaneers, Week 15 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Kyle PittsATLTE45.6 PTSTE1
  2. Bijan RobinsonATLRB29.5 PTSRB4
  3. Kirk CousinsATLQB26.9 PTSQB3
  4. Baker MayfieldTBQB20.2 PTSQB14

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Kirk CousinsATLQB26.9QB330/4437330———117.0Start/Sit →
Baker MayfieldTBQB20.2QB1419/342772111090.0Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Kyle PittsATLTE45.6TE1TE———12111663
Bijan RobinsonATLRB29.5RB4RB19931118820Start/Sit →
Mike EvansTBWR19.2WR11WR———1261320Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR14.0WR24WR———54201
David SillsATLWR13.8WR26WR———106780
Emeka EgbukaTBWR10.4WR38WR———74640Start/Sit →
Bucky IrvingTBRB8.1RB36RB1660031110Start/Sit →
Devin CulpTBTE7.6TE19TE———1161
Sean TuckerTBRB6.7RB41RB471————Start/Sit →
Darnell MooneyATLWR6.5WR57WR———63350Start/Sit →
Jalen McMillanTBWR5.8WR63WR———22380Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB3.6RB52RB12001160Start/Sit →
Charlie WoernerATLTE3.2TE44TE———22120Start/Sit →
Tyler AllgeierATLRB1.8RB67RB2180————Start/Sit →
Tez JohnsonTBWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Kyle PittsTE68 snaps96%
  2. David SillsWR67 snaps94%
  3. Darnell MooneyWR65 snaps92%
  4. Bijan RobinsonRB64 snaps90%
  5. Charlie WoernerTE42 snaps59%

Target Share41 targets

  1. Kyle Pitts29%, 12 targets
  2. Bijan Robinson27%, 11 targets
  3. David Sills24%, 10 targets
  4. Darnell Mooney15%, 6 targets
  5. Charlie Woerner5%, 2 targets

Carry Share21 carries

  1. Bijan Robinson90%, 19 carries
  2. Tyler Allgeier10%, 2 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Chris GodwinWR66 snaps96%
  2. Payne DurhamTE45 snaps65%
  3. Emeka EgbukaWR44 snaps64%
  4. Mike EvansWR38 snaps55%
  5. Bucky IrvingRB37 snaps54%

Target Share32 targets

  1. Mike Evans38%, 12 targets
  2. Emeka Egbuka22%, 7 targets
  3. Chris Godwin16%, 5 targets
  4. Bucky Irving9%, 3 targets
  5. Jalen McMillan6%, 2 targets
  6. Other9%, 3 targets

Carry Share22 carries

  1. Bucky Irving73%, 16 carries
  2. Sean Tucker18%, 4 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield5%, 1 carries
  4. Rachaad White5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Kyle PittsATLTE6896%1229%0
Chris GodwinTBWR6696%516%0
David SillsATLWR6794%1024%0
Darnell MooneyATLWR6592%615%0
Bijan RobinsonATLRB6490%1127%19
Payne DurhamTBTE4565%00%0
Emeka EgbukaTBWR4464%722%0
Charlie WoernerATLTE4259%25%0
Mike EvansTBWR3855%1238%0
Bucky IrvingTBRB3754%39%16
Jalen McMillanTBWR3246%26%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB2942%13%1
Dylan DrummondATLWR2839%00%0
Devin CulpTBTE2029%13%0
Tez JohnsonTBWR1522%13%0
Tyler AllgeierATLRB1217%00%2
Sean TuckerTBRB812%00%4
Teagan QuitorianoATLTE68%00%0
Chris BlairATLWR34%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+25.1Kyle Pitts Sr.45.6 PTS vs 20.5 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.3Bucky Irving8.1 PTS vs 15.4 xFP
  • Highest expected volume31.0 xFPBijan Robinson29.5 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Bijan RobinsonATL · RB29.531.0−1.590%90% car—01990%1127%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE45.620.5+25.196%29% tgt—000%1229%
Mike EvansTB · WR19.220.5−1.355%38% tgt—000%1238%
Kirk CousinsATL · QB26.919.5+7.4100%44 att—4400%00%
David Sills VATL · WR13.817.0−3.294%24% tgt—000%1024%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB20.215.7+4.5100%34 att—3415%00%
Bucky IrvingTB · RB8.115.4−7.354%73% car—01673%39%
Emeka EgbukaTB · WR10.411.9−1.564%22% tgt—000%722%
Darnell MooneyATL · WR6.510.2−3.792%15% tgt—000%615%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR14.08.5+5.596%16% tgt—000%516%
Charlie WoernerATL · TE3.23.4−0.259%5% tgt—000%25%
Jalen McMillanTB · WR5.83.4+2.446%6% tgt—000%26%
Sean TuckerTB · RB6.72.6+4.112%18% car—0418%00%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB3.62.4+1.242%5% car—015%13%
Devin CulpTB · TE7.61.7+5.929%3% tgt—000%13%
Tez JohnsonTB · WR0.01.7−1.722%3% tgt—000%13%
Tyler AllgeierATL · RB1.81.3+0.517%10% car—0210%00%

Team totals: Falcons 41 targets and 21 carries; Buccaneers 32 targets and 22 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Kirk Cousins Ran hot

ATL · QB · 26.9 pts on 19.5 expected

30 of 44 passing for 373 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 19.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Kirk Cousins →

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 20.2 pts on 15.7 expected

19 of 34 passing for 277 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 1 carry for 1 yard.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Bijan Robinson Volume, no payoff

ATL · RB · 29.5 pts on 31.0 expected

11 targets (27% of the team's), 8 catches for 82 yards; 19 carries (90% of the team's) for 93 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 31.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Bijan Robinson →

Kyle Pitts Sr. Ran hot

ATL · TE · 45.6 pts on 20.5 expected

12 targets (29% of the team's), 11 catches for 166 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Mike Evans Volume, no payoff

TB · WR · 19.2 pts on 20.5 expected

12 targets (38% of the team's), 6 catches for 132 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Bucky Irving Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 8.1 pts on 15.4 expected

3 targets (9% of the team's), 1 catch for 11 yards; 16 carries (73% of the team's) for 60 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Bucky Irving →

Chris Godwin Jr. Ran hot

TB · WR · 14.0 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (16% of the team's), 4 catches for 20 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Devin Culp Ran hot

TB · TE · 7.6 pts on 1.7 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 1.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Atlanta Falcons

  • Stock up: David Sills V played 94% of the snaps, up from a 51% season average.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Chris Godwin Jr. played 96% of the snaps, up from a 66% season average.
  • Stock up: Devin Culp played 29% of the snaps, up from a 6% season average.
  • Stock down: Emeka Egbuka played 64% of the snaps, down from a 84% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Falcons defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toFalcons DBuccaneers D
QBs16.920.2
RBs21.320.6
WRs32.930.4
TEs10.115.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 67% win probability, climbed as high as >99%, then lost.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 67%, stood at 58% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −19Cousins → Pitts, 8-yd TD84% → 65%Q2 12:11
  2. −27Cousins → Pitts, 17-yd TD74% → 46%Q2 0:38
  3. +29Mayfield → Culp, 6-yd TD56% → 84%Q3 6:22
  4. −23Cousins → Pitts, 7-yd TD99% → 76%Q4 3:34
  5. −100Gonzalez 43-yd FG>99% → <1%Q4 0:00

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Falcons vs Buccaneers
Atlanta FalconsMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
66Plays61
68%Pass rate64%
8.1Yds / dropback6.4
5.3Yds / carry4.0
5/11Third downs4/9

Efficiency edge Atlanta ran 5 more plays and gained 1.7 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • ATL Pitts 29% · Robinson 27% · Sills 24%
  • TB Evans 38% · Egbuka 22% · Godwin 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Falcons vs Buccaneers
ResultATLTB
Touchdowns43
Field goals12
Punts44
Turnovers11
  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their second possession, a 11-play, 83-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:005222:27Punt
ATLQ1 12:338396:11Punt
TBQ1 6:2211834:44Touchdown
ATLQ1 1:389654:27Touchdown
TBQ2 12:114162:36Punt
ATLQ2 9:356183:06Punt
TBQ2 6:299494:25Field goal
ATLQ2 2:044651:26Touchdown
TBQ2 0:385400:38Field goal
ATLQ3 15:004183:24Punt
TBQ3 11:369905:14Touchdown
ATLQ3 6:227241:56Punt
TBQ3 4:266403:33Punt
ATLQ3 0:53290:47Fumble
TBQ3 0:064251:32Touchdown
ATLQ4 13:348653:57Touchdown
TBQ4 9:374151:15Interception
ATLQ4 8:2210674:48Touchdown
TBQ4 3:34681:45Punt
ATLQ4 1:499451:49Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Falcons and Buccaneers first met in 1977 and have played 65 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
33–32Falcons lead, 65 meetings since 1977
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Falcons win
56–142014
Largest Buccaneers win
48–101987

Since 2021

5–5 Series tied

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. F = Falcons win, B = Buccaneers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 8 Falcons at Buccaneers Upcoming
  • Week 16 Buccaneers at Falcons Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Falcons vs Buccaneers
FalconsStatBuccaneers
8-9Record8-9
20.8Points per game22.4
333.0Yards per game320.4
5.4Yards per play5.1
23.6Points allowed per game24.2
326.6Yards allowed per game337.2

Falcons vs Buccaneers Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −6Buccaneers failed to cover by 7
Total
43.5Over: 57 points scored (by 13.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers24.828+3.3
Falcons18.829+10.3

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 5 meetings: Falcons 3–2 ATS, overs 3–2.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Atlanta Falcons

Against the spread
1–2
Over/under
3–0
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS on the road
1–1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
0–3
Over/under
2–1
ATS as favorite
0–3
ATS at home
0–3

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 8 in Tampa Bay and Week 16 in Atlanta. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Falcons vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Falcons vs Buccaneers Week 15 game?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29–28 in Week 15 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on December 11, 2025. See the Falcons' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Falcons vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Falcons 29, Buccaneers 28. The Falcons led 14–13 at halftime, and the second half went Falcons 15, Buccaneers 15.

What happened in the Falcons vs Buccaneers game?

Atlanta led 14–13 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter to win 29–28. The Falcons finished with a 476–338 edge in total offense and averaged 7.2 yards per play. Kyle Pitts led all players with 11 catches for 166 yards and 3 touchdowns.

What was the game-winning score in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Zane Gonzalez's 43-yard field goal with 0:00 left in the fourth quarter gave the Falcons a 29–28 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Kyle Pitts led the game with 45.6 PPR fantasy points, the TE1 of Week 15, on 11 catches for 166 yards and 3 touchdowns. Bijan Robinson was next with 29.5 (RB4). See Kyle Pitts's 2025 game log.

Who led Falcons vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Kirk Cousins (ATL) led all passers with 30 of 44 for 373 yards and 3 touchdowns. Bijan Robinson (ATL) led in rushing with 19 carries for 93 yards and a touchdown. Kyle Pitts (ATL) led in receiving with 11 catches for 166 yards and 3 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Kyle Pitts score against the Buccaneers?

Kyle Pitts scored 45.6 points in PPR leagues, 40.1 in half-PPR and 34.6 in standard scoring against the Buccaneers in Week 15 of the 2025 season, on 11 catches for 166 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Kyle Pitts Sr. outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 45.6 PPR points on 20.5 xFP (+25.1). Bucky Irving fell furthest short, with 8.1 points on 15.4 xFP (−7.3). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Bijan Robinson had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 31.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 29.5. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Falcons come back to beat the Buccaneers?

The Falcons' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in overtime. Zane Gonzalez's 43-yard field goal in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Zane Gonzalez's 43-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Falcons vs Buccaneers record?

The Falcons lead the all-time series 33–32 across 65 meetings since 1977.

When did the Falcons and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on September 7, 2025, when the Buccaneers beat the Falcons 23–20.

What was the closing spread for Falcons vs Buccaneers?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −6, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-point favorites, with a closing total of 43.5. That implied about 24.8 points for the Buccaneers and 18.8 for the Falcons.

Did Falcons vs Buccaneers go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 43.5, and the teams combined for 57 points, 13.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Falcons vs Buccaneers?

The Falcons covered as 6-point underdogs against the closing line of Buccaneers −6. The final margin was 1 point.