Final2023 Week 7

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos, Week 7 2023

Green Bay Packers

Away

17

Denver Broncos

HomeWon

19

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Packers0010717
Broncos367319

GB 17DEN 19 Final

  • Passing leader

    Russell Wilson

    DEN · QB

    13.9PPR pts

    20/29, 194 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Courtland Sutton

    DEN · WR

    19.6PPR pts

    6 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD

  • Packers leader

    Jordan Love

    GB · QB

    16.3PPR pts

    21/31, 180 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Defensive playmaker

    P.J. Locke

    DEN

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Broncos 19, Packers 17: Denver holds off Green Bay

Denver led 9–0 at halftime and won 19–17, though Green Bay took the second half 17–10. The Broncos finished with a narrow 339–331 edge in total offense and averaged 6.2 yards per play.

Green Bay didn't get on the board until the third quarter.

The Packers went 6-for-14 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Broncos finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +0.8 yards/play DEN 6.2 · GB 5.4
  • +1 turnover margin DEN 0 turnovers
  • +8 total yards DEN 339 · GB 331

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Broncos Won

Denver won the efficiency and turnover battles.

Team stats comparison, Packers vs Broncos
PackersStatBroncos
5.4Yards per play6.2
1Turnovers0
331Total yards339
Other team stats
61Plays55
43%Third-down conversion42%
31:37Time of possession28:23

Scoring Summary

The Broncos scored one touchdown and four field goals; the Packers scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Packers vs Broncos
TimeTeamPlayGBDEN
1st quarter
8:27DENWil Lutz 32-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
13:14DENWil Lutz 29-yard FG Extends lead06
0:05DENWil Lutz 35-yard FG Extends lead09
3rd quarter
10:24GBAnders Carlson 29-yard FG39
6:17DENRussell Wilson → Courtland Sutton, 18-yard TD Extends leadWil Lutz XP316
1:46GBJordan Love → Romeo Doubs, 16-yard TDAnders Carlson XP1016
4th quarter
8:31GBJordan Love → Jayden Reed, 4-yard TD Takes leadAnders Carlson XP1716
3:50DENWil Lutz 52-yard FG Game winner1719

Fantasy Points: Packers vs Broncos, Week 7 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Courtland SuttonDENWR19.6 PTSWR8
  2. Jordan LoveGBQB16.3 PTSQB12
  3. Russell WilsonDENQB13.9 PTSQB18
  4. Javonte WilliamsDENRB12.6 PTSRB20

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Russell WilsonDENQB13.9QB1820/2919410121098.9
Jordan LoveGBQB16.3QB1221/3118021321090.8Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Courtland SuttonDENWR19.6WR8WR———66761Start/Sit →
Javonte WilliamsDENRB12.6RB20RB1582043140Start/Sit →
AJ DillonGBRB11.5RB21RB1561022340Start/Sit →
Jerry JeudyDENWR11.4WR29WR———55640Start/Sit →
Jayden ReedGBWR11.1WR32WR———43211Start/Sit →
Romeo DoubsGBWR11.0WR33WR———52301Start/Sit →
Aaron JonesGBRB8.7RB26RB835053220
Samaje PerineDENRB7.1RB31RB210033310Start/Sit →
Luke MusgraveGBTE7.0TE18TE———54300Start/Sit →
Christian WatsonGBWR5.7WR57WR———53270Start/Sit →
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB5.6RB40RB54502110Start/Sit →
Emanuel WilsonGBRB4.7RB44RB21902280Start/Sit →
Dontayvion WicksGBWR3.4WR72WR11011170Start/Sit →
Adam TrautmanDENTE1.5TE36TE———2150Start/Sit →
Samori ToureGBWR1.3WR95WR———2130
Nate AdkinsDENTE1.3TE40TE———1130Start/Sit →
Ben SimsGBTE1.2TE41TE———1120
Marvin MimsDENWR-1.1—WR1-1101000

Fantasy Usage

Green Bay Packers

Snap Share

  1. Christian WatsonWR56 snaps88%
  2. Romeo DoubsWR52 snaps81%
  3. Luke MusgraveTE43 snaps67%
  4. AJ DillonRB36 snaps56%
  5. Tucker KraftTE32 snaps50%

Target Share32 targets

  1. Aaron Jones16%, 5 targets
  2. Romeo Doubs16%, 5 targets
  3. Christian Watson16%, 5 targets
  4. Luke Musgrave16%, 5 targets
  5. Jayden Reed13%, 4 targets
  6. Other25%, 8 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. AJ Dillon52%, 15 carries
  2. Aaron Jones28%, 8 carries
  3. Jordan Love10%, 3 carries
  4. Emanuel Wilson7%, 2 carries
  5. Dontayvion Wicks3%, 1 carries

Denver Broncos

Snap Share

  1. Courtland SuttonWR51 snaps86%
  2. Adam TrautmanTE43 snaps73%
  3. Jerry JeudyWR40 snaps68%
  4. Javonte WilliamsRB31 snaps53%
  5. Brandon JohnsonWR22 snaps37%

Target Share24 targets

  1. Courtland Sutton25%, 6 targets
  2. Jerry Jeudy21%, 5 targets
  3. Javonte Williams17%, 4 targets
  4. Samaje Perine13%, 3 targets
  5. Adam Trautman8%, 2 targets
  6. Other17%, 4 targets

Carry Share24 carries

  1. Javonte Williams63%, 15 carries
  2. Jaleel McLaughlin21%, 5 carries
  3. Samaje Perine8%, 2 carries
  4. Russell Wilson4%, 1 carries
  5. Marvin Mims4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Christian WatsonGBWR5688%516%0
Courtland SuttonDENWR5186%625%0
Romeo DoubsGBWR5281%516%0
Adam TrautmanDENTE4373%28%0
Jerry JeudyDENWR4068%521%0
Luke MusgraveGBTE4367%516%0
AJ DillonGBRB3656%26%15
Javonte WilliamsDENRB3153%417%15
Tucker KraftGBTE3250%00%0
Jayden ReedGBWR3148%413%0
Brandon JohnsonDENWR2237%00%0
Aaron JonesGBRB2336%516%8
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR2034%00%0
Chris ManhertzDENTE1831%00%0
Marvin MimsDENWR1831%14%1
Josiah DeguaraGBTE1727%00%0
Samaje PerineDENRB1525%313%2
Dontayvion WicksGBWR1422%13%1
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB1017%28%5
Samori ToureGBWR711%26%0
Nate AdkinsDENTE610%14%0
Emanuel WilsonGBRB58%26%2
Ben SimsGBTE46%13%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+9.6Courtland Sutton19.6 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−4.6Aaron Jones Sr.8.7 PTS vs 13.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume15.9 xFPJavonte Williams12.6 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Javonte WilliamsDEN · RB12.615.9−3.353%60% car—01560%417%
Jordan LoveGB · QB16.314.9+1.4100%31 att—31310%00%
Aaron Jones Sr.GB · RB8.713.3−4.636%28% car—0828%516%
Russell WilsonDEN · QB13.912.8+1.1100%29 att—2914%00%
AJ DillonGB · RB11.512.5−1.056%52% car—01552%26%
Courtland SuttonDEN · WR19.610.0+9.686%25% tgt—000%625%
Christian WatsonGB · WR5.78.3−2.688%16% tgt—000%516%
Jerry JeudyDEN · WR11.48.3+3.168%21% tgt—000%521%
Luke MusgraveGB · TE7.08.3−1.367%16% tgt—000%516%
Romeo DoubsGB · WR11.08.3+2.781%16% tgt—000%516%
Jayden ReedGB · WR11.16.7+4.448%13% tgt—000%413%
Jaleel McLaughlinDEN · RB5.66.4−0.817%20% car—0520%28%
Samaje PerineDEN · RB7.16.2+0.925%13% tgt—028%313%
Emanuel WilsonGB · RB4.74.6+0.18%7% car—027%26%
Adam TrautmanDEN · TE1.53.3−1.873%8% tgt—000%28%
Samori ToureGB · WR1.33.3−2.011%6% tgt—000%26%
Dontayvion WicksGB · WR3.42.7+0.722%3% car—113%13%
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR-1.12.3−3.431%4% tgt—014%14%
Ben SimsGB · TE1.21.7−0.56%3% tgt—000%13%
Nate AdkinsDEN · TE1.31.7−0.410%4% tgt—000%14%
Michael BurtonDEN · RB-0.20.6−0.8—4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Packers 32 targets and 29 carries; Broncos 24 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Jordan Love

GB · QB · 16.3 pts on 14.9 expected

21 of 31 passing for 180 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 3 carries for 21 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Jordan Love →

Russell Wilson

DEN · QB · 13.9 pts on 12.8 expected

20 of 29 passing for 194 yards, 1 touchdown; 1 carry for 21 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.8 expected.

Aaron Jones Sr.

GB · RB · 8.7 pts on 13.3 expected

5 targets (16% of the team's), 3 catches for 22 yards; 8 carries (28% of the team's) for 35 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.3 expected.

AJ Dillon

GB · RB · 11.5 pts on 12.5 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 2 catches for 34 yards; 15 carries (52% of the team's) for 61 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.5 expected.

Start/Sit: AJ Dillon →

Javonte Williams Volume, no payoff

DEN · RB · 12.6 pts on 15.9 expected

4 targets (17% of the team's), 3 catches for 14 yards; 15 carries (60% of the team's) for 82 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Javonte Williams →

Courtland Sutton Ran hot

DEN · WR · 19.6 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (25% of the team's), 6 catches for 76 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Courtland Sutton →

Samori Toure

GB · WR · 1.3 pts on 3.3 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 1 catch for 3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 3.3 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Green Bay Packers

  • Stock up: Christian Watson played 88% of the snaps, up from a 65% season average.
  • Stock down: Samori Toure played 11% of the snaps, down from a 29% season average.
  • Stock down: Dontayvion Wicks played 22% of the snaps, down from a 52% season average.

Denver Broncos

  • Stock up: Javonte Williams led the backfield with 53% of the snaps after trailing Samaje Perine before this game.
  • Stock down: Samaje Perine lost the backfield lead: 25% of the snaps to Javonte Williams's 53%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Packers defense and Broncos defense
Points allowed toPackers DBroncos D
QBs15.317.6
RBs21.226.6
WRs31.731.6
TEs11.515.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Denver opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in overtime on the way to the win.

Broncos win probability

Broncos win probability by game minuteBroncos started at 50%, stood at 83% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +10Lutz 29-yd FG60% → 70%Q2 13:14
  2. +17Wilson → Sutton, 18-yd TD77% → 95%Q3 6:17
  3. −17Love → Doubs, 16-yd TD97% → 80%Q3 1:46
  4. −46Love → Reed, 4-yd TD88% → 42%Q4 8:31
  5. +34Lutz 52-yd FG38% → 72%Q4 3:50

Swing in Broncos win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Packers vs Broncos
Green Bay PackersMeasureDenver Broncos
61Plays55
52%Pass rate55%
6.1Yds / dropback6.5
4.7Yds / carry5.8
6/14Third downs5/12

Efficiency edge Denver ran 6 fewer plays but gained 1.1 more yards per carry.

  • Top targets
  • GB Jones 16% · Watson 16% · Musgrave 16%
  • DEN Sutton 25% · Jeudy 21% · Williams 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Packers vs Broncos
ResultGBDEN
Touchdowns21
Field goals14
Punts33
Turnovers10
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals10

DEN turnover edge: +1

  • The Broncos opened the scoring on their first possession, a 11-play, 62-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Broncos drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to five minutes.
All 18 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
DENQ1 15:0011626:33Field goal
GBQ1 8:27381:52Punt
DENQ1 6:35351:20Punt
GBQ1 5:155112:44Punt
DENQ1 2:3111704:17Field goal
GBQ2 13:146203:30Punt
DENQ2 9:445283:13Punt
GBQ2 6:3111475:50Missed FG
DENQ2 0:416500:36Field goal
GBQ2 0:051140:05End of half
GBQ3 15:0012644:36Field goal
DENQ3 10:247754:07Touchdown
GBQ3 6:179754:31Touchdown
DENQ3 1:46381:56Punt
GBQ4 14:5011766:19Touchdown
DENQ4 8:319414:41Field goal
GBQ4 3:505212:10Interception
DENQ4 1:40411:40Downs
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Packers vs Broncos Head-to-Head

The Packers and Broncos first met in 1971 and have played 17 times since.

All-time series
9–7–1Broncos lead, 17 meetings since 1971
Postseason
1–0Broncos won in 1997
Largest Packers win
41–61996
Largest Broncos win
31–101999

Since 2021

2–0 Broncos lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Broncos win, P = Packers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Packers vs Broncos
PackersStatBroncos
9-8Record8-9
22.5Points per game21.0
345.5Yards per game298.4
5.6Yards per play5.0
20.6Points allowed per game24.3
335.1Yards allowed per game370.8

Packers and Broncos in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Packer or a Bronco, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Packers vs Broncos Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Packers vs Broncos Week 7 game?

The Denver Broncos beat the Green Bay Packers 19–17 in Week 7 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, on October 22, 2023. See the Broncos' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Packers vs Broncos?

The final score was Broncos 19, Packers 17. The Broncos led 9–0 at halftime, and the second half went Packers 17, Broncos 10.

What happened in the Packers vs Broncos game?

Denver led 9–0 at halftime and won 19–17, though Green Bay took the second half 17–10. The Broncos finished with a narrow 339–331 edge in total offense and averaged 6.2 yards per play. Courtland Sutton led all players with 6 catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. The Packers committed 1 turnover, the Broncos none.

What was the game-winning score in Packers vs Broncos?

Wil Lutz's 52-yard field goal with 3:50 left in the fourth quarter gave the Broncos a 19–17 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Packers vs Broncos?

Courtland Sutton led the game with 19.6 PPR fantasy points, the WR8 of Week 7, on 6 catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. Jordan Love was next with 16.3 (QB12). See Courtland Sutton's 2023 game log.

Who led Packers vs Broncos in passing, rushing and receiving?

Russell Wilson (DEN) led all passers with 20 of 29 for 194 yards and a touchdown. Javonte Williams (DEN) led in rushing with 15 carries for 82 yards. Courtland Sutton (DEN) led in receiving with 6 catches for 76 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Courtland Sutton score against the Packers?

Courtland Sutton scored 19.6 points in PPR leagues, 16.6 in half-PPR and 13.6 in standard scoring against the Packers in Week 7 of the 2023 season, on 6 catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. He drew 25% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Packers vs Broncos?

Courtland Sutton outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 19.6 PPR points on 10.0 xFP (+9.6). Aaron Jones Sr. fell furthest short, with 8.7 points on 13.3 xFP (−4.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Packers vs Broncos?

Javonte Williams had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 15.9 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 12.6. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Broncos beat the Packers?

The Broncos beat the Packers 19–17 because they averaged 6.2 yards per play to 5.4, won the turnover battle 1–0, and outgained them 339–331. Wil Lutz's 52-yard field goal put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Packers vs Broncos?

The Broncos won the turnover battle 1–0: the Packers gave the ball away 1 time and the Broncos not at all. The Broncos won the game.

What was the turning point of Packers vs Broncos?

Jordan Love's 4-yard touchdown pass to Jayden Reed with 8:31 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Broncos' win probability from 88% to 42%.

What is the all-time Packers vs Broncos record?

The Broncos lead the all-time series 9–7–1 across 17 meetings since 1971, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

Have the Packers and Broncos played in the Super Bowl?

Yes, once: the Broncos won Super Bowl XXXII 31–24 over the Packers after the 1997 season.

When did the Packers and Broncos last play before this game?

Before Week 7 of 2023, they last met in the 2019 season on September 22, 2019, when the Packers beat the Broncos 27–16.