Final2025 Week 15

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers

Away

26

Denver Broncos

HomeWon

34

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Packers3137326
Broncos01413734

GB 26DEN 34 Final

  • Passing leader

    Bo Nix

    DEN · QB

    29.1PPR pts

    23/34, 302 YDS, 4 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Courtland Sutton

    DEN · WR

    24.3PPR pts

    7 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD

  • Packers leader

    Josh Jacobs

    GB · RB

    23.2PPR pts

    12 ATT, 73 YDS, 1 TD, 2 REC, 19 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Pat Surtain II

    DEN

    1 INT, 4 TKL

Broncos 34, Packers 26: Denver rallies from 2 down at halftime

Denver erased a 16–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Green Bay 20–10 after the break to win 34–26. The Broncos finished with a 391–362 edge in total offense and averaged 6.0 yards per play.

The Packers went 6-for-13 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +0.3 yards/play DEN 6.0 · GB 5.7
  • +1 turnover margin DEN 1 · GB 2 turnovers
  • +29 total yards DEN 391 · GB 362

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Broncos Won

Denver won the efficiency, turnover, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Packers vs Broncos
PackersStatBroncos
5.7Yards per play6.0
2Turnovers1
362Total yards391
Other team stats
63Plays65
46%Third-down conversion36%
29:28Time of possession30:32

Scoring Summary

The Broncos scored five touchdowns; the Packers scored two touchdowns and four field goals.

Scoring plays, Packers vs Broncos
TimeTeamPlayGBDEN
1st quarter
7:02GBBrandon McManus 53-yard FG Takes lead30
2nd quarter
14:11GBBrandon McManus 26-yard FG Extends lead60
8:19DENBo Nix → Michael Bandy, 20-yard TD Takes leadWil Lutz XP67
4:29GBJordan Love → Josh Jacobs, 14-yard TD Takes leadBrandon McManus XP137
1:56DENBo Nix → Lil'Jordan Humphrey, 5-yard TD Takes leadWil Lutz XP1314
0:02GBBrandon McManus 35-yard FG Takes lead1614
3rd quarter
13:59GBJosh Jacobs 40-yard TD run Extends leadBrandon McManus XP2314
9:07DENBo Nix → Courtland Sutton, 14-yard TDWil Lutz XP2321
0:00DENBo Nix → Troy Franklin, 23-yard TD Takes lead2-pt try failed2327
4th quarter
10:55GBBrandon McManus 37-yard FG2627
7:27DENRJ Harvey 4-yard TD run Extends leadWil Lutz XP2634

Fantasy Points: Packers vs Broncos, Week 15 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Bo NixDENQB29.1 PTSQB2
  2. Courtland SuttonDENWR24.3 PTSWR4
  3. Josh JacobsGBRB23.2 PTSRB6
  4. Troy FranklinDENWR20.8 PTSWR8

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Bo NixDENQB29.1QB223/34302407100134.7Start/Sit →
Jordan LoveGBQB15.9QB1924/4027612329068.3Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Courtland SuttonDENWR24.3WR4WR———1071131Start/Sit →
Josh JacobsGBRB23.2RB6RB1273132191Start/Sit →
Troy FranklinDENWR20.8WR8WR13066851Start/Sit →
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR13.2WR27WR———43421Start/Sit →
RJ HarveyDENRB10.5RB27RB196511000Start/Sit →
Jayden ReedGBWR10.5WR37WR———65550Start/Sit →
Luke MusgraveGBTE9.2TE17TE———64520Start/Sit →
Michael BandyDENWR9.0WR42WR———11201
Matthew GoldenGBWR8.5WR47WR———43550Start/Sit →
Marvin MimsDENWR7.7WR52WR18064290
Christian WatsonGBWR5.9WR61WR———53290Start/Sit →
Romeo DoubsGBWR5.6WR67WR———32360Start/Sit →
John FitzPatrickGBTE4.8TE31TE———43180
Chris BrooksGBRB2.6RB59RB21002160Start/Sit →
Evan EngramDENTE2.2TE49TE———31120Start/Sit →
Dontayvion WicksGBWR1.6WR98WR———2160Start/Sit →
Tyler BadieDENRB1.1RB71RB———1110Start/Sit →
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB0.4RB75RB240————Start/Sit →
Emanuel WilsonGBRB0.3RB78RB230————Start/Sit →
Bo MeltonGBWR0.0—WR1001000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Green Bay Packers

Snap Share

  1. Romeo DoubsWR50 snaps76%
  2. John FitzPatrickTE46 snaps70%
  3. Jayden ReedWR43 snaps65%
  4. Josh JacobsRB36 snaps55%
  5. Luke MusgraveTE34 snaps52%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Luke Musgrave17%, 6 targets
  2. Jayden Reed17%, 6 targets
  3. Christian Watson14%, 5 targets
  4. John FitzPatrick11%, 4 targets
  5. Matthew Golden11%, 4 targets
  6. Other31%, 11 targets

Carry Share20 carries

  1. Josh Jacobs60%, 12 carries
  2. Jordan Love15%, 3 carries
  3. Chris Brooks10%, 2 carries
  4. Emanuel Wilson10%, 2 carries
  5. Bo Melton5%, 1 carries

Denver Broncos

Snap Share

  1. Courtland SuttonWR60 snaps88%
  2. Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR46 snaps68%
  3. RJ HarveyRB46 snaps68%
  4. Adam TrautmanTE42 snaps62%
  5. Troy FranklinWR34 snaps50%

Target Share32 targets

  1. Courtland Sutton31%, 10 targets
  2. Marvin Mims19%, 6 targets
  3. Troy Franklin19%, 6 targets
  4. Lil'Jordan Humphrey13%, 4 targets
  5. Evan Engram9%, 3 targets
  6. Other9%, 3 targets

Carry Share30 carries

  1. RJ Harvey63%, 19 carries
  2. Bo Nix23%, 7 carries
  3. Jaleel McLaughlin7%, 2 carries
  4. Marvin Mims3%, 1 carries
  5. Troy Franklin3%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Courtland SuttonDENWR6088%1031%0
Romeo DoubsGBWR5076%38%0
John FitzPatrickGBTE4670%411%0
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR4668%413%0
RJ HarveyDENRB4668%13%19
Jayden ReedGBWR4365%617%0
Adam TrautmanDENTE4262%00%0
Josh JacobsGBRB3655%38%12
Luke MusgraveGBTE3452%617%0
Troy FranklinDENWR3450%619%1
Dontayvion WicksGBWR2842%26%0
Christian WatsonGBWR2741%514%0
Nate AdkinsDENTE2537%00%0
Matthew GoldenGBWR2335%411%0
Marvin MimsDENWR2131%619%1
Evan EngramDENTE1928%39%0
Chris BrooksGBRB1726%26%2
Emanuel WilsonGBRB1320%00%2
Bo MeltonGBWR914%13%1
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB913%00%2
Tyler BadieDENRB710%13%0
Josh WhyleGBTE23%00%0
Michael BandyDENWR23%13%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+10.3Josh Jacobs23.2 PTS vs 12.9 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−3.8Jordan Love15.9 PTS vs 19.7 xFP
  • Highest expected volume19.7 xFPJordan Love15.9 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Jordan LoveGB · QB15.919.7−3.8100%40 att—40315%00%
Bo NixDEN · QB29.119.6+9.5100%34 att—34723%00%
Courtland SuttonDEN · WR24.317.0+7.388%31% tgt—000%1031%
RJ HarveyDEN · RB10.514.0−3.568%61% car—01961%13%
Josh JacobsGB · RB23.212.9+10.355%60% car—01260%38%
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR7.710.9−3.231%19% tgt—013%619%
Troy FranklinDEN · WR20.810.9+9.950%19% tgt—013%619%
Jayden ReedGB · WR10.510.2+0.365%17% tgt—000%617%
Luke MusgraveGB · TE9.210.2−1.052%17% tgt—000%617%
Christian WatsonGB · WR5.98.5−2.641%14% tgt—000%514%
John FitzPatrickGB · TE4.86.8−2.070%11% tgt—000%411%
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN · WR13.26.8+6.468%13% tgt—000%413%
Matthew GoldenGB · WR8.56.8+1.735%11% tgt—000%411%
Evan EngramDEN · TE2.25.1−2.928%9% tgt—000%39%
Romeo DoubsGB · WR5.65.1+0.576%8% tgt—000%38%
Chris BrooksGB · RB2.64.7−2.126%10% car—0210%26%
Dontayvion WicksGB · WR1.63.4−1.842%6% tgt—000%26%
Bo MeltonGB · WR0.02.4−2.414%5% car—015%13%
Michael BandyDEN · WR9.01.7+7.33%3% tgt—000%13%
Tyler BadieDEN · RB1.11.7−0.610%3% tgt—000%13%
Emanuel WilsonGB · RB0.31.3−1.020%10% car—0210%00%
Jaleel McLaughlinDEN · RB0.41.3−0.913%6% car—026%00%
Adam PrenticeDEN · RB-0.10.6−0.7—3% car—013%00%

Team totals: Packers 36 targets and 20 carries; Broncos 32 targets and 31 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Jordan Love

GB · QB · 15.9 pts on 19.7 expected

24 of 40 passing for 276 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions; 3 carries for 29 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Jordan Love →

Bo Nix Ran hot

DEN · QB · 29.1 pts on 19.6 expected

23 of 34 passing for 302 yards, 4 touchdowns; 7 carries for 10 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 19.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Bo Nix →

Josh Jacobs Ran hot

GB · RB · 23.2 pts on 12.9 expected

3 targets (8% of the team's), 2 catches for 19 yards and 1 touchdown; 12 carries (60% of the team's) for 73 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Jacobs →

Jayden Reed

GB · WR · 10.5 pts on 10.2 expected

6 targets (17% of the team's), 5 catches for 55 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Jayden Reed →

Courtland Sutton Ran hot

DEN · WR · 24.3 pts on 17.0 expected

10 targets (31% of the team's), 7 catches for 113 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 17.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Courtland Sutton →

RJ Harvey Volume, no payoff

DEN · RB · 10.5 pts on 14.0 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 19 carries (61% of the team's) for 65 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.0 expected.

Start/Sit: RJ Harvey →

Troy Franklin Ran hot

DEN · WR · 20.8 pts on 10.9 expected

6 targets (19% of the team's), 6 catches for 85 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 3 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Troy Franklin →

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Ran hot

DEN · WR · 13.2 pts on 6.8 expected

4 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 42 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Lil'Jordan Humphrey →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Green Bay Packers

  • Stock up: Jayden Reed played 65% of the snaps, up from a 31% season average.
  • Stock up: John FitzPatrick played 70% of the snaps, up from a 33% season average.
  • Stock down: Christian Watson played 41% of the snaps, down from a 73% season average.

Denver Broncos

  • Stock up: RJ Harvey played 68% of the snaps, up from a 36% season average.
  • Stock up: Lil'Jordan Humphrey played 68% of the snaps, up from a 52% season average.
  • Stock down: Evan Engram played 28% of the snaps, down from a 44% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Packers defense and Broncos defense
Points allowed toPackers DBroncos D
QBs15.214.8
RBs21.117.0
WRs31.026.3
TEs12.113.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Denver opened at 46% win probability, fell as low as 13%, then rallied to win.

Broncos win probability

Broncos win probability by game minuteBroncos started at 46%, stood at 39% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 11 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −25Love → Jacobs, 14-yd TD51% → 25%Q2 4:29
  2. +26Nix → Humphrey, 5-yd TD25% → 51%Q2 1:56
  3. +25Nix → Sutton, 14-yd TD13% → 38%Q3 9:07
  4. +34Nix → Franklin, 23-yd TD36% → 70%Q3 0:00
  5. +38Harvey 4-yd TD run57% → 95%Q4 7:27

Swing in Broncos win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Packers vs Broncos
Green Bay PackersMeasureDenver Broncos
63Plays65
68%Pass rate52%
5.7Yds / dropback8.9
5.8Yds / carry2.9
6/13Third downs4/11

Efficiency edge Denver ran 2 more plays and gained 3.2 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • GB Reed 17% · Musgrave 17% · Watson 14%
  • DEN Sutton 31% · Mims 19% · Franklin 19%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Packers vs Broncos
ResultGBDEN
Touchdowns25
Field goals40
Punts12
Turnovers21
Turnovers on downs22

DEN turnover edge: +1

  • The Packers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 17-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
DENQ1 15:006223:20Fumble
GBQ1 11:408174:38Field goal
DENQ1 7:02362:06Punt
GBQ1 4:5610895:45Field goal
DENQ2 14:1110705:52Touchdown
GBQ2 8:199753:50Touchdown
DENQ2 4:296722:33Touchdown
GBQ2 1:568701:54Field goal
DENQ2 0:02000:02End of half
GBQ3 15:003711:01Touchdown
DENQ3 13:59311:04Punt
GBQ3 12:55100:09Interception
DENQ3 12:467713:39Touchdown
GBQ3 9:076114:16Punt
DENQ3 4:5111704:51Touchdown
GBQ4 15:009464:05Field goal
DENQ4 10:559653:28Touchdown
GBQ4 7:27220:56Interception
DENQ4 6:31471:32Downs
GBQ4 4:59712:31Downs
DENQ4 2:28481:21Downs
GBQ4 1:074-50:23Downs
DENQ4 0:442-20:44End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Packers vs Broncos Head-to-Head

The Packers and Broncos first met in 1971 and have played 17 times since.

All-time series
9–7–1Broncos lead, 17 meetings since 1971
Postseason
1–0Broncos won in 1997
Largest Packers win
41–61996
Largest Broncos win
31–101999

Since 2021

2–0 Broncos lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Broncos win, P = Packers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Packers vs Broncos
PackersStatBroncos
9-7-1Record14-3
23.0Points per game23.6
332.6Yards per game342.6
5.6Yards per play5.3
21.2Points allowed per game18.3
311.8Yards allowed per game278.2

Packers vs Broncos Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
GB −1.5Packers failed to cover by 9.5
Total
42.5Over: 60 points scored (by 17.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Packers22.026+4.0
Broncos20.534+13.5

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Green Bay Packers

Against the spread
2–1
Over/under
3–0
ATS as favorite
1–1
ATS on the road
1–1

Denver Broncos

Against the spread
1–2
Over/under
2–0
ATS as favorite
0–2
ATS as underdog
1–0
ATS at home
1–0

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Packers and Broncos in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Packer or a Bronco, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Packers vs Broncos Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Packers vs Broncos Week 15 game?

The Denver Broncos beat the Green Bay Packers 34–26 in Week 15 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, on December 14, 2025. See the Broncos' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Packers vs Broncos?

The final score was Broncos 34, Packers 26. The Packers led 16–14 at halftime, and the second half went Packers 10, Broncos 20.

What happened in the Packers vs Broncos game?

Denver erased a 16–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Green Bay 20–10 after the break to win 34–26. The Broncos finished with a 391–362 edge in total offense and averaged 6.0 yards per play. Bo Nix led all players with 23 of 34 passing for 302 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 10 rushing yards. The Packers committed 2 turnovers, the Broncos 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Packers vs Broncos?

Bo Nix led the game with 29.1 PPR fantasy points, the QB2 of Week 15, on 23 of 34 passing for 302 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 10 rushing yards. Courtland Sutton was next with 24.3 (WR4). See Bo Nix's 2025 game log.

Who led Packers vs Broncos in passing, rushing and receiving?

Bo Nix (DEN) led all passers with 23 of 34 for 302 yards and 4 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs (GB) led in rushing with 12 carries for 73 yards and a touchdown. Courtland Sutton (DEN) led in receiving with 7 catches for 113 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Bo Nix score against the Packers?

Bo Nix scored 29.1 fantasy points against the Packers in Week 15 of the 2025 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 23 of 34 passing for 302 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 10 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Packers vs Broncos?

Josh Jacobs outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 23.2 PPR points on 12.9 xFP (+10.3). Jordan Love fell furthest short, with 15.9 points on 19.7 xFP (−3.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Broncos come back to beat the Packers?

The Broncos' chances of winning fell as low as 13% in the third quarter. RJ Harvey's 4-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. They finished the comeback with a 34–26 win.

Which team won the turnover battle in Packers vs Broncos?

The Broncos won the turnover battle 2–1: the Packers gave the ball away 2 times and the Broncos 1 time. The Broncos won the game.

What is the all-time Packers vs Broncos record?

The Broncos lead the all-time series 9–7–1 across 17 meetings since 1971, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

Have the Packers and Broncos played in the Super Bowl?

Yes, once: the Broncos won Super Bowl XXXII 31–24 over the Packers after the 1997 season.

When did the Packers and Broncos last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2025, they last met in the 2023 season on October 22, 2023, when the Broncos beat the Packers 19–17.

What was the closing spread for Packers vs Broncos?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Packers −1.5, making the Green Bay Packers 1.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 42.5. That implied about 22.0 points for the Packers and 20.5 for the Broncos.

Did Packers vs Broncos go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 42.5, and the teams combined for 60 points, 17.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Packers vs Broncos?

The Broncos covered as 1.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Packers −1.5. The final margin was 8 points.