Final2025 Week 16

Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

New Orleans Saints vs New York Jets

New York Jets

Away

6

New Orleans Saints

HomeWon

29

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jets33006
Saints3671329

NYJ 6NO 29 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tyler Shough

    NO · QB

    17.1PPR pts

    32/49, 308 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Chris Olave

    NO · WR

    36.8PPR pts

    10 REC, 148 YDS, 2 TD

  • Jets leader

    Isaiah Davis

    NYJ · RB

    10.0PPR pts

    3 ATT, 8 YDS, 4 REC, 52 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Jonas Sanker

    NO

    1 INT, 6 TKL

Saints 29, Jets 6: New Orleans pulls away from New York

New Orleans led 9–6 at halftime and outscored New York 20–0 after the break to win 29–6. The Saints finished with a 412–195 edge in total offense and averaged 5.3 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Jets went 2-for-15 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +2.2 yards/play NO 5.3 · NYJ 3.1
  • +1 turnover margin NO 1 · NYJ 2 turnovers
  • +217 total yards NO 412 · NYJ 195

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Saints Won

New Orleans won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Jets vs Saints
JetsStatSaints
3.1Yards per play5.3
2Turnovers1
195Total yards412
Other team stats
63Plays78
13%Third-down conversion47%
28:42Time of possession31:18

Scoring Summary

The Saints scored two touchdowns and five field goals; the Jets scored two field goals.

Scoring plays, Jets vs Saints
TimeTeamPlayNYJNO
1st quarter
10:38NYJNick Folk 29-yard FG Takes lead30
6:31NOCharlie Smyth 35-yard FG Ties game33
2nd quarter
14:18NOCharlie Smyth 49-yard FG Takes lead36
12:38NYJNick Folk 36-yard FG Ties game66
1:31NOCharlie Smyth 36-yard FG Takes lead69
3rd quarter
0:41NOTyler Shough → Chris Olave, 23-yard TD Extends leadCharlie Smyth XP616
4th quarter
11:09NOCharlie Smyth 50-yard FG Extends lead619
5:17NOCharlie Smyth 39-yard FG Extends lead622
1:54NOTaysom Hill → Chris Olave, 38-yard TD Extends leadCharlie Smyth XP629

Fantasy Points: Jets vs Saints, Week 16 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Chris OlaveNOWR36.8 PTSWR2
  2. Tyler ShoughNOQB17.1 PTSQB16
  3. Juwan JohnsonNOTE16.9 PTSTE4
  4. Taysom HillNOTE15.3 PTSTE8

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tyler ShoughNOQB17.1QB1632/493081028089.5Start/Sit →
Brady CookNYJQB4.7QB3022/351880112064.9

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Chris OlaveNOWR36.8WR2WR———16101482Start/Sit →
Juwan JohnsonNOTE16.9TE4TE———98890Start/Sit →
Taysom HillNOTE15.3TE8TE1242064360
Isaiah DavisNYJRB10.0RB31RB38044520Start/Sit →
Stone SmarttNYJTE8.4TE17TE———55340Start/Sit →
Breece HallNYJRB8.3RB39RB165403290Start/Sit →
Mason TiptonNOWR8.1WR50WR112054290Start/Sit →
Adonai MitchellNYJWR7.3WR55WR———63430Start/Sit →
Audric EstimeNORB6.6RB44RB519043170
Isaiah WilliamsNYJWR6.5WR62WR———44250Start/Sit →
Kevin AustinNOWR3.8WR83WR———32180
Jeremy RuckertNYJTE3.4TE43TE———32140Start/Sit →
Tyler JohnsonNYJWR1.7WR106WR———1170
Foster MoreauNOTE1.5TE56TE———1150Start/Sit →
John MetchieNYJWR1.4WR111WR———5140
Jack StollNOTE1.4TE60TE———2140
Evan HullNORB0.3RB76RB530————Start/Sit →
Jelani WoodsNYJTE0.0—TE———2000
Dante PettisNOWR0.0—WR———1000
Arian SmithNYJWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

New York Jets

Snap Share

  1. John MetchieWR57 snaps86%
  2. Adonai MitchellWR57 snaps86%
  3. Isaiah WilliamsWR51 snaps77%
  4. Jeremy RuckertTE44 snaps67%
  5. Breece HallRB42 snaps64%

Target Share34 targets

  1. Adonai Mitchell18%, 6 targets
  2. John Metchie15%, 5 targets
  3. Stone Smartt15%, 5 targets
  4. Isaiah Davis12%, 4 targets
  5. Isaiah Williams12%, 4 targets
  6. Other29%, 10 targets

Carry Share20 carries

  1. Breece Hall80%, 16 carries
  2. Isaiah Davis15%, 3 carries
  3. Brady Cook5%, 1 carries

New Orleans Saints

Snap Share

  1. Kevin AustinWR67 snaps86%
  2. Chris OlaveWR61 snaps78%
  3. Juwan JohnsonTE51 snaps65%
  4. Audric EstimeRB45 snaps58%
  5. Mason TiptonWR39 snaps50%

Target Share47 targets

  1. Chris Olave34%, 16 targets
  2. Juwan Johnson19%, 9 targets
  3. Taysom Hill13%, 6 targets
  4. Mason Tipton11%, 5 targets
  5. Audric Estime9%, 4 targets
  6. Other15%, 7 targets

Carry Share25 carries

  1. Taysom Hill48%, 12 carries
  2. Evan Hull20%, 5 carries
  3. Audric Estime20%, 5 carries
  4. Tyler Shough8%, 2 carries
  5. Mason Tipton4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
John MetchieNYJWR5786%515%0
Adonai MitchellNYJWR5786%618%0
Kevin AustinNOWR6786%36%0
Chris OlaveNOWR6178%1634%0
Isaiah WilliamsNYJWR5177%412%0
Jeremy RuckertNYJTE4467%39%0
Juwan JohnsonNOTE5165%919%0
Breece HallNYJRB4264%39%16
Audric EstimeNORB4558%49%5
Mason TiptonNOWR3950%511%1
Taysom HillNOTE3444%613%12
Isaiah DavisNYJRB2436%412%3
Stone SmarttNYJTE2030%515%0
Jack StollNOTE2329%24%0
Foster MoreauNOTE2228%12%0
Moliki MatavaoNOTE2127%00%0
Evan HullNORB1621%00%5
Jelani WoodsNYJTE1320%26%0
Dante PettisNOWR1215%12%0
Tyler JohnsonNYJWR914%13%0
Arian SmithNYJWR711%13%0
Andrew BeckNYJRB58%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+9.5Chris Olave36.8 PTS vs 27.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−11.5Brady Cook4.7 PTS vs 16.2 xFP
  • Highest expected volume27.3 xFPChris Olave36.8 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Chris OlaveNO · WR36.827.3+9.578%34% tgt—000%1634%
Tyler ShoughNO · QB17.123.0−5.997%49 att—4928%00%
Taysom HillNO · TE15.318.4−3.144%48% car—11248%613%
Brady CookNYJ · QB4.716.2−11.5100%35 att—3515%00%
Breece HallNYJ · RB8.315.4−7.164%80% car—01680%39%
Juwan JohnsonNO · TE16.915.3+1.665%19% tgt—000%919%
Adonai MitchellNYJ · WR7.310.2−2.986%18% tgt—000%618%
Audric EstimeNO · RB6.610.0−3.458%20% car—0520%49%
Mason TiptonNO · WR8.19.2−1.150%11% tgt—014%511%
Isaiah DavisNYJ · RB10.08.8+1.236%15% car—0315%412%
John Metchie IIINYJ · WR1.48.5−7.186%15% tgt—000%515%
Stone SmarttNYJ · TE8.48.5−0.130%15% tgt—000%515%
Isaiah WilliamsNYJ · WR6.56.8−0.377%12% tgt—000%412%
Jeremy RuckertNYJ · TE3.45.1−1.767%9% tgt—000%39%
Kevin Austin Jr.NO · WR3.85.1−1.386%6% tgt—000%36%
Jack StollNO · TE1.43.4−2.029%4% tgt—000%24%
Jelani WoodsNYJ · TE0.03.4−3.420%6% tgt—000%26%
Evan HullNO · RB0.33.2−2.921%20% car—0520%00%
Arian SmithNYJ · WR0.01.7−1.711%3% tgt—000%13%
Dante PettisNO · WR0.01.7−1.715%2% tgt—000%12%
Foster MoreauNO · TE1.51.7−0.228%2% tgt—000%12%
Tyler JohnsonNYJ · WR1.71.70.014%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Jets 34 targets and 20 carries; Saints 47 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Brady Cook Unlucky

NYJ · QB · 4.7 pts on 16.2 expected

22 of 35 passing for 188 yards, 1 interception; 1 carry for 2 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Tyler Shough Unlucky

NO · QB · 17.1 pts on 23.0 expected

32 of 49 passing for 308 yards, 1 touchdown; 2 carries for 8 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 23.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Tyler Shough →

Breece Hall Volume, no payoff

NYJ · RB · 8.3 pts on 15.4 expected

3 targets (9% of the team's), 2 catches for 9 yards; 16 carries (80% of the team's) for 54 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Breece Hall →

Adonai Mitchell

NYJ · WR · 7.3 pts on 10.2 expected

6 targets (18% of the team's), 3 catches for 43 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Adonai Mitchell →

Chris Olave Ran hot

NO · WR · 36.8 pts on 27.3 expected

16 targets (34% of the team's), 10 catches for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 27.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Chris Olave →

Taysom Hill

NO · TE · 15.3 pts on 18.4 expected

1 of 1 passing for 38 yards, 1 touchdown; 6 targets (13% of the team's), 4 catches for 36 yards; 12 carries (48% of the team's) for 42 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.4 expected.

John Metchie III Unlucky

NYJ · WR · 1.4 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 1 catch for 4 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 8.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stone Smartt

NYJ · TE · 8.4 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 5 catches for 34 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Stone Smartt →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New York Jets

  • Stock up: Adonai Mitchell played 86% of the snaps, up from a 46% season average.
  • Stock up: John Metchie III played 86% of the snaps, up from a 39% season average.
  • Stock up: Stone Smartt played 30% of the snaps, up from a 6% season average.

New Orleans Saints

  • Stock up: Audric Estime led the backfield with 58% of the snaps after trailing Evan Hull before this game.
  • Stock up: Taysom Hill played 44% of the snaps, up from a 23% season average.
  • Stock up: Mason Tipton played 50% of the snaps, up from a 31% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Jets defense and Saints defense
Points allowed toJets DSaints D
QBs19.814.5
RBs28.019.6
WRs29.827.4
TEs15.212.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New Orleans opened at 70% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Saints win probability

Saints win probability by game minuteSaints started at 70%, stood at 75% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −9Folk 29-yd FG69% → 61%Q1 10:38
  2. +9Smyth 35-yd FG60% → 68%Q1 6:31
  3. +9Smyth 49-yd FG67% → 76%Q2 14:18
  4. +11Smyth 36-yd FG65% → 75%Q2 1:31
  5. +20Shough → Olave, 23-yd TD76% → 96%Q3 0:41

Swing in Saints win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Jets vs Saints
New York JetsMeasureNew Orleans Saints
63Plays78
68%Pass rate68%
3.0Yds / dropback6.2
3.2Yds / carry3.4
2/15Third downs8/17

Efficiency edge New Orleans ran 15 more plays and gained 3.2 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • NYJ Mitchell 18% · Metchie 15% · Smartt 15%
  • NO Olave 34% · Johnson 19% · Hill 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Jets vs Saints
ResultNYJNO
Touchdowns02
Field goals25
Punts51
Turnovers21
Turnovers on downs11
Missed field goals01

NO turnover edge: +1

  • The Jets opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 26-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NOQ1 15:00280:21Fumble
NYJQ1 14:398264:01Field goal
NOQ1 10:3812434:07Field goal
NYJQ1 6:314153:14Punt
NOQ1 3:178353:59Field goal
NYJQ2 14:186471:40Field goal
NOQ2 12:386242:51Downs
NYJQ2 9:473-22:30Punt
NOQ2 7:1715735:46Field goal
NYJQ2 1:31620:37Punt
NOQ2 0:548480:54Missed FG
NYJQ3 15:00553:28Punt
NOQ3 11:323-31:37Punt
NYJQ3 9:55783:54Punt
NOQ3 6:0112935:20Touchdown
NYJQ3 0:415112:56Fumble
NOQ4 12:455141:36Field goal
NYJQ4 11:096172:01Interception
NOQ4 9:0810233:51Field goal
NYJQ4 5:17892:27Downs
NOQ4 2:503440:56Touchdown
NYJQ4 1:547281:54End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Jets vs Saints Head-to-Head

The Jets and Saints first met in 1972 and have played 15 times since.

All-time series
9–6Saints lead, 15 meetings since 1972
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Jets win
16–92001
Largest Saints win
29–62025

Since 2021

2–0 Saints lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. S = Saints win, J = Jets win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Jets vs Saints
JetsStatSaints
3-14Record6-11
17.6Points per game18.0
263.6Yards per game313.6
4.4Yards per play5.0
29.6Points allowed per game22.5
355.6Yards allowed per game299.8

Jets vs Saints Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
NO −7Saints covered by 16
Total
39.5Under: 35 points scored (by 4.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Saints23.329+5.8
Jets16.36−10.3

The Saints beat their implied total and the Jets fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 2 meetings: Saints 2–0 ATS, unders 2–0.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New York Jets

Against the spread
1–3
Over/under
3–1
ATS as underdog
1–3
ATS on the road
0–2

New Orleans Saints

Against the spread
3–1
Over/under
1–3
ATS as favorite
1–0
ATS as underdog
2–0
ATS at home
2–0

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Jets and Saints in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Jet or a Saint, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Jets vs Saints Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Jets vs Saints Week 16 game?

The New Orleans Saints beat the New York Jets 29–6 in Week 16 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on December 21, 2025. See the Saints' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Jets vs Saints?

The final score was Saints 29, Jets 6. The Saints led 9–6 at halftime, and the second half went Jets 0, Saints 20.

What happened in the Jets vs Saints game?

New Orleans led 9–6 at halftime and outscored New York 20–0 after the break to win 29–6. The Saints finished with a 412–195 edge in total offense and averaged 5.3 yards per play. Chris Olave led all players with 10 catches for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Jets committed 2 turnovers, the Saints 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Jets vs Saints?

Chris Olave led the game with 36.8 PPR fantasy points, the WR2 of Week 16, on 10 catches for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tyler Shough was next with 17.1 (QB16). See Chris Olave's 2025 game log.

Who led Jets vs Saints in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tyler Shough (NO) led all passers with 32 of 49 for 308 yards and a touchdown. Breece Hall (NYJ) led in rushing with 16 carries for 54 yards. Chris Olave (NO) led in receiving with 10 catches for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Chris Olave score against the Jets?

Chris Olave scored 36.8 points in PPR leagues, 31.8 in half-PPR and 26.8 in standard scoring against the Jets in Week 16 of the 2025 season, on 10 catches for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. He drew 34% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Jets vs Saints?

Chris Olave outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 36.8 PPR points on 27.3 xFP (+9.5). Brady Cook fell furthest short, with 4.7 points on 16.2 xFP (−11.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Jets vs Saints?

Chris Olave had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 27.3 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 36.8. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Saints beat the Jets?

The Saints beat the Jets 29–6 because they averaged 5.3 yards per play to 3.1, won the turnover battle 2–1, and outgained them 412–195.

Which team won the turnover battle in Jets vs Saints?

The Saints won the turnover battle 2–1: the Jets gave the ball away 2 times and the Saints 1 time. The Saints won the game.

What is the all-time Jets vs Saints record?

The Saints lead the all-time series 9–6 across 15 meetings since 1972.

When did the Jets and Saints last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2025, they last met in the 2021 season on December 12, 2021, when the Saints beat the Jets 30–9.

What was the closing spread for Jets vs Saints?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Saints −7, making the New Orleans Saints 7-point favorites, with a closing total of 39.5. That implied about 23.3 points for the Saints and 16.3 for the Jets.

Did Jets vs Saints go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 39.5, and the teams combined for 35 points, 4.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Jets vs Saints?

The Saints covered by 16 against the closing line of Saints −7. The final margin was 23 points.