Dalton Kincaid Fantasy outlook, stats and Week 4 start/sit for 2026
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'3", 246 lb
- Experience
- 4th season
- Drafted
- 2023 R1, #25
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 14.8
- Pos rank
- TE6
- Rostered
- 97%
Week 4 vs. Patriots, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 31st vs. TEs, tough
Dalton Kincaid Fantasy Football Stats & Analysis
Scoring rate
14.8 PPG
Played
3 games
Role
Starter
Trend
Stable
Dalton Kincaid's 2026 Season, Week by Week
3 games played: two top-5 weeks and one bust. The next four matchups include one of the league's softest pass defenses.
- Week 1, Win,at HOU,18.0,TE5
- Week 2, Win,vs DET,22.5,TE3
- Week 3, Win,vs LAC,3.8,TE37
- Up next. Week 4, Oct 4,vs NE,ToughPatriots vs. TEs
- Week 5, Oct 12,at LAR,ToughRams vs. TEs
- Week 6, Oct 18,at LV,FavorableRaiders vs. TEs
- Week 7,Bye,No game
Matchup rank is PPR points allowed to TEs through Week 4. 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Should You Start or Roster Dalton Kincaid?
Kincaid is averaging 14.8 PPR points per game through 3 games, with 14 catches for 263 yards and 1 TD on 17 targets. That ranks TE6, which makes him a weekly starter in 12-team leagues.
His yards per target (15.5) is in the 97th percentile among TEs, the best of his efficiency marks; his fantasy points per target (2.61) is the weakest, in the 78th. His quarterback has been Josh Allen.
His best week was TE3 in Week 2 against the Lions (22.5 points); his worst, TE37 in Week 3 against the Chargers (3.8). Two favorable matchups are coming: the Raiders (4th vs. TEs) in Week 6 and the Dolphins (9th vs. TEs) in Week 11.
For the season-long call, whether to hold, trade or start him, check where Kincaid ranks among all TEs in Redraft Command.
What's Driving His Production
Percentile vs. every TE with at least 8 targets in 2026. The line marks the league median.
Target share
21.0%78th percentile, above average
Yards per target
15.597th percentile, above average
Catch rate
82.4%89th percentile, above average
Fantasy points per target
2.6178th percentile, above average
Dalton Kincaid 2026 Game Log
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Texans | W 36–31 | 18.0 | TE5 |
| 2 | vs Lions | W 41–31 | 22.5 | TE3 |
| 3 | vs Chargers | W 24–16 | 3.8 | TE37 |
| Total | 3–0 | 44.3 | TE6 |
Career Fantasy Stats by Season
| Season | Team | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | BUF | 3 | 17 | 14 | 263 | 1 | 44.3 | 14.8 | — |
| 2025 | BUF | 12 | 49 | 39 | 571 | 5 | 126.1 | 10.5 | TE20 |
| 2024 | BUF | 13 | 75 | 44 | 448 | 2 | 100.8 | 7.8 | TE30 |
| 2023 | BUF | 16 | 91 | 73 | 673 | 2 | 150.3 | 9.4 | TE11 |
| Career | 44 | 232 | 170 | 1,955 | 10 | 421.5 | 9.6 |
Rest-of-Season Outlook and Availability
Outlook
The problem is the snaps: a 37.4% rate and 10.2% target share that both slid from 2024. Behind him on the depth chart: Dawson Knox. Full outlook
Injury status
Active, no designation
He has not missed a game this season. Career games missed to injury: 8. Injury history
- 2025kneePlayed through
- 2025left kneePlayed through
- 2025right hamstring2 games
- 2025chest1 game
TEs like Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid Fantasy Football FAQ
Should I start Dalton Kincaid in Week 4?
Dalton Kincaid is a weekly starter in 12-team leagues for Week 4 against the Patriots, as the TE6 in PPR total points this season (14.8 a game). The Patriots rank 31st in PPR points allowed to TEs, a tough matchup. Get the start/sit call for Kincaid.
How many fantasy points is Dalton Kincaid averaging in 2026?
Dalton Kincaid is averaging 14.8 PPR fantasy points per game in 2026, 44.3 points across 3 games. His last game produced 3.8 points.
Where does Dalton Kincaid rank in fantasy football in 2026?
Dalton Kincaid ranks TE6 in PPR total points in 2026, through 3 games. That makes him a weekly starter in 12-team leagues. View his complete season statistics.
Is Dalton Kincaid worth rostering in fantasy football?
Yes, in the right league: Dalton Kincaid is a weekly starter in TE-premium, 12-team and 10-team leagues. He is rostered in 97% of Sleeper leagues.
What is Dalton Kincaid's fantasy football role?
Dalton Kincaid is the Bills' starting TE, with Dawson Knox behind him. He is averaging 5.7 targets a game, on 68% of the offensive snaps in 2026.
What are Dalton Kincaid's upcoming fantasy football matchups?
Dalton Kincaid's next three games are Week 4 vs. the Patriots (31st in PPR points allowed to TEs, tough), Week 5 at the Rams (29th in PPR points allowed to TEs, tough) and Week 6 at the Raiders (4th in PPR points allowed to TEs, favorable). One of them is favorable by points allowed to the position.
How consistent has Dalton Kincaid been in fantasy football this season?
Dalton Kincaid has finished as a top-12 TE in 2 of his 3 games this season and outside the top 36 in 1. His weekly scoring has a standard deviation of 9.8 points around his 14.8-point average.
What is Dalton Kincaid's fantasy floor and ceiling?
This season Dalton Kincaid's floor has been 3.8 PPR points (Week 3, TE37) and his ceiling 22.5 (Week 2, TE3). His median week has been 18.0 points. See Kincaid's full game log.
Dalton Kincaid 2026 Stats
2026 through Week 4 · Buffalo BillsTouchdowns account for 14% of his fantasy production, so his weekly output leans on volume more than scoring.
Receiving
- Rec
- 14
- Yards
- 263
- TD
- 1
- Targets
- 17
18.8 Y/R82.4% Catch %
Fantasy (PPR)
- Points
- 44.3
- Pos rank
- TE6
22.5 Best Week 2 vs DET3.8 Worst Week 3 vs LAC
Advanced Receiving Stats
Kincaid is a downfield target (9.4 yards per target last season), with a 20.7% target share this season.
| Stat | 2026 Thru Wk 4 | 2025 11 games | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||||
| Yards per target | 15.5 | 100th | 11.4 | 100th |
| Fantasy points per target | 1.78 | 80th | 1.79 | 96th |
| Yards per route run | — | — | 2.81 | 100th |
| YAC per reception | 6.8 | 83rd | 6.7 | 90th |
| Catch rate | 82.4% | 90th | 78.3% | 79th |
| Usage | ||||
| Target share | 20.7% | 88th | 10.2% | 46th |
| Snap share | 68.3% | 57th | 39.6% | 10th |
| Air-yards share | 24.7% | 98th | 12.7% | 71st |
| Red-zone targets | 1 | 5th | 8 | 42nd |
| Route participation | — | — | 36.9% | 15th |
| Style | ||||
| Average depth of target | 12.8 | 100th | 9.4 | 90th |
Percentiles: 2026 through Week 4 among 41 qualified TEs · 2025 (11 games, weeks 1–17) among 53. Grey bars describe style, not quality.
Profile: Kincaid gains a lot per target and produces per route, but gets few red-zone targets and runs a part-time share of routes.
For fantasy: his floor is his volume, 5.7 targets a game this season; efficiency decides how much of it becomes points.
Fantasy Points per Game, Every Season
14.8
Fantasy PPG
5.7
Targets/g
88
Rec yds/g
Dalton Kincaid career stats by season
| Season | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026to date | 3 | 17 | 14 | 263 | 1 | 0 | 44.3 | 14.8 | — |
| 2025 | 12 | 49 | 39 | 571 | 5 | 0 | 126.1 | 10.5 | TE20 |
| 2024 | 13 | 75 | 44 | 448 | 2 | 0 | 100.8 | 7.8 | TE30 |
| 2023 | 16 | 91 | 73 | 673 | 2 | 0 | 150.3 | 9.4 | TE11 |
| Career | 44 | 232 | 170 | 1,955 | 10 | 0 | 421.5 | 9.6 | — |
What His Career Numbers Say
9.6
Career PPG
44 games over 4 seasons
81%
Availability
Share of team games he played
41%
Top-12 weeks
Share of his games as a TE1
5.7
Weekly swing
Standard deviation, moderate
Kincaid has averaged 9.6 fantasy points per game over 44 games and 4 seasons, with one top-12 finish (2023).
So far in 2026 he is at 14.8 per game, up 4.3 from 2025. Volume is the driver: 5.7 targets a game against 4.1. His quarterback this season has been Josh Allen.
Career numbers describe the past; for what he is worth from here, see Kincaid's rest-of-season rank and trade value in Redraft Command.
Career highs
- 673Rec yards2023
- 5Rec TD2025
- 150.3Fantasy pts2023 · TE11
- 1,955Career rec yds2023–2026
TEs like Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid Stats FAQ
How many fantasy points does Dalton Kincaid have in 2026?
Dalton Kincaid has 44.3 PPR fantasy points in 2026 through Week 4, 14.8 per game across 3 games. That total ranks TE6 at the position. See how those numbers break down week by week.
How many receiving yards does Dalton Kincaid have this season?
Dalton Kincaid has 263 receiving yards in 2026 through Week 4, on 14 catches and 17 targets. His high was 130 yards, in Week 1 at the Texans.
How many receptions does Dalton Kincaid have this season?
Dalton Kincaid has 14 receptions in 2026 through Week 4, 4.7 a game, on 17 targets. His high was 7 catches, in Week 2 against the Lions.
How many targets does Dalton Kincaid have this season?
Dalton Kincaid has drawn 17 targets in 2026 through Week 4, 5.7 a game, and caught 82% of them. His high was 8 targets, in Week 2 against the Lions.
How many receiving touchdowns does Dalton Kincaid have this season?
Dalton Kincaid has 1 receiving touchdown in 2026 through Week 4.
How many receiving yards per game is Dalton Kincaid averaging?
Dalton Kincaid is averaging 87.7 receiving yards per game in 2026, 263 yards across 3 games.
How many yards per reception is Dalton Kincaid averaging?
Dalton Kincaid is averaging 18.8 yards per reception in 2026, 263 yards on 14 catches.
How many games has Dalton Kincaid played in 2026?
Dalton Kincaid has played 3 games in the 2026 season through Week 4.
What were Dalton Kincaid's stats last season?
In 2025, Dalton Kincaid caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns in 12 games. That was 126.1 PPR points (10.5 per game), a TE20 finish.
What are Dalton Kincaid's career NFL stats?
Across 4 seasons and 44 games, Dalton Kincaid has 170 catches for 1,955 yards and 10 touchdowns, for 421.5 PPR fantasy points (9.6 per game).
How many touchdowns does Dalton Kincaid have in his career?
Dalton Kincaid has 10 touchdowns in his NFL career: 0 rushing and 10 receiving, over 44 games.
How many career receiving yards does Dalton Kincaid have?
Dalton Kincaid has 1,955 career receiving yards over 4 seasons, on 170 catches.
Dalton Kincaid Game Log 2026
Games played
3
FPTS/G (PPR)
14.8
Targets/g
5.7
Rec/g
4.7
Rec yds/g
87.7
Yds/rec
18.8
Across 3 games in 2026, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 5.7 targets, 4.7 receptions and 14.8 PPR fantasy points per game. Dalton Kincaid has finished as a top-12 TE in 2 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 2. The best week was Week 2 against DET (22.5 points); the lowest was Week 3 against LAC (3.8).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | TGT | REC | REC YDS | REC TD | YPR | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU21st | W 36-31 | 18.0 | 6 | 5 | 130 | 0 | 26.0 | TE5 |
Week 1 · HOU · W 36-31 · 18.0 pts
How the 18.0 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 2 | DET1st | W 41-31 | 22.5 | 8 | 7 | 95 | 1 | 13.6 | TE3 |
Week 2 · DET · W 41-31 · 22.5 pts
How the 22.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 3 | LAC18th | W 24-16 | 3.8 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 19.0 | TE37 |
Week 3 · LAC · W 24-16 · 3.8 pts
How the 3.8 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to TEs across 2026: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
Two TE1 weeks and one bust. For a tight end ranked TE6 overall, the spread matters more than the average: you get a top-5 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Held in check by the Chargers
2/3, 38 yds. 1 fumble lost.
Just 12.7 yards per target. One lost fumble in a game that landed well below his season average.
Season high in a shootout
7/8, 95 yds, 1 TD.
Just 11.9 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
TE1 week at Houston
5/6, 130 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Fantasy Points By Week
- Weekly points
- Season average (14.8)
Upcoming Matchups
View matchup — Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots
View matchup — Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams
View matchup — Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders
View matchup — Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Dalton Kincaid Game Log 2023
Games played
16
FPTS/G (PPR)
9.4
Targets/g
5.7
Rec/g
4.6
Rec yds/g
42.1
Yds/rec
9.2
Across 16 games in 2023, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 5.7 targets, 4.6 receptions and 9.4 PPR fantasy points per game. Dalton Kincaid has finished as a top-12 TE in 8 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 12. The best week was Week 8 against TB (17.5 points); the lowest was Week 15 against DAL (0.0).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | TGT | REC | REC YDS | REC TD | YPR | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ10th | L 16-22 | 6.6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 6.5 | TE21 |
Week 1 · NYJ · L 16-22 · 6.6 pts
How the 6.6 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 2 | LV18th | W 38-10 | 9.3 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 8.6 | TE16 |
Week 2 · LV · W 38-10 · 9.3 pts
How the 9.3 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 3 | WAS22nd | W 37-3 | 2.3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | TE42 |
Week 3 · WAS · W 37-3 · 2.3 pts
How the 2.3 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 4 | MIA6th | W 48-20 | 6.7 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 6.8 | TE24 |
Week 4 · MIA · W 48-20 · 6.7 pts
How the 6.7 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 5 | JAX20th | L 20-25 | 3.9 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | TE30 |
Week 5 · JAX · L 20-25 · 3.9 pts
How the 3.9 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 6 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 7 | NE29th | L 25-29 | 15.5 | 8 | 8 | 75 | 0 | 9.4 | TE7 |
Week 7 · NE · L 25-29 · 15.5 pts
How the 15.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 8 | TB2nd | W 24-18 | 17.5 | 7 | 5 | 65 | 1 | 13.0 | TE8 |
Week 8 · TB · W 24-18 · 17.5 pts
How the 17.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 9 | CIN3rd | L 18-24 | 16.1 | 11 | 10 | 81 | 0 | 8.1 | TE8 |
Week 9 · CIN · L 18-24 · 16.1 pts
How the 16.1 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 10 | DEN1st | L 22-24 | 16.1 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 10.2 | TE4 |
Week 10 · DEN · L 22-24 · 16.1 pts
How the 16.1 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 11 | NYJ10th | W 32-6 | 10.6 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 7.7 | TE7 |
Week 11 · NYJ · W 32-6 · 10.6 pts
How the 10.6 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 12 | PHI7th | L 34-37 | 8.8 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 7.6 | TE12 |
Week 12 · PHI · L 34-37 · 8.8 pts
How the 8.8 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 13 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 14 | KC25th | W 20-17 | 7.1 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 4.2 | TE23 |
Week 14 · KC · W 20-17 · 7.1 pts
How the 7.1 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 15 | DAL26th | W 31-10 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | TE92 |
Week 15 · DAL · W 31-10 · 0.0 pts
| |||||||||
| 16 | LAC14th | W 24-22 | 1.7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 | TE51 |
Week 16 · LAC · W 24-22 · 1.7 pts
How the 1.7 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 17 | NE29th | W 27-21 | 12.7 | 7 | 4 | 87 | 0 | 21.8 | TE7 |
Week 17 · NE · W 27-21 · 12.7 pts
How the 12.7 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 18 | MIA6th | W 21-14 | 15.4 | 8 | 7 | 84 | 0 | 12.0 | TE2 |
Week 18 · MIA · W 21-14 · 15.4 pts
How the 15.4 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to TEs across 2023: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
Eight TE1 weeks, four TE2 weeks and four busts. For a tight end who finished TE14 overall, the spread mattered more than the average: you got a top-5 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Wk 1 TE21 · Wk 2 TE16 · Wk 3 TE42 · Wk 4 TE24 · Wk 5 TE30 · Wk 7 TE7 · Wk 8 TE8 · Wk 9 TE8 · Wk 10 TE4 · Wk 11 TE7 · Wk 12 TE12 · Wk 14 TE23 · Wk 15 TE92 · Wk 16 TE51 · Wk 17 TE7 · Wk 18 TE2
Game-by-Game Breakdown
TE1 week at Miami
7/8, 84 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
TE1 week vs. New England
4/7, 87 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Held in check by the Chargers
1/2, 7 yds.
Just 3.5 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Dallas
0/2, 0 yds.
Just 0.0 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Steady in a win at Kansas City
5/8, 21 yds.
Just 2.6 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
TE1 week at Philadelphia
5/6, 38 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
TE1 week vs. the Jets
6/7, 46 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
TE1 week vs. Denver
5/6, 51 yds, 1 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
TE1 week at Cincinnati
10/11, 81 yds. 1 fumble lost.
One lost fumble in a game that landed well above his season average.
TE1 week vs. Tampa Bay
5/7, 65 yds, 1 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
TE1 week at New England
8/8, 75 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Shut down by Jacksonville
2/2, 19 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Steady in a win vs. Miami
4/5, 27 yds.
Just 5.4 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Washington
2/2, 3 yds.
Just 1.5 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Steady in a win vs. Las Vegas
5/6, 43 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
Steady in a loss at the Jets
4/4, 26 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
TEs like Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid Game Log FAQ
How did Dalton Kincaid do in his last game?
Dalton Kincaid scored 3.8 PPR points in Week 3 against the Chargers, a 24–16 win, a TE37 finish. He caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards. View his 2026 season totals.
How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid score in his last game?
Dalton Kincaid scored 3.8 PPR fantasy points in his last game, Week 3 against the Chargers, a TE37 finish for the week. That was 11.0 below his season average of 14.8.
How many receiving yards did Dalton Kincaid have in his last game?
Dalton Kincaid had 38 receiving yards on 2 catches in Week 3 against the Chargers, from 3 targets.
How many touchdowns did Dalton Kincaid score in his last game?
Dalton Kincaid did not score a touchdown in Week 3 against the Chargers; his 3.8 points came from yardage and catches.
How many receptions did Dalton Kincaid have in his last game?
Dalton Kincaid caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards in Week 3 against the Chargers.
What were Dalton Kincaid's stats in Week 2?
In Week 2 against the Lions, a 41–31 win, Dalton Kincaid caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and 1 touchdown. That was 22.5 PPR points, a TE3 finish.
What was Dalton Kincaid's best game this season?
Dalton Kincaid's best 2026 game was Week 2 against the Lions: 22.5 PPR points, a TE3 finish. He caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and 1 touchdown.
What was Dalton Kincaid's worst game this season?
Dalton Kincaid's lowest-scoring 2026 game was Week 3 against the Chargers: 3.8 PPR points, a TE37 finish. He caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards.
How many games has Dalton Kincaid scored a touchdown in this season?
Dalton Kincaid has scored a touchdown in 1 of his 3 games this season, most recently in Week 2.
Can I see Dalton Kincaid's game logs from previous seasons?
Yes. The season selector above the game log switches it to Kincaid's weekly results from any season from 2023 through 2025.
Dalton Kincaid Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient TE1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE20 last season at 10.5 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE6 at 14.8 PPR points per game, against 10.5 over 12 games last season (TE20). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 47th of 81 in route participation (36.0%), 26th of 82 in target share (10.2%) and 1st of 82 in efficiency (2.97 yards per route run). His points come from his efficiency. Route participation is the soft spot. Josh Allen is his quarterback.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Dawson Knox is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchup is the Raiders in Week 6 (4th against TEs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Kincaid was wildly efficient in his 12 games last season, posting 0.823 EPA per play and a 63.3% success rate while finishing TE16. On just 49 targets he caught 39 balls (79.6%) for 571 yards at 14.64 per grab, and his 2.97 yards per route run jumped from 1.68 the year prior. Five touchdowns and eight red-zone looks show the scoring chops are real when he's healthy and on the field.
The problem is the snaps: a 37.4% rate and 10.2% target share that both slid from 2024. With Knox and a rookie eating into the rotation, a target-hungry receiver room, and a knee Buffalo plans to manage, volume is the ceiling-killer here. The per-route metrics scream league-winner, but until the route share climbs back toward 50%, Kincaid is a high-upside TE2 you draft for spikes, not weekly floor.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 9.5
- Drop rate
- 2.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 8
- Route participation
- 36.0%
- YAC per reception
- 6.6
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Raiders in Week 6 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.Wk 4 NE, 31stWk 5 LAR, 29thWk 6 LV, 4thWk 8 BAL, 20th
- Heavy target share10.2% target share, 26th of 82 TEs in 2025.
- Strong efficiency2.97 yards per route run, 1st of 82 TEs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Dawson Knox is next on the depth chart.
- Tough matchupsThe Patriots in Week 4 (31st) and the Rams in Week 5 (29th) are among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
TEs like Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Dalton Kincaid's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Dalton Kincaid projects as an efficient TE1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in TE-premium, 12-team and 10-team leagues. His efficiency (2.97 yards per route run, 1st of 82 TEs in 2025) supports that. His route participation (36.0% route participation, 47th of 81 TEs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Dalton Kincaid's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Dalton Kincaid is the TE6 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in TE1 territory, a weekly starter in 12-team leagues.
What is Dalton Kincaid's projected role going forward?
Dalton Kincaid is the listed starting TE, with Dawson Knox next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Dalton Kincaid get more targets?
Dalton Kincaid's targets are holding steady: 5.5 a game over his last two games against 5.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Dalton Kincaid's fantasy football upside?
Dalton Kincaid's upside: his ceiling this season is 22.5 PPR points (Week 2, TE3), his efficiency (2.97 yards per route run, 1st of 82 TEs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Raiders in Week 6 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.
What could hurt Dalton Kincaid's fantasy value?
Dalton Kincaid's risks: Dawson Knox is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his route participation (36.0% route participation, 47th of 81 TEs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Patriots in Week 4 and the Rams in Week 5 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Dalton Kincaid's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 4 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.
Dalton Kincaid Injury Update & History
Practice participation
Week 4 reports: Wed, Thu, FriKincaid hasn't appeared on an injury report this season.
Injury History at a Glance
Six logged injuries in four seasons, including three knee injuries. Most of his lost time came from a PCL tear in 2024; nothing else has cost him more than 2 games.
Durability
70/100
Games missed
Injuries
Longest absence
PCL tear · 2024
Where He's Been Hurt
Marker size shows games missed. A dashed ring means he played through it.
| Body part | Injuries | Games missed |
|---|---|---|
| Knee | 3 | 4 |
| Hamstring | 1 | 2 |
| Abdomen | 1 | 1 |
| Concussion | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 6 | 8 |
Injury risk profile: High
- Knee injuries in 2024, 2025 and 2025
- Questionable in 2025, 3 games missed
- 8 games in 4 seasons, 4 of them in 2024
- 6 injuries spread across 4 body parts
Dalton Kincaid Injury History
Every logged injury, most recent first. Games missed are regular-season games.
- 2026
Healthy 0 games missed
No injury has cost Kincaid a game this season.
- 2025
Questionable Played through
Questionable
- 2025
Knee · Left Played through
Re-injured his left PCL tear that he originally suffered in 2024 and was on the injury report for the remainder of the season.
- 2025
Hamstring · Right 2 games
Aggravated his hamstring while running a route and was ruled out for the remainder of the game.
- 2025
Oblique 1 game
Missed the Week 6 game against the Atlanta Falcons with an oblique injury.
- 2024
PCL Tear · Left 4 games
Suffered a torn PCL in his left knee while diving for a pass in Week 10.
- 2023
Concussion 1 game
Sustained a concussion on October 8, 2023, and missed the following game.
If Kincaid Misses Time
Next man up: Dawson Knox
Dawson Knox is next on the Bills depth chart at tight end. Tight end targets would mostly move to the receivers, so he's a streaming option at best if Kincaid misses time.
Who else it affects
His absence would move work to the rest of the offense, and Josh Allen would lose one of his main options.
TEs like Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid Injury FAQ
Is Dalton Kincaid injured?
No. As of October 2, 2026, Dalton Kincaid is active with no injury designation. He has played every game in 2026.
Is Dalton Kincaid playing this week?
Dalton Kincaid has no injury designation for Week 4 against the Patriots on Sunday, October 4, so he is on track to play. Should you start him?
Has Dalton Kincaid missed any games this season?
No. Dalton Kincaid has played in every Bills game in 2026, 3 games so far.
What is Dalton Kincaid's injury history?
Dalton Kincaid has 6 logged NFL injuries, which have cost him 8 games in all: 4 for a left PCL tear in 2024, 2 for a right hamstring injury in 2025, 1 for an oblique injury in 2025 and 1 for a concussion in 2023.
What was Dalton Kincaid's most recent injury?
Dalton Kincaid's most recent logged injury was a questionable injury in Week 18 of 2025. He played through it and missed no regular-season games.
Does Dalton Kincaid have any recurring injuries?
Yes: knee injuries in 2024 and 2025 (4 games missed).
What was Dalton Kincaid's worst injury?
Dalton Kincaid's longest absence came from a left PCL tear in 2024, which cost him 4 games of the 8 he has missed in his career.
Latest Dalton Kincaid News & Updates
Kincaid struggles vs. Los Angeles
2 REC, 38 YDS (3 TGT)
3.8 fantasy points · TE37
Kincaid caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards in the 24–16 win vs. Los Angeles. That was 12% of the team's targets.
Season Timeline
Every update this season, grouped by week, newest first.
Week 3Sep 27W 24–16 vs LAC
Fantasy impact: Neutral. Continues explosive start to season Thursday (opens in new tab)
Keeps up hot stretch with another strong performance Thursday.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 3: 3.8 PPR points, a TE37 finish.
Read full report (opens in new tab)Week 2Sep 17W 41–31 vs DET
Fantasy impact: Positive. Kincaid posts season high in win vs. Detroit
22.5 fantasy points · TE3 · 7.7 above his 14.8 average
Kincaid caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and one touchdown in the 41–31 win vs. Detroit. That was 29% of the team's targets.
Game logWeek 1Sep 13W 36–31 @ HOU
Fantasy impact: Neutral. Career-high 130 yards in Week 1 (opens in new tab)
Posted career-high 130 receiving yards in Week 1, flashing strong fantasy upside at tight end.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 1: 18.0 PPR points, a TE5 finish.
Read full report (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Positive. Kincaid delivers TE1 week at Houston
18.0 fantasy points · TE5 · 3.2 above his 14.8 average
Kincaid caught 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards in the 36–31 win at Houston. That was 21% of the team's targets.
Game log
No updates of this type yet this season.
Bills Teammates News
Updates on Kincaid's quarterback and target competition.
- DJ Moore: Remains limited by shoulder injury (opens in new tab)DJ Moore, WR. 18 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandPositive
- Josh Allen: Knee not viewed as concern (opens in new tab)Josh Allen, QB. 86 pass attempts this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- DJ Moore: Active for Week 3 (opens in new tab)DJ Moore, WR. 18 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandPositive
- DJ Moore: Absent at start of practice (opens in new tab)DJ Moore, WR. 18 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- DJ Moore: Feeling great following practice (opens in new tab)DJ Moore, WR. 18 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- DJ Moore: Practicing, but not taking contact (opens in new tab)DJ Moore, WR. 18 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
Around the Bills
TEs like Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid News FAQ
What is the latest news on Dalton Kincaid?
The latest Kincaid update, from September 27: Kincaid struggles vs. Los Angeles. Kincaid caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards in the 24–16 win vs. Los Angeles. That was 12% of the team's targets.
How does the latest Dalton Kincaid news affect his fantasy value?
Negatively: he scored 3.8 fantasy points, a TE37 finish, 11.0 below his 14.8 average. See the updated fantasy outlook.
Dalton Kincaid Bio
Dalton Kincaid is a tight end for the Buffalo Bills, where he wears No. 86. Born October 18, 1999, in Las Vegas, NV, he attended Faith Lutheran and played college football at Univ of California-San Diego and then Utah.
The Buffalo Bills selected Kincaid in round 1, pick 25, of the 2023 NFL Draft.
In 44 regular-season games since 2023, he has caught 170 passes for 1,955 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Career Timeline
1 stop with 1 team in 4 seasons. Each block's width is the time he spent there.
What happened at each stop
Buffalo Bills Current team2023–present
Selected in round 1, pick 25, of the 2023 NFL Draft. He was a starter, playing at least half the offensive snaps in 28 of 44 games.
College: Univ of California-San Diego, Utah
Transactions
- SignedSigned with the Buffalo Bills.
- DraftedSelected by the Buffalo Bills in round 1, pick 25.
TEs like Dalton Kincaid
About Dalton Kincaid: Bio FAQ
How old is Dalton Kincaid?
Dalton Kincaid is 26 years old. He was born on October 18, 1999. 2026 is his 4th NFL season.
How tall is Dalton Kincaid?
Dalton Kincaid is 6 feet 3 inches tall (6'3"), listed at 246 pounds, and plays tight end for the Buffalo Bills.
How much does Dalton Kincaid weigh?
Dalton Kincaid weighs 246 pounds, his listed weight on the Buffalo Bills roster. He is listed at 6'3".
What number does Dalton Kincaid wear?
Dalton Kincaid wears number 86 for the Buffalo Bills. He plays tight end.
What position does Dalton Kincaid play?
Dalton Kincaid plays tight end for the Buffalo Bills, wearing number 86. 2026 is his 4th season in the NFL.
What team does Dalton Kincaid play for?
Dalton Kincaid plays for the Buffalo Bills as a tight end. He has been with the Bills since 2023.
Where did Dalton Kincaid go to college?
Dalton Kincaid played college football at Utah, after attending Faith Lutheran (NV). The Buffalo Bills drafted him out of Utah in 2023.
When was Dalton Kincaid drafted?
The Buffalo Bills selected Dalton Kincaid in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft with the 25th overall pick, out of Utah.
What round was Dalton Kincaid drafted in?
Dalton Kincaid was a first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, taken 25th overall by the Buffalo Bills.
What pick was Dalton Kincaid in the NFL Draft?
Dalton Kincaid was the 25th overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft, selected by the Buffalo Bills in the first round.
Where is Dalton Kincaid from?
Dalton Kincaid went to high school in Nevada, at Faith Lutheran, before playing college football at Utah.
When is Dalton Kincaid's birthday?
Dalton Kincaid's birthday is October 18. He was born on October 18, 1999 and is 26 years old.
How long has Dalton Kincaid been in the NFL?
2026 is Dalton Kincaid's 4th NFL season; he entered the league in 2023 as a first-round pick of the Buffalo Bills. View his career statistics.
What teams has Dalton Kincaid played for?
Dalton Kincaid has played for the Buffalo Bills. View his career statistics.
What year did Dalton Kincaid enter the NFL?
Dalton Kincaid entered the NFL in 2023, when the Buffalo Bills drafted him in the first round. 2026 is his 4th season.