Final2026 Week 4

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills, Week 4 2026

New England Patriots

AwayWon

29

Buffalo Bills

Home

26

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Patriots777829
Bills0170926

NE 29BUF 26 Final

  • Passing leader

    Drake Maye

    NE · QB

    27.2PPR pts

    22/37, 269 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Romeo Doubs

    NE · WR

    23.8PPR pts

    6 REC, 58 YDS, 2 TD

  • Bills leader

    Keon Coleman

    BUF · WR

    23.6PPR pts

    6 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Craig Woodson

    NE

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Patriots 29, Bills 26: New England rallies from 3 down at halftime

New England erased a 17–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Buffalo 15–9 after the break to win 29–26. The Patriots finished with a 405–340 edge in total offense.

The Bills went 6-for-12 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Patriots kept the ball for 33:41.

The two teams meet again in Week 13 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +65 total yards NE 405 · BUF 340
  • +7:22 time of possession NE 33:41 · BUF 26:19

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Patriots Won

New England won the time of possession battle.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Bills
PatriotsStatBills
405Total yards340
33:41Time of possession26:19
Other team stats
5.5Yards per play6.3
73Plays54
2Turnovers2
42%Third-down conversion50%

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored four touchdowns; the Bills scored three touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayNEBUF
1st quarter
7:01NEDrake Maye → Romeo Doubs, 14-yard TD Takes leadAndy Borregales XP70
2nd quarter
14:15BUFJames Cook III 8-yard TD run Ties gameTyler Bass XP77
5:38NERhamondre Stevenson 1-yard TD run Takes leadAndy Borregales XP147
1:00BUFJosh Allen 2-yard TD run Ties gameTyler Bass XP1414
0:02BUFTyler Bass 27-yard FG Takes lead1417
3rd quarter
8:15NEDrake Maye → Romeo Doubs, 2-yard TD Takes leadAndy Borregales XP2117
4th quarter
11:07BUFTyler Bass 38-yard FG2120
4:27BUFJosh Allen → Keon Coleman, 34-yard TD Takes lead2-pt try failed2126
1:50NEDrake Maye → Efton Chism III, 23-yard TD Game winnerDrake Maye → Rhamondre Stevenson, 2-pt conversion2926

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Bills, Week 4 2026

Fantasy leaders

  1. Drake MayeNEQB27.2 PTSQB1
  2. Romeo DoubsNEWR23.8 PTSWR8
  3. Keon ColemanBUFWR23.6 PTSWR9
  4. Josh AllenBUFQB19.5 PTSQB10

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Drake MayeNEQB27.2QB122/3726931854097.7Start/Sit →
Josh AllenBUFQB19.5QB1023/332531154189.6Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Romeo DoubsNEWR23.8WR8WR---96582Start/Sit →
Keon ColemanBUFWR23.6WR9WR---761161Start/Sit →
Rhamondre StevensonNERB18.4RB15RB1347153270Start/Sit →
James CookBUFRB16.3RB19RB127512280
Khalil ShakirBUFWR13.2WR28WR---87820Start/Sit →
Efton ChismNEWR12.2WR34WR---42421
Hunter HenryNETE11.2TE16TE---55620Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsNEWR8.3WR52WR---43530Start/Sit →
TreVeyon HendersonNERB4.2RB51RB144202000Start/Sit →
DeMario DouglasNEWR3.5WR80WR---32150Start/Sit →
Dawson KnoxBUFTE3.3TE35TE---22130Start/Sit →
Ty JohnsonBUFRB3.2RB54RB1302290Start/Sit →
DJ MooreBUFWR2.7WR87WR16021110Start/Sit →
Eli RaridonNETE2.2TE45TE---21120Start/Sit →
Ray DavisBUFRB1.7RB67RB1301140Start/Sit →
Dalton KincaidBUFTE1.7TE52TE---2170Start/Sit →
Joshua PalmerBUFWR1.3WR103WR---4130Start/Sit →
Kyle WilliamsNEWR0.0-WR---2000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. Rhamondre StevensonRB50 snaps66%
  2. Hunter HenryTE49 snaps64%
  3. Romeo DoubsWR49 snaps64%
  4. Eli RaridonTE44 snaps58%
  5. DeMario DouglasWR35 snaps46%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Romeo Doubs25%, 9 targets
  2. Hunter Henry14%, 5 targets
  3. Rhamondre Stevenson14%, 5 targets
  4. Mack Hollins11%, 4 targets
  5. Efton Chism11%, 4 targets
  6. Other25%, 9 targets

Carry Share35 carries

  1. TreVeyon Henderson40%, 14 carries
  2. Rhamondre Stevenson37%, 13 carries
  3. Drake Maye23%, 8 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Keon ColemanWR46 snaps78%
  2. Khalil ShakirWR45 snaps76%
  3. Dawson KnoxTE36 snaps61%
  4. Joshua PalmerWR35 snaps59%
  5. James CookRB35 snaps59%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Khalil Shakir27%, 8 targets
  2. Keon Coleman23%, 7 targets
  3. Joshua Palmer13%, 4 targets
  4. DJ Moore7%, 2 targets
  5. Dawson Knox7%, 2 targets
  6. Other23%, 7 targets

Carry Share20 carries

  1. James Cook60%, 12 carries
  2. Josh Allen25%, 5 carries
  3. DJ Moore5%, 1 carries
  4. Ty Johnson5%, 1 carries
  5. Ray Davis5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Keon ColemanBUFWR4678%723%0
Khalil ShakirBUFWR4576%827%0
Rhamondre StevensonNERB5066%514%13
Hunter HenryNETE4964%514%0
Romeo DoubsNEWR4964%925%0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE3661%27%0
Joshua PalmerBUFWR3559%413%0
James CookBUFRB3559%27%12
Dalton KincaidBUFTE3559%27%0
Eli RaridonNETE4458%26%0
DeMario DouglasNEWR3546%38%0
Efton ChismNEWR3445%411%0
Mack HollinsNEWR3141%411%0
DJ MooreBUFWR2339%27%1
TreVeyon HendersonNERB2837%26%14
Ty JohnsonBUFRB1932%27%1
Kyle WilliamsNEWR1925%26%0
Jackson HawesBUFTE1424%00%0
Reggie GilliamNERB1722%00%0
Ray DavisBUFRB47%13%1
Greg DortchBUFWR23%00%0
Cameron LatuNETE23%00%0
Corey KinerNERB23%00%0
Keleki LatuBUFTE12%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Drake MayeNE · QB27.221.8+5.4100%37 att-37823%00%
Josh AllenBUF · QB19.518.1+1.4100%33 att-33525%00%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB18.416.8+1.666%37% car-01337%514%
Romeo DoubsNE · WR23.815.5+8.364%25% tgt-000%925%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR13.213.8−0.676%27% tgt-000%827%
TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB4.212.2−8.037%40% car-01440%26%
Keon ColemanBUF · WR23.612.1+11.578%23% tgt-000%723%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB16.311.0+5.359%60% car-01260%27%
Hunter HenryNE · TE11.28.6+2.664%14% tgt-000%514%
Efton Chism IIINE · WR12.26.9+5.345%11% tgt-000%411%
Joshua PalmerBUF · WR1.36.9−5.659%13% tgt-000%413%
Mack HollinsNE · WR8.36.9+1.441%11% tgt-000%411%
DeMario DouglasNE · WR3.55.2−1.746%8% tgt-000%38%
DJ MooreBUF · WR2.74.1−1.439%7% tgt-015%27%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB3.24.1−0.932%7% tgt-015%27%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE1.73.5−1.859%7% tgt-000%27%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE3.33.5−0.261%7% tgt-000%27%
Eli RaridonNE · TE2.23.5−1.358%6% tgt-000%26%
Kyle WilliamsNE · -0.03.5−3.525%6% tgt-000%26%
Ray DavisBUF · RB1.72.4−0.77%5% car-015%13%

Team totals: Patriots 36 targets and 35 carries; Bills 30 targets and 20 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2026 season: 1.73 PPR points per target (68% catch rate), 0.63 per carry and 0.45 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Drake Maye Ran hot

NE · QB · 27.2 pts on 21.8 expected

22 of 37 passing for 269 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception; 8 carries for 54 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 21.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.

Start/Sit: Drake Maye →

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · 19.5 pts on 18.1 expected

23 of 33 passing for 253 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 5 carries for 4 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.1 expected. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE · RB · 18.4 pts on 16.8 expected

5 targets (14% of the team's), 3 catches for 27 yards; 13 carries (37% of the team's) for 47 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.

Start/Sit: Rhamondre Stevenson →

Romeo Doubs Ran hot

NE · WR · 23.8 pts on 15.5 expected

9 targets (25% of the team's), 6 catches for 58 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.

Start/Sit: Romeo Doubs →

Khalil Shakir

BUF · WR · 13.2 pts on 13.8 expected

8 targets (27% of the team's), 7 catches for 82 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.8 expected. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.

Start/Sit: Khalil Shakir →

Keon Coleman Ran hot

BUF · WR · 23.6 pts on 12.1 expected

7 targets (23% of the team's), 6 catches for 116 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.

Start/Sit: Keon Coleman →

TreVeyon Henderson Unlucky

NE · RB · 4.2 pts on 12.2 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 14 carries (40% of the team's) for 42 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 12.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.

Start/Sit: TreVeyon Henderson →

James Cook III Ran hot

BUF · RB · 16.3 pts on 11.0 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 8 yards; 12 carries (60% of the team's) for 75 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.

Stock Up, Stock Down

New England Patriots

  • Stock up: Efton Chism III played 45% of the snaps, up from a 22% season average.
  • Stock up: Eli Raridon played 58% of the snaps, up from a 37% season average.
  • Stock down: Mack Hollins played 41% of the snaps, down from a 73% season average.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Khalil Shakir played 76% of the snaps, up from a 58% season average.
  • Stock up: Keon Coleman played 78% of the snaps, up from a 58% season average.
  • Stock up: Joshua Palmer played 59% of the snaps, up from a 34% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2026 through Week 4.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toPatriots DBills D
QBs14.721.3
RBs20.927.4
WRs34.941.0
TEs5.911.3

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 70% win probability, climbed as high as 99%, then lost.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 70%, stood at 75% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −26Stevenson 1-yd TD run66% → 39%Q2 5:38
  2. +28Allen 2-yd TD run36% → 65%Q2 1:00
  3. −31Maye → Doubs, 2-yd TD75% → 44%Q3 8:15
  4. +49Allen → Coleman, 34-yd TD45% → 93%Q4 4:27
  5. −87Maye → Chism, 23-yd TD99% → 12%Q4 1:50

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Bills
New England PatriotsMeasureBuffalo Bills
73Plays54
52%Pass rate63%
6.9Yds / dropback7.3
4.1Yds / carry4.5
5/12Third downs6/12

Efficiency edge New England ran 19 more plays than Buffalo.

  • Top targets
  • NE Doubs 25% · Henry 14% · Stevenson 14%
  • BUF Shakir 27% · Coleman 23% · Palmer 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Bills
ResultNEBUF
Touchdowns43
Field goals02
Punts44
Turnovers22
  • The Patriots opened the scoring on their first possession, a 12-play, 97-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Patriots scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to seven minutes.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BUFQ1 15:00351:31Punt
NEQ1 13:2912976:28Touchdown
BUFQ1 7:0113627:46Touchdown
NEQ2 14:158304:07Fumble
BUFQ2 10:08371:47Punt
NEQ2 8:216632:43Touchdown
BUFQ2 5:389674:38Touchdown
NEQ2 1:00300:31Punt
BUFQ2 0:292300:13Fumble
NEQ2 0:16100:11Interception
BUFQ2 0:05100:03Field goal
NEQ2 0:02000:02End of half
NEQ3 15:0014736:45Touchdown
BUFQ3 8:154101:52Punt
NEQ3 6:236182:59Punt
BUFQ3 3:24360:55Punt
NEQ3 2:29381:42Punt
BUFQ3 0:4710604:40Field goal
NEQ4 11:076164:31Punt
BUFQ4 6:365802:09Touchdown
NEQ4 4:278732:37Touchdown
BUFQ4 1:503160:45Interception
NEQ4 1:056121:05End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 134 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
81–52–1Patriots lead, 134 meetings since 1960
Postseason
1–1Patriots won in 1963; Bills won in 2021
Largest Patriots win
56–102007
Largest Bills win
45–101970

Since 2021

7–5 Bills lead

12 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 13 Bills at Patriots Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 4)

The 2026 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Bills
PatriotsStatBills
2-2Record3-1
16.3Points per game31.8
331.5Yards per game386.3
5.2Yards per play6.5
19.3Points allowed per game26.8
293.8Yards allowed per game372.3

Patriots vs Bills Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
BUF −7Bills failed to cover by 10
Total
49.5Over: 55 points scored (by 5.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Bills28.326−2.3
Patriots21.329+7.8

The Patriots beat their implied total and the Bills fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 6 meetings: Bills 5–1 ATS, overs 5–1.

Each team's 2026 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New England Patriots

Against the spread
2–1–1
Over/under
1–3
ATS as favorite
1–0
ATS as underdog
1–1–1
ATS on the road
1–1–1

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread
3–1
Over/under
3–1
ATS as favorite
3–1
ATS at home
2–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Patriots vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2026 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2026 Patriots vs Bills Week 4 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 29–26 in Week 4 of the 2026 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, on October 4, 2026. See the Patriots' 2026 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Bills?

The final score was Patriots 29, Bills 26. The Bills led 17–14 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 15, Bills 9.

What happened in the Patriots vs Bills game?

New England erased a 17–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Buffalo 15–9 after the break to win 29–26. The Patriots finished with a 405–340 edge in total offense. Drake Maye led all players with 22 of 37 passing for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 54 rushing yards.

What was the game-winning score in Patriots vs Bills?

Drake Maye's 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism III with 1:50 left in the fourth quarter gave the Patriots a 29–26 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Drake Maye led the game with 27.2 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 4, on 22 of 37 passing for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 54 rushing yards. Romeo Doubs was next with 23.8 (WR8). See Drake Maye's 2026 game log.

Who led Patriots vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Drake Maye (NE) led all passers with 22 of 37 for 269 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. James Cook (BUF) led in rushing with 12 carries for 75 yards and a touchdown. Keon Coleman (BUF) led in receiving with 6 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Drake Maye score against the Bills?

Drake Maye scored 27.2 fantasy points against the Bills in Week 4 of the 2026 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 22 of 37 passing for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 54 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Keon Coleman outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 23.6 PPR points on 12.1 xFP (+11.5). TreVeyon Henderson fell furthest short, with 4.2 points on 12.2 xFP (−8.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Patriots come back to beat the Bills?

The Patriots' chances of winning fell as low as 1% in the fourth quarter. Drake Maye's 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism III in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Drake Maye's 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism III then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Bills record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 81–52–1 across 134 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Patriots and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 4 of 2026, they last met in the 2025 season on December 14, 2025, when the Bills beat the Patriots 35–31.

Have the Patriots and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Patriots are 1–1 against the Bills in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Bills?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −7, making the Buffalo Bills 7-point favorites, with a closing total of 49.5. That implied about 28.3 points for the Bills and 21.3 for the Patriots.

Did Patriots vs Bills go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 49.5, and the teams combined for 55 points, 5.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Bills?

The Patriots covered as 7-point underdogs against the closing line of Bills −7. The final margin was 3 points.