Final2026 Week 4
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY|
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills, Week 4 2026
New England Patriots
AwayWon
29
Buffalo Bills
Home
26
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 29 |
| Bills | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 26 |
NE 29 · BUF 26 Final
Passing leader
NE · QB
27.2PPR pts
22/37, 269 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Top fantasy scorer
NE · WR
23.8PPR pts
6 REC, 58 YDS, 2 TD
Bills leader
BUF · WR
23.6PPR pts
6 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
Defensive playmaker
Craig Woodson
NE
1 INT, 3 TKL
Patriots 29, Bills 26: New England rallies from 3 down at halftime
New England erased a 17–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Buffalo 15–9 after the break to win 29–26. The Patriots finished with a 405–340 edge in total offense.
The Bills went 6-for-12 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Patriots kept the ball for 33:41.
The two teams meet again in Week 13 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +65 total yards NE 405 · BUF 340
- +7:22 time of possession NE 33:41 · BUF 26:19
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Patriots Won
New England won the time of possession battle.
| Patriots | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 405 | Total yards | 340 |
| 33:41 | Time of possession | 26:19 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 5.5 | Yards per play | 6.3 |
| 73 | Plays | 54 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 42% | Third-down conversion | 50% |
Scoring Summary
The Patriots scored four touchdowns; the Bills scored three touchdowns and two field goals.
| Time | Team | Play | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 7:01 | NE | Drake Maye → Romeo Doubs, 14-yard TD Takes leadAndy Borregales XP | 7 | 0 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 14:15 | BUF | James Cook III 8-yard TD run Ties gameTyler Bass XP | 7 | 7 |
| 5:38 | NE | Rhamondre Stevenson 1-yard TD run Takes leadAndy Borregales XP | 14 | 7 |
| 1:00 | BUF | Josh Allen 2-yard TD run Ties gameTyler Bass XP | 14 | 14 |
| 0:02 | BUF | Tyler Bass 27-yard FG Takes lead | 14 | 17 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 8:15 | NE | Drake Maye → Romeo Doubs, 2-yard TD Takes leadAndy Borregales XP | 21 | 17 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 11:07 | BUF | Tyler Bass 38-yard FG | 21 | 20 |
| 4:27 | BUF | Josh Allen → Keon Coleman, 34-yard TD Takes lead2-pt try failed | 21 | 26 |
| 1:50 | NE | Drake Maye → Efton Chism III, 23-yard TD Game winnerDrake Maye → Rhamondre Stevenson, 2-pt conversion | 29 | 26 |
Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Bills, Week 4 2026
Fantasy leaders
- Drake MayeNE · QB27.2 PTSQB1
- Romeo DoubsNE · WR23.8 PTSWR8
- Keon ColemanBUF · WR23.6 PTSWR9
- Josh AllenBUF · QB19.5 PTSQB10
Player Stats
Quarterbacks
| Player | FPTS | FIN | CMP/ATT | Pass YDS | TD | INT | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | Rate | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.2 | QB1 | 22/37 | 269 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 54 | 0 | 97.7 | Start/Sit → | |
| 19.5 | QB10 | 23/33 | 253 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 89.6 | Start/Sit → |
WRs, RBs, & TEs
| Player | FPTS | FIN | POS | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | TGT | REC | Rec YDS | Rec TD | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.8 | WR8 | WR | - | - | - | 9 | 6 | 58 | 2 | Start/Sit → | |
| 23.6 | WR9 | WR | - | - | - | 7 | 6 | 116 | 1 | Start/Sit → | |
| 18.4 | RB15 | RB | 13 | 47 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 16.3 | RB19 | RB | 12 | 75 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | ||
| 13.2 | WR28 | WR | - | - | - | 8 | 7 | 82 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 12.2 | WR34 | WR | - | - | - | 4 | 2 | 42 | 1 | ||
| 11.2 | TE16 | TE | - | - | - | 5 | 5 | 62 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 8.3 | WR52 | WR | - | - | - | 4 | 3 | 53 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 4.2 | RB51 | RB | 14 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 3.5 | WR80 | WR | - | - | - | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 3.3 | TE35 | TE | - | - | - | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 3.2 | RB54 | RB | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 2.7 | WR87 | WR | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 2.2 | TE45 | TE | - | - | - | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 1.7 | RB67 | RB | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 1.7 | TE52 | TE | - | - | - | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 1.3 | WR103 | WR | - | - | - | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 0.0 | - | WR | - | - | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
Fantasy Usage
New England Patriots
Snap Share
Rhamondre StevensonRB50 snaps66%
Hunter HenryTE49 snaps64%
Romeo DoubsWR49 snaps64%
Eli RaridonTE44 snaps58%
DeMario DouglasWR35 snaps46%
Target Share36 targets
- Romeo Doubs25%, 9 targets
- Hunter Henry14%, 5 targets
- Rhamondre Stevenson14%, 5 targets
- Mack Hollins11%, 4 targets
- Efton Chism11%, 4 targets
- Other25%, 9 targets
Carry Share35 carries
- TreVeyon Henderson40%, 14 carries
- Rhamondre Stevenson37%, 13 carries
- Drake Maye23%, 8 carries
Buffalo Bills
Snap Share
Keon ColemanWR46 snaps78%
Khalil ShakirWR45 snaps76%
Dawson KnoxTE36 snaps61%
Joshua PalmerWR35 snaps59%
James CookRB35 snaps59%
Target Share30 targets
- Khalil Shakir27%, 8 targets
- Keon Coleman23%, 7 targets
- Joshua Palmer13%, 4 targets
- DJ Moore7%, 2 targets
- Dawson Knox7%, 2 targets
- Other23%, 7 targets
Carry Share20 carries
- James Cook60%, 12 carries
- Josh Allen25%, 5 carries
- DJ Moore5%, 1 carries
- Ty Johnson5%, 1 carries
- Ray Davis5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
| Player | SNAPS | SNAP % | TGT | TGT % | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 78% | 7 | 23% | 0 | |
| 45 | 76% | 8 | 27% | 0 | |
| 50 | 66% | 5 | 14% | 13 | |
| 49 | 64% | 5 | 14% | 0 | |
| 49 | 64% | 9 | 25% | 0 | |
| 36 | 61% | 2 | 7% | 0 | |
| 35 | 59% | 4 | 13% | 0 | |
| 35 | 59% | 2 | 7% | 12 | |
| 35 | 59% | 2 | 7% | 0 | |
| 44 | 58% | 2 | 6% | 0 | |
| 35 | 46% | 3 | 8% | 0 | |
| 34 | 45% | 4 | 11% | 0 | |
| 31 | 41% | 4 | 11% | 0 | |
| 23 | 39% | 2 | 7% | 1 | |
| 28 | 37% | 2 | 6% | 14 | |
| 19 | 32% | 2 | 7% | 1 | |
| 19 | 25% | 2 | 6% | 0 | |
| 14 | 24% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 17 | 22% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 4 | 7% | 1 | 3% | 1 | |
| 2 | 3% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2 | 3% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2 | 3% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1 | 2% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+11.5Keon Coleman23.6 PTS vs 12.1 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−8.0TreVeyon Henderson4.2 PTS vs 12.2 xFP
- Highest expected volume21.8 xFPDrake Maye27.2 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeNE · QB | 27.2 | 21.8 | +5.4 | 100% | 37 att | - | 37 | 8 | 23% | 0 | 0% |
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 19.5 | 18.1 | +1.4 | 100% | 33 att | - | 33 | 5 | 25% | 0 | 0% |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB | 18.4 | 16.8 | +1.6 | 66% | 37% car | - | 0 | 13 | 37% | 5 | 14% |
| Romeo DoubsNE · WR | 23.8 | 15.5 | +8.3 | 64% | 25% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 9 | 25% |
| Khalil ShakirBUF · WR | 13.2 | 13.8 | −0.6 | 76% | 27% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8 | 27% |
| TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB | 4.2 | 12.2 | −8.0 | 37% | 40% car | - | 0 | 14 | 40% | 2 | 6% |
| Keon ColemanBUF · WR | 23.6 | 12.1 | +11.5 | 78% | 23% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 23% |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB | 16.3 | 11.0 | +5.3 | 59% | 60% car | - | 0 | 12 | 60% | 2 | 7% |
| Hunter HenryNE · TE | 11.2 | 8.6 | +2.6 | 64% | 14% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 14% |
| Efton Chism IIINE · WR | 12.2 | 6.9 | +5.3 | 45% | 11% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 11% |
| Joshua PalmerBUF · WR | 1.3 | 6.9 | −5.6 | 59% | 13% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Mack HollinsNE · WR | 8.3 | 6.9 | +1.4 | 41% | 11% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 11% |
| DeMario DouglasNE · WR | 3.5 | 5.2 | −1.7 | 46% | 8% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 8% |
| DJ MooreBUF · WR | 2.7 | 4.1 | −1.4 | 39% | 7% tgt | - | 0 | 1 | 5% | 2 | 7% |
| Ty JohnsonBUF · RB | 3.2 | 4.1 | −0.9 | 32% | 7% tgt | - | 0 | 1 | 5% | 2 | 7% |
| Dalton KincaidBUF · TE | 1.7 | 3.5 | −1.8 | 59% | 7% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 3.3 | 3.5 | −0.2 | 61% | 7% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% |
| Eli RaridonNE · TE | 2.2 | 3.5 | −1.3 | 58% | 6% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Kyle WilliamsNE · - | 0.0 | 3.5 | −3.5 | 25% | 6% tgt | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Ray DavisBUF · RB | 1.7 | 2.4 | −0.7 | 7% | 5% car | - | 0 | 1 | 5% | 1 | 3% |
Team totals: Patriots 36 targets and 35 carries; Bills 30 targets and 20 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2026 season: 1.73 PPR points per target (68% catch rate), 0.63 per carry and 0.45 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Drake Maye Ran hot
NE · QB · 27.2 pts on 21.8 expected
22 of 37 passing for 269 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception; 8 carries for 54 yards.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 21.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.
Last 3 games + this one (PPR): 12.8, 9.0, 5.8, 27.2
W1W2W3W4
Best fantasy game of the season.
Josh Allen
BUF · QB · 19.5 pts on 18.1 expected
23 of 33 passing for 253 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 5 carries for 4 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.1 expected. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.
Last 3 games + this one (PPR): 35.7, 40.8, 19.5, 19.5
W1W2W3W4
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE · RB · 18.4 pts on 16.8 expected
5 targets (14% of the team's), 3 catches for 27 yards; 13 carries (37% of the team's) for 47 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.
Last 3 games + this one (PPR): 14.5, 3.6, 6.8, 18.4
W1W2W3W4
Best fantasy game of the season.
Romeo Doubs Ran hot
NE · WR · 23.8 pts on 15.5 expected
9 targets (25% of the team's), 6 catches for 58 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.
Last 3 games + this one (PPR): 0.0, 12.6, 7.9, 23.8
W1W2W3W4
Season high in targets (9). Best fantasy game of the season.
Khalil Shakir
BUF · WR · 13.2 pts on 13.8 expected
8 targets (27% of the team's), 7 catches for 82 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.8 expected. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.
Last 3 games + this one (PPR): 9.0, 6.8, 1.6, 13.2
W1W2W3W4
Season high in targets (8). Best fantasy game of the season.
Keon Coleman Ran hot
BUF · WR · 23.6 pts on 12.1 expected
7 targets (23% of the team's), 6 catches for 116 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.
Last 3 games + this one (PPR): 1.1, 12.3, 4.7, 23.6
W1W2W3W4
Season high in targets (7). Best fantasy game of the season.
TreVeyon Henderson Unlucky
NE · RB · 4.2 pts on 12.2 expected
2 targets (6% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 14 carries (40% of the team's) for 42 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 12.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't. Next up: Week 5 against the Raiders. Bet on the role more than the result.
Start/Sit: TreVeyon Henderson →James Cook III Ran hot
BUF · RB · 16.3 pts on 11.0 expected
2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 8 yards; 12 carries (60% of the team's) for 75 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat. Next up: Week 5 against the Rams. Bet on the role more than the result.
Last 3 games + this one (PPR): 9.9, 20.9, 19.4, 16.3
W1W2W3W4
Start/Sit Decisions
Stock Up, Stock Down
New England Patriots
- ▲Stock up: Efton Chism III played 45% of the snaps, up from a 22% season average.
- ▲Stock up: Eli Raridon played 58% of the snaps, up from a 37% season average.
- ▼Stock down: Mack Hollins played 41% of the snaps, down from a 73% season average.
Buffalo Bills
- ▲Stock up: Khalil Shakir played 76% of the snaps, up from a 58% season average.
- ▲Stock up: Keon Coleman played 78% of the snaps, up from a 58% season average.
- ▲Stock up: Joshua Palmer played 59% of the snaps, up from a 34% season average.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2026 through Week 4.
| Points allowed to | Patriots D | Bills D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 14.7 | 21.3 |
| RBs | 20.9 | 27.4 |
| WRs | 34.9 | 41.0 |
| TEs | 5.9 | 11.3 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Buffalo opened at 70% win probability, climbed as high as 99%, then lost.
Bills win probability
Key Swings
- −26Stevenson 1-yd TD run66% → 39%Q2 5:38
- +28Allen 2-yd TD run36% → 65%Q2 1:00
- −31Maye → Doubs, 2-yd TD75% → 44%Q3 8:15
- +49Allen → Coleman, 34-yd TD45% → 93%Q4 4:27
- −87Maye → Chism, 23-yd TD99% → 12%Q4 1:50
Swing in Bills win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| New England Patriots | Measure | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Plays | 54 |
| 52% | Pass rate | 63% |
| 6.9 | Yds / dropback | 7.3 |
| 4.1 | Yds / carry | 4.5 |
| 5/12 | Third downs | 6/12 |
Efficiency edge New England ran 19 more plays than Buffalo.
- Top targets
- NE Doubs 25% · Henry 14% · Stevenson 14%
- BUF Shakir 27% · Coleman 23% · Palmer 13%
Possession Results
| Result | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 4 | 3 |
| Field goals | 0 | 2 |
| Punts | 4 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
- The Patriots opened the scoring on their first possession, a 12-play, 97-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Patriots scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to seven minutes.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | Q1 15:00 | 3 | 5 | 1:31 | Punt |
| NE | Q1 13:29 | 12 | 97 | 6:28 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q1 7:01 | 13 | 62 | 7:46 | Touchdown |
| NE | Q2 14:15 | 8 | 30 | 4:07 | Fumble |
| BUF | Q2 10:08 | 3 | 7 | 1:47 | Punt |
| NE | Q2 8:21 | 6 | 63 | 2:43 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q2 5:38 | 9 | 67 | 4:38 | Touchdown |
| NE | Q2 1:00 | 3 | 0 | 0:31 | Punt |
| BUF | Q2 0:29 | 2 | 30 | 0:13 | Fumble |
| NE | Q2 0:16 | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | Interception |
| BUF | Q2 0:05 | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | Field goal |
| NE | Q2 0:02 | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | End of half |
| NE | Q3 15:00 | 14 | 73 | 6:45 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q3 8:15 | 4 | 10 | 1:52 | Punt |
| NE | Q3 6:23 | 6 | 18 | 2:59 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 3:24 | 3 | 6 | 0:55 | Punt |
| NE | Q3 2:29 | 3 | 8 | 1:42 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 0:47 | 10 | 60 | 4:40 | Field goal |
| NE | Q4 11:07 | 6 | 16 | 4:31 | Punt |
| BUF | Q4 6:36 | 5 | 80 | 2:09 | Touchdown |
| NE | Q4 4:27 | 8 | 73 | 2:37 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q4 1:50 | 3 | 16 | 0:45 | Interception |
| NE | Q4 1:05 | 6 | 12 | 1:05 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Patriots vs Bills Head-to-Head
The Patriots and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 134 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.
- All-time series
- 81–52–1Patriots lead, 134 meetings since 1960
- Postseason
- 1–1Patriots won in 1963; Bills won in 2021
- Largest Patriots win
- 56–102007
- Largest Bills win
- 45–101970
Since 2021
7–5 Bills lead
12 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
- P
- B
- B
- B
- B
- P
- B
- B
- P
- P
- B
- P
Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 13 Bills at Patriots Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2026 Wk 4 Patriots at Bills NE 29 BUF 26 NE W
- 2025 Wk 15 Bills at Patriots, 2025 Wk 15 recap BUF 35 NE 31 BUF W
- 2025 Wk 5 Patriots at Bills, 2025 Wk 5 recap NE 23 BUF 20 NE W
- 2024 Wk 18 Bills at Patriots, 2024 Wk 18 recap NE 23 BUF 16 NE W
- 2024 Wk 16 Patriots at Bills, 2024 Wk 16 recap BUF 24 NE 21 BUF W
- 2023 Wk 17 Patriots at Bills, 2023 Wk 17 recap BUF 27 NE 21 BUF W
- 2023 Wk 7 Bills at Patriots, 2023 Wk 7 recap NE 29 BUF 25 NE W
- 2022 Wk 18 Patriots at Bills, 2022 Wk 18 recap BUF 35 NE 23 BUF W
- 2022 Wk 13 Bills at Patriots, 2022 Wk 13 recap BUF 24 NE 10 BUF W
- 2021 Wild Card Patriots at Bills, 2021 Wild Card recap BUF 47 NE 17 BUF W
- 2021 Wk 16 Bills at Patriots, 2021 Wk 16 recap BUF 33 NE 21 BUF W
- 2021 Wk 13 Patriots at Bills, 2021 Wk 13 recap NE 14 BUF 10 NE W
Season to Date (Through Week 4)
The 2026 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Patriots | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 3-1 |
| 16.3 | Points per game | 31.8 |
| 331.5 | Yards per game | 386.3 |
| 5.2 | Yards per play | 6.5 |
| 19.3 | Points allowed per game | 26.8 |
| 293.8 | Yards allowed per game | 372.3 |
Patriots vs Bills Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- BUF −7Bills failed to cover by 10
- Total
- 49.5Over: 55 points scored (by 5.5)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 28.3 | 26 | −2.3 |
| Patriots | 21.3 | 29 | +7.8 |
The Patriots beat their implied total and the Bills fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.
Betting Trends
Last 6 meetings: Bills 5–1 ATS, overs 5–1.
Each team's 2026 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
New England Patriots
- Against the spread
- 2–1–1
- Over/under
- 1–3
- ATS as favorite
- 1–0
- ATS as underdog
- 1–1–1
- ATS on the road
- 1–1–1
Buffalo Bills
- Against the spread
- 3–1
- Over/under
- 3–1
- ATS as favorite
- 3–1
- ATS at home
- 2–1
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Patriots vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026
One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Patriots or Bills player start in Week 13? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Patriots and Bills players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Patriots and Bills defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere this matchup falls in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2026 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Patriots vs Bills Game FAQ
Who won the 2026 Patriots vs Bills Week 4 game?
The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 29–26 in Week 4 of the 2026 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, on October 4, 2026. See the Patriots' 2026 schedule.
What was the final score of Patriots vs Bills?
The final score was Patriots 29, Bills 26. The Bills led 17–14 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 15, Bills 9.
What happened in the Patriots vs Bills game?
New England erased a 17–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Buffalo 15–9 after the break to win 29–26. The Patriots finished with a 405–340 edge in total offense. Drake Maye led all players with 22 of 37 passing for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 54 rushing yards.
What was the game-winning score in Patriots vs Bills?
Drake Maye's 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism III with 1:50 left in the fourth quarter gave the Patriots a 29–26 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.
Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?
Drake Maye led the game with 27.2 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 4, on 22 of 37 passing for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 54 rushing yards. Romeo Doubs was next with 23.8 (WR8). See Drake Maye's 2026 game log.
Who led Patriots vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?
Drake Maye (NE) led all passers with 22 of 37 for 269 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. James Cook (BUF) led in rushing with 12 carries for 75 yards and a touchdown. Keon Coleman (BUF) led in receiving with 6 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown.
How many fantasy points did Drake Maye score against the Bills?
Drake Maye scored 27.2 fantasy points against the Bills in Week 4 of the 2026 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 22 of 37 passing for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 54 rushing yards.
Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?
Keon Coleman outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 23.6 PPR points on 12.1 xFP (+11.5). TreVeyon Henderson fell furthest short, with 4.2 points on 12.2 xFP (−8.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.
How did the Patriots come back to beat the Bills?
The Patriots' chances of winning fell as low as 1% in the fourth quarter. Drake Maye's 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism III in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Drake Maye's 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism III then put them ahead for good.
What is the all-time Patriots vs Bills record?
The Patriots lead the all-time series 81–52–1 across 134 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.
When did the Patriots and Bills last play before this game?
Before Week 4 of 2026, they last met in the 2025 season on December 14, 2025, when the Bills beat the Patriots 35–31.
Have the Patriots and Bills met in the playoffs?
Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Patriots are 1–1 against the Bills in the postseason.
What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Bills?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −7, making the Buffalo Bills 7-point favorites, with a closing total of 49.5. That implied about 28.3 points for the Bills and 21.3 for the Patriots.
Did Patriots vs Bills go over or under the total?
The game went over. The consensus closing total was 49.5, and the teams combined for 55 points, 5.5 over the number.
Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Bills?
The Patriots covered as 7-point underdogs against the closing line of Bills −7. The final margin was 3 points.
