AFC North · 2026 Season
Cleveland Browns
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Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns Usage & Opportunity Report 2026
Updated through Week 4 · refreshed every Tuesday
Fantasy production follows opportunity, not the other way around — so this report tracks who's on the field and who the ball is going to, before the box score catches up. The essentials: target share (share of team pass attempts), snap share, and red-zone touches. The premium layer, in each player's expandable profile: first-read share (how often the play is designed for him), air-yards share (30%+ is the alpha-receiver threshold), and expected fantasy points (xFP) vs. fantasy points over expected (FPOE) — xFP is stable, repeatable volume; FPOE is efficiency that regresses. Route share (the % of dropbacks a player runs a route on — the stat that matters most for tight ends), targets per route run (TPRR) and yards per route run (YPRR — the best receiver efficiency stat there is) join the profiles when the league's route data is published. Since 2017, receivers at a 20%+ target share average 15.3 fantasy points per game; the 10–20% group averages 9.8. That cliff is why this table exists.
- Pass rate over expected+1.0%9thThrows about as much as situations call for — the target tree, not the play-calling, decides who eats
- Red-zone pass rate60%9thThrows inside the 20 — Fannin's 3 end-zone targets lead the team
- Neutral pace31.7s5th fastestSeconds per play in neutral situations — a fast offense means more snaps for every starter
- Plays per game55.827thOffensive plays a game — fewer snaps to go around, so shares matter more
- Team xFP / game70.529thTotal expected fantasy points this offense creates — a thin pie, so only the top shares pay
The Target Tree
All 116 Browns pass attempts through Week 4
- KC Concepcion 24.1%
- Harold Fannin 19.8%
- Denzel Boston 19.0%
- Quinshon Judkins 13.8%
- Raheim Sanders 9.5%
- Jeudy/Whiteheart/Bond 11.2%
- Everyone else 1.7%
- No target (throwaways, spikes, batted) 0.9%
The Backfield Split
Who owns which situations — the RB stat that actually predicts the box score.
- Quinshon Judkins 74.0%
- Raheim Sanders 22.8%
- Jaleel McLaughlin 3.3%
Share of the backs' carries + targets in each situation. Snap-by-snap splits need the league's participation data, which is published after the season.
- 22.8Judkins weighted opps/game — RB14 in the NFL
- 20Judkins high-value touches (in-10 carries + targets)
- 7.0Sanders weighted opps/game
- +1.2Judkins wOpp/g vs. last season — the same role as last season
Why Judkins's reception count stays capped: Raheim Sanders owns 58% of the backs' third-down work. Judkins's 64-catch pace isn't a talent question — the passing-down role belongs to Sanders. Green flag for his rushing floor, hard ceiling on his PPR upside.
The Sanders math if Judkins misses time: Sanders is next in line by weighted opportunities. A Judkins absence projects Sanders to ~79% of weighted opportunities — about 24.5 a game, a top-12 weekly RB by volume — and why he's a STASH, not a cut.
Run Direction — carries & yards per carry by gap
- 0.914 attLeft end
- 3.07 attLeft tackle
- 2.947 attMiddle
- 3.98 attRight tackle
- 10.37 attRight end
Designed runs only; "Middle" includes runs behind either guard.
The right side is the run game's engine: 10.3 yards per carry off right end and 3.9 behind right tackle — 18% of all designed runs go that way. Interior volume (47 attempts) does the clock work at 2.9; the right edge does the damage. When the line's right side sits out practice, that's a usage note, not just an injury note.
Where Watson Attacks
Share of pass attempts & yards per attempt by field zone — through Week 4
- 3%20.3 YPADeep left
- 3%11.5 YPADeep middle
- 2%12.5 YPADeep right
Line of scrimmage · deep = 20+ air yards
- 46%6.5 YPAShort left
- 16%9.3 YPAShort middle
- 30%5.5 YPAShort right
The short middle is the efficiency engine (9.3 YPA). Watson keeps 91% of his throws under 20 air yards, with the deep left his most explosive zone (20.3 YPA on 4 attempts). Gold = highest-YPA high-volume zone.
| Profile | Player | Opportunity (WOPR) | Target share | Snap share | RZ touches | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinshon JudkinsRB1, 80% of RB touchesRB14 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 80% | 13.8%+12.1 vs W1 | 62%steady | 12 ▲1 · 4 · 5 — leads team | Set & forget | |
The locked-in workhorse. A 100% share of the backs' red-zone work is the RB stat that tracks fantasy points best, and 4 green-zone carries put him at the goal line. He's −2.4 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| KC ConcepcionWR1WR13 in target share, NFL | 0.52strong — elite at 0.60 | 24.1%steady | 79%+23 vs W1 | 3 ▲2 · 0 · 1 | Set & forget | |
Volume you can set in the lineup. A 24.1% target share and 10.9 expected points a game, with a 32.7% first-read share; a 22.8% air-yards share decides how much of that turns into yards. He's −3.3 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Denzel BostonWR2WR35 in target share, NFL | 0.64elite | 19.0%+3.0 vs W1 | 92%steady | 31 · 1 · 0 | Starter | |
A starter's share without the alpha tag. A 19% target share and 9.7 expected points a game, with a 23.6% first-read share; a 50.5% air-yards share decides how much of that turns into yards. He's scoring +4.1 points a game over expected — some of that is efficiency that regresses, but the 9.7 xFP floor holds. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Harold FanninTE1TE6 in target share, NFL | 0.43strong for TE | 19.8%steady | 86%+7 vs W1 | 3 ▲0 · 2 · 1 | Starter | |
The ceiling problem in two numbers: a 18.4% air-yards share and a 6.1 aDOT. His targets travel nowhere, so even a healthy target share converts to modest yardage. He's scoring +3.4 points a game over expected — some of that is efficiency that regresses, but the 9.1 xFP floor holds. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL TEs. | ||||||
| Raheim SandersRB2 · handcuff, 17% of RB touchesRB59 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 17% | 9.5%−7.5 vs W1 | 33%steady | 00 · 0 · 0 | Stash | |
Contingent value, quantified. The 17% touch share is standalone-flex-in-a-pinch at best; the real number is what it becomes if Judkins misses time — see The Backfield Split above. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Deshaun WatsonQB1QB24 in xFP/game, NFL | —every dropback | —the passer | 100%steady | 50 · 3 · 0 | Volatile | |
A pocket passer's profile. 2 green-zone carries and a 9.4% scramble rate: his points have to come through the air, so his weekly range follows the pass volume (QB24 in expected points). Production is running +1.0 over expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL QBs. | ||||||
How to read this table
- Set & forget 20%+ target share or locked bell-cow role — start everywhere
- Starter 17–19% target share or a lead back's full workload — weekly lineup play
- Flex 15–16% share or a committee lead — matchup-dependent
- Volatile under 15% — deep leagues only
- Stash the role behind the role
- WOPR: 1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share
- + button: opens the full advanced profile — first-read share, air-yards share, xFP/FPOE — with percentile bars vs. the league
Buy low
KC Concepcion
The volume is there and the points aren't — yet. 10.9 expected points a game against 7.6 actual is the gap that closes on its own. Trade for him before it does.
- 10.9xFP per game
- −3.3points vs. expected per game
Usage trends are one of the core inputs behind our player pricing — Redraft Command re-runs every player's value as these shares move, so a riser like Concepcion gets repriced before your leaguemates notice.
Data: nflverse play-by-play · nflverse snap counts (PFR) · FTN Data charting via nflverse (first-read share) · ffopportunity expected points (xFP). Regular season, through Week 4.
Explore StatChasers
- Fantasy Football ToolsThe #1 ranked fantasy football toolset.Open
- Advanced Player StatsDeeper numbers on every player in the league.Open
- Strength of ScheduleMatchup difficulty by fantasy position, including the playoff weeks.Open
- Fantasy Points AllowedHow Cleveland's defense performs against QB, RB, WR and TE.Open
Common questions
Who leads the Cleveland Browns in target share?
KC Concepcion leads the Cleveland Browns with a 24.1% target share through Week 4, holding steady since Week 1. Harold Fannin is second at 19.8%.