Final2025 Week 16

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens, Week 16 2025

New England Patriots

AwayWon

28

Baltimore Ravens

Home

24

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Patriots01031528
Ravens737724

NE 28BAL 24 Final

  • Passing leader

    Drake Maye

    NE · QB

    24.7PPR pts

    31/44, 380 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Derrick Henry

    BAL · RB

    22.8PPR pts

    18 ATT, 128 YDS, 2 TD

  • Ravens leader

    Zay Flowers

    BAL · WR

    21.2PPR pts

    7 REC, 84 YDS, 1 RUSH TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Marlon Humphrey

    BAL

    1 INT, 6 TKL

Patriots 28, Ravens 24: New England rallies in the fourth quarter

New England broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Baltimore 18–14 after the break to win 28–24. The Patriots finished with a 453–330 edge in total offense and averaged 6.4 yards per play.

The Ravens went 7-for-11 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +0.3 yards/play NE 6.4 · BAL 6.1
  • +123 total yards NE 453 · BAL 330
  • +3:38 time of possession NE 31:49 · BAL 28:11

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Patriots Won

New England won the efficiency and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Ravens
PatriotsStatRavens
6.4Yards per play6.1
453Total yards330
31:49Time of possession28:11
Other team stats
71Plays54
2Turnovers2
33%Third-down conversion64%

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Ravens scored three touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Ravens
TimeTeamPlayNEBAL
1st quarter
12:21BALDerrick Henry 21-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Loop XP07
2nd quarter
11:17NEDrake Maye → Hunter Henry, 1-yard TD Ties gameAndy Borregales XP77
5:39NEAndy Borregales 45-yard FG Takes lead107
1:03BALTyler Loop 36-yard FG Ties game1010
3rd quarter
7:43NEAndy Borregales 41-yard FG Takes lead1310
4:35BALZay Flowers 18-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Loop XP1317
4th quarter
12:50BALDerrick Henry 2-yard TD run Extends leadTyler Loop XP1324
9:01NEDrake Maye → Kyle Williams, 37-yard TDDrake Maye → Rhamondre Stevenson, 2-pt conversion2124
2:07NERhamondre Stevenson 21-yard TD run Game winnerAndy Borregales XP2824

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Ravens, Week 16 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Drake MayeNEQB24.7 PTSQB7
  2. Stefon DiggsNEWR22.8 PTSWR7
  3. Derrick HenryBALRB22.8 PTSRB9
  4. Zay FlowersBALWR21.2 PTSWR9

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Drake MayeNEQB24.7QB731/443802110250102.5Start/Sit →
Lamar JacksonBALQB4.7QB297/1010100270102.5Start/Sit →
Tyler HuntleyBALQB2.8QB339/10650022093.8Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Derrick HenryBALRB22.8RB9RB181282————Start/Sit →
Stefon DiggsNEWR22.8WR7WR———1091380Start/Sit →
Zay FlowersBALWR21.2WR9WR118177840Start/Sit →
Rhamondre StevensonNERB17.8RB15RB851132270Start/Sit →
Hunter HenryNETE15.5TE7TE———76351Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsNEWR13.9WR24WR———97690Start/Sit →
Kyle WilliamsNEWR12.6WR27WR———32461Start/Sit →
DeAndre HopkinsBALWR8.1WR49WR———54410
Austin HooperNETE5.4TE28TE———42340Start/Sit →
Mark AndrewsBALTE4.4TE36TE13032210Start/Sit →
Charlie KolarBALTE2.8TE46TE———11180
Kayshon BoutteNEWR2.6WR93WR———31160Start/Sit →
TreVeyon HendersonNERB2.2RB61RB5301190Start/Sit →
Rasheen AliBALRB2.2RB60RB———2220Start/Sit →
DeMario DouglasNEWR1.6WR109WR———2160Start/Sit →
Keaton MitchellBALRB1.3RB68RB9130————Start/Sit →
Rashod BatemanBALWR0.0—WR———2000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. Rhamondre StevensonRB62 snaps84%
  2. Hunter HenryTE60 snaps81%
  3. Mack HollinsWR49 snaps66%
  4. Stefon DiggsWR44 snaps59%
  5. Kayshon BoutteWR43 snaps58%

Target Share42 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs24%, 10 targets
  2. Mack Hollins21%, 9 targets
  3. Hunter Henry17%, 7 targets
  4. Austin Hooper10%, 4 targets
  5. Rhamondre Stevenson7%, 3 targets
  6. Other21%, 9 targets

Carry Share23 carries

  1. Drake Maye43%, 10 carries
  2. Rhamondre Stevenson35%, 8 carries
  3. TreVeyon Henderson22%, 5 carries

Baltimore Ravens

Snap Share

  1. Zay FlowersWR49 snaps89%
  2. Rashod BatemanWR38 snaps69%
  3. Charlie KolarTE27 snaps49%
  4. Derrick HenryRB24 snaps44%
  5. Mark AndrewsTE24 snaps44%

Target Share20 targets

  1. Zay Flowers35%, 7 targets
  2. DeAndre Hopkins25%, 5 targets
  3. Mark Andrews15%, 3 targets
  4. Rashod Bateman10%, 2 targets
  5. Rasheen Ali10%, 2 targets
  6. Other5%, 1 targets

Carry Share33 carries

  1. Derrick Henry55%, 18 carries
  2. Keaton Mitchell27%, 9 carries
  3. Lamar Jackson6%, 2 carries
  4. Tyler Huntley6%, 2 carries
  5. Mark Andrews3%, 1 carries
  6. Other3%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Zay FlowersBALWR4989%735%1
Rhamondre StevensonNERB6284%37%8
Hunter HenryNETE6081%717%0
Rashod BatemanBALWR3869%210%0
Mack HollinsNEWR4966%921%0
Stefon DiggsNEWR4459%1024%0
Kayshon BoutteNEWR4358%37%0
Charlie KolarBALTE2749%15%0
Derrick HenryBALRB2444%00%18
Mark AndrewsBALTE2444%315%1
Isaiah LikelyBALTE2240%00%0
Kyle WilliamsNEWR2838%37%0
DeAndre HopkinsBALWR2036%525%0
Keaton MitchellBALRB1935%00%9
Austin HooperNETE2331%410%0
Rasheen AliBALRB1222%210%0
TreVeyon HendersonNERB1419%12%5
DeMario DouglasNEWR1318%25%0
Jack WestoverNETE1216%00%0
Devontez WalkerBALWR611%00%0
LaJohntay WesterBALWR24%00%0
D'Ernest JohnsonNERB11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Drake MayeNE · QB24.726.0−1.3100%44 att—441043%00%
Stefon DiggsNE · WR22.817.0+5.859%24% tgt—000%1024%
Mack HollinsNE · WR13.915.3−1.466%21% tgt—000%921%
Zay FlowersBAL · WR21.212.6+8.689%35% tgt—013%735%
Hunter HenryNE · TE15.511.9+3.681%17% tgt—000%717%
Derrick HenryBAL · RB22.811.6+11.244%55% car—01855%00%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB17.810.3+7.584%35% car—0835%37%
DeAndre HopkinsBAL · WR8.18.5−0.436%25% tgt—000%525%
Austin HooperNE · TE5.46.8−1.431%10% tgt—000%410%
Keaton MitchellBAL · RB1.35.8−4.535%27% car—0927%00%
Mark AndrewsBAL · TE4.45.8−1.444%15% tgt—013%315%
Lamar JacksonBAL · QB4.75.7−1.047%10 att—1026%00%
Tyler HuntleyBAL · QB2.85.7−2.953%10 att—1026%00%
Kayshon BoutteNE · WR2.65.1−2.558%7% tgt—000%37%
Kyle WilliamsNE · —12.65.1+7.538%7% tgt—000%37%
TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB2.24.9−2.719%22% car—0522%12%
DeMario DouglasNE · WR1.63.4−1.818%5% tgt—000%25%
Rasheen AliBAL · RB2.23.4−1.222%10% tgt—000%210%
Rashod BatemanBAL · WR0.03.4−3.469%10% tgt—000%210%
Charlie KolarBAL · TE2.81.7+1.149%5% tgt—000%15%

Team totals: Patriots 42 targets and 23 carries; Ravens 20 targets and 33 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Drake Maye

NE · QB · 24.7 pts on 26.0 expected

31 of 44 passing for 380 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 10 carries for 25 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 26.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Drake Maye →

Lamar Jackson

BAL · QB · 4.7 pts on 5.7 expected

7 of 10 passing for 101 yards; 2 carries for 7 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 5.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Lamar Jackson →

Stefon Diggs Ran hot

NE · WR · 22.8 pts on 17.0 expected

10 targets (24% of the team's), 9 catches for 138 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 17.0 points; efficiency supplied the rest.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

Mack Hollins

NE · WR · 13.9 pts on 15.3 expected

9 targets (21% of the team's), 7 catches for 69 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Mack Hollins →

Zay Flowers Ran hot

BAL · WR · 21.2 pts on 12.6 expected

7 targets (35% of the team's), 7 catches for 84 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 18 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Zay Flowers →

Derrick Henry Ran hot

BAL · RB · 22.8 pts on 11.6 expected

18 carries (55% of the team's) for 128 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Derrick Henry →

Rhamondre Stevenson Ran hot

NE · RB · 17.8 pts on 10.3 expected

3 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 27 yards; 8 carries (35% of the team's) for 51 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Rhamondre Stevenson →

Kyle Williams Ran hot

NE · — · 12.6 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 46 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 5.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Kyle Williams →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New England Patriots

  • Stock up: Rhamondre Stevenson played 84% of the snaps, up from a 59% season average.
  • Stock down: Austin Hooper played 31% of the snaps, down from a 53% season average.
  • Stock down: TreVeyon Henderson played 19% of the snaps, down from a 48% season average.

Baltimore Ravens

  • Stock up: Keaton Mitchell played 35% of the snaps, up from a 16% season average.
  • Stock down: Mark Andrews played 44% of the snaps, down from a 65% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Ravens defense
Points allowed toPatriots DRavens D
QBs15.218.2
RBs19.023.6
WRs28.634.3
TEs13.810.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Baltimore opened at 60% win probability, climbed as high as 99%, then lost.

Ravens win probability

Ravens win probability by game minuteRavens started at 60%, stood at 57% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −21Maye → Henry, 1-yd TD80% → 59%Q2 11:17
  2. +34Flowers 18-yd TD run40% → 75%Q3 4:35
  3. +19Henry 2-yd TD run78% → 97%Q4 12:50
  4. −24Maye → Williams, 37-yd TD99% → 75%Q4 9:01
  5. −83Stevenson 21-yd TD run89% → 6%Q4 2:07

Swing in Ravens win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Ravens
New England PatriotsMeasureBaltimore Ravens
71Plays54
68%Pass rate39%
7.8Yds / dropback7.6
3.4Yds / carry5.2
4/12Third downs7/11

Efficiency edge New England ran 17 more plays than Baltimore.

  • Top targets
  • NE Diggs 24% · Hollins 21% · Henry 17%
  • BAL Flowers 35% · Hopkins 25% · Andrews 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Ravens
ResultNEBAL
Touchdowns33
Field goals21
Punts12
Turnovers22
Turnovers on downs10
Missed field goals01
  • The Ravens opened the scoring on their first possession, a 5-play, 65-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BALQ1 15:005652:39Touchdown
NEQ1 12:2110455:51Interception
BALQ1 6:309644:47Fumble
NEQ1 1:4310685:26Touchdown
BALQ2 11:17310:56Punt
NEQ2 10:219484:42Field goal
BALQ2 5:3911474:36Field goal
NEQ2 1:036330:44Fumble
BALQ2 0:191-10:19End of half
NEQ3 15:003-10:57Punt
BALQ3 14:036293:25Missed FG
NEQ3 10:386322:55Field goal
BALQ3 7:436653:08Touchdown
NEQ3 4:357192:42Downs
BALQ3 1:537444:03Touchdown
NEQ4 12:507733:49Touchdown
BALQ4 9:016133:59Punt
NEQ4 5:029892:55Touchdown
BALQ4 2:07200:19Fumble
NEQ4 1:486251:48End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Ravens Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Ravens first met in 1996 and have played 17 times since.

All-time series
12–5Patriots lead, 17 meetings since 1996
Postseason
2–2Split 2–2
Largest Patriots win
41–72013
Largest Ravens win
33–142009

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. P = Patriots win, R = Ravens win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Ravens
PatriotsStatRavens
14-3Record8-9
28.8Points per game24.9
379.4Yards per game332.2
6.2Yards per play5.8
18.8Points allowed per game23.4
295.2Yards allowed per game354.6

Patriots vs Ravens Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
BAL −3.5Ravens failed to cover by 7.5
Total
47.5Over: 52 points scored (by 4.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Ravens25.524−1.5
Patriots22.028+6.0

The Patriots beat their implied total and the Ravens fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 2 meetings: Patriots 1–1 ATS, overs 2–0.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New England Patriots

Against the spread
2–1
Over/under
3–0
ATS as favorite
1–0
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS on the road
1–0

Baltimore Ravens

Against the spread
1–3
Over/under
2–2
ATS as favorite
1–3
ATS at home
0–3

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Patriots and Ravens in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Patriot or a Raven, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Ravens Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Patriots vs Ravens Week 16 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Baltimore Ravens 28–24 in Week 16 of the 2025 season. The game was played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD, on December 21, 2025. See the Patriots' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Ravens?

The final score was Patriots 28, Ravens 24. The teams were tied 10–10 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 18, Ravens 14.

What happened in the Patriots vs Ravens game?

New England broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Baltimore 18–14 after the break to win 28–24. The Patriots finished with a 453–330 edge in total offense and averaged 6.4 yards per play. Drake Maye led all players with 31 of 44 passing for 380 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 10 carries for 25 rushing yards.

What was the game-winning score in Patriots vs Ravens?

Rhamondre Stevenson's 21-yard touchdown run with 2:07 left in the fourth quarter gave the Patriots a 28–24 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Ravens?

Drake Maye led the game with 24.7 PPR fantasy points, the QB7 of Week 16, on 31 of 44 passing for 380 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 10 carries for 25 rushing yards. Stefon Diggs was next with 22.8 (WR7). See Drake Maye's 2025 game log.

Who led Patriots vs Ravens in passing, rushing and receiving?

Drake Maye (NE) led all passers with 31 of 44 for 380 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. Derrick Henry (BAL) led in rushing with 18 carries for 128 yards and 2 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs (NE) led in receiving with 9 catches for 138 yards.

How many fantasy points did Drake Maye score against the Ravens?

Drake Maye scored 24.7 fantasy points against the Ravens in Week 16 of the 2025 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 31 of 44 passing for 380 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 10 carries for 25 rushing yards. He handled 43% of his team's carries.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Ravens?

Derrick Henry outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 22.8 PPR points on 11.6 xFP (+11.2). Keaton Mitchell fell furthest short, with 1.3 points on 5.8 xFP (−4.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Patriots come back to beat the Ravens?

The Patriots' chances of winning fell as low as 1% in the fourth quarter. Rhamondre Stevenson's 21-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Rhamondre Stevenson's 21-yard touchdown run then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Ravens record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 12–5 across 17 meetings since 1996, including a 2–2 record in the postseason.

When did the Patriots and Ravens last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2025, they last met in the 2022 season on September 25, 2022, when the Ravens beat the Patriots 37–26.

Have the Patriots and Ravens met in the playoffs?

Yes, 4 times, most recently in the 2014 playoffs. The Patriots are 2–2 against the Ravens in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Ravens?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Ravens −3.5, making the Baltimore Ravens 3.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 47.5. That implied about 25.5 points for the Ravens and 22.0 for the Patriots.

Did Patriots vs Ravens go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 47.5, and the teams combined for 52 points, 4.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Ravens?

The Patriots covered as 3.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Ravens −3.5. The final margin was 4 points.