Final2025 Week 15

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots, Week 15 2025

Buffalo Bills

AwayWon

35

New England Patriots

Home

31

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bills07141435
Patriots14100731

BUF 35NE 31 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    24.5PPR pts

    19/28, 193 YDS, 3 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    James Cook III

    BUF · RB

    31.1PPR pts

    22 ATT, 107 YDS, 2 TD, 2 REC, 4 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Patriots leader

    TreVeyon Henderson

    NE · RB

    30.1PPR pts

    14 ATT, 148 YDS, 2 TD, 2 REC, 13 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Tre'Davious White

    BUF

    1 INT, 2 TKL

Bills 35, Patriots 31: Buffalo rallies from 17 down at halftime

Buffalo erased a 24–7 halftime deficit, outscoring New England 28–7 after the break to win 35–31. New England outgained the Bills 385–349.

The Patriots went 5-for-10 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Bills kept the ball for 35:21 and finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 4 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +1 turnover margin BUF 0 turnovers
  • +7% third-down rate BUF 57% · NE 50%
  • +10:42 time of possession BUF 35:21 · NE 24:39

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Bill or Patriot on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Bills vs Patriots
BillsStatPatriots
0Turnovers1
57%Third-down conversion50%
35:21Time of possession24:39
Other team stats
349Total yards385
5.2Yards per play7.5
67Plays51

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored five touchdowns; the Patriots scored four touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Bills vs Patriots
TimeTeamPlayBUFNE
1st quarter
10:21NEDrake Maye 8-yard TD run Takes leadAndy Borregales XP07
0:25NEDrake Maye 7-yard TD run Extends leadAndy Borregales XP014
2nd quarter
5:53NETreVeyon Henderson 52-yard TD run Extends leadAndy Borregales XP021
1:56BUFJosh Allen → James Cook III, 5-yard TDMatt Prater XP721
0:00NEAndy Borregales 36-yard FG Extends lead724
3rd quarter
11:29BUFJosh Allen → Dawson Knox, 4-yard TDMatt Prater XP1424
3:49BUFJames Cook III 3-yard TD runMatt Prater XP2124
4th quarter
10:03BUFJosh Allen → Dawson Knox, 14-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP2824
9:49NETreVeyon Henderson 65-yard TD run Takes leadAndy Borregales XP2831
6:48BUFJames Cook III 11-yard TD run Game winnerMatt Prater XP3531

Fantasy Points: Bills vs Patriots, Week 15 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. James CookBUFRB31.1 PTSRB2
  2. TreVeyon HendersonNERB30.1 PTSRB3
  3. Josh AllenBUFQB24.5 PTSQB6
  4. Drake MayeNEQB21.5 PTSQB13

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB24.5QB619/281933011480123.1Start/Sit →
Drake MayeNEQB21.5QB1314/2315501443262.8Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
James CookBUFRB31.1RB2RB2210723241
TreVeyon HendersonNERB30.1RB3RB14148232130Start/Sit →
Dawson KnoxBUFTE18.7TE8TE———43372Start/Sit →
Khalil ShakirBUFWR11.5WR33WR———55650Start/Sit →
Rhamondre StevensonNERB10.7RB26RB650033270Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsNEWR8.1WR49WR———84410Start/Sit →
Dalton KincaidBUFTE6.4TE25TE———43340Start/Sit →
Ty JohnsonBUFRB5.8RB44RB413033150Start/Sit →
Stefon DiggsNEWR5.6WR64WR———43260Start/Sit →
Kayshon BoutteNEWR4.0WR77WR———11300Start/Sit →
Hunter HenryNETE2.8TE46TE———31180Start/Sit →
Joshua PalmerBUFWR2.6WR87WR———21160Start/Sit →
Ray DavisBUFRB2.3RB62RB———11130Start/Sit →
Jackson HawesBUFTE1.9TE53TE———1190Start/Sit →
DeMario DouglasNEWR0.5WR103WR150————Start/Sit →
Brandin CooksBUFWR0.0—WR———3000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Khalil ShakirWR48 snaps69%
  2. James CookRB47 snaps67%
  3. Dawson KnoxTE45 snaps64%
  4. Keon ColemanWR39 snaps56%
  5. Tyrell ShaversWR35 snaps50%

Target Share26 targets

  1. Khalil Shakir19%, 5 targets
  2. Dawson Knox15%, 4 targets
  3. Dalton Kincaid15%, 4 targets
  4. Brandin Cooks12%, 3 targets
  5. Ty Johnson12%, 3 targets
  6. Other27%, 7 targets

Carry Share37 carries

  1. James Cook59%, 22 carries
  2. Josh Allen30%, 11 carries
  3. Ty Johnson11%, 4 carries

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. Hunter HenryTE45 snaps87%
  2. Mack HollinsWR41 snaps79%
  3. Kayshon BoutteWR39 snaps75%
  4. Rhamondre StevensonRB35 snaps67%
  5. Stefon DiggsWR26 snaps50%

Target Share22 targets

  1. Mack Hollins36%, 8 targets
  2. Stefon Diggs18%, 4 targets
  3. Hunter Henry14%, 3 targets
  4. Rhamondre Stevenson14%, 3 targets
  5. TreVeyon Henderson14%, 3 targets
  6. Other5%, 1 targets

Carry Share25 carries

  1. TreVeyon Henderson56%, 14 carries
  2. Rhamondre Stevenson24%, 6 carries
  3. Drake Maye16%, 4 carries
  4. DeMario Douglas4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Hunter HenryNETE4587%314%0
Mack HollinsNEWR4179%836%0
Kayshon BoutteNEWR3975%15%0
Khalil ShakirBUFWR4869%519%0
Rhamondre StevensonNERB3567%314%6
James CookBUFRB4767%312%22
Dawson KnoxBUFTE4564%415%0
Keon ColemanBUFWR3956%00%0
Tyrell ShaversBUFWR3550%00%0
Stefon DiggsNEWR2650%418%0
TreVeyon HendersonNERB2548%314%14
Jackson HawesBUFTE3144%14%0
Dalton KincaidBUFTE2536%415%0
Brandin CooksBUFWR2434%312%0
Joshua PalmerBUFWR2333%28%0
Austin HooperNETE1631%00%0
Ty JohnsonBUFRB1826%312%4
DeMario DouglasNEWR1019%00%1
Jack WestoverNETE815%00%0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB811%00%0
Kyle WilliamsNEWR510%00%0
Ray DavisBUFRB69%14%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh AllenBUF · QB24.519.5+5.0100%28 att—281130%00%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB31.119.3+11.867%59% car—02259%312%
TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB30.114.2+15.948%56% car—01456%314%
Mack HollinsNE · WR8.113.6−5.579%36% tgt—000%836%
Drake MayeNE · QB21.512.8+8.7100%23 att—23416%00%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB10.79.0+1.767%24% car—0624%314%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR11.58.5+3.069%19% tgt—000%519%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB5.87.7−1.926%12% tgt—0411%312%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE6.46.8−0.436%15% tgt—000%415%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE18.76.8+11.964%15% tgt—000%415%
Stefon DiggsNE · WR5.66.8−1.250%18% tgt—000%418%
Brandin CooksBUF · WR0.05.1−5.134%12% tgt—000%312%
Hunter HenryNE · TE2.85.1−2.387%14% tgt—000%314%
Joshua PalmerBUF · WR2.63.4−0.833%8% tgt—000%28%
Jackson HawesBUF · TE1.91.7+0.244%4% tgt—000%14%
Kayshon BoutteNE · WR4.01.7+2.375%5% tgt—000%15%
Ray DavisBUF · RB2.31.7+0.69%4% tgt—000%14%
DeMario DouglasNE · WR0.50.6−0.119%4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Bills 26 targets and 37 carries; Patriots 22 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Josh Allen Ran hot

BUF · QB · 24.5 pts on 19.5 expected

19 of 28 passing for 193 yards, 3 touchdowns; 11 carries for 48 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 19.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Drake Maye Ran hot

NE · QB · 21.5 pts on 12.8 expected

14 of 23 passing for 155 yards, 1 interception; 4 carries for 43 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Drake Maye →

James Cook III Ran hot

BUF · RB · 31.1 pts on 19.3 expected

3 targets (12% of the team's), 2 catches for 4 yards and 1 touchdown; 22 carries (59% of the team's) for 107 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 19.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Khalil Shakir

BUF · WR · 11.5 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (19% of the team's), 5 catches for 65 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Khalil Shakir →

TreVeyon Henderson Ran hot

NE · RB · 30.1 pts on 14.2 expected

3 targets (14% of the team's), 2 catches for 13 yards; 14 carries (56% of the team's) for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 14.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: TreVeyon Henderson →

Mack Hollins Volume, no payoff

NE · WR · 8.1 pts on 13.6 expected

8 targets (36% of the team's), 4 catches for 41 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Mack Hollins →

Dawson Knox Ran hot

BUF · TE · 18.7 pts on 6.8 expected

4 targets (15% of the team's), 3 catches for 37 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Dawson Knox →

Brandin Cooks Unlucky

BUF · WR · 0.0 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (12% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 5.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Brandin Cooks →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock down: Brandin Cooks played 34% of the snaps, down from a 59% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Bills defense and Patriots defense
Points allowed toBills DPatriots D
QBs13.615.2
RBs24.419.0
WRs25.928.6
TEs7.513.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New England opened at 43% win probability, climbed as high as 98%, then lost.

Patriots win probability

Patriots win probability by game minutePatriots started at 43%, stood at 95% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +21Maye 8-yd TD run43% → 64%Q1 10:21
  2. −27Cook 3-yd TD run89% → 62%Q3 3:49
  3. −47Allen → Knox, 14-yd TD68% → 21%Q4 10:03
  4. +47Henderson 65-yd TD run21% → 68%Q4 9:49
  5. −55Cook 11-yd TD run72% → 17%Q4 6:48

Swing in Patriots win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Bills vs Patriots
Buffalo BillsMeasureNew England Patriots
67Plays51
45%Pass rate51%
6.0Yds / dropback5.3
4.5Yds / carry9.8
8/14Third downs5/10

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 16 more plays and gained 0.7 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • BUF Shakir 19% · Kincaid 15% · Knox 15%
  • NE Hollins 36% · Diggs 18% · Henry 14%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Bills vs Patriots
ResultBUFNE
Touchdowns54
Field goals01
Punts43
Turnovers01
Turnovers on downs01

BUF turnover edge: +1

  • The Patriots opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 73-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Bills drained the clock with two second-half drives of five to seven minutes.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:008734:39Touchdown
BUFQ1 10:21351:14Punt
NEQ1 9:075212:49Punt
BUFQ1 6:183-52:35Punt
NEQ1 3:436503:18Touchdown
BUFQ1 0:258294:55Punt
NEQ2 10:308944:37Touchdown
BUFQ2 5:537423:57Touchdown
NEQ2 1:567471:56Field goal
BUFQ3 15:006443:31Touchdown
NEQ3 11:293-62:11Punt
BUFQ3 9:1811705:29Touchdown
NEQ3 3:497232:19Interception
BUFQ3 1:3013916:27Touchdown
NEQ4 10:031650:14Touchdown
BUFQ4 9:497653:01Touchdown
NEQ4 6:483-71:40Punt
BUFQ4 5:08362:25Punt
NEQ4 2:43450:56Downs
BUFQ4 1:47671:47End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Bills vs Patriots Head-to-Head

The Bills and Patriots first met in 1960 and have played 133 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
80–52–1Patriots lead, 133 meetings since 1960
Postseason
1–1Bills won in 2021; Patriots won in 1963
Largest Bills win
45–101970
Largest Patriots win
56–102007

Since 2021

7–4 Bills lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 4 Patriots at Bills Upcoming
  • Week 13 Bills at Patriots Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Bills vs Patriots
BillsStatPatriots
12-5Record14-3
28.3Points per game28.8
376.3Yards per game379.4
5.9Yards per play6.2
21.5Points allowed per game18.8
293.1Yards allowed per game295.2

Bills vs Patriots Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
BUF −2.5Bills covered by 1.5
Total
49.5Over: 66 points scored (by 16.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Bills26.035+9.0
Patriots23.531+7.5

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 6 meetings: Bills 5–1 ATS, overs 4–2.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread
2–1
Over/under
2–1
ATS as favorite
2–1
ATS on the road
2–0

New England Patriots

Against the spread
1–1
Over/under
2–0
ATS as favorite
1–0
ATS as underdog
0–1
ATS at home
1–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Bills vs Patriots Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 4 in Buffalo and Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Bills vs Patriots Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Bills vs Patriots Week 15 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 35–31 in Week 15 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, on December 14, 2025. See the Bills' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Bills vs Patriots?

The final score was Bills 35, Patriots 31. The Patriots led 24–7 at halftime, and the second half went Bills 28, Patriots 7.

What happened in the Bills vs Patriots game?

Buffalo erased a 24–7 halftime deficit, outscoring New England 28–7 after the break to win 35–31. New England outgained the Bills 385–349. James Cook led all players with 2 catches for 4 yards and a touchdown, plus 22 carries for 107 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. The Patriots committed 1 turnover, the Bills none.

What was the game-winning score in Bills vs Patriots?

James Cook III's 11-yard touchdown run with 6:48 left in the fourth quarter gave the Bills a 35–31 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Bills vs Patriots?

James Cook led the game with 31.1 PPR fantasy points, the RB2 of Week 15, on 2 catches for 4 yards and a touchdown, plus 22 carries for 107 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. TreVeyon Henderson was next with 30.1 (RB3). See James Cook's 2025 game log.

Who led Bills vs Patriots in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 19 of 28 for 193 yards and 3 touchdowns. TreVeyon Henderson (NE) led in rushing with 14 carries for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. Khalil Shakir (BUF) led in receiving with 5 catches for 65 yards.

How many fantasy points did James Cook score against the Patriots?

James Cook scored 31.1 points in PPR leagues, 30.1 in half-PPR and 29.1 in standard scoring against the Patriots in Week 15 of the 2025 season, on 2 catches for 4 yards and a touchdown, plus 22 carries for 107 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Bills vs Patriots?

TreVeyon Henderson outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 30.1 PPR points on 14.2 xFP (+15.9). Mack Hollins fell furthest short, with 8.1 points on 13.6 xFP (−5.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Bills come back to beat the Patriots?

The Bills' chances of winning fell as low as 2% in the first half. James Cook III's 11-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. James Cook III's 11-yard touchdown run then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Bills vs Patriots record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 80–52–1 across 133 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Bills and Patriots last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on October 5, 2025, when the Patriots beat the Bills 23–20.

Have the Bills and Patriots met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Bills are 1–1 against the Patriots in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Bills vs Patriots?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −2.5, making the Buffalo Bills 2.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 49.5. That implied about 26.0 points for the Bills and 23.5 for the Patriots.

Did Bills vs Patriots go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 49.5, and the teams combined for 66 points, 16.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Bills vs Patriots?

The Bills covered by 1.5 against the closing line of Bills −2.5. The final margin was 4 points.