Final2024 Week 10

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts

Buffalo Bills

AwayWon

30

Indianapolis Colts

Home

20

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bills101001030
Colts3100720

BUF 30IND 20 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    20.2PPR pts

    22/37, 280 YDS, 2 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Alec Pierce

    IND · WR

    18.1PPR pts

    4 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD

  • Colts leader

    Jonathan Taylor

    IND · RB

    14.2PPR pts

    21 ATT, 114 YDS, 2 REC, 8 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Taron Johnson

    BUF

    1 INT, 1 TD, 1 SACK, 3 TKL

Bills 30, Colts 20: Buffalo beats Indianapolis

Buffalo led 20–13 at halftime and outscored Indianapolis 10–7 after the break to win 30–20. The Bills finished with a 415–361 edge in total offense.

The Colts went 4-for-11 on third down and committed four turnovers, while the Bills kept the ball for 32:08.

Key advantages

  • +2 turnover margin BUF 2 · IND 4 turnovers
  • +54 total yards BUF 415 · IND 361
  • +14% third-down rate BUF 50% · IND 36%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Bills vs Colts
BillsStatColts
2Turnovers4
415Total yards361
50%Third-down conversion36%
Other team stats
5.9Yards per play5.9
70Plays61
32:08Time of possession27:52

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored three touchdowns and three field goals; the Colts scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Bills vs Colts
TimeTeamPlayBUFIND
1st quarter
12:14BUFTaron Johnson 23-yard interception return TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP70
5:33BUFTyler Bass 29-yard FG Extends lead100
3:31INDMatt Gay 27-yard FG103
2nd quarter
9:22INDJoe Flacco → Tyler Goodson, 2-yard TD Ties gameMatt Gay XP1010
6:32INDMatt Gay 23-yard FG Takes lead1013
2:14BUFJosh Allen 13-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP1713
0:00BUFTyler Bass 47-yard FG Extends lead2013
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
10:58BUFTyler Bass 28-yard FG Extends lead2313
3:04BUFJames Cook 2-yard TD run Extends leadTyler Bass XP3013
0:02INDJoe Flacco → Alec Pierce, 10-yard TDMatt Gay XP3020

Fantasy Points: Bills vs Colts, Week 10 2024

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB20.2 PTSQB7
  2. Alec PierceINDWR18.1 PTSWR9
  3. James CookBUFRB15.5 PTSRB12
  4. Jonathan TaylorINDRB14.2 PTSRB14

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB20.2QB722/3728002850160.6Start/Sit →
Joe FlaccoINDQB13.9QB1426/3527223———79.7Start/Sit →
Mitchell TrubiskyBUFQB-0.1—————1-10—Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Alec PierceINDWR18.1WR9WR———74811
James CookBUFRB15.5RB12RB198013150
Jonathan TaylorINDRB14.2RB14RB2111404280Start/Sit →
Josh DownsINDWR14.2WR20WR———107720Start/Sit →
Adonai MitchellINDWR13.1WR22WR———66710Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsBUFWR12.6WR23WR———44860Start/Sit →
Khalil ShakirBUFWR11.8WR25WR———96580Start/Sit →
Tyler GoodsonINDRB8.9RB26RB———3291Start/Sit →
Curtis SamuelBUFWR7.5WR45WR———84350
Ty JohnsonBUFRB6.2RB35RB———33320Start/Sit →
Dawson KnoxBUFTE6.0TE24TE———32400Start/Sit →
Dalton KincaidBUFTE4.4TE28TE———52240Start/Sit →
Kylen GransonINDTE3.5TE34TE———22150Start/Sit →
Will MalloryINDTE2.0TE39TE———11100
Trey SermonINDRB1.4RB57RB———1140
Drew OgletreeINDTE1.2TE47TE———1120Start/Sit →
Ashton DulinINDWR0.7WR99WR170————Start/Sit →
Ray DavisBUFRB0.6RB62RB360————Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Curtis SamuelWR66 snaps89%
  2. Mack HollinsWR65 snaps88%
  3. Khalil ShakirWR53 snaps72%
  4. Dawson KnoxTE52 snaps70%
  5. James CookRB41 snaps55%

Target Share35 targets

  1. Khalil Shakir26%, 9 targets
  2. Curtis Samuel23%, 8 targets
  3. Dalton Kincaid14%, 5 targets
  4. Mack Hollins11%, 4 targets
  5. Dawson Knox9%, 3 targets
  6. Other17%, 6 targets

Carry Share31 carries

  1. James Cook61%, 19 carries
  2. Josh Allen26%, 8 carries
  3. Ray Davis10%, 3 carries
  4. Mitchell Trubisky3%, 1 carries

Indianapolis Colts

Snap Share

  1. Adonai MitchellWR60 snaps94%
  2. Alec PierceWR55 snaps86%
  3. Jonathan TaylorRB53 snaps83%
  4. Josh DownsWR44 snaps69%
  5. Mo Alie-CoxTE27 snaps42%

Target Share35 targets

  1. Josh Downs29%, 10 targets
  2. Alec Pierce20%, 7 targets
  3. Adonai Mitchell17%, 6 targets
  4. Jonathan Taylor11%, 4 targets
  5. Tyler Goodson9%, 3 targets
  6. Other14%, 5 targets

Carry Share22 carries

  1. Jonathan Taylor95%, 21 carries
  2. Ashton Dulin5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Adonai MitchellINDWR6094%617%0
Curtis SamuelBUFWR6689%823%0
Mack HollinsBUFWR6588%411%0
Alec PierceINDWR5586%720%0
Jonathan TaylorINDRB5383%411%21
Khalil ShakirBUFWR5372%926%0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE5270%39%0
Josh DownsINDWR4469%1029%0
James CookBUFRB4155%39%19
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE2742%00%0
Kylen GransonINDTE2438%26%0
Quintin MorrisBUFTE2635%00%0
Drew OgletreeINDTE2234%13%0
Ty JohnsonBUFRB2230%39%0
Dalton KincaidBUFTE1824%514%0
Ashton DulinINDWR1219%00%1
Will MalloryINDTE1219%13%0
Ray DavisBUFRB1115%00%3
Tyler GoodsonINDRB914%39%0
Tyrell ShaversBUFWR68%00%0
Jalen VirgilBUFWR45%00%0
Trey SermonINDRB23%13%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh AllenBUF · QB20.221.7−1.599%37 att—37826%00%
Jonathan TaylorIND · RB14.220.5−6.383%95% car—02195%411%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB15.517.5−2.055%61% car—01961%39%
Josh DownsIND · WR14.217.1−2.969%29% tgt—000%1029%
Joe FlaccoIND · QB13.915.6−1.7100%35 att—3500%00%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR11.815.4−3.672%26% tgt—000%926%
Curtis SamuelBUF · WR7.513.7−6.289%23% tgt—000%823%
Alec PierceIND · WR18.112.0+6.186%20% tgt—000%720%
Adonai MitchellIND · WR13.110.3+2.894%17% tgt—000%617%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE4.48.6−4.224%14% tgt—000%514%
Mack HollinsBUF · WR12.66.9+5.788%11% tgt—000%411%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE6.05.1+0.970%9% tgt—000%39%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB6.25.1+1.130%9% tgt—000%39%
Tyler GoodsonIND · RB8.95.1+3.814%9% tgt—000%39%
Kylen GransonIND · TE3.53.4+0.138%6% tgt—000%26%
Ray DavisBUF · RB0.62.0−1.415%10% car—0310%00%
Drew OgletreeIND · TE1.21.7−0.534%3% tgt—000%13%
Trey SermonIND · RB1.41.7−0.33%3% tgt—000%13%
Will MalloryIND · TE2.01.7+0.319%3% tgt—000%13%
Ashton DulinIND · WR0.70.70.019%5% car—015%00%
Mitchell TrubiskyBUF · QB-0.10.7−0.81%0 att—013%00%

Team totals: Bills 35 targets and 31 carries; Colts 35 targets and 22 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2024 season: 1.71 PPR points per target (68% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · 20.2 pts on 21.7 expected

22 of 37 passing for 280 yards, 2 interceptions; 8 carries for 50 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Joe Flacco

IND · QB · 13.9 pts on 15.6 expected

26 of 35 passing for 272 yards, 2 touchdowns, 3 interceptions.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Joe Flacco →

James Cook III Volume, no payoff

BUF · RB · 15.5 pts on 17.5 expected

3 targets (9% of the team's), 1 catch for 5 yards; 19 carries (61% of the team's) for 80 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.5 expected.

Khalil Shakir

BUF · WR · 11.8 pts on 15.4 expected

9 targets (26% of the team's), 6 catches for 58 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Khalil Shakir →

Jonathan Taylor Volume, no payoff

IND · RB · 14.2 pts on 20.5 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 2 catches for 8 yards; 21 carries (95% of the team's) for 114 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Jonathan Taylor →

Josh Downs

IND · WR · 14.2 pts on 17.1 expected

10 targets (29% of the team's), 7 catches for 72 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.1 expected.

Start/Sit: Josh Downs →

Curtis Samuel Unlucky

BUF · WR · 7.5 pts on 13.7 expected

8 targets (23% of the team's), 4 catches for 35 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Alec Pierce Ran hot

IND · WR · 18.1 pts on 12.0 expected

7 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 81 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Curtis Samuel played 89% of the snaps, up from a 30% season average.
  • Stock up: Mack Hollins played 88% of the snaps, up from a 64% season average.
  • Stock down: Dalton Kincaid played 24% of the snaps, down from a 65% season average.

Indianapolis Colts

  • Stock up: Adonai Mitchell played 94% of the snaps, up from a 28% season average.
  • Stock down: Trey Sermon played 3% of the snaps, down from a 31% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2024 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Bills defense and Colts defense
Points allowed toBills DColts D
QBs16.518.0
RBs24.223.8
WRs33.233.1
TEs12.014.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Indianapolis opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Colts win probability

Colts win probability by game minuteColts started at 50%, stood at 23% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −20Johnson 23-yd pick-six50% → 30%Q1 12:14
  2. +24Flacco → Goodson, 2-yd TD26% → 50%Q2 9:22
  3. +11Gay 23-yd FG50% → 61%Q2 6:32
  4. −28Allen 13-yd TD run62% → 34%Q2 2:14
  5. −11Bass 47-yd FG34% → 23%Q2 0:00

Swing in Colts win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Bills vs Colts
Buffalo BillsMeasureIndianapolis Colts
70Plays61
56%Pass rate64%
7.2Yds / dropback6.2
4.4Yds / carry5.5
7/14Third downs4/11

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 9 more plays and gained 1.0 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • BUF Shakir 26% · Samuel 23% · Kincaid 14%
  • IND Downs 29% · Pierce 20% · Mitchell 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Bills vs Colts
ResultBUFIND
Touchdowns22
Field goals32
Punts22
Turnovers24
Turnovers on downs11

BUF turnover edge: +2

  • The Bills opened the scoring on their second possession, a 9-play, 42-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Bills drained the clock with two second-half drives of six to seven minutes.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BUFQ1 15:004212:36Punt
INDQ1 12:24100:10Interception
INDQ1 12:147333:08Interception
BUFQ1 9:069423:33Field goal
INDQ1 5:336612:02Field goal
BUFQ1 3:318423:23Downs
INDQ1 0:0811725:46Touchdown
BUFQ2 9:22100:10Interception
INDQ2 9:125282:40Field goal
BUFQ2 6:328704:18Touchdown
INDQ2 2:14341:04Punt
BUFQ2 1:108601:10Field goal
INDQ3 15:00322:12Punt
BUFQ3 12:487133:20Punt
INDQ3 9:287483:52Fumble
BUFQ3 5:36100:07Interception
INDQ3 5:297102:44Downs
BUFQ3 2:4513606:47Field goal
INDQ4 10:583251:12Interception
BUFQ4 9:4613846:42Touchdown
INDQ4 3:0410703:02Touchdown
BUFQ4 0:021-10:02End of game
About these numbers

The Bills' interception touchdown is counted as a Colts interception, not as a Bills possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Bills vs Colts Head-to-Head

The Bills and Colts first met in 1970 and have played 73 times since.

All-time series
39–33–1Bills lead, 73 meetings since 1970
Postseason
1–0Bills won in 2020
Largest Bills win
38–01992
Largest Colts win
43–01971

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, C = Colts win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2024 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Bills vs Colts
BillsStatColts
13-4Record8-9
30.9Points per game22.2
359.1Yards per game334.8
6.0Yards per play5.5
21.6Points allowed per game25.1
341.5Yards allowed per game361.2

Bills and Colts in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Bill or a Colt, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2024 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Bills vs Colts Game FAQ

Who won the 2024 Bills vs Colts Week 10 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Indianapolis Colts 30–20 in Week 10 of the 2024 season. The game was played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, on November 10, 2024. See the Bills' 2024 schedule.

What was the final score of Bills vs Colts?

The final score was Bills 30, Colts 20. The Bills led 20–13 at halftime, and the second half went Bills 10, Colts 7.

What happened in the Bills vs Colts game?

Buffalo led 20–13 at halftime and outscored Indianapolis 10–7 after the break to win 30–20. The Bills finished with a 415–361 edge in total offense. Josh Allen led all players with 22 of 37 passing for 280 yards, plus 8 carries for 50 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Colts committed 4 turnovers, the Bills 2.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Bills vs Colts?

Josh Allen led the game with 20.2 PPR fantasy points, the QB7 of Week 10, on 22 of 37 passing for 280 yards, plus 8 carries for 50 rushing yards and a touchdown. Alec Pierce was next with 18.1 (WR9). See Josh Allen's 2024 game log.

Who led Bills vs Colts in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 22 of 37 for 280 yards and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor (IND) led in rushing with 21 carries for 114 yards. Mack Hollins (BUF) led in receiving with 4 catches for 86 yards.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Colts?

Josh Allen scored 20.2 fantasy points against the Colts in Week 10 of the 2024 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 22 of 37 passing for 280 yards, plus 8 carries for 50 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Bills vs Colts?

Alec Pierce outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 18.1 PPR points on 12.0 xFP (+6.1). Jonathan Taylor fell furthest short, with 14.2 points on 20.5 xFP (−6.3). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Bills vs Colts?

Josh Allen had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 21.7 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 20.2. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Colts?

The Bills beat the Colts 30–20 because they won the turnover battle 4–2 and outgained them 415–361.

Which team won the turnover battle in Bills vs Colts?

The Bills won the turnover battle 4–2: the Colts gave the ball away 4 times and the Bills 2 times. The Bills won the game.

What was the turning point of Bills vs Colts?

Josh Allen's 13-yard touchdown run with 2:14 left in the second quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Colts' win probability from 62% to 34%.

What is the all-time Bills vs Colts record?

The Bills lead the all-time series 39–33–1 across 73 meetings since 1970, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

When did the Bills and Colts last play before this game?

Before Week 10 of 2024, they last met in the 2021 season on November 21, 2021, when the Colts beat the Bills 41–15.

Have the Bills and Colts met in the playoffs?

Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 2020 playoffs. The Bills are 1–0 against the Colts in the postseason.

What is the Bills vs Colts record since 2021?

The series is tied 1–1 across 2 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.