Patriots vs Colts Week 15 2021: Final Score 27

Final2021 Week 15

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, INSat, Dec 18, 2021, 8:15 PM ET

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts, Week 15 2021

New England Patriots

Away

Indianapolis Colts

HomeWon

Scoring by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Patriots	0	0	0	17	17
Colts	14	3	3	7	27

NE 17IND 27 Final

Passing leader
Mac Jones
NE · QB
19.2PPR pts
26/45, 299 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
Top fantasy scorer
Hunter Henry
NE · TE
25.7PPR pts
6 REC, 77 YDS, 2 TD
Patriots leader
Jakobi Meyers
NE · WR
11.3PPR pts
6 REC, 44 YDS
Defensive playmaker
E.J. Speed
IND
1 TD, 2 TKL

Colts 27, Patriots 17: Indianapolis beats New England

Indianapolis led 17–0 at halftime and won 27–17, though New England took the second half 17–10. New England outgained the Colts 365–275.

New England didn't get on the board until the fourth quarter.

The Patriots went 6-for-15 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

+1 turnover margin IND 1 · NE 2 turnovers
+0:44 time of possession IND 30:22 · NE 29:38

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Colts Won

Indianapolis won the turnover and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Colts
Patriots	Stat	Colts
2	Turnovers	1

29:38	Time of possession	30:22

Other team stats
365	Total yards	275

5.6	Yards per play	5.3

65	Plays	52

40%	Third-down conversion	20%

Scoring Summary

The Colts scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Patriots scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Colts
Time	Team	Play	NE	IND
1st quarter
3:53	IND	Carson Wentz → Nyheim Hines, 8-yard TD Takes leadMichael Badgley XP	0	7
0:14	IND	E.J. Speed 0-yard TD Extends leadMichael Badgley XP	0	14
2nd quarter
4:31	IND	Michael Badgley 25-yard FG Extends lead	0	17
3rd quarter
11:49	IND	Michael Badgley 41-yard FG Extends lead	0	20
4th quarter
14:55	NE	Mac Jones → Hunter Henry, 12-yard TDNick Folk XP	7	20
8:57	NE	Nick Folk 25-yard FG	10	20
2:21	NE	Mac Jones → Hunter Henry, 7-yard TDNick Folk XP	17	20
2:01	IND	Jonathan Taylor 67-yard TD run Extends leadMichael Badgley XP	17	27

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Colts, Week 15 2021

Fantasy leaders

Hunter HenryNETE25.7 PTSTE3
Jonathan TaylorINDRB23.0 PTSRB2
Mac JonesNEQB19.2 PTSQB9
Jakobi MeyersNEWR11.3 PTSWR25

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
Player	FPTS	FIN	CMP/ATT	Pass YDS	TD	INT	Rush ATT	Rush YDS	Rush TD	Rate	Start/Sit
Mac JonesNEQB	19.2	QB9	26/45	299	2	2	1	12	0	74.2	Start/Sit →
Carson WentzINDQB	7.0	QB26	5/12	57	1	1	8	17	0	49.7	Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
Player	FPTS	FIN	POS	Rush ATT	Rush YDS	Rush TD	TGT	REC	Rec YDS	Rec TD	Start/Sit
Hunter HenryNETE	25.7	TE3	TE	—	—	—	8	6	77	2	Start/Sit →
Jonathan TaylorINDRB	23.0	RB2	RB	29	170	1	—	—	—	—	Start/Sit →
Jakobi MeyersNEWR	11.3	WR25	WR	1	9	0	12	6	44	0	Start/Sit →
Kendrick BourneNEWR	9.3	WR33	WR	2	19	0	3	3	44	0	Start/Sit →
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB	7.8	RB32	RB	—	—	—	2	1	8	1
Brandon BoldenNERB	7.4	RB33	RB	4	3	0	5	3	41	0
Nelson AgholorNEWR	7.4	WR49	WR	—	—	—	6	4	34	0
N'Keal HarryNETE	7.2	TE22	TE	—	—	—	5	2	52	0
Rhamondre StevensonNERB	4.0	RB54	RB	10	36	0	1	1	4	0	Start/Sit →
Ashton DulinINDWR	3.9	WR73	WR	2	39	0	—	—	—	—	Start/Sit →
Zach PascalINDWR	3.3	WR81	WR	—	—	—	2	1	23	0
T.Y. HiltonINDWR	2.9	WR85	WR	—	—	—	1	1	19	0
Michael PittmanINDWR	1.7	WR102	WR	—	—	—	5	1	7	0
Jonnu SmithNETE	1.5	TE51	TE	1	2	0	3	1	3	0	Start/Sit →
Jack DoyleINDTE	1.0	TE59	TE	—	—	—	1	1	0	0
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE	0.0	—	TE	—	—	—	1	0	0	0	Start/Sit →
Gunner OlszewskiNEWR	-1.0	—	WR	—	—	—	1	0	0	0

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

Jakobi MeyersWR64 snaps94%
Hunter HenryTE55 snaps81%
Kendrick BourneWR48 snaps71%
Brandon BoldenRB38 snaps56%
N'Keal HarryTE36 snaps53%

Target Share44 targets

Jakobi Meyers27%, 12 targets
Hunter Henry18%, 8 targets
Nelson Agholor14%, 6 targets
Brandon Bolden11%, 5 targets
N'Keal Harry11%, 5 targets
Other18%, 8 targets

Carry Share19 carries

Rhamondre Stevenson53%, 10 carries
Brandon Bolden21%, 4 carries
Kendrick Bourne11%, 2 carries
Jonnu Smith5%, 1 carries
Jakobi Meyers5%, 1 carries
Other5%, 1 carries

Indianapolis Colts

Snap Share

Jonathan TaylorRB51 snaps98%
Jack DoyleTE41 snaps79%
Mo Alie-CoxTE40 snaps77%
Zach PascalWR34 snaps65%
Ashton DulinWR28 snaps54%

Target Share12 targets

Michael Pittman42%, 5 targets
Zach Pascal17%, 2 targets
Nyheim Miller-Hines17%, 2 targets
T.Y. Hilton8%, 1 targets
Jack Doyle8%, 1 targets
Other8%, 1 targets

Carry Share39 carries

Jonathan Taylor74%, 29 carries
Carson Wentz21%, 8 carries
Ashton Dulin5%, 2 carries

View full usage tableHide full usage table

Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
Player	SNAPS	SNAP %	TGT	TGT %	CAR
Jonathan TaylorINDRB	51	98%	0	0%	29
Jakobi MeyersNEWR	64	94%	12	27%	1
Hunter HenryNETE	55	81%	8	18%	0
Jack DoyleINDTE	41	79%	1	8%	0
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE	40	77%	1	8%	0
Kendrick BourneNEWR	48	71%	3	7%	2
Zach PascalINDWR	34	65%	2	17%	0
Brandon BoldenNERB	38	56%	5	11%	4
Ashton DulinINDWR	28	54%	0	0%	2
Michael PittmanINDWR	28	54%	5	42%	0
N'Keal HarryNETE	36	53%	5	11%	0
Nelson AgholorNEWR	32	47%	6	14%	0
Rhamondre StevensonNERB	31	46%	1	2%	10
T.Y. HiltonINDWR	14	27%	1	8%	0
Jonnu SmithNETE	17	25%	3	7%	1
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB	10	19%	2	17%	0
Kylen GransonINDTE	10	19%	0	0%	0
Gunner OlszewskiNEWR	3	4%	1	2%	0
Dezmon PatmonINDWR	1	2%	0	0%	0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

PPRHalf PPRStandard

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Biggest overperformer+12.2Hunter Henry25.7 PTS vs 13.5 xFP
Biggest underperformer−9.6Jakobi Meyers11.3 PTS vs 20.9 xFP
Highest expected volume20.9 xFPJakobi Meyers11.3 PTS scored

Usage and expected fantasy points
Player	PTS	xFP	vs xFP	Snap%	Usage	Rte%	Pass att	Car	Car%	Tgt	Tgt%
Jakobi MeyersNE · WR	11.3	20.9	−9.6	94%	27% tgt	—	0	1	5%	12	27%
Mac JonesNE · QB	19.2	20.4	−1.2	100%	45 att	—	45	1	5%	0	0%
Jonathan TaylorIND · RB	23.0	18.6	+4.4	98%	74% car	—	0	29	74%	0	0%
Hunter HenryNE · TE	25.7	13.5	+12.2	81%	18% tgt	—	0	0	0%	8	18%
Brandon BoldenNE · RB	7.4	11.0	−3.6	56%	21% car	—	0	4	21%	5	11%
Carson WentzIND · QB	7.0	10.4	−3.4	100%	12 att	—	12	8	21%	0	0%
Nelson AgholorNE · WR	7.4	10.1	−2.7	47%	14% tgt	—	0	0	0%	6	14%
Michael Pittman Jr.IND · WR	1.7	8.4	−6.7	54%	42% tgt	—	0	0	0%	5	42%
N'Keal HarryNE · TE	7.2	8.4	−1.2	53%	11% tgt	—	0	0	0%	5	11%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB	5.0	8.1	−3.1	46%	53% car	—	0	10	53%	1	2%
Kendrick BourneNE · WR	9.3	6.3	+3.0	71%	11% car	—	0	2	11%	3	7%
Jonnu SmithNE · TE	1.5	5.7	−4.2	25%	7% tgt	—	0	1	5%	3	7%
Nyheim HinesIND · —	7.8	3.4	+4.4	—	17% tgt	—	0	0	0%	2	17%
Zach PascalIND · WR	3.3	3.4	−0.1	65%	17% tgt	—	0	0	0%	2	17%
Gunner OlszewskiNE · WR	0.0	1.7	−1.7	4%	2% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	2%
Jack DoyleIND · TE	1.0	1.7	−0.7	79%	8% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	8%
Mo Alie-CoxIND · TE	0.0	1.7	−1.7	77%	8% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	8%
T.Y. HiltonIND · WR	2.9	1.7	+1.2	27%	8% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	8%
Ashton DulinIND · WR	3.9	1.3	+2.6	54%	5% car	—	0	2	5%	0	0%

Team totals: Patriots 44 targets and 19 carries; Colts 12 targets and 39 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Mac Jones

NE · QB · 19.2 pts on 20.4 expected

26 of 45 passing for 299 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 1 carry for 12 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Mac Jones →

Carson Wentz

IND · QB · 7.0 pts on 10.4 expected

5 of 12 passing for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 8 carries for 17 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.4 expected.

Lowest-scoring game of the season.

Start/Sit: Carson Wentz →

Jakobi Meyers Unlucky

NE · WR · 11.3 pts on 20.9 expected

12 targets (27% of the team's), 6 catches for 44 yards; 1 carry (5% of the team's) for 9 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.9 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Jakobi Meyers →

Hunter Henry Ran hot

NE · TE · 25.7 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (18% of the team's), 6 catches for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Best fantasy game of the season.

Start/Sit: Hunter Henry →

Jonathan Taylor Strong role

IND · RB · 23.0 pts on 18.6 expected

29 carries (74% of the team's) for 170 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.6 expected.

A touchdown in 8 of the last 8 games.

Start/Sit: Jonathan Taylor →

Michael Pittman Jr. Volume, no payoff

IND · WR · 1.7 pts on 8.4 expected

5 targets (42% of the team's), 1 catch for 7 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 8.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Lowest-scoring game of the season.

Brandon Bolden

NE · RB · 7.4 pts on 11.0 expected

5 targets (11% of the team's), 3 catches for 41 yards; 4 carries (21% of the team's) for 3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.0 expected.

Kendrick Bourne

NE · WR · 9.3 pts on 6.3 expected

3 targets (7% of the team's), 3 catches for 44 yards; 2 carries (11% of the team's) for 19 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 6.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Kendrick Bourne →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New England Patriots

Stock up: Brandon Bolden led the backfield with 56% of the snaps after trailing Rhamondre Stevenson before this game.
Stock up: Hunter Henry played 81% of the snaps, up from a 66% season average.
Stock up: Kendrick Bourne played 71% of the snaps, up from a 49% season average.

Indianapolis Colts

Stock up: Jonathan Taylor played 98% of the snaps, up from a 65% season average.
Stock up: Jack Doyle played 79% of the snaps, up from a 63% season average.
Stock up: Mo Alie-Cox played 77% of the snaps, up from a 52% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Colts defense
Points allowed to	Patriots D	Colts D
QBs	13.4	16.6
RBs	21.5	19.5
WRs	28.7	32.8
TEs	6.9	14.4

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Indianapolis opened at 54% win probability and passed 98% in the third quarter on the way to the win.

Colts win probability

Key Swings

+21Wentz → Hines, 8-yd TD54% → 75%Q1 3:53
+15Speed 0-yd TD76% → 90%Q1 0:14
+3Badgley 25-yd FG93% → 96%Q2 4:31
−13Jones → Henry, 7-yd TD>99% → 87%Q4 2:21
+11Taylor 67-yd TD run89% → >99%Q4 2:01

Swing in Colts win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Colts
New England Patriots	Measure	Indianapolis Colts
65	Plays	52
71%	Pass rate	25%
6.2	Yds / dropback	3.8
4.3	Yds / carry	5.8
6/15	Third downs	2/10

Efficiency edge Indianapolis ran 13 fewer plays but gained 1.5 more yards per carry.

Top targets
NE Meyers 27% · Henry 18% · Agholor 14%
IND Pittman 42% · Hines 17% · Pascal 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Colts
Result	NE	IND
Touchdowns	2	2
Field goals	1	2
Punts	3	2
Turnovers	2	1
Turnovers on downs	2	0
Missed field goals	0	1

IND turnover edge: +1

The Colts opened the scoring on their second possession, a 8-play, 78-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.

All 20 possessions, drive by drive

Drive chart
Team	Start	Plays	Yards	Time	Result
IND	Q1 15:00	3	7	1:07	Punt
NE	Q1 13:53	7	10	5:02	Punt
IND	Q1 8:51	8	78	4:58	Touchdown
NE	Q1 3:53	6	12	3:39	Punt
NE	Q1 0:14	3	6	1:46	Punt
IND	Q2 13:28	14	58	8:57	Field goal
NE	Q2 4:31	7	60	2:48	Interception
IND	Q2 1:43	3	17	1:43	End of half
NE	Q3 15:00	3	9	1:22	Interception
IND	Q3 13:38	4	-3	1:49	Field goal
NE	Q3 11:49	6	22	3:37	Downs
IND	Q3 8:12	8	16	3:39	Missed FG
NE	Q3 4:33	9	61	4:38	Touchdown
IND	Q4 14:55	3	21	1:30	Interception
NE	Q4 13:25	12	46	4:28	Field goal
IND	Q4 8:57	8	19	5:09	Punt
NE	Q4 3:48	7	82	1:27	Touchdown
IND	Q4 2:21	2	69	0:20	Touchdown
NE	Q4 2:01	6	25	0:51	Downs
IND	Q4 1:10	2	-2	1:10	End of game

About these numbers

The Colts' return touchdown is counted as a Patriots possession, not as a Colts possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Colts Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Colts first met in 1970 and have played 85 times since.

All-time series: 53–32Patriots lead, 85 meetings since 1970
Postseason: 4–1Split 4–1
Largest Patriots win: 42–31974
Largest Colts win: 31–01972

Since 2021

3–1 Colts lead

4 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. C = Colts win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

2024 Wk 13 Colts at Patriots, 2024 Wk 13 recap Sun, Dec 1, 2024 IND 25 NE 24 IND W
2023 Wk 10 Colts vs Patriots, 2023 Wk 10 recap Sun, Nov 12, 2023 IND 10 NE 6 IND W
2022 Wk 9 Colts at Patriots, 2022 Wk 9 recap Sun, Nov 6, 2022 NE 26 IND 3 NE W
2021 Wk 15 Patriots at Colts Sat, Dec 18, 2021 IND 27 NE 17 IND W

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Colts
Patriots	Stat	Colts
10-7	Record	9-8

27.2	Points per game	26.5

353.4	Yards per game	347.1

5.7	Yards per play	5.6

17.8	Points allowed per game	21.5

310.8	Yards allowed per game	343.2

Patriots vs Colts Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread: IND −1.5Colts covered by 8.5
Total: 46.5Under: 44 points scored (by 2.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
Team	Implied	Actual	Difference
Colts	24.0	27	+3.0
Patriots	22.5	17	−5.5

The Colts beat their implied total and the Patriots fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New England Patriots

Against the spread: 9–5
Over/under: 6–8
ATS as favorite: 6–3
ATS as underdog: 3–2
ATS on the road: 5–2

Indianapolis Colts

Against the spread: 9–5
Over/under: 8–6
ATS as favorite: 4–2
ATS as underdog: 5–3
ATS at home: 4–4

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Patriots and Colts in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Patriot or a Colt, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Colts Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Patriots vs Colts Week 15 game?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the New England Patriots 27–17 in Week 15 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, on December 18, 2021. See the Colts' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Colts?

The final score was Colts 27, Patriots 17. The Colts led 17–0 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 17, Colts 10.

What happened in the Patriots vs Colts game?

Indianapolis led 17–0 at halftime and won 27–17, though New England took the second half 17–10. New England outgained the Colts 365–275. Hunter Henry led all players with 6 catches for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Patriots committed 2 turnovers, the Colts 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Colts?

Hunter Henry led the game with 25.7 PPR fantasy points, the TE3 of Week 15, on 6 catches for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor was next with 23.0 (RB2). See Hunter Henry's 2021 game log.

Who led Patriots vs Colts in passing, rushing and receiving?

Mac Jones (NE) led all passers with 26 of 45 for 299 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor (IND) led in rushing with 29 carries for 170 yards and a touchdown. Hunter Henry (NE) led in receiving with 6 catches for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Hunter Henry score against the Colts?

Hunter Henry scored 25.7 points in PPR leagues, 22.7 in half-PPR and 19.7 in standard scoring against the Colts in Week 15 of the 2021 season, on 6 catches for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Colts?

Hunter Henry outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 25.7 PPR points on 13.5 xFP (+12.2). Jakobi Meyers fell furthest short, with 11.3 points on 20.9 xFP (−9.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Colts beat the Patriots?

The Colts beat the Patriots 27–17 because they won the turnover battle 2–1.

Which team won the turnover battle in Patriots vs Colts?

The Colts won the turnover battle 2–1: the Patriots gave the ball away 2 times and the Colts 1 time. The Colts won the game.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Colts record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 53–32 across 85 meetings since 1970, including a 4–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Patriots and Colts last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2021, they last met in the 2018 season on October 4, 2018, when the Patriots beat the Colts 38–24.

Have the Patriots and Colts met in the playoffs?

Yes, 5 times, most recently in the 2014 playoffs. The Patriots are 4–1 against the Colts in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Colts?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Colts −1.5, making the Indianapolis Colts 1.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 46.5. That implied about 24.0 points for the Colts and 22.5 for the Patriots.

Did Patriots vs Colts go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 46.5, and the teams combined for 44 points, 2.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Colts?

The Colts covered by 8.5 against the closing line of Colts −1.5. The final margin was 10 points.