Final2024 Week 18

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots, Week 18 2024

Buffalo Bills

Away

16

New England Patriots

HomeWon

23

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bills0106016
Patriots773623

BUF 16NE 23 Final

  • Passing leader

    Joe Milton III

    NE · QB

    19.2PPR pts

    22/29, 241 YDS, 1 TD, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Kayshon Boutte

    NE · WR

    24.7PPR pts

    7 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD

  • Bills leader

    Ray Davis

    BUF · RB

    14.5PPR pts

    15 ATT, 64 YDS, 2 REC, 1 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Von Miller

    BUF

    1 SACK, 1 TKL

Patriots 23, Bills 16: New England beats Buffalo

New England led 14–10 at halftime and outscored Buffalo 9–6 after the break to win 23–16. The Patriots finished with a 309–259 edge in total offense and averaged 5.1 yards per play.

The Bills went 6-for-15 on third down.

The two teams meet again in Week 4 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +1.1 yards/play NE 5.1 · BUF 4.0
  • +50 total yards NE 309 · BUF 259
  • +2:28 time of possession NE 31:14 · BUF 28:46

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Bill or Patriot on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Patriots Won

New England won the efficiency and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Bills vs Patriots
BillsStatPatriots
4.0Yards per play5.1
259Total yards309
28:46Time of possession31:14
Other team stats
65Plays61
0Turnovers1
40%Third-down conversion33%

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored two touchdowns and three field goals; the Bills scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Bills vs Patriots
TimeTeamPlayBUFNE
1st quarter
4:25NEJoe Milton III 1-yard TD run Takes leadJoey Slye XP07
2nd quarter
12:09BUFMitchell Trubisky → Ray Davis, 2-yard TD Ties gameTyler Bass XP77
9:10NEJoe Milton III → Kayshon Boutte, 48-yard TD Takes leadJoey Slye XP714
4:39BUFTyler Bass 49-yard FG1014
3rd quarter
7:56BUFJames Cook 1-yard TD run Takes leadXP missed1614
1:00NEJoey Slye 41-yard FG Takes lead1617
4th quarter
8:53NEJoey Slye 42-yard FG Extends lead1620
1:55NEJoey Slye 50-yard FG Extends lead1623

Fantasy Points: Bills vs Patriots, Week 18 2024

Fantasy leaders

  1. Kayshon BoutteNEWR24.7 PTSWR5
  2. Joe MiltonNEQB19.2 PTSQB13
  3. Ray DavisBUFRB14.5 PTSRB14
  4. Curtis SamuelBUFWR12.2 PTSWR36

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Joe MiltonNEQB19.2QB1322/292411010161111.4
Mitchell TrubiskyBUFQB9.2QB2615/2110110412097.5Start/Sit →
Mike WhiteBUFQB1.1QB373/112800———39.6
Drake MayeNEQB0.0—0/1000———39.6Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Kayshon BoutteNEWR24.7WR5WR———771171Start/Sit →
Ray DavisBUFRB14.5RB14RB156403211Start/Sit →
Curtis SamuelBUFWR12.2WR36WR———87520
Antonio GibsonNERB10.1RB26RB1241064200
James CookBUFRB8.8RB33RB10281————
Austin HooperNETE6.7TE25TE———64270Start/Sit →
DeMario DouglasNEWR6.4WR66WR———43340Start/Sit →
Keon ColemanBUFWR6.0WR69WR190102310Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsBUFWR5.5WR71WR———43250Start/Sit →
Quintin MorrisBUFTE5.0TE33TE———43200Start/Sit →
Kendrick BourneNEWR3.2WR92WR———22120Start/Sit →
Jaheim BellNETE2.9TE48TE———11190
Ty JohnsonBUFRB2.3RB63RB21302100Start/Sit →
Javon BakerNEWR2.2WR99WR———11120
Terrell JenningsNERB2.0RB66RB82001000
Reggie GilliamBUFRB0.4RB76RB140————Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Mack HollinsWR66 snaps99%
  2. Keon ColemanWR65 snaps97%
  3. Quintin MorrisTE62 snaps93%
  4. Curtis SamuelWR45 snaps67%
  5. Ray DavisRB35 snaps52%

Target Share31 targets

  1. Keon Coleman32%, 10 targets
  2. Curtis Samuel26%, 8 targets
  3. Mack Hollins13%, 4 targets
  4. Quintin Morris13%, 4 targets
  5. Ray Davis10%, 3 targets
  6. Other6%, 2 targets

Carry Share33 carries

  1. Ray Davis45%, 15 carries
  2. James Cook30%, 10 carries
  3. Mitchell Trubisky12%, 4 carries
  4. Ty Johnson6%, 2 carries
  5. Reggie Gilliam3%, 1 carries
  6. Other3%, 1 carries

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. DeMario DouglasWR48 snaps75%
  2. Kayshon BoutteWR45 snaps70%
  3. Austin HooperTE43 snaps67%
  4. Antonio GibsonRB42 snaps66%
  5. Javon BakerWR39 snaps61%

Target Share28 targets

  1. Kayshon Boutte25%, 7 targets
  2. Austin Hooper21%, 6 targets
  3. Antonio Gibson21%, 6 targets
  4. DeMario Douglas14%, 4 targets
  5. Kendrick Bourne7%, 2 targets
  6. Other11%, 3 targets

Carry Share30 carries

  1. Antonio Gibson40%, 12 carries
  2. Joe Milton33%, 10 carries
  3. Terrell Jennings27%, 8 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Mack HollinsBUFWR6699%413%0
Keon ColemanBUFWR6597%1032%1
Quintin MorrisBUFTE6293%413%0
DeMario DouglasNEWR4875%414%0
Kayshon BoutteNEWR4570%725%0
Austin HooperNETE4367%621%0
Curtis SamuelBUFWR4567%826%0
Antonio GibsonNERB4266%621%12
Javon BakerNEWR3961%14%0
Ray DavisBUFRB3552%310%15
Jaheim BellNETE3047%14%0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB2842%00%1
Kendrick BourneNEWR2438%27%0
Terrell JenningsNERB2438%14%8
Ty JohnsonBUFRB1725%26%2
James CookBUFRB1522%00%10
Jack WestoverNETE813%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+12.7Kayshon Boutte24.7 PTS vs 12.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−11.8Keon Coleman6.0 PTS vs 17.8 xFP
  • Highest expected volume19.4 xFPJoe Milton III19.2 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Joe Milton IIINE · QB19.219.4−0.295%29 att—291033%00%
Antonio GibsonNE · RB10.118.1−8.066%40% car—01240%621%
Keon ColemanBUF · WR6.017.8−11.897%32% tgt—013%1032%
Ray DavisBUF · RB14.514.9−0.452%45% car—01545%310%
Curtis SamuelBUF · WR12.213.7−1.567%26% tgt—000%826%
Kayshon BoutteNE · WR24.712.0+12.770%25% tgt—000%725%
Mitchell TrubiskyBUF · QB9.211.9−2.772%21 att—21412%00%
Austin HooperNE · TE6.710.3−3.667%21% tgt—000%621%
DeMario DouglasNE · WR6.46.9−0.575%14% tgt—000%414%
Mack HollinsBUF · WR5.56.9−1.499%13% tgt—000%413%
Quintin MorrisBUF · TE5.06.9−1.993%13% tgt—000%413%
Terrell JenningsNE · RB2.06.9−4.938%27% car—0827%14%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB8.86.5+2.322%30% car—01030%00%
Mike WhiteBUF · QB1.14.9−3.830%11 att—1100%00%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB2.34.7−2.425%6% tgt—026%26%
Kendrick BourneNE · WR3.23.4−0.238%7% tgt—000%27%
Jaheim BellNE · TE2.91.7+1.247%4% tgt—000%14%
Javon BakerNE · WR2.21.7+0.561%4% tgt—000%14%
Reggie GilliamBUF · RB0.40.7−0.342%3% car—013%00%
Drake MayeNE · QB0.00.4−0.45%1 att—100%00%

Team totals: Bills 31 targets and 33 carries; Patriots 28 targets and 30 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2024 season: 1.71 PPR points per target (68% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Mitchell Trubisky

BUF · QB · 9.2 pts on 11.9 expected

15 of 21 passing for 101 yards, 1 touchdown; 4 carries for 12 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Mitchell Trubisky →

Joe Milton III

NE · QB · 19.2 pts on 19.4 expected

22 of 29 passing for 241 yards, 1 touchdown; 10 carries for 16 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.4 expected.

Keon Coleman Volume, no payoff

BUF · WR · 6.0 pts on 17.8 expected

10 targets (32% of the team's), 2 catches for 31 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 9 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 17.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Keon Coleman →

Ray Davis

BUF · RB · 14.5 pts on 14.9 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 2 catches for 1 yard and 1 touchdown; 15 carries (45% of the team's) for 64 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Ray Davis →

Antonio Gibson Unlucky

NE · RB · 10.1 pts on 18.1 expected

6 targets (21% of the team's), 4 catches for 20 yards; 12 carries (40% of the team's) for 41 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Kayshon Boutte Ran hot

NE · WR · 24.7 pts on 12.0 expected

7 targets (25% of the team's), 7 catches for 117 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Kayshon Boutte →

Curtis Samuel

BUF · WR · 12.2 pts on 13.7 expected

8 targets (26% of the team's), 7 catches for 52 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.7 expected.

Austin Hooper

NE · TE · 6.7 pts on 10.3 expected

6 targets (21% of the team's), 4 catches for 27 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Austin Hooper →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Ray Davis led the backfield with 52% of the snaps after trailing James Cook III before this game.
  • Stock up: Keon Coleman played 97% of the snaps, up from a 71% season average.
  • Stock up: Curtis Samuel played 67% of the snaps, up from a 40% season average.

New England Patriots

  • Stock up: Antonio Gibson played 66% of the snaps, up from a 31% season average.
  • Stock up: Austin Hooper played 67% of the snaps, up from a 52% season average.
  • Stock up: Terrell Jennings played 38% of the snaps, up from a 21% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2024 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Bills defense and Patriots defense
Points allowed toBills DPatriots D
QBs16.516.5
RBs24.224.4
WRs33.232.0
TEs12.011.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New England opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Patriots win probability

Patriots win probability by game minutePatriots started at 50%, stood at 66% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +22Milton 1-yd TD run50% → 72%Q1 4:25
  2. −23Trubisky → Davis, 2-yd TD73% → 50%Q2 12:09
  3. +24Milton → Boutte, 48-yd TD50% → 74%Q2 9:10
  4. −28Cook 1-yd TD run68% → 41%Q3 7:56
  5. +20Slye 42-yd FG58% → 78%Q4 8:53

Swing in Patriots win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Bills vs Patriots
Buffalo BillsMeasureNew England Patriots
65Plays61
49%Pass rate51%
4.0Yds / dropback7.5
3.9Yds / carry2.6
6/15Third downs4/12

Efficiency edge New England ran 4 fewer plays but gained 3.5 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • BUF Coleman 32% · Samuel 26% · Hollins 13%
  • NE Boutte 25% · Gibson 21% · Hooper 21%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Bills vs Patriots
ResultBUFNE
Touchdowns22
Field goals13
Punts43
Turnovers01
Turnovers on downs30

BUF turnover edge: +1

  • The Patriots opened the scoring on their second possession, a 13-play, 55-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Patriots scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with two second-half drives of five to seven minutes.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:003-121:35Punt
BUFQ1 13:25491:42Downs
NEQ1 11:4313557:18Touchdown
BUFQ1 4:2513757:16Touchdown
NEQ2 12:095702:59Touchdown
BUFQ2 9:108394:31Field goal
NEQ2 4:396192:48Punt
BUFQ2 1:5110371:51Punt
BUFQ3 15:009353:57Punt
NEQ3 11:032100:46Fumble
BUFQ3 10:175162:21Touchdown
NEQ3 7:5612546:56Field goal
BUFQ3 1:00371:58Punt
NEQ4 14:0211555:09Field goal
BUFQ4 8:537223:37Downs
NEQ4 5:16320:58Punt
BUFQ4 4:18331:04Punt
NEQ4 3:146141:19Field goal
BUFQ4 1:55400:29Downs
NEQ4 1:263-31:26End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Bills vs Patriots Head-to-Head

The Bills and Patriots first met in 1960 and have played 133 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
80–52–1Patriots lead, 133 meetings since 1960
Postseason
1–1Bills won in 2021; Patriots won in 1963
Largest Bills win
45–101970
Largest Patriots win
56–102007

Since 2021

7–4 Bills lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 4 Patriots at Bills Upcoming
  • Week 13 Bills at Patriots Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2024 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Bills vs Patriots
BillsStatPatriots
13-4Record4-13
30.9Points per game17.0
359.1Yards per game291.9
6.0Yards per play4.8
21.6Points allowed per game24.5
341.5Yards allowed per game342.9

Bills vs Patriots Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 4 in Buffalo and Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2024 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Bills vs Patriots Game FAQ

Who won the 2024 Bills vs Patriots Week 18 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 23–16 in Week 18 of the 2024 season. The game was played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, on January 5, 2025. See the Patriots' 2024 schedule.

What was the final score of Bills vs Patriots?

The final score was Patriots 23, Bills 16. The Patriots led 14–10 at halftime, and the second half went Bills 6, Patriots 9.

What happened in the Bills vs Patriots game?

New England led 14–10 at halftime and outscored Buffalo 9–6 after the break to win 23–16. The Patriots finished with a 309–259 edge in total offense and averaged 5.1 yards per play. Kayshon Boutte led all players with 7 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown. The Patriots committed 1 turnover, the Bills none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Bills vs Patriots?

Kayshon Boutte led the game with 24.7 PPR fantasy points, the WR5 of Week 18, on 7 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown. Joe Milton was next with 19.2 (QB13). See Kayshon Boutte's 2024 game log.

Who led Bills vs Patriots in passing, rushing and receiving?

Joe Milton (NE) led all passers with 22 of 29 for 241 yards and a touchdown. Ray Davis (BUF) led in rushing with 15 carries for 64 yards. Kayshon Boutte (NE) led in receiving with 7 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Kayshon Boutte score against the Bills?

Kayshon Boutte scored 24.7 points in PPR leagues, 21.2 in half-PPR and 17.7 in standard scoring against the Bills in Week 18 of the 2024 season, on 7 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown. He drew 25% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Bills vs Patriots?

Kayshon Boutte outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 24.7 PPR points on 12.0 xFP (+12.7). Keon Coleman fell furthest short, with 6.0 points on 17.8 xFP (−11.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Bills vs Patriots?

Joe Milton III had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 19.4 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 19.2. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Patriots beat the Bills?

The Patriots beat the Bills 23–16 because they averaged 5.1 yards per play to 4.0 and outgained them 309–259.

Which team won the turnover battle in Bills vs Patriots?

The Bills won the turnover battle 1–0: the Patriots gave the ball away 1 time and the Bills not at all. The Patriots won the game anyway.

What was the turning point of Bills vs Patriots?

James Cook's 1-yard touchdown run with 7:56 left in the third quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Patriots' win probability from 68% to 41%.

What is the all-time Bills vs Patriots record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 80–52–1 across 133 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Bills and Patriots last play before this game?

Before Week 18 of 2024, they last met in the 2024 season on December 22, 2024, when the Bills beat the Patriots 24–21.

Have the Bills and Patriots met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Bills are 1–1 against the Patriots in the postseason.

What is the Bills vs Patriots record since 2021?

The Bills lead 7–4 across 11 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.