Patriots vs Bills Week 18 2022: Final Score 35

Final2022 Week 18

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NYSun, Jan 8, 2023, 1:00 PM ET

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills, Week 18 2022

New England Patriots

Away

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

Scoring by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Patriots	7	7	3	6	23
Bills	7	7	14	7	35

NE 23BUF 35 Final

Passing leader
Josh Allen
BUF · QB
22.8PPR pts
19/31, 254 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Top fantasy scorer
DeVante Parker
NE · WR
25.9PPR pts
6 REC, 79 YDS, 2 TD
Patriots leader
Mac Jones
NE · QB
19.2PPR pts
26/40, 243 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
Defensive playmaker
Nyheim Hines
BUF
2 TD

Bills 35, Patriots 23: Buffalo beats New England

Buffalo broke a 14–14 halftime tie, outscoring New England 21–9 after the break to win 35–23. New England outgained the Bills 341–327, but the Bills averaged 5.6 yards per play.

The Patriots went 4-for-13 on third down and committed three turnovers.

The two teams meet again in Week 4 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

+0.3 yards/play BUF 5.6 · NE 5.3
+27% third-down rate BUF 58% · NE 31%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Bills
Patriots	Stat	Bills
5.3	Yards per play	5.6

31%	Third-down conversion	58%

Other team stats
341	Total yards	327

64	Plays	58

3	Turnovers	3

32:37	Time of possession	27:23

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored five touchdowns; the Patriots scored three touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Bills
Time	Team	Play	NE	BUF
1st quarter
14:46	BUF	Nyheim Hines 96-yard kickoff return TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP	0	7
5:45	NE	Mac Jones → Jakobi Meyers, 2-yard TD Ties gameNick Folk XP	7	7
2nd quarter
14:15	BUF	Josh Allen → Dawson Knox, 4-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP	7	14
3:45	NE	Mac Jones → DeVante Parker, 2-yard TD Ties gameNick Folk XP	14	14
3rd quarter
7:06	NE	Nick Folk 24-yard FG Takes lead	17	14
6:53	BUF	Nyheim Hines 101-yard kickoff return TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP	17	21
1:35	BUF	Josh Allen → John Brown, 42-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP	17	28
4th quarter
11:37	NE	Mac Jones → DeVante Parker, 26-yard TD2-pt try failed	23	28
8:51	BUF	Josh Allen → Stefon Diggs, 49-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP	23	35

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Bills, Week 18 2022

Fantasy leaders

DeVante ParkerNEWR25.9 PTSWR2
Stefon DiggsBUFWR23.4 PTSWR4
Josh AllenBUFQB22.8 PTSQB3
Mac JonesNEQB19.2 PTSQB8

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
Player	FPTS	FIN	CMP/ATT	Pass YDS	TD	INT	Rush ATT	Rush YDS	Rush TD	Rate	Start/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB	22.8	QB3	19/31	254	3	1	9	16	0	106.1	Start/Sit →
Mac JonesNEQB	19.2	QB8	26/40	243	3	3	4	5	0	75.3	Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
Player	FPTS	FIN	POS	Rush ATT	Rush YDS	Rush TD	TGT	REC	Rec YDS	Rec TD	Start/Sit
DeVante ParkerNEWR	25.9	WR2	WR	—	—	—	7	6	79	2
Stefon DiggsBUFWR	23.4	WR4	WR	—	—	—	10	7	104	1	Start/Sit →
Rhamondre StevensonNERB	13.2	RB18	RB	6	54	0	6	5	28	0	Start/Sit →
Jakobi MeyersNEWR	12.2	WR28	WR	—	—	—	7	3	32	1	Start/Sit →
John BrownBUFWR	11.2	WR31	WR	—	—	—	1	1	42	1
Hunter HenryNETE	10.2	TE11	TE	—	—	—	7	6	42	0	Start/Sit →
Dawson KnoxBUFTE	9.3	TE14	TE	—	—	—	2	2	13	1	Start/Sit →
Kendrick BourneNEWR	8.5	WR45	WR	—	—	—	5	4	45	0	Start/Sit →
James CookBUFRB	7.1	RB37	RB	9	45	0	2	2	6	0
Gabe DavisBUFWR	6.9	WR59	WR	—	—	—	10	3	39	0
Damien HarrisNERB	6.2	RB41	RB	13	48	0	4	1	4	0
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR	3.9	WR80	WR	—	—	—	3	2	19	0
Khalil ShakirBUFWR	3.8	WR82	WR	—	—	—	2	1	28	0	Start/Sit →
Tyquan ThorntonNEWR	2.3	WR92	WR	—	—	—	2	1	13	0	Start/Sit →
Devin SingletaryBUFRB	2.2	RB66	RB	7	29	0	1	1	3	0	Start/Sit →
Nelson AgholorNEWR	0.0	—	WR	—	—	—	1	0	0	0

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

Hunter HenryTE68 snaps100%
Jakobi MeyersWR61 snaps90%
DeVante ParkerWR56 snaps82%
Tyquan ThorntonWR37 snaps54%
Kendrick BourneWR36 snaps53%

Target Share39 targets

DeVante Parker18%, 7 targets
Hunter Henry18%, 7 targets
Jakobi Meyers18%, 7 targets
Rhamondre Stevenson15%, 6 targets
Kendrick Bourne13%, 5 targets
Other18%, 7 targets

Carry Share23 carries

Damien Harris57%, 13 carries
Rhamondre Stevenson26%, 6 carries
Mac Jones17%, 4 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

Dawson KnoxTE48 snaps81%
Gabe DavisWR47 snaps80%
Stefon DiggsWR45 snaps76%
Isaiah McKenzieWR33 snaps56%
James CookRB33 snaps56%

Target Share31 targets

Stefon Diggs32%, 10 targets
Gabe Davis32%, 10 targets
Isaiah McKenzie10%, 3 targets
Dawson Knox6%, 2 targets
Khalil Shakir6%, 2 targets
Other13%, 4 targets

Carry Share25 carries

Josh Allen36%, 9 carries
James Cook36%, 9 carries
Devin Singletary28%, 7 carries

View full usage tableHide full usage table

Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
Player	SNAPS	SNAP %	TGT	TGT %	CAR
Hunter HenryNETE	68	100%	7	18%	0
Jakobi MeyersNEWR	61	90%	7	18%	0
DeVante ParkerNEWR	56	82%	7	18%	0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE	48	81%	2	6%	0
Gabe DavisBUFWR	47	80%	10	32%	0
Stefon DiggsBUFWR	45	76%	10	32%	0
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR	33	56%	3	10%	0
James CookBUFRB	33	56%	2	6%	9
Tyquan ThorntonNEWR	37	54%	2	5%	0
Kendrick BourneNEWR	36	53%	5	13%	0
Damien HarrisNERB	36	53%	4	10%	13
Rhamondre StevensonNERB	33	49%	6	15%	6
Devin SingletaryBUFRB	24	41%	1	3%	7
Quintin MorrisBUFTE	24	41%	0	0%	0
Khalil ShakirBUFWR	15	25%	2	6%	0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB	10	17%	0	0%	0
John BrownBUFWR	7	12%	1	3%	0
Matt SokolNETE	6	9%	0	0%	0
Nelson AgholorNEWR	4	6%	1	3%	0
Nyheim Miller-HinesBUFRB	3	5%	0	0%	0
Pierre StrongNERB	1	1%	0	0%	0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

PPRHalf PPRStandard

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Biggest overperformer+14.2DeVante Parker25.9 PTS vs 11.7 xFP
Biggest underperformer−9.8Gabe Davis6.9 PTS vs 16.7 xFP
Highest expected volume19.5 xFPMac Jones19.2 PTS scored

Usage and expected fantasy points
Player	PTS	xFP	vs xFP	Snap%	Usage	Rte%	Pass att	Car	Car%	Tgt	Tgt%
Mac JonesNE · QB	19.2	19.5	−0.3	100%	40 att	—	40	4	17%	0	0%
Josh AllenBUF · QB	22.8	18.9	+3.9	100%	31 att	—	31	9	36%	0	0%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR	6.9	16.7	−9.8	80%	32% tgt	—	0	0	0%	10	32%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR	23.4	16.7	+6.7	76%	32% tgt	—	0	0	0%	10	32%
Damien HarrisNE · RB	6.2	15.0	−8.8	53%	57% car	—	0	13	57%	4	10%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB	13.2	13.9	−0.7	49%	26% car	—	0	6	26%	6	15%
DeVante ParkerNE · WR	25.9	11.7	+14.2	82%	18% tgt	—	0	0	0%	7	18%
Hunter HenryNE · TE	10.2	11.7	−1.5	100%	18% tgt	—	0	0	0%	7	18%
Jakobi MeyersNE · WR	12.2	11.7	+0.5	90%	18% tgt	—	0	0	0%	7	18%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB	7.1	9.1	−2.0	56%	36% car	—	0	9	36%	2	6%
Kendrick BourneNE · WR	8.5	8.3	+0.2	53%	13% tgt	—	0	0	0%	5	13%
Devin SingletaryBUF · RB	2.2	6.2	−4.0	41%	28% car	—	0	7	28%	1	3%
Isaiah McKenzieBUF · WR	3.9	5.0	−1.1	56%	10% tgt	—	0	0	0%	3	10%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE	9.3	3.3	+6.0	81%	6% tgt	—	0	0	0%	2	6%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR	3.8	3.3	+0.5	25%	6% tgt	—	0	0	0%	2	6%
Tyquan ThorntonNE · WR	2.3	3.3	−1.0	54%	5% tgt	—	0	0	0%	2	5%
John BrownBUF · WR	11.2	1.7	+9.5	12%	3% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	3%
Nelson AgholorNE · WR	0.0	1.7	−1.7	6%	3% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	3%

Team totals: Patriots 39 targets and 23 carries; Bills 31 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Mac Jones

NE · QB · 19.2 pts on 19.5 expected

26 of 40 passing for 243 yards, 3 touchdowns, 3 interceptions; 4 carries for 5 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.5 expected.

Best score since Week 12.

Start/Sit: Mac Jones →

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · 22.8 pts on 18.9 expected

19 of 31 passing for 254 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception; 9 carries for 16 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Damien Harris Unlucky

NE · RB · 6.2 pts on 15.0 expected

4 targets (10% of the team's), 1 catch for 4 yards; 13 carries (57% of the team's) for 48 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE · RB · 13.2 pts on 13.9 expected

6 targets (15% of the team's), 5 catches for 28 yards; 6 carries (26% of the team's) for 54 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Rhamondre Stevenson →

Gabe Davis Volume, no payoff

BUF · WR · 6.9 pts on 16.7 expected

10 targets (32% of the team's), 3 catches for 39 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stefon Diggs Ran hot

BUF · WR · 23.4 pts on 16.7 expected

10 targets (32% of the team's), 7 catches for 104 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Best score since Week 10.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

DeVante Parker Ran hot

NE · WR · 25.9 pts on 11.7 expected

7 targets (18% of the team's), 6 catches for 79 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Best fantasy game of the season.

Dawson Knox Ran hot

BUF · TE · 9.3 pts on 3.3 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 2 catches for 13 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Fewest points since Week 13.

Start/Sit: Dawson Knox →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New England Patriots

Stock up: Damien Harris led the backfield with 53% of the snaps after trailing Rhamondre Stevenson before this game.
Stock up: Hunter Henry played 100% of the snaps, up from a 74% season average.
Stock down: Rhamondre Stevenson lost the backfield lead: 49% of the snaps to Damien Harris's 53%.

Buffalo Bills

Stock up: James Cook III led the backfield with 56% of the snaps after trailing Devin Singletary before this game.
Stock down: Devin Singletary lost the backfield lead: 41% of the snaps to James Cook III's 56%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Bills defense
Points allowed to	Patriots D	Bills D
QBs	17.3	14.4
RBs	18.1	19.9
WRs	33.3	35.5
TEs	12.3	8.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 72% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Key Swings

−16Jones → Meyers, 2-yd TD87% → 71%Q1 5:45
+17Allen → Knox, 4-yd TD69% → 87%Q2 14:15
−20Jones → Parker, 2-yd TD87% → 67%Q2 3:45
+31Hines 101-yd TD50% → 80%Q3 6:53
+16Allen → Brown, 42-yd TD81% → 97%Q3 1:35

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Bills
New England Patriots	Measure	Buffalo Bills
64	Plays	58
64%	Pass rate	57%
5.7	Yds / dropback	7.2
4.7	Yds / carry	3.6
4/13	Third downs	7/12

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 6 fewer plays but gained 1.5 more yards per dropback.

Top targets
NE Parker 18% · Henry 18% · Meyers 18%
BUF Davis 32% · Diggs 32% · McKenzie 10%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Bills
Result	NE	BUF
Touchdowns	3	5
Field goals	1	0
Punts	4	3
Turnovers	3	2

BUF turnover edge: +1

The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 0-play, 0-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
The Bills scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.

All 23 possessions, drive by drive

Drive chart
Team	Start	Plays	Yards	Time	Result
BUF	Q1 15:00	0	0	0:14	Touchdown
NE	Q1 14:46	3	-7	1:37	Punt
BUF	Q1 13:09	5	1	2:40	Punt
NE	Q1 10:29	9	74	4:44	Touchdown
BUF	Q1 5:45	13	75	6:30	Touchdown
NE	Q2 14:15	3	3	1:31	Punt
BUF	Q2 12:44	6	13	3:28	Punt
NE	Q2 9:16	9	74	5:31	Touchdown
BUF	Q2 3:45	11	57	3:29	Interception
NE	Q2 0:16	2	-4	0:16	End of half
NE	Q3 15:00	10	60	5:34	Interception
BUF	Q3 9:26	2	7	0:52	Fumble
NE	Q3 8:34	4	5	1:28	Field goal
BUF	Q3 7:06	0	0	0:13	Touchdown
NE	Q3 6:53	5	14	2:16	Punt
BUF	Q3 4:37	7	81	3:02	Touchdown
NE	Q3 1:35	8	85	4:58	Touchdown
BUF	Q4 11:37	4	60	2:46	Touchdown
NE	Q4 8:51	3	0	0:29	Punt
NE	Q4 8:22	6	13	3:30	Interception
BUF	Q4 4:52	5	10	1:27	Punt
NE	Q4 3:25	3	9	0:43	Interception
BUF	Q4 2:42	5	8	2:42	End of game

About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 133 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series: 80–52–1Patriots lead, 133 meetings since 1960
Postseason: 1–1Patriots won in 1963; Bills won in 2021
Largest Patriots win: 56–102007
Largest Bills win: 45–101970

Since 2021

7–4 Bills lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

Week 4 Patriots at Bills Sun, Oct 4, 2026 Upcoming
Week 13 Bills at Patriots Sun, Dec 6, 2026 Upcoming

Recent Meetings

2025 Wk 15 Bills at Patriots, 2025 Wk 15 recap Sun, Dec 14, 2025 BUF 35 NE 31 BUF W
2025 Wk 5 Patriots at Bills, 2025 Wk 5 recap Sun, Oct 5, 2025 NE 23 BUF 20 NE W
2024 Wk 18 Bills at Patriots, 2024 Wk 18 recap Sun, Jan 5, 2025 NE 23 BUF 16 NE W
2024 Wk 16 Patriots at Bills, 2024 Wk 16 recap Sun, Dec 22, 2024 BUF 24 NE 21 BUF W
2023 Wk 17 Patriots at Bills, 2023 Wk 17 recap Sun, Dec 31, 2023 BUF 27 NE 21 BUF W
2023 Wk 7 Bills at Patriots, 2023 Wk 7 recap Sun, Oct 22, 2023 NE 29 BUF 25 NE W
2022 Wk 18 Patriots at Bills Sun, Jan 8, 2023 BUF 35 NE 23 BUF W
2022 Wk 13 Bills at Patriots, 2022 Wk 13 recap Thu, Dec 1, 2022 BUF 24 NE 10 BUF W
2021 Wild Card Patriots at Bills, 2021 Wild Card recap Sat, Jan 15, 2022 BUF 47 NE 17 BUF W
2021 Wk 16 Bills at Patriots, 2021 Wk 16 recap Sun, Dec 26, 2021 BUF 33 NE 21 BUF W
2021 Wk 13 Patriots at Bills, 2021 Wk 13 recap Mon, Dec 6, 2021 NE 14 BUF 10 NE W

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Bills
Patriots	Stat	Bills
8-9	Record	13-3

21.4	Points per game	28.4

314.6	Yards per game	397.6

5.3	Yards per play	6.1

20.4	Points allowed per game	17.9

322.0	Yards allowed per game	319.1

Patriots vs Bills Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread: BUF −8Bills covered by 4
Total: 44.5Over: 58 points scored (by 13.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
Team	Implied	Actual	Difference
Bills	26.3	35	+8.8
Patriots	18.3	23	+4.8

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 5 meetings: Bills 4–1 ATS, overs 3–2.

Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New England Patriots

Against the spread: 7–9–1
Over/under: 8–9
ATS as favorite: 5–2–1
ATS as underdog: 2–7
ATS on the road: 4–4–1

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread: 8–8
Over/under: 6–10
ATS as favorite: 8–8
ATS at home: 4–4

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Patriots vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 4 in Buffalo and Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2022 Patriots vs Bills Week 18 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 35–23 in Week 18 of the 2022 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on January 8, 2023. See the Bills' 2022 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 35, Patriots 23. The teams were tied 14–14 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 9, Bills 21.

What happened in the Patriots vs Bills game?

Buffalo broke a 14–14 halftime tie, outscoring New England 21–9 after the break to win 35–23. New England outgained the Bills 341–327, but the Bills averaged 5.6 yards per play. DeVante Parker led all players with 6 catches for 79 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

DeVante Parker led the game with 25.9 PPR fantasy points, the WR2 of Week 18, on 6 catches for 79 yards and 2 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs was next with 23.4 (WR4).

Who led Patriots vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 19 of 31 for 254 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) led in rushing with 6 carries for 54 yards. Stefon Diggs (BUF) led in receiving with 7 catches for 104 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did DeVante Parker score against the Bills?

DeVante Parker scored 25.9 points in PPR leagues, 22.9 in half-PPR and 19.9 in standard scoring against the Bills in Week 18 of the 2022 season, on 6 catches for 79 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

DeVante Parker outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 25.9 PPR points on 11.7 xFP (+14.2). Gabe Davis fell furthest short, with 6.9 points on 16.7 xFP (−9.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Mac Jones had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 19.5 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 19.2. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Patriots?

The Bills beat the Patriots 35–23 because they averaged 5.6 yards per play to 5.3.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Bills record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 80–52–1 across 133 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Patriots and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 18 of 2022, they last met in the 2022 season on December 1, 2022, when the Bills beat the Patriots 24–10.

Have the Patriots and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Patriots are 1–1 against the Bills in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Bills?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −8, making the Buffalo Bills 8-point favorites, with a closing total of 44.5. That implied about 26.3 points for the Bills and 18.3 for the Patriots.

Did Patriots vs Bills go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 44.5, and the teams combined for 58 points, 13.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Bills?

The Bills covered by 4 against the closing line of Bills −8. The final margin was 12 points.